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凛冬散尽

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In-depth analysis: Why is it said that cryptocurrency is the market where ordinary people can make money? In the A-shares, US stocks, and cryptocurrency trading markets, what is our only equal footing with institutions? Only technical analysis, and only cryptocurrency can maximize the potential of technical analysis. First, the A-shares are heavily influenced by policy, and sudden news can instantly break all technical patterns. Although there are T+1 and limit-up/down restrictions, which seem to 'protect', in fact, they limit returns and amplify passivity. There are many retail investors, and emotions run high, but the trading time is short (only 4 hours a day), making it difficult for office workers to monitor the market, and technical analysis often becomes 'post-explanation', difficult to use for precise timing. US stocks have a mature system and stable long-term trends, suitable for dollar-cost averaging. However, the main players are quantitative funds and institutions, and the technical signals of ordinary people are often 'harvested'. Moreover, trading is concentrated in Eastern US time, requiring domestic investors to stay up late; coupled with exchange costs, complex taxes, and other issues, the threshold is relatively high. Technical analysis here is mainly used to validate trends or set stop-losses, rather than as a primary tool. Cryptocurrency: 24-hour pure speculation, technical analysis as a weapon The cryptocurrency market trades 7×24 hours, with no limit on price fluctuations, global participation, and transparent rules. It does not look at financial reports or listen to policies; prices are directly driven by capital and emotions—this is exactly the most effective soil for technical analysis. Support/resistance, volume-price divergence, RSI overbought/oversold signals react extremely sensitively, combined with high volatility, allowing short-term experts to quickly capture multiple market movements. More importantly, the cryptocurrency ecosystem in 2025 is no longer just about 'speculating on coins': airdrops, staking, new project investments, DeFi mining, and other methods allow ordinary people, even without engaging in high-risk trades, to achieve returns far exceeding traditional financial management through knowledge and participation. 📉 3. The 'value' of technical analysis (TA) is the highest Why does TA easily fail in A-shares/US stocks? A-shares: The characteristics of a policy-driven market are obvious. A sudden regulatory document or industrial policy can instantly render all technical patterns (such as head and shoulders, double bottoms) ineffective, leaving retail investors unprepared. US stocks: Although the system is mature, it is severely dominated by institutions (quantitative trading, high-frequency trading). The technical analysis of ordinary people often only serves to 'carry the sedan chair' for institutions, easily being manipulated by large orders from main funds. $BTC $ETH
In-depth analysis: Why is it said that cryptocurrency is the market where ordinary people can make money?

In the A-shares, US stocks, and cryptocurrency trading markets, what is our only equal footing with institutions? Only technical analysis, and only cryptocurrency can maximize the potential of technical analysis.

First, the A-shares are heavily influenced by policy, and sudden news can instantly break all technical patterns. Although there are T+1 and limit-up/down restrictions, which seem to 'protect', in fact, they limit returns and amplify passivity. There are many retail investors, and emotions run high, but the trading time is short (only 4 hours a day), making it difficult for office workers to monitor the market, and technical analysis often becomes 'post-explanation', difficult to use for precise timing.

US stocks have a mature system and stable long-term trends, suitable for dollar-cost averaging. However, the main players are quantitative funds and institutions, and the technical signals of ordinary people are often 'harvested'. Moreover, trading is concentrated in Eastern US time, requiring domestic investors to stay up late; coupled with exchange costs, complex taxes, and other issues, the threshold is relatively high. Technical analysis here is mainly used to validate trends or set stop-losses, rather than as a primary tool.

Cryptocurrency: 24-hour pure speculation, technical analysis as a weapon
The cryptocurrency market trades 7×24 hours, with no limit on price fluctuations, global participation, and transparent rules. It does not look at financial reports or listen to policies; prices are directly driven by capital and emotions—this is exactly the most effective soil for technical analysis. Support/resistance, volume-price divergence, RSI overbought/oversold signals react extremely sensitively, combined with high volatility, allowing short-term experts to quickly capture multiple market movements.

More importantly, the cryptocurrency ecosystem in 2025 is no longer just about 'speculating on coins': airdrops, staking, new project investments, DeFi mining, and other methods allow ordinary people, even without engaging in high-risk trades, to achieve returns far exceeding traditional financial management through knowledge and participation.

📉 3. The 'value' of technical analysis (TA) is the highest
Why does TA easily fail in A-shares/US stocks? A-shares: The characteristics of a policy-driven market are obvious. A sudden regulatory document or industrial policy can instantly render all technical patterns (such as head and shoulders, double bottoms) ineffective, leaving retail investors unprepared.
US stocks: Although the system is mature, it is severely dominated by institutions (quantitative trading, high-frequency trading). The technical analysis of ordinary people often only serves to 'carry the sedan chair' for institutions, easily being manipulated by large orders from main funds.

$BTC $ETH
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#SUİ Open the past lines of SUI, looking back at the surge in May, SUI was indeed in a glorious position, once seen as the hope of high-performance public chains. However, the subsequent pullback repeatedly tested the $3.1 price level, leading countless people to mistakenly believe that SUI was gradually bottoming out, with strong coin rhetoric prevalent in the community. But the crypto world always teaches us life lessons: position determines mindset, and a crash reshapes perception. As October 11 approached, it unveiled this layer of false prosperity; when the black swan arrives, no altcoin can stand apart. Former beliefs now seem like mere retracements in a downtrend; in the crypto world, one day is like a year in A-shares. In the face of systemic risk, all technical analysis is a joke; only by respecting the market can one survive.
#SUİ Open the past lines of SUI, looking back at the surge in May, SUI was indeed in a glorious position, once seen as the hope of high-performance public chains. However, the subsequent pullback repeatedly tested the $3.1 price level, leading countless people to mistakenly believe that SUI was gradually bottoming out, with strong coin rhetoric prevalent in the community.

But the crypto world always teaches us life lessons: position determines mindset, and a crash reshapes perception.

As October 11 approached, it unveiled this layer of false prosperity; when the black swan arrives, no altcoin can stand apart.

Former beliefs now seem like mere retracements in a downtrend; in the crypto world, one day is like a year in A-shares. In the face of systemic risk, all technical analysis is a joke; only by respecting the market can one survive.
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$BTC 这样就能盈利是不是
$BTC 这样就能盈利是不是
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Bullish
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Add a profit and loss ratio, the Ethereum position is not so smooth now.
Add a profit and loss ratio, the Ethereum position is not so smooth now.
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The trend of Sol and the dogs is really standard. Those who trade in waves must be having a blast these days $SOL $DOGE
The trend of Sol and the dogs is really standard. Those who trade in waves must be having a blast these days $SOL $DOGE
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Bullish
Translate
想知道这时候做空的怎么想的$ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
想知道这时候做空的怎么想的$ETH
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Bullish
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Long text analysis of Ethereum's advantages in going long Ethereum has surged strongly today, breaking through the resistance level of 3220 with a high of 3394 USD, leading mainstream coins. 📊 Criteria for going long The recent rebound is accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, and the ETF has seen net inflows for two consecutive days (totaling over 470 million USD), indicating a recovery in institutional demand. On-chain Gas fees remain low, retail trading is sluggish, and the major players have sufficiently washed out. 💡 Strategy suggestions If the price retraces and does not break the support zone of 3220-3100 USD, it may form a buying point, with 3220 as the first entry point, then adding positions at 3150, with a stop loss at 3050. Although this appears to have a stop loss of 170 points, due to the significant volume breakthrough, the accuracy is higher and worth the risk. Additionally, the major resistance above is at 3650, with a high profit-loss ratio of 400 points (Ethereum's pin risk should not be ignored, so if going long at this time, position size should be reduced and stop loss should be widened). 🤓 Do you think ETH will stabilize at 3200 USD this week or will it pull back to test support? Share your views in the comments! Follow me for daily updates on mainstream coin markets, reject anti-trading, and avoid chasing highs and cutting losses. #ETH分析
Long text analysis of Ethereum's advantages in going long

Ethereum has surged strongly today, breaking through the resistance level of 3220 with a high of 3394 USD, leading mainstream coins.

📊 Criteria for going long
The recent rebound is accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, and the ETF has seen net inflows for two consecutive days (totaling over 470 million USD), indicating a recovery in institutional demand. On-chain Gas fees remain low, retail trading is sluggish, and the major players have sufficiently washed out.

💡 Strategy suggestions
If the price retraces and does not break the support zone of 3220-3100 USD, it may form a buying point, with 3220 as the first entry point, then adding positions at 3150, with a stop loss at 3050. Although this appears to have a stop loss of 170 points, due to the significant volume breakthrough, the accuracy is higher and worth the risk. Additionally, the major resistance above is at 3650, with a high profit-loss ratio of 400 points (Ethereum's pin risk should not be ignored, so if going long at this time, position size should be reduced and stop loss should be widened).

🤓 Do you think ETH will stabilize at 3200 USD this week or will it pull back to test support? Share your views in the comments!

Follow me for daily updates on mainstream coin markets, reject anti-trading, and avoid chasing highs and cutting losses.

#ETH分析
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Bullish
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BTC broke through 94,000 and fell back to 92,000, a key battleground has emerged! With a surge breaking through 94,000, the pullback is also on low volume. Additionally, in Dow Theory, the highs and lows are continuously rising, indicating the start of a market movement. It is now very clear that we are at this position. Is it time to go long now? In fact, if we look back over the past month, the price has reached a key resistance level where the trendline resistance intersects with the 4-hour resistance. The risk-reward ratio for going long is not very good at this moment, but those holding spot can add positions here. BTC is actually not in a hurry to go long, as there is another player that just broke through, and I will talk about Ethereum shortly. #加密市场反弹
BTC broke through 94,000 and fell back to 92,000, a key battleground has emerged!
With a surge breaking through 94,000, the pullback is also on low volume. Additionally, in Dow Theory, the highs and lows are continuously rising, indicating the start of a market movement. It is now very clear that we are at this position. Is it time to go long now? In fact, if we look back over the past month, the price has reached a key resistance level where the trendline resistance intersects with the 4-hour resistance. The risk-reward ratio for going long is not very good at this moment, but those holding spot can add positions here.

BTC is actually not in a hurry to go long, as there is another player that just broke through, and I will talk about Ethereum shortly. #加密市场反弹
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Bullish
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Bottom fishing $BTC $ETH
Bottom fishing $BTC $ETH
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Bearish
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Supply has appeared, it's time to take profits in batches for long positions, and the short position has been established $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Supply has appeared, it's time to take profits in batches for long positions, and the short position has been established $BTC
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Bearish
See original
The support level has fallen again, short it Yesterday at 11 o'clock I posted a one-hour resistance and a four-hour moving average resistance on the left side to short, now it is a right-side short position, break through to increase the position $BTC $ETH
The support level has fallen again, short it
Yesterday at 11 o'clock I posted a one-hour resistance and a four-hour moving average resistance on the left side to short, now it is a right-side short position, break through to increase the position
$BTC $ETH
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凛冬散尽
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Bearish
Left side short position, looking slightly bearish, see the chart
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Bearish
See original
Left side short position, looking slightly bearish, see the chart
Left side short position, looking slightly bearish, see the chart
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Bearish
See original
After several failures of support, the rise is weak, and buying interest is decreasing. How much do you think this Bitcoin will correct this time, or is it directly entering a bear market? In my personal opinion, it might touch 98000, just like that wave of bear market that dropped to 77000 at the beginning of the year, and then continued to rise #BTC
After several failures of support, the rise is weak, and buying interest is decreasing. How much do you think this Bitcoin will correct this time, or is it directly entering a bear market? In my personal opinion, it might touch 98000, just like that wave of bear market that dropped to 77000 at the beginning of the year, and then continued to rise #BTC
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Bullish
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Now let's analyze that Dogecoin is really moving according to standard Many technical theories can be effective on it In the future, we really need to frequently trade Dogecoin, often look at Dogecoin $DOGE Personal opinion, both 0.225 and 0.205 can be long positions Take a medium to long-term position?
Now let's analyze that Dogecoin is really moving according to standard
Many technical theories can be effective on it
In the future, we really need to frequently trade Dogecoin, often look at Dogecoin $DOGE
Personal opinion, both 0.225 and 0.205 can be long positions
Take a medium to long-term position?
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Bullish
See original
Have been waiting for this opportunity, large pie 113800, 112000, buy more, go all in! Now at 115300, very likely to continue, but in a bull market, do not short, just wait to catch a wave at the big bottom #BTC
Have been waiting for this opportunity, large pie 113800, 112000, buy more, go all in!
Now at 115300, very likely to continue, but in a bull market, do not short, just wait to catch a wave at the big bottom #BTC
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Who can tell me how to overcome the fear in my heart? Often I can correctly judge the right trades, but I just don't dare to enter the market, always thinking about controlling the risk-reward ratio, and then setting the entry point very low, ultimately missing out. This has happened several times already. The mindset in trading is really important. I lost a big trade before, and since then I haven't dared to trade with a large position, always worried about gains and losses, hesitant and cautious. #BTC
Who can tell me how to overcome the fear in my heart?

Often I can correctly judge the right trades, but I just don't dare to enter the market, always thinking about controlling the risk-reward ratio, and then setting the entry point very low, ultimately missing out. This has happened several times already.

The mindset in trading is really important. I lost a big trade before, and since then I haven't dared to trade with a large position, always worried about gains and losses, hesitant and cautious. #BTC
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Bearish
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Inside the counterfeit market, several coins feel like they have peaked, just waiting to see if the next pullback to the support level can rebound to a new high. I found one that I am paying attention to: avax, this coin's trend is quite strange, exhausting wld, but wld might have a better strategy for the main force to offload. I don't dare to short wld in the long run, but for avax, breaking through the major resistance at 26.8 won't be so easy, so if I were to trade, shorting at 26.3 would be about right, with a stop loss at 27#AVAX . I really don't want to short in a bullish market, but I just feel that this pressure can push it down one more time.
Inside the counterfeit market, several coins feel like they have peaked, just waiting to see if the next pullback to the support level can rebound to a new high.
I found one that I am paying attention to:
avax, this coin's trend is quite strange, exhausting wld, but wld might have a better strategy for the main force to offload. I don't dare to short wld in the long run, but for avax, breaking through the major resistance at 26.8 won't be so easy, so if I were to trade, shorting at 26.3 would be about right, with a stop loss at 27#AVAX .
I really don't want to short in a bullish market, but I just feel that this pressure can push it down one more time.
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Is there anyone to discuss whether the bull market is still on? Will Bitcoin break new highs? Let me share my opinion, Bitcoin will break new highs within a week, Ethereum is likely to break 4000#BTC .
Is there anyone to discuss whether the bull market is still on? Will Bitcoin break new highs?
Let me share my opinion, Bitcoin will break new highs within a week, Ethereum is likely to break 4000#BTC .
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Bullish
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I was optimistic about Dogecoin breaking through in the morning, and sure enough, hahahahaha #DOGE
I was optimistic about Dogecoin breaking through in the morning, and sure enough, hahahahaha #DOGE
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