陈锋论市

12.17 Evening Thoughts on Pancakes

On the daily level, the price continues to be under pressure below the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, with the death cross of the moving averages suppressing rebounds, and the Bollinger Bands opening downwards, indicating a significant bearish trend.

On the four-hour cycle, the upward trend line has been broken and not recovered, with MACD showing a death cross and RSI hovering weakly below 40. After three consecutive bearish candles, the rebound is merely an opportunity for short positions to increase, and the middle track of the Bollinger Bands is unlikely to change the short-term bearish pattern.

BTC suggestions are around 87500 and 88000, with a downward target of 86000, and if broken, look for continuation towards around 85000 and 84000.

$BTC #美国非农数据超预期
$ETH #BinanceABCs
$BNB #巨鲸动向

12.16 Ethereum Thoughts

This week's market is a bear hunt, with collective news cooperation driving prices down. Historically, after the start of Japan's interest rate hike cycle, BTC and ETH inevitably face a collapse, a pattern that has never failed and is unlikely to be an exception this time.

The evening data release combined with the weakness of the U.S. stock market will become the fuse for the collapse of BTC and ETH. The cryptocurrency market has always followed the U.S. stock market, and there is no possibility of an independent trend. This week, there is no need to get caught up in short-term fluctuations; just wait for the waterfall-style decline to begin.

Ethereum recommends 2950, 3000 range, target 2800, 2600.

$ETH #巨鲸动向
$BTC #美联储降息
$SOL #加密市场观察

12.16 Bitcoin Strategy

The four-hour K-line of Bitcoin has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel continues to expand. This pattern indicates that the price has deviated from the regular oscillation range and entered an extreme downtrend, with bearish momentum being strongly released. The break of the lower Bollinger Band usually represents an accelerated downward trend in the short term, and the channel expansion further confirms the continuation of bearish strength, making it difficult for the price to see an effective rebound in the short term.

Bitcoin suggests around 86000, 86500 as the target, with goals of 84000, 83000.

$BTC #巨鲸动向
$ETH #美联储降息
$BNB #美SEC推动加密创新监管

12.15 Bitcoin Strategy

From the 1-hour candlestick chart, BTC peaked at 92660 on December 13 but failed to maintain this high and entered a consolidation phase. On December 15, it directly broke below the key support level of 90000, reaching a low of 87577, effectively breaking down from the previous consolidation range. Although there has been a slight rebound, the strength of the rebound is weak, only returning to around 89644, which is a weak pullback after the breakdown; a bearish structure has initially formed on the technical front.

It is recommended to sell around 91000, with targets at 88000 and 87000.

$BTC #美联储降息
$ETH #加密市场反弹
$SOL #美联储FOMC会议

12.12 SOL Evening Thoughts

From the 4-hour cycle perspective, the price bottom structure shows a clear trend of rising lows, which is a typical characteristic of a consolidation upward or the initial stage of a V-shaped reversal. The Bollinger Bands indicate that the middle band is starting to turn upwards, and the upper and lower bands show signs of expansion, which means that the current consolidation range is being broken, and new trend momentum is building up.

Sol suggests near 135 and 130, targeting 140, and if it breaks and stabilizes, continue to look for 145.

$SOL #美联储降息
$BTC #加密市场反弹
$BNB #美联储FOMC会议

12.12 Pancake Thinking

1-hour Bollinger bands show an expanding pattern opening upwards, with the middle band at 91098 becoming the core support line for this round of rebound. The current price has consistently remained above the middle band, which is a key signal for a bullish medium-term trend— the middle band of the Bollinger bands serves as a watershed for the bullish and bearish trends; a price consistently running above it indicates the bulls are dominating the short-term trend.

From the price movement perspective, BTC has quickly surged from the intraday low of 89260, forming a standard V-shaped rebound, with a clear pattern of consecutively higher lows and steadily rising highs. This movement not only corrected the previous rapid decline but also constructed a step-like upward technical pattern. The pullback after rising to 93555 is not a signal of a bear counterattack, but rather a technical consolidation by the bulls before breaking through key resistance levels, which has not disrupted the overall upward momentum but instead accumulated energy for the subsequent attacks.

Pancake suggests near 91500, 91000, target 94000

$BTC #美联储降息
$ETH #加密市场反弹
$BNB #美联储FOMC会议

12.11 Ethereum Evening Thoughts

From the recent technical trends, Ethereum has formed a cliff-like decline after a surge, along with a low-level oscillation pattern. The hourly candlestick has failed to reclaim the previous decline range, which is a typical sign of a weak rebound. The key resistance level of 3186-3200 has transformed into strong suppression, with multiple rebounds facing obstacles and failing to break through. Meanwhile, the critical support levels at 3100 and 3000 are facing severe tests; a breach below these levels will open up further downward space. Additionally, the previously market-focused bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern has been destroyed, and the short-term technical structure is entirely leaning towards bearish.

Ethereum suggests a range near 3210 and 3250, with a target of 3100. If broken, it can continue to look down towards the 3000 mark.

$ETH #美联储降息
$BTC #加密市场反弹
$SOL #美联储FOMC会议

12.11 Bitcoin Afternoon Thoughts

The 1-hour K-line shows that BTC surged to around 94476 before a deep pullback, breaking below the previous consolidation platform and dipping to a low of 89389, with the price continuously running below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, in the vicinity of the lower band. The Bollinger Bands are showing a downward opening trend, indicating that a short-term bearish trend has formed, and the rebound between the middle and lower bands is a weak counter-trend that has not broken through the key position of bearish pressure.

Bitcoin suggests consolidating around 91000, 91500, targeting 89000, 88000.

$BTC #美联储降息
$ETH #加密市场反弹
$BNB #美联储FOMC会议

Staying up late is harmful, but seeing my friends able to enjoy this wave of easy gains is truly worth it.

The pancake trend is 92750, 90549 exit, taking 2201 points in between, and oil at 17615.

Opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared. If you can't see clearly and don't take the initiative, then you'll just have to watch my friends feast on the rewards.

$BTC #美联储降息
$ETH #加密市场反弹
$SOL #美联储FOMC会议

Doku博弈, back and forth oscillation. Hesitation will only lead to defeat, Feng Ge accurately grasps the rebound opportunity, in just a few minutes, Wan U Luo Dai.

Big Cake 92059 in, 92915 out, eat another 856 points of space, Luo Dai 10273 oil.

If航晴 gives such opportunities, and you still can't see the direction or grasp the opportunities, and want to eat the subsequent wave segments, Feng Ge's chat room is waiting for you.

$BTC #加密市场反弹
$ETH #美联储FOMC会议
$SOL #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Interest rate cuts are still hesitant and observing? Decisively look at the wave rise, accurately grasp.

Big cake 91891 orange dot, 93007 out, take down 1116 points in the range, Lodi 8892 oil.

$BTC #加密市场反弹
$ETH #美联储FOMC会议
$SOL #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Everyone understands the old rule that bad news being fully priced in is good news, but the market has been stagnant for a long time. Last night's emotional release was merely the release of pent-up feelings. Don't mistake this for a signal of a bull market recovery!!!

The resistance at the 97000-100000 level for Bitcoin and the pressure around the 37-38 range for Ethereum has never been just for show. Your opponents are clearer than anyone else. With the transition to bearish conditions, no one will be foolish enough to push the price up to help you break even and then let you sell off. Therefore, the core logic of the major trend remains bearish; the key is when to take action.

The interest rate cut on the 11th is approaching, and the big volatility you have been looking forward to is already in the pipeline. Don't let emotions mislead you, and don't be superstitious about so-called good news reversals. Follow the clear market logic, and you won't miss the rhythm amid the fluctuations. No more talking, if you want to follow Brother Feng to capitalize on this wave of fluctuations, come and take a look.

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH #加密市场反弹
$SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金

From the 1-hour BOLL indicator perspective, the BTC price quickly rebounded after previously dipping to around the lower Bollinger Band at 89801.2, forming a strong reversal pattern known as a golden needle bottom. Subsequently, it broke through the middle band and stabilized, with the current price remaining above the middle band and ample upward space to the upper band.

The characteristics of the Bollinger Band further corroborate the bullish trend. After rebounding from the lower band, the Bollinger Band shows an expanding trend, indicating that while short-term volatility is increasing, upward momentum is gathering. The price's stability above the middle band, which serves as a dividing line between bulls and bears, also signifies that the short-term trend has shifted from weak oscillation to a relatively strong upward movement. Additionally, the price's intraday pullback has not shown significant decline, further validating that the 92000 level has transformed from a resistance level to a support level.

The recommendation for BTC is around 92000, 91500, targeting 95000.

$BTC #加密市场反弹
$ETH #美联储FOMC会议
$SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金

ZEC is approaching the resistance level of 440–445, with the previous rebound stalling here. Momentum indicators show signs of weakening—RSI reversal and MACD losing strength—suggesting that sellers may intervene.

ZEC recommends shorting near 441 and 445, with targets of 420 and 400

$ZEC #美联储FOMC会议
$BTC #加密市场反弹
$ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金

Follow the trend, with upward pressure, accurately grasp the opportunity for a pullback, directly flip the situation.

The big pie 94114 returns to the orange, 92035 exits, seizing 2079 points in the situation, Luodai 16631 oil.

The navigation is ever-changing, are you being chased by rising and falling prices? In your confusion, take that step, and Brother Feng will be your guiding light.

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH #加密市场反弹
$SOL #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Large pancake 94381 reverse cloth orange pullback on the basket, 93699 exit, take down 700 points in the basket, Luodai 3500 oil.

In the evening, this wave of rise should have quite a few brothers trapped around 91300, right? Being trapped in the crypto circle is the norm, maintaining the right mindset is the most important. If you have nothing to do, brothers who are trapped can bring their positions to chat.

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金
$SOL #加密市场观察

Bitcoin is surging strongly, decisively pursuing more, and taking another city.

Bitcoin 91011 pursuing more, 93155 selling out, taking down 2140 points in the range, and 12762 oil in Luodai.

This wave must have caused quite a few friends to rush to the top and get stuck, right? Come to Feng Ge's chat room, and we'll help you solve your troubles.

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金
$SOL #ETH走势分析

Recognize the situation, act accordingly, quick in and out for short-term gains, perfect two consecutive victories.

Big pancake 90731 long, 91802 exit, secured 1071 points in the space, Loda 12848 oil.

The market sentiment is hot, and for the brothers who still can't see the situation clearly, come to Brother Feng here, follow along and enjoy the benefits.

$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金
$ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管
$SOL #加密市场观察

Hanging up the slow walk tests one's temperament. Accurately seize the rebound opportunity and take it decisively.

In the evening, the orange pancake rebounds with multiple baskets, enter at 90202, exit at 91099, capturing 900 points in the range, and 10772 oil in Luodai.

$ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金
$ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管
$SOL #加密市场观察

The previous low support of 87719 has been tested, and this round of rebound is merely a trap for the bulls. If the 90,000 level is lost, it is highly likely that we will look at the 89,000-88,000 range. In the short term, do not attempt to catch the bottom; in a bearish trend, the best strategy is to watch more and act less, and to enter short positions on rallies!

$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管
$ETH #美联储重启降息步伐
$SOL #ETH走势分析