🚨 Why is the market "red"? All eyes on December 19! 🇯🇵 🤔
We are currently hostages of macroeconomics, and here’s what is really happening behind the scenes:
🔍 The main culprit: All eyes on Japan. On December 18-19, the Bank of Japan will hold a meeting. The market is pricing in >90% probability of a rate hike.
🤔Why is this important?
It disrupts the Carry Trade (cheap yen loans used to purchase $BTC ). Investors are liquidating assets to pay off debts.
📉 Adding fuel to the fire:
✅Fear of actions by the US Federal Reserve. ✅Institutional investors are locking in profits and going to cash before the Christmas holidays.
🗓 What to expect?
Until December 19 (Thursday), the market will be nervous. Major players will not buy the dip until they hear Japan's decision. "Uncertainty is a trader's enemy". And now 👇
💎 Entering the critical zone: $BTC /USDT 📉 Hello! 👋 As expected, Bitcoin has entered a zone of serious pressure.
Today I see a clear picture $BTC , and here are my key conclusions: ✅ RSI on the 4-hour chart shows critical values, heading towards 10.68. From here, there could be a strong technical rebound.
✅Testing $88,000: this level is key. If we don't hold it for the next 4 hours, the next major psychological and technical support is $80,600 (according to the 3-day timeframe).
🤔 I am not opening shorts $BTC during the day. Right now, I am waiting for a correction upwards, possibly to $89,500 – $90,000, to look for confirmation to enter a safer short sale.
Now is a time of high volatility. Don't forget about stop-losses! Preserving capital is our priority. What do you think? Will we hold $88k, or will we fly to test $80k? 👇
🤔$FIS shows growth before delisting on December 17. Increased risk! Big players are taking profits, small ones are buying, but that's each person's choice 💰💰💰 Be careful and cautious 👇
🤔Gaming projects are beginning to recover after a general decline. $SAND and $MANA announced the launch of major updates to the metaverse in early 2026, which triggered a rebound. $GALA is preparing to announce a new AAA game, heating up interest.👇
🌉 Polygon Bridge for RWA: Money is going to crypto! 🤔 $MATIC announced a new partnership with a traditional financial giant for the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). Experts expect this to increase demand for $LINK as the main oracle for RWA pools.👇
💎 🤔Staking Wars: which L1 provides the best APY? $ATOM increases fees for stakers to maintain attractiveness, while $AVAX continues to attract institutional capital through new staking pools.
Meanwhile, $ADA is ramping up transaction volumes, signaling increased dApp activity.
🚨 🤔Macro Red Alert: The Bank of Japan is pressuring crypto! The market is holding its breath in anticipation of the BoJ meeting on December 18-19. A tight policy may pull liquidity from risky assets. $BTC is once again testing support at $89k, while $ETH and altcoins like $LTC are following suit. Be prepared for volatility!👇
🚀 $MOVE returns to the game: L1 launched, and the #defi -alliance is already buying back tokens!
After the drama with unlocks, Movement ($MOVE ) shows strength thanks to the launch of Move Alliance and successful migration to an independent Layer 1 — it seems the fundamentals have finally defeated FUD. 💎📈👇
📉 The market is "turning red": Why is crypto falling today? Bitcoin tests $89k, $ZEC retracts from highs, while most altcoins are in the negative. Only $TRX holds the defense 🟢.
What's happening? 👇
1️⃣ Japan Factor 🇯🇵: the market is nervous ahead of the Bank of Japan meeting (December 18-19). The fear of interest rate hikes is forcing large capital to go into cash.
2️⃣ Nasdaq Echo 📉: the sell-off in the AI and tech stocks sector in the U.S. has dragged crypto down as well. The correlation is working against us.
3️⃣ Profit Taking 💸: after the wild rise of ZEC (to $450+) and attempts $BTC to consolidate above $90k, traders are simply taking profits.
💡 Is this a healthy correction before a new surge, or is it time to wait it out in stablecoins?
🤔$BAS grew by 55% due to the reward distribution on December 13 and infrastructure updates: are the whales ready to push the price further, or was this just the perfect moment to sell in optimistic euphoria?👇
🤔Have you seen this? $SUI tried to sink again! Quick drop to 1.53 and instant buyback. This is not panic, it's the aggression of whales accumulating positions while you wait for "$SUI to drop again".
What's happening? ✅The "New L1" factor: The fundamentals of SUI are strong (DeFi, speed). Its price should reflect the ambitions of the "Solana killer". ✅All the struggle is happening around the $1.60 mark. This is an "iron" wall that sellers are desperately defending.
Buyers showed strength by buying the drop to 1.53. If SUI can stabilize above 1.6045 (local peak on the 15M timeframe), an explosion awaits! The next target is $1.68 and above.
I'm entering with a limit at 1.58 because I don't believe that whales will allow SUI to drop again. And you? Will you watch SUI fly to the moon without you, or will you take the risk? Show your position! 👇
🚫 $JUV /USDT: "Sold!"... But No. Tether blew up the market to dump?
🤔Tether entered Juventus to put on a show! A billion-dollar offer to buy the club, then FOMO pump +30% ...and a sharp refusal from the owners. Classic!
Who jumped on the news of the acquisition is now drying their deposit at $0.80.
✅Critical level: 0.80 – this is the last line of defense.
✅The price is sitting on strong EMA(99) support. If this support weakens due to lack of further fundamentals, it’s a direct path to $0.75 - $0.72.
🐋All this hype may turn out to be just a perfect opportunity for whales to offload their tokens.
I bet on the continuation of the correction. And you? Do you believe in a Christmas miracle from Tether or are you preparing a short at $0.79?👇
❌ $LUNA : "Verdict" of volatility! $0.15 or New Peak?
🤔The speculative frenzy around the verdict on Do Kwon is over! 15 years — a fact that market makers used to lock in profits, dropping the price $LUNA after the pump to $0.2155. 📉
What’s next? Checklist for Trader: ✅Risk Zone: the price has returned to the level of 0.1774 and is under pressure. Important: EMA(99) 0.1827 — this is the new "roof" for LUNA.
✅Support: The next critical zone for testing — 0.1690 (previous local minimum).
🤔If the price cannot quickly return above 0.18, we will see a rapid drop to $0.15 - $0.16. Any rise above 0.19 without fundamental support — an ideal trap for shorts!
$ARB holds above $0.21 — and it's not a coincidence. On the 1H / 4H EMA converged, RSI in the power zone, volume is entering — it all looks like preparation for movement $ARB , not a bounce for a dump.
The fundamentals are also fueling the fire: Arbitrum DAO is launching new activity incentives, the fund finances the security and development of the ecosystem, and DeFi and gaming sectors are receiving capital again.
While most are looking at the "cheap ARB", I see accumulation before the movement. It holds $0.21, then tests $0.23–0.25. Lost the level — the idea breaks👇
🤔 The price $ZEC shows a strong rebound, provoked by the dynamic market supply of commissions, with a growth of over 30% in the last week.
Despite the extreme oversold condition (RSI 16.96 on the 4-hour chart), the momentum is supported by a positive MACD on the daily chart and increased institutional interest (application for Grayscale ETF).
🤔Despite the sales pressure, $PEPE recorded a noticeable "blue candle" of net positive cash flow over the last day, indicating active accumulation at the current level.
Holding support at $0.00000440 (EMA), the coin is poised for a potential rebound, but caution is necessary regarding large inflows to avoid sharp volatility👇