浩永说币

Who would have thought that the Federal Reserve actually played an 'emergency add-on' — at 2 AM Beijing time today, they suddenly held a closed-door meeting, and made a decision in just one hour! This is a 'crisis-level operation' that hasn't been seen in 40 years, global capital has directly exploded, and the crypto market is even more on high alert overnight; tonight, no one can stay out of it!
As a veteran who has been watching the market for 8 years, I have to say that these four unusual signals hide too many mysteries:
First of all, the interest rate cut game has already escalated to a 'white-hot' level! The two factions of 50 basis points and 75 basis points have torn apart directly, with disagreements unprecedentedly large, and the market has split into two halves; this is not a usual operation; secondly, the smart money of 29.4 billion USD has long been ambushed, and larger-scale liquidity support is still brewing, their sense of smell is sharper than a dog's nose; more importantly, after two consecutive closed-door meetings, the alarms in the repurchase market have been sounded, institutions are adjusting their positions overnight, clearly sensing the taste of a 'big change'; finally, the 'one-hour decision' thing is definitely not a whim, it is clearly a signal to respond to systemic risks, and the logic behind it is worth everyone's vigilance!

Family, who understands this! Recently, a piece of news from outside the crypto circle made me stay up all night analyzing the Federal Reserve's balance sheet for 3 months, with U.S. bank reserves breaking below the $30 trillion mark for the first time! As an old analyst who has monitored liquidity data for 8 years, I can confidently say that this event will impact the crypto market more than the collapse of 10 altcoins. Newbies, don't panic and don't get overly excited; let me break it down for you!
First, let me translate the core logic into plain language: Powell's recent "Quantitative Tightening (QT)" is essentially the Federal Reserve "sucking out liquidity," pulling back all the idle money in the market. I'm telling you, this is no small matter; the amount of "liquid money" in the market has become ridiculously low, and the cost of borrowing is skyrocketing. This is a downright "headwind" for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.

FOGO token presale canceled, 2% airdrop announced: what about the mainnet?
Highlights:
The $20 million presale of FOGO tokens was canceled before the mainnet launch in January 2026.
The originally scheduled 2% tokens allocated for the presale will be airdropped to the community.
The new tokenomics model shows that 38.98% of the token supply unlocked at issuance will be allocated to the community.
What's the news?
The L1 blockchain Fogo, based on Solana, SVM, and Firedancer client, has canceled its planned $20 million token presale, which had a fully diluted valuation of $1 billion. Instead, the project will airdrop the 2% tokens originally planned for the presale to the community.

#ETH friends, be sure to pay attention — tonight's market may be the key node for account breakthroughs!

I stayed up all night reviewing the market, and several core signals are astonishingly consistent: the main funds are continuously building up strength at low levels, and the short-term probability is high that they will break the deadlock of sideways fluctuations!

Do you remember when similar signals appeared last time? Friends who followed the layout saw their accounts gain over 60% overnight; those who hesitated and watched later regretted it in the group chat.

The crypto world never lacks opportunities, but it lacks the courage to decisively seize them — a moment of hesitation may mean missing out on profits.

Turning into that small alley with peeling walls, a figure both familiar and strange caught my eye—surprisingly, it was my old neighbor, Brother Xiaohua.

As a child, he always held onto a warm soy milk from the breakfast stall at the end of the alley waiting for me, his eyes full of affection. But now, he looked sallow, his gaze wrapped in an unshakeable fatigue, as if he were a completely different person from the memories.

In casual conversation, I learned that his family had encountered misfortune: his father passed away suddenly, his mother was bedridden, and he had a young sister to take care of.

The burdens of life weighed heavily on him, making him seek a way out. Perhaps an old neighbor mentioned that I had some insights in the digital asset field, and after much hesitation, he finally mustered the courage to ask for help, wanting to enter the industry to support his family.

Entering the circle at 28, now 34, a full 7 years.

The years 2023 to 2024 are my turning point, as my account balance has for the first time surpassed eight digits, completely bidding farewell to my past days of debt.

Now when I go out, staying in a five-star hotel for two thousand a night doesn’t hesitate; I always carry items with cryptocurrency logos, and people in the same circle can recognize them at a glance.

Compared to the elders who focus on manufacturing and e-commerce, keeping an eye on the supply chain and urging payment back, my livelihood is indeed much easier.

People often ask me the secret to trading coins, and there are actually two points: mindset is king, and technology comes second.

The experience I've gained over the years, I share with friends in the circle: Bitcoin is always the barometer; it rises, and altcoins have a chance.

Once, a single tweet could triple the price of a coin, but now, even if the project team shouts loudly, the market only treats it as a spectator. The core issues are two: first, no innovation in rebranding, and second, inflated valuations.

In the past two years, 90% of new projects are just 'new wine in old bottles': changing to a fashionable name, thickening the white paper, and riding the AI or new public chain hot topic.

The essence is still an empty shell with no practical use. Without real value support, naturally, no one is willing to invest real money.

More importantly, it is the valuation bubble. The primary market inflates the bubble first, listing with a market value of several billion, and retail investors end up taking the loss, becoming 'high-position buyers.'

My friend turned a capital of 10,000 into 5,000,000 U with a set of methods, relying not on luck, but on discipline and iterative review. Below is the practical strategy to share, suitable for players at all stages.

1. Capital management is the cornerstone of success.

Don't put all your eggs in one basket; divide your capital into 5 parts, using only 1 part each time, and limiting each trade loss to no more than 10%, with total capital control within 2%.

In this way, even if you make five mistakes in a row, you only lose 10%. Catching one big market trend can cover your losses; stability is the starting point for compound interest.

2. Going with the trend is key.

When the market is falling, don't rush to buy the dip; it might be a trap. When the market starts to rise, don't rush to sell; it could be a golden opportunity. Patience is a trader's weapon in trend trading.

Is it really just luck to go from 9000u to a million u? I have a friend who, when he first entered the market, was eager for profits and soon lost everything except for 9000u, and he even considered giving up.

Later, I taught him the practical logic of how I grew my 20,000u to eight figures, reaching 800,000u in three months, and now it stabilizes at a million level, never blowing up my account throughout.

First of all, splitting positions is the foundation of survival. I had him break down 9000u into three parts:

3000u day trading, only one trade per day, withdraw upon reaching the target; 3000u swing trading, check every ten days to half a month, focus on major trends;

The remaining bottom position will not be affected by market fluctuations, preserving the principal. Many people enter the market fully, and when it drops, they blow up their accounts, missing out on profit opportunities; surviving is the prerequisite.

First, securing profits is the real profit. Don't always fixate on competing with the 'highest point'; if it rises by 10% after buying, you should be on edge—

Once the price falls back to the cost line, don't hesitate, sell immediately. If it rises by 20%, stay clear-headed, first cash out half of the profit, even if it continues to rise, don't feel envious.

If luck is on your side and it rises by 30%, at least hold onto more than half of the profit tightly. There's no need to guess the peak; maintaining discipline to let profits grow naturally is ten times more reliable than betting on feelings.

Second, losses must be cut decisively. This principle has saved me from three crises of liquidation. If the drop reaches 15% after buying, no matter how optimistic you are about this asset, stop loss and exit immediately.

Even as unrealized losses continue to mount, liquidity remains scarce across the industry, and wallets bullish on Bitcoin continue to buy this digital asset.
CryptoQuant analyst DarkFrost wrote in a report on Thursday that large Bitcoin holders (known as accumulation wallets) purchased 75,000 Bitcoins between December 1 and December 10, including 40,000 Bitcoins purchased in a single day. Tweet.
Strict on-chain standards define a wallet as: no sale history, reaching a high purchasing threshold, showing multiple inflows of funds, and not being associated with exchanges, miners, or smart contracts.

Newcomers to the contract circle often harbor the dream of becoming rich, believing that the next trade will be the turning point for a reversal. However, the reality is often that before they even grasp the patterns of K lines, their capital is depleted, and they leave in shame — this isn’t just my fabrication; I have seen too many people stumble, including myself in the past.
Two years ago, I had only 1.5W in liquid funds left in my account. During that time, I was impulsive, always thinking about taking shortcuts with high leverage. One night, I made a reckless decision and entered the market with 40 times leverage. Watching the market surge dramatically, my fingers tingled, and my heart raced, drowning out the sound of the screen. In that moment of overwhelming gains, I genuinely believed I could change my situation with this one move.

Do you think making money in the cryptocurrency world relies on luck? That trader who made 20 million in 8 years has already slapped the answer in your face — the core of survival is never skill, but engraining discipline into your bones! However, after reading his trading logic, I must remind all fans: if you don't avoid these pitfalls, no matter how good the strategy, it won't save you; the market trends in the next 3 months are even more fraught with danger!
First, burst the three deadliest traps in the cryptocurrency world, don't keep using your principal as tuition! First, believing in the 'myth of the top gainers' without doing DYOR (Do Your Own Research). It's not wrong for traders to focus on popular assets, but recent data shows that 60% of the top 20 coins on the gainers list are short-term speculative plays without fundamental support! Last year, 95% of retail investors who followed the trend to buy 'internet celebrity coins' saw their principal halved after buying at high prices. Remember: popularity ≠ quality; at least read the project whitepaper and check the on-chain capital flow before acting. Second, treating a golden cross as a 'guaranteed win' and blindly entering the market. The monthly MACD strategy of traders is classic, but history does not simply repeat itself — reviewing the BTC golden cross markets of 2021 and 2024, both saw a 10% drop to wash out before skyrocketing! Currently, BTC is playing in the range of 105,000 - 110,000 USD; even if a golden cross occurs, it is likely a trap set by the main players, going all in will only lead to precise liquidation. Third, stubbornly holding on after breaking key levels + addiction to leverage. This is the most absurd reason for losses I have ever seen: some still cling to the fantasy of 'rebounding to recover' even after breaking the 70-day moving average, while others use 10x leverage to chase highs, only to be liquidated by a regulatory news flash. Recently, seven associations jointly named the risks of stablecoins, with 13 departments strictly investigating illegal speculative activities; in this market, using leverage over 3 times is gambling with your life!

When fans sent screenshots of $274,000 in debt, I was not surprised at all — this is not an isolated case, but the common fate of 89% of retail investors. Jinshi Quick News points out the core: losses are never due to too little capital, but because you jumped into the double traps of human nature and the market. Today, I will use my 10 years of trading experience to tell you: which pitfalls must be stopped immediately, how to grasp the upcoming market, and where the real turnaround opportunities lie!
First, these three pitfalls are devouring your capital, and it's still time to stop losses now! The first pit: the gambler's mentality of going all-in. BOSS Wallet data shows that the maximum drawdown for all-in strategies can reach -54%, which is even more deadly than high-frequency trading losses. Remember: there are no 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunities' in the crypto world, only 'traps that lead you to zero.' Now cut your position to within 20% and save enough bullets to wait for definite signals —— Surviving is the only way to talk about a turnaround. The second pit: the obsession with stubbornly resisting against the trend. Currently, BTC is oscillating between $87,500 and $92,000, while ETH is around $3,000. How many people are still stubbornly holding on after breaking support levels? Data shows that the probability of recovering assets with losses exceeding 50% is less than 10%, and time cost is the biggest loss. My iron rule: stop losses immediately when breaking key support, try small positions in oscillating markets, and rest in empty positions without trends. The third pit: blindly following the crowd without strategy. FOMO sentiment is the number one killer for retail investors. After a peak in the popularity of hot tokens, the probability of loss within 30 days reaches 80%. Even more dangerously, regulatory red lines — 13 departments jointly crack down on 'speculating on coins,' and stablecoins are explicitly classified as illegal financial activities. Those shouting 'guaranteed profits' are essentially just traps for harvesting.

As a veteran of the crypto space who has witnessed five bull and bear cycles, I must pour some cold water on everyone today: the cryptocurrency market is experiencing the most brutal 'cleansing' of altcoins in history. Those still dreaming of 'hundredfold potential coins' are very likely to be severely educated by the market!
Many people have not realized that there are less than 2.5 years left until the next Bitcoin halving. Looking back at the three cycles in 2013, 2017, and 2021, this phase is precisely the 'acceleration phase of elimination' at the bottom of a bear market—yet this time, the situation is more severe than ever before.
First, let me reveal a core truth: the cryptocurrency market is no longer dominated by project teams. In the early days, project teams controlled everything; later, market makers became the leaders. Now? Major platforms directly control the discourse in both primary and secondary markets, leaving project teams completely reduced to 'workers': without enough funds to support their tokens and lacking the motivation to maintain token prices, many have simply chosen to 'slip away'—recently, I've seen many altcoin project teams quietly sell their tokens at discounted prices, with many clearing out at 40-60% off, and even the issuers are running away. What makes you think these coins can rise?

Family, who understands! When I first entered the cryptocurrency market, my head was filled with dreams of getting rich quickly—'double your investment in three months, change your car in six months.' I jumped into whatever others said would rise, and when I saw 'insider information,' I went all in. What was the result? I watched my account balance go to zero three times, and the worst time, I almost couldn't make my rent.
Looking back now, the pitfalls I encountered over the years fundamentally stemmed from not understanding one principle: the cryptocurrency market relies not on 'smart guesses about trends,' but on 'the discipline of hard skills.' The six life-saving rules I learned over these 7 years, each carries my blood and tears as lessons. Today, I'm sharing them from the bottom of my heart with you. If you understand and follow them, at least you can avoid 80% of the scams!

"How do I determine support and resistance? Why does the best entry point always seem to pass me by?"
As an experienced crypto trader for 6 years, having faced more pitfalls than you have seen in K-lines, I am constantly pursued by fans asking these soul-searching questions. In fact, what complex skills are needed to enter the market? My tried-and-true method consists of just 6 steps, which may seem 'mechanical,' but it has helped me transform from a follower into a consistently profitable strategist. Today, I'm sharing my core insights; for those who take a serious look, you'll have a solid foundation for your next market entry!
First, I need to clarify my core viewpoint: in the crypto market, 'precision' is always more important than 'aggressiveness'; trends are always more reliable than 'low prices.' Those who try to make money by 'guessing bottoms' or 'betting on rebounds' are, to put it bluntly, just providing the market with easy targets. The ones who can achieve long-term profits are those who execute simple logic to the fullest.

Old fans all know that I have seen too many newcomers in the crypto circle fall into the pit of "being eager to turn around with little capital" — taking a few hundred U and hoping to double it in a day, rushing to buy high and sell low until midnight, and in the end, their accounts are cleaner than their faces. But a friend I brought last year started with 500U and in three months reached 18000U, without ever having to top up margin or stepping on mines; it wasn't luck, it was the "iron law of survival with small capital" that I repeatedly emphasized.
If you are also a newcomer with less than a thousand U, don't rush to hit the build position button. The crypto circle is not a dice-throwing casino, but a jungle that tests patience and discipline — the less capital you have, the more you need to learn from the old hunters: first preserve your life, then seek prey. Today, I’ll share three solid tips; understand and follow them, and you too can steadily profit in the next market cycle.

At the end of last year, a fan contacted me, sounding so dejected that it could drip water: "Bro, I followed some so-called 'masters' blindly before, and I lost my 100,000 principal down to only 3,500. Now, just looking at the market makes my hands tremble; I feel completely hopeless."
At that time, I didn't discuss complicated technical analysis with him; I just said: "As long as you haven't been completely kicked out of the market and your principal is still there, it’s not considered a loss — a real comeback is never about gambling on luck for a single trade, but about surviving through the rules."
Half a year later, he suddenly contacted me with good news: his account had steadily risen to several hundred thousand, and he specifically said, "Now opening positions no longer makes me anxious." In fact, his turnaround logic is not mysterious at all; it’s just about adhering to the three "survival rules" that I have repeatedly emphasized. These are the practical insights I've gathered over many years of real-world experience. Regardless of whether you're a novice or an old player who has been cut, remembering these can help you avoid 90% of the detours: