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December 12
Market Trends
BTC fluctuates, altcoins generally decline. The market lacks hotspots.
#美股震荡 , #美元下跌 . #白银 surged to a historical high. The divergence of global central bank policies is accelerating. While the Federal Reserve continues its path of rate cuts, central banks in Europe, Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, and others generally maintain a tightening tendency, even entering the rate hike channel.

Market Hotspots
1. Privacy coins $ZEC increased. BN launched privacy trading and lending features (IOI) aimed at large investors, indicating a significant increase in privacy demand under AI big data analysis.
2. Chinese memes $哈基米 , $恶俗企鹅 , etc., increased. He Yi stated that he will no longer support BN-related memes.

December 11
Market Trends
BTC is down, altcoins are generally down.
US stocks are up, the US dollar is down. #美联储如期降息25个基点 , but the market expects only one interest rate cut in 2026 and 2027 respectively. Global long-term bond yields have soared to a 16-year high, with the market betting that the global interest rate cut cycle is about to end.

Market Highlights
1. The new OK tokens Wet and Night have both doubled in one day. Wet is a Dex operated by the Sol chain, and Night is a privacy chain created by the founder of Ada. Although there is significant selling pressure on the new OK tokens, the pump effect is strong.
2. The public chain Sei is rising, in collaboration with Xiaomi to pre-install apps on their phones.
3. The public chain ETH is rising, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate is strengthening.

December 10th ETH
The ETH large-scale trend remains strong, much stronger than Bitcoin, with Ethereum reaching a high of 3397. The current hourly high consolidation is a normal turnover in a strong trend, not a top structure. The MACD momentum is still being released, and the 4-hour Bollinger Bands upper band is fully open, indicating that there is still room for a second high tonight. The numbers #利率决议 and #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 released tonight need to be closely monitored, as there may be a situation of a pin bar, so be sure to set stop losses. #加密市场观察
Currently, Ethereum has broken through the descending trendline. If a breakout situation occurs, it is not a crash but an opportunity. Entering a long position near 3138 is a good choice, as it coincides with the trendline breakout retest, but be sure to set stop losses.
The second scenario is a strong breakthrough at 3400, where you can try a long position near ema21. These are the two scenarios discussed in the live broadcast; we will trade based on where the market goes. This round of rebound still aims to remove the high point of 3650! #ETH走势分析

December 10 BTC
Cycle Breakdown
Weekly Level
The overall structure remains robust, currently in a rebound phase after hitting support. Continuous attention is needed on the fundamentals, especially focusing on the numbers announced tonight at #利率决定 and #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 . It is expected to mainly consolidate within the day, waiting for guidance from macro events.
Daily Level
The price has completed a triangular consolidation pattern and has achieved a key breakthrough of the downtrend line. In terms of technical indicators, both MACD and RSI maintain a golden cross state, indicating that bullish momentum remains, and there is still room for movement above. #美联储降息预期升温
4-Hour Level
The larger structure is within a fluctuating upward channel, and in the short term, it has broken through a local downtrend channel, forming a bullish ascending flag. Currently, attention should be closely paid to the resistance of the triple bottom neckline near $94,000. If it can effectively break through and stabilize, it is expected to open up upward space, targeting first at $98,800, and if it breaks strongly, looking towards the 0.618 zone of $104,000–$106,000. It is recommended to focus on positioning long positions after a pullback during the day. #加密市场反弹
Key Positions
Upper Resistance: $94,000 – $95,000
Lower Support: $90,700 – $89,700
#BTC走势分析

December 10
Market Trends
BTC rises, altcoins rise broadly.
US stocks fall, silver surges. Shadow Fed Chair Hasset says the Federal Reserve has ample room to cut interest rates, which means the cut could exceed 25 basis points.
Market Highlights
1. Public chain ETH rises, #ETH/BTC exchange rate strengthens. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) allows BTC, ETH, USDC as collateral for derivatives trading.
2. Privacy coin ZEC rebounds; ZEC is one of the few cryptocurrencies that can withstand quantum computers.
3. SOL chain meme's #pippin battle, bottom rises 20 times, strong whales control the market. Long rate 1030%.

Did anyone eat meat after watching the live stream!!!

December 9
Market Trends
BTC fluctuates, altcoins rebound. The market experiences wide fluctuations. MicroStrategy continued to increase its BTC holdings last week, while BlackRock continued to sell.
U.S. stocks fell, and the ten-year U.S. Treasury yield hit a new high in over two months. Hassett's latest speech did not signal expectations of dovishness, and market expectations for the Fed's easing actions next year have declined.

Market Highlights
1. The stablecoin public chain #stable experienced a significant drop in issuance, went up on BN Alpha, with a market value of $2 billion still higher than that of the same track's XPL.
2. Privacy coin #zec rebounded significantly, showing a trend opposite to BTC.
3. Bankruptcy coins LUNA, LUNC, and others surged as the founder's trial is set for December 11.
4. The public chain ETH rebounded, showing stronger performance than BTC. A staking ETF will be launched soon.

November 30 ETH
Market Trend Analysis
Following Bitcoin's volatile movements, a false breakout similar to the one two days ago has occurred, likely creating a bear trap, accumulating short positions. If I were the market maker, I would continue to push upward after accumulating a certain amount of funds in the shorts, trapping the funds in the bear trap. #ETH走势分析
Technical Patterns
Market momentum is weakening (be cautious of potential bear traps)
Key support levels are showing resilience, accumulating upward momentum
Key Events
December 3 #Fusaka network upgrade becomes a potential catalyst
Weekly and monthly closing days may amplify volatility
Key Levels
Support: 2970
Resistance: 3050, 3100#加密市场反弹

November 30 BTC
Overall Judgment
Yesterday, the market had limited fluctuations, but today, as both a Sunday and the end of the month, the weekly and monthly lines will close simultaneously. Despite being the weekend, the market volatility is expected to significantly increase, and the range will expand. It is necessary to avoid the narrow fluctuation mindset of yesterday, as there is a high probability of a bullish counterattack; yesterday was an extreme downward pressure. The technical aspect shows that the 8-hour and shorter cycles have all reached the bottom area, providing conditions for a bullish counterattack, while the 12 and 24-hour cycles are in a neutral position, requiring momentum to confirm the direction.
Market Sentiment
1. Data shows that short-term investors are experiencing losses, indicating some selling pressure in the market.
2. The expectation of #美联储降息 provides potential liquidity support for the market.
Insufficient liquidity over the weekend means that the current market liquidity is weak, which implies that even small amounts of capital could lead to significant price fluctuations, amplifying trading risks. #BTC走势分析
Cycle Breakdown
Weekly Level
The overall trend structure remains stable. As expectations for interest rate cuts in December continue to weaken, it is necessary to continue monitoring changes in the fundamentals. It is expected to show a fluctuating upward trend during the day.
Daily Level
The candlestick forms long upper and lower shadows, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears, currently in a stage of consolidation, with direction yet to be clarified.
4-Hour Level
Market momentum has weakened, and there is a demand for technical adjustments. Overall fluctuations over the weekend are limited.
Key Positions
Upper Pressure: 93000 - 94000
Lower Support: 89000 - 88000#加密市场反弹

November 26
Market Trends
BTC fluctuates, altcoins rise broadly. ETH/BTC#汇率 reverses.
U.S. stocks rebound, economic data favorable for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in December, combined with progress on the peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine. Google replaces NVIDIA as the new AI leader.
Market Highlights
1. New coin #MON surges, nearing a double. Monad is a high-performance public chain, Arthur Hayes calls it out.
2. #l2 's mega ETH chain IPO is fully subscribed. The project redefines the upper limits of L2 with a performance vision of 100,000 TPS + millisecond-level latency, developed by a Chinese team, with investment from Vitalik Buterin.
3. Small-cap Chinese meme on BN Alpha, #恶俗企鹅 and BNB holders. BN wallet launches on-chain U.S. stocks.

November 25
Market Trends
BTC rebounds, BTC contract rate is negative, short-term bottom. Altcoins rebound, the market's main focus is on ETH.
US stocks surge, the probability of #12月降息前景 increases to 80%. The two countries' leaders spoke, further boosting market sentiment.
Market Highlights
1. Public chain ETH rises, ETH/BTC exchange rate reverses. Stablecoins #ENA , #usual , and others follow suit.
2. Public chain SOL rebounds, the meme's #Pippin experiences wild fluctuations, with speculators taking profits.
3. Public chain MON briefly falls below issue price, listed on UPBIT and Coinbase, with a market cap of $3.5 billion; the last round of financing valued it at $3 billion. Bonk's bonad.fun goes live on the MONAD public chain.

November 24 BTC Cycle Breakdown
Weekly Level
The overall trend structure remains relatively stable. As expectations for a rate cut in December continue to weaken, it is recommended to closely monitor changes in the fundamental dynamics. It is expected to maintain a sideways consolidation pattern during the day.
Daily Level
Prices continue to operate within the range of the box oscillation, with rebound momentum showing, but it has not yet reversed the overall downward trend. The current bearish structure has not fundamentally changed, and the overall pattern still leans towards the bears.
4-Hour Level
Showing a bullish repair trend, gradually regaining some lost ground, but always constrained by key resistance levels above, failing to form effective breakouts, with rebound strength clearly limited. It is recommended to primarily operate by placing short positions as prices rebound to high levels. #BTC走势分析
Key Positions
Upper Pressure: 88500 - 89500
Lower Support: 85000 - 84000
Operation Suggestions
Consider placing short positions when prices rebound to the pressure area near 88500-89500, and if it breaks down below the support range of 85000-84000, it can follow the trend.

November 24
Market Trends
BTC rebounds, altcoins rebound. BTC#合约费率 is negative, or may be the short-term bottom at #情绪周期 .
US stocks rebound, with a greater than 50% chance of a rate cut in December.
Market Highlights
1. Small coin #tnsr is being promoted. The Tensor Foundation acquired the Tensor Marketplace from Tensor Labs, increasing the portion of market fees entering the treasury from 50% to 100%, and 22% of the tokens from labs have been burned.
2. Privacy coin #zec performs strongly, counter to the market, with a shorting fee rate of -30%.
3. Old coin #BCH rises, as the US secretly investigates mining giant Bitmain, and Yilihua makes a purchase.
4. Perpetual leader Hype unlocks $320 million worth of tokens this week.

November 20th BTC
Weekly Level
The overall trend structure remains robust. As the expectation for interest rate cuts in December continues to cool, #美国停摆结束 is nearing its end, coupled with Trump's proposal of a policy expectation to issue $2,000 dividends to each low-income individual, the market's fundamentals are still in dynamic change. It is expected to continue in a fluctuating pattern during the day, and it is recommended to keep an eye on macro trends.
Daily Level
The current structure is still dominated by bears, and recent rebounds are merely technical corrections after significant declines, with no strong buying pressure entering. The price has not been able to break through the previous high point, and the market structure has not undergone substantial changes. As long as the price remains below 96,000, the overall rhythm continues to lean towards bearish.
4-Hour Level
After six consecutive bearish candles, there has been a slight rebound, but the rebound strength is weak, and the price has consistently failed to effectively break through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that resistance above remains significant. The overall structure maintains a weak trend.
Key Levels
Upper Pressure: 93,000 - 94,000
Lower Support: 88,500 - 87,500
Operational Suggestions
Consider setting up short positions when the price rebounds to the pressure zone near 93,000–94,000; if it breaks down below the support range of 88,500–87,500, further follow-up can be taken.
#BTC走势分析 #非农就业数据

November 20
Market Trends
BTC continues to decline, altcoins are generally down. #贝莱德基金 continues to sell BTC and ETH. The main focus of the market revolves around #隐私币 .
U.S. stocks rebounded, NVIDIA's performance exceeded expectations. The U.S. dollar index rose, and the probability of a rate cut in December plummeted to 31%.
2. Market Hotspots:
1. Privacy concepts such as #zec , #strk , #ZK are rising. ETH has launched the latest privacy upgrade, Kohaku. Privacy is a necessity similar to Swiss banks, combating AI big data scrutiny, and some gray market demand for BTC is flowing into privacy coins. The three original intentions of BTC: 1) Compliance instead of fiat currency (currently there are stablecoins like USDT, USDC, etc.), 2) Scalability (currently there are public chains like ETH, SOL, etc.), 3) Privacy and resistance to scrutiny (currently only ZEC can be used). The first two original intentions are led by projects with market capitalizations in the hundreds of billions of dollars, Tether has a market cap of $500 billion, and ETH reached a high of $500 billion, while privacy is the only area that has not been significantly developed.
2. The market cap of high-performance public chain Monad fell from $5 billion to $3.5 billion.

November 18th ETH
The market has recently been plagued by continuous sell-offs. After extreme liquidation of long positions, the market is brewing a rebound. Every time confidence is lost, it is accompanied by the birth of opportunities. The bearish trend on the weekly and monthly charts remains unchanged. Pay attention to the movements of Bitcoin and the old man.
Market Judgement
Follow the movements of Bitcoin. Although whales are supporting the altcoins, the continuous decline of Bitcoin will also lead to a passive drop in altcoins, further amplifying emotional responses.
Technical Features
The moving average system shows a bearish arrangement, with prices constrained below key resistance levels.
RSI has entered the oversold area, indicating a need for technical recovery.
A momentum divergence signal has appeared on the daily chart.
The daily chart gap of #cme has not been filled like Bitcoin, and the current retracement level can focus on the weekly support around 2830-2750, which is also the CME gap position. If this level is completely broken, we can directly look at the 2500 level.
Key Levels
Support: 2940-2900
Resistance: 3200-3250
Operation Suggestion: Focus on the transmission effect of #比特币走势 and #ETH走势分析 .

November 18 BTC
The market is cold, and market sentiment has reached 11 (extreme fear), often experiencing sudden drops at midnight. There has been a constant influx of bad news. The daily chart has entered the bottom phase, and shorting below 90,000 is not an ideal choice. After extreme liquidation of longs, the market will brew a rebound. Every time confidence is lost, it is accompanied by the birth of opportunities. The bearish trend on the weekly and monthly charts remains unchanged. The daily chart is in the late bearish phase and early bullish phase, in a stage where a little sunshine can make a big difference. Attention should be paid to the movements of Mr. Pu.
Trend Judgment
The bottom range is fluctuating, with two possible paths — either a consolidation at the bottom or a quick drop followed by a V-shaped reversal.
Technical Features
Short-term moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, prices have broken below the middle Bollinger Band and are moving towards the lower band.
RSI is approaching the oversold area, and short-term selling pressure may gradually weaken.
Capital has shown a net outflow for a whole week.
Currently, a better point is (Figure 2) that today has filled the CME gap at the daily level.
Key Positions:
Support: 88,000
Resistance: 95,000
Operational Suggestions: Be cautious in oversold areas when shorting, waiting for stabilization signals.
Cycle Breakdown
Weekly Level
The overall structure is still robust, but there are changes in the fundamentals: #12月降息悬了 expectations continue to weaken, #美国停摆 is nearing its end. Trump's proposal of “issuing a $2,000 bonus to each non-high-income individual” is worth noting. It is expected to maintain a fluctuating downward pattern during the day, and it is suggested to continue tracking the evolution of the macro environment.
Daily Level
Prices have broken below the key support of the middle and lower Bollinger Bands, and the Bollinger Band channel shows a downward opening trend, indicating that the downtrend may continue. Auxiliary indicators are also weakening: MACD shows that bearish momentum continues to strengthen, and RSI has entered the oversold range, reflecting increased market panic and significant selling pressure.
4-Hour Level
The candlestick chart shows a continuous arrangement of bearish candles, with prices steadily declining along the moving average system. The bullish counterattack is continuously suppressed, failing to organize an effective rebound, and the bears hold absolute dominance. #加密市场回调 #BTC走势分析

November 18

Market Trends
BTC continues to decline, altcoins are broadly falling. Large institution #贝莱德基金 sold $600 million in BTC and ETH, and Solana's largest US stock treasury sold $200 million #solana .
US stocks continue to decline.

Market Highlights
1. Privacy coins Zen, Dusk, Mina, etc. are rebounding. #zen is on OK.
2. Payment #OOB is rising, which is a crypto payment for stablecoin Tether investment #Oobit , with a market value of $400 million.