$OM $SAHARA $EPIC Did Japan raise interest rates? Taking small steps, like an old man finally deciding to climb the stairs.
What about the expectation of interest rate cuts in the US? Charging forward, directly taking the elevator down.
Result of the liquidity war: The Federal Reserve's move to 'print dollars like a flood' easily KOs Japan's 'little yen punches'.
Cryptocurrency market: Tonight, it might be so scared by Japan that it can't walk; BTC will stroll below 80,000; next year when the US relaxes, it will soar again.
In summary: trembling in the short term, continuing to bet big in the long term—The Federal Reserve is the true god of retail investors! 😂
$BTC $OM $ETH ETH now feels like a conflicted Virgo: the non-farm payrolls are good, yet it's still hesitating between 2900-3000, neither breaking through nor falling, just pure inner drama of 'should we make a move?'.
Bulls: If it drops to 2800, I'll grab some liquidity, and then I'm ready to take off! Can't take off? Then just keep heading south to 2620 to cry.
Bears: Pick a resistance point anywhere between 3045-3345, if it hits resistance, short it, and set your stop-loss above. That big order at 3000? It's 80% likely a false wall, if it withdraws, then run, if it doesn't, then smash it.
Summary: Don't get fidgety during sideways trading, wait for it to choose a direction on its own—either skyward or downward. Be patient, money won't run away, it just loves to tease.
Today can be summed up in three words: Observe, Watch, Endure. 😂
Laozi is getting a 1:4 token upgrade! (Don't get excited, it's not about distributing candies, but rather an elegant "split" in January 2026—1 OM becomes 4, the unit price directly divided by 4, with the total wealth remaining unchanged).
So what happened? The community was excited for five minutes, the price remained unchanged, still lying around $0.07 under the sun, having dropped over 99% throughout the year, earning the title of the "Calm Guy" in the crypto world.
On December 4, QuickSwap grandly deployed DragonFi on the MANTRA chain, claiming to give RWA tokenization the wings of DeFi—faster swaps, better mining rewards, and deeper liquidity! It sounds impressive, but unfortunately, the market only responded with: "Oh."
This week reached a climax: MANTRA and OKX staged a grand annual drama titled "Migration Grievances."
OKX angrily pointed out that someone was manipulating the price, directly freezing assets; MANTRA's CEO personally stepped in to call for "transparency," as both sides argued fiercely about the migration timeline (Old ERC-20 OM officially retires on January 15, 2026)
and who should apologize first. Community members were munching popcorn while trembling: can we still play happily with the OM in our wallets?
However, wait! While enjoying the gossip, the community's confidence in the RWA ecosystem remains as steady as an old dog.
The RWA treasury is brewing a big move, institutional partners are lining up to enter, and the ecological fund is pouring money like a river. Everyone is expressing: at this price, isn’t it a heavenly opportunity to get in? The RWA track is a future blue ocean worth trillions, and with OM being so low-key now, turning things around in the future is not a dream!
Summary: Short-term continue the roller coaster, long-term optimistic about hot pot.
I recommend everyone closely monitor official announcements and migration deadlines, don’t accidentally turn yourself into a "historical legacy token holder." 😂 $OM $EPIC $MORPHO
The Federal Reserve has given the market a "Late Christmas Gift"—on the surface, gently lowering interest rates by 25bp,
but secretly stuffing a $40 billion liquidity bonus into our pockets, just like a "proud ex who complains but is actually generous": while saying, "Don't overthink it, this isn't QE," they've already slipped the money into your hands.
**Hawkish Rate Cut: Internal Arguments Hotter than Thanksgiving Turkey** Interest rates obediently dropped to 3.50%-3.75%, perfectly meeting expectations, market: well, that was to be expected. But surprisingly, 3 hawks stood up to oppose it—this is the most since 2019! The dot plot is even harsher, directly stating there will only be one cut (25bp) in 2026, with nearly half of the officials internally thinking: "I really don't want to cut at all!" Powell, at the press conference, tried hard to maintain his persona: "This is just a precautionary rate cut, aimed at preventing a surge in youth unemployment (the poor graduates aged 20-24 are the worst off)." To translate: inflation is still walking sideways at 2.8%, tariffs could swing back at any moment, 2% target? Take a number and wait, guys.
**True Surprise: Technical Easing, Those Who Understand Will Understand** More stimulating than the rate cut is—the Federal Reserve announced the immediate restart of "Reserve Management Bond Purchases", spending $40 billion in the first month to buy short-term bonds, with plans to continue ramping up in the coming months. In the past two years, QT has shrunk the balance sheet by $2 trillion, and bank reserves are almost slim as lightning, with the repo market getting jittery at times. Now? A year-end funding crunch has directly arranged for "technical easing". Powell blushed as he emphasized: "This is purely a technical operation! It has nothing to do with monetary policy!" The market collectively rolled their eyes: fine, fine, if you say it's technical, then it's technical, anyway the money is in, and if the Christmas rally doesn't break into a disco, it would be a disservice to this $40 billion.
In short, this is a "hard on the outside but soft on the inside" hawkish rate cut + an "invisible easing of 300 taels of silver here". In the short term, U.S. stocks are soaring, risk assets are having a blast; in the long term, the rate cut space is tightly constrained by the dot plot. Is the Christmas rally coming? It is coming, but don’t get too excited, Uncle Powell might suddenly say: "Young people, drink some cold water and calm down."
ETH exchange inventory: It's almost bottoming out! Born in 2015, I've never been this poor before – whales and institutions are frantically accumulating coins, preparing to lock them up for winter.
Meanwhile, a big shot from a U.S. bank has decided: starting in 2026, wealth advisors can openly recommend BTC and ETH ETFs to clients, with traditional funds lining up to comply and get onboard.
In simple terms: The sellable ETH is becoming less and less, while the wealthy buyers wanting to purchase are increasing. Isn't this the classic script of 'less supply, more demand, prices soar'?
$BTC $ETH $BNB Trump is interviewing Federal Reserve Board member Waller today in the race for the next Federal Reserve Chair.
In short: - Last week he interviewed his 'old friend' Walsh, - Now it's Waller's turn, the 'interest rate cut fanatic' (the only one daring to vote for an interest rate cut alone in July this year). - Wall Street has a crush on him, but Trump’s circle thinks he’s not 'loyal enough'.
Market Prediction: Waller is currently in third place, with great potential as a dark horse.
In a nutshell: Trump is matchmaking for the chair position, and Waller is going to the 'blind date' today, hoping not to be asked 'how much can you cut rates, do you love me or not'.😂
Non-farm data is here: jobs +64,000 (slightly exceeding expectations), but the unemployment rate has risen to 4.6% (the highest since September 2021).
With more jobs, how are more people unemployed? Simply put, this is an awkward situation of a 'musical chairs' game.
**1. Different counting methods: counting chairs vs counting heads** - Counting chairs (business survey): asking employers how many salaries they have issued. If you work during the day and drive for rideshare at night? That's counted as two jobs! Result: With high living costs, the number of people forced to work extra jobs surged by 910,000 in November; the chairs may seem more, but it's actually old players stacking chairs. - Counting heads (household survey): asking if there are 'jobs available' in your home. Regardless of how many jobs you have, you are just one person. New graduates, immigrants, and those laid off cannot grab new chairs, so the unemployment rate naturally rises.
**2. Too slow in adding chairs** We need 100,000 to 150,000 new chairs each month to stabilize the unemployment rate, but only 64,000 were added in November. Too many new players, not enough seats for the old players.
**3. New chairs are extremely specialized** Healthcare +46,000, construction +28,000, while other industries are generally downsizing (logistics -18,000, government -6,000). Doctors and construction workers are in demand, while other professions continue to face challenges.
**Conclusion: Pseudo-positive** On the surface, job numbers exceed expectations, but the actual job market is cooling, making life tougher for the public. The Federal Reserve is highly likely to maintain a dovish stance, and there won't be an abrupt stop to interest rate cuts.
Not enough chairs, the music hasn't stopped yet—brothers, practice a few more skills, stay steady!
Once upon a time, there was a hip-hop boss who switched to crypto, with the slogan "HODL ETH never surrender!"
As a result, a crypto version of "Never Compromise" was staged on Hyperliquid: Peak moment: $45 million floating profit in September, feeling like the god of ETH.
Turning point: The big drop started on October 11, kicking off the "liquidation marathon"—a total of 200 liquidations! (71 times in November alone, directly crowned the "King of Liquidation" 👑)
Classic maneuver: Win rate of 77%, but profit-loss ratio of 1:8.6. Won a little money and quickly ran, lost and held on until the end, the more lost the more to add to the position, 25x leverage drank like water. Highlight scenes:
- The account once had only $1718 left, yet opened 100 ETH long positions, and exploded again after 24 hours.
- On December 15, increased the position to 3750 ETH (valued at $11.82 million), the next day the market jittered... all exploded! The account had over $50,000 left.
- On December 16, liquidated 10 times again, total loss broke $22.88 million, once only $15,000 left.
-Latest sequel (December 17): Not discouraged after the explosions, immediately deposited $1.2 million USDC, and opened 25x ETH long positions!
The community exclaimed: "Brother, is your money infinite bullets? Or is it a system bug?"
Money laundering suspicions? Nah~ Blockchain is fully transparent, purely a "sunk cost fallacy" + "revenge trading" at play.
If it were money laundering, who would design their own explosion 200 times? This is real money swimming naked, bro! 🏊♂️
Market insight: High leverage = casino VIP, win and ascend to the clouds, lose and go to zero while still owing fees. Brother Maji: The best contrarian indicator in the crypto world! When he adds to his position, should one consider shorting? (Just kidding, don't follow blindly)
Compared to other whales: Some make billions with 5 trades, some stable with high-frequency arbitrage. Brother's exclusive route—"die hard bulls don't die, bulls die without rest".
Brother's attitude is super open-minded:
After liquidation, he posted "Was fun while it lasted" or went swimming naked to poke fun at himself. The crypto world needs such legendary figures; without him, how boring would the bear market be? 😂
Ending: If ETH really rises back, Brother will rise to myth; if it continues to fall... see you at the 201st liquidation! 🚀💀 (As of 2025.12.17, Brother is back, stay tuned for the next episode)
$BTC $ETH $BNB Federal Reserve Chair Succession Battle Latest Report:
The two Kevins are staging a "Dove vs. Hawk" showdown: - Dove Hassert: A rate-cutting maniac, wants to rub interest rates down to the ground, stock market and gold call it knowledgeable. - Hawk Waller: Cutting rates while shrinking the balance sheet, playing a sophisticated balancing act, the market can't understand and is scratching its head.
Market Reaction: US stocks are on a roller coaster at high points, with the Dow slightly down pretending to be calm; gold swings around $4,300—when Waller rises, gold prices soar, and when Hassert falls, the stock market cries.
One-sentence Summary: Trump hasn't made a decision yet, but the market is already as anxious as waiting for a reply from an ex-girlfriend. Who will eventually take office? Keep watching, the fluctuations bring their own spice.
—Bloomberg's famous "Cassandra" Mike McGlone has spoken again
He compares Bitcoin to the U.S. stock market before the 2008 crisis, concluding: In the post-inflation era, high-risk speculative assets will face a bloodbath, heading for $10,000!
Brothers, don't panic. When this kind of "wild prediction" comes out, the historical script of short-term markets is basically the same: First, everyone gets scared, the bears arrogantly shout, "This time it's different," and then... the market suddenly doesn't follow the script, a rebound occurs, and the bears are left searching for their teeth.
Why? Because extreme bearishness often signals the emotional bottom! McGlone's history of bearishness on Bitcoin is even longer than Bitcoin itself; every time he shouts about a crash, the market either moves sideways or gives you a rebound, making him a precise contrarian indicator, a living joke machine in the crypto world.
Current situation: Bitcoin is hovering around 89k, having dropped 30% from this year's high of 126k, and the annual increase has turned negative. ETF funds are entering and exiting, expectations for Fed rate cuts have been dampened, global liquidity is tightening, and everyone's mood is like winter—cold.
But in the short term, when extremely pessimistic voices pop up, the probability of a rebound from overselling indeed increases. If 88k holds, it could challenge the resistance at 94k-95k; further up, $100,000 is calling, saying, "Come back, buddy." If 88k is directly lost, the bears will get excited for a while, better to run first.
In summary, whether 2026 will see a rise to 200k or fall to 10k, no one knows. There are institutions that are bullish, bearish, and neutral, and predicting this stuff is essentially an entertainment program. Just listen, but you need to manage your own money, don’t put all your capital into any "prophet"'s words—including mine.
NFA, purely for fun and comments, after laughing, go do what you need to do~ 😏
The pressure cooker is about to explode! Japan's interest rate hike probability is at 98%, it's a sure thing, don't catch the falling knife anymore, brothers! 💣
Oh dear, this crash early Friday must have made everyone question their lives, right? Don't panic, this pressure cooker is about to blow!
The Bank of Japan is having a meeting on the 18th-19th, and the probability of an interest rate hike to 0.75% on Polymarket has skyrocketed to 98%—the highest rate in 30 years, basically a done deal!
The core killer move: the yen arbitrage is facing a mass exodus!
In the past, borrowing yen felt like picking up money, exchanging it for dollars and making a profit on the interest rate difference. Now that interest rates have gone up, borrowing money has become expensive, even leading to losses—big players are crying while selling coins to exchange for yen to pay off debts, and BTC drops as soon as it gets touched, everyone is rushing to escape, who dares to catch the falling knife?
This decline isn't due to a collapse of faith, but rather Japan's liquidity valve is about to tighten, with macroeconomic negatives unresolved in the short term!
A piece of advice: don't be envious and try to bottom-fish, 98% is no joke, that knife can cut you in half!
Keep your hands steady, preserving your principal is the most important. Wait until the panic has subsided and then enter the market to pick up bloody chips—buy low, laugh last, isn't that great? 😏
$ACE Steady, brothers, survive first and then win! 🚀
$BTC $ETH $BNB Brothers, the 98% big bomb is about to explode! Can the cryptocurrency market withstand the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike? 😱💥
Oh no, this crash is so bad it breaks glasses, are you questioning life now? The pressure cooker can't hold it any longer!
Meeting on the 18th-19th, Polymarket's probability of raising rates to 0.75% is 98%——currently shooting straight to 0.5%, the highest in 30 years, definitely can't escape!
Killer move: Yen arbitrage is fleeing in tears!
In the past, borrowing yen was like picking up money for free, exchanging it for USD to invest in BTC and lying down to profit. Now borrowing money is so expensive that big players are crying and selling coins to pay off debts, BTC drops at a poke, everyone is rushing to escape, who dares to catch the falling knife?
This drop isn't a crisis of faith, it's the Japanese liquidity valve tightening up, macroeconomic bad news has no short-term solution!
Advice: Don't rush to buy the dip! A 98% knife cutting your waist isn't a joke!
Hold your hands steady, cling to your capital! Wait until the scythe has cut through, then pick up the bloody chips at the floor price to get on board, laughing until the end, feeling great? 😜
2026 Crypto Market: Is a Frenzied Bull Market Coming? 🚀
Brothers, the answer is——**There are bulls, but don’t go crazy!**
小,nai,🐶社区👏👏👏👏
The Federal Reserve has secretly turned on the tap (40 billion short-term debt a month, you get it?), employment is weak, small-cap stocks are being crushed, banks are thirsty... Powell says “I won’t pump money,” but his hands are already very honest.
In 2026, there will be more money, but don’t fantasize about taking off with one click: Good news will first lead to a sell-off (classic sell the news), then funds will gradually flow—— Big Wall Street players → Small-cap struggling kids → Bitcoin first gets high → ETH/BNB/SOL follow → Altcoins collectively rocket⚡
Real frenzy? Wait until May 2026 when Master Powell steps down, and Chuanzi parachutes in as the “Professional Money Printer,” then that will be the climax of the event!
What to do now? Buy BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL on dips, hold steady and don’t play around, wait until the new chairman takes office to cash out——just earn a bowl of hot soup. Want to gamble everything in one night? Wake up, the script in the crypto world is always: first cut you once, then give you hope, and finally make you doubt life. 😂
Hold your coins steady, see you in 2026!🔥
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Little 'Milk'🐶, 'p●u●p●p●i●e●s', click on the avatar to learn about the ambush.
**Data Focus**: On Tuesday (16th) November Non-Farm: expected to add 50,000, unemployment rate steady at 4.4%.
小,nai,🐶社区👏👏👏👏
On Thursday (18th) November CPI: expected 3%, inflation still saying "will drop to 2% soon, don't rush."
**Core Game**: Economic slowdown vs. inflation stubbornly holding on, who will win? Currently, the slowdown has a slight advantage, the market is already nibbling on interest rate cut seeds, at least twice in 2026, or there will be trouble.
**Status of U.S. Stocks**: The S&P 500 is now at 6827 points, you said the support at 5433? That's ancient history. Just keep 6700 without laughing, the 7000 above is waving at you.
**Trading Advice**: Don't go heavy before the data, the volatility can throw people out. Weak data: everyone happy, continue to party. Strong data: dreams of interest rate cuts shattered, tech stocks cry first as a tribute.
Summary in one sentence: This week, let's see what script God gives the Federal Reserve—continued easing for survival, or awkward interest rate hikes? Sit tight, snacks and drinks ready. $BTC $ETH $BNB Little 'milk' 🐶, 'p●u●p●p●i●e●s'