I have long been concerned that the huge concentration of Bitcoin in a few hands could be dangerous. The company MicroStrategy #MSTR , led by Michael Saylor, holds over 400,000 BTC, remaining the largest public holder. ๐๏ธ MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) is an organization that creates lists of reliable companies. In June 2024, MSTR was included in the MSCI index. ๐๏ธ ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) funds track such indices. For example, the management company BlackRock manages funds, some of which are required to replicate the MSCI composition. ๐๏ธ The charts show: MSTR shares are falling much more sharply than BTC due to the use of leverage. This has led to MSCI considering the exclusion of MicroStrategy from the index. ๐๏ธ On January 15, 2026, there will be a meeting to decide the fate of MSTR in MSCI. ๐๏ธ If MSTR is excluded, MSCI-related funds will have to immediately, forcibly sell about $2.8 billion worth of shares. And if Nasdaq-100 follows MSCI, the total potential outflow could reach $8.8 billion (MSTR's capitalization $59 billion). ๐๏ธ โโโWATCH FOR THE DATE JANUARY 15, 2026, only God knows how the crypto market will behave in any outcomeโโโ
โโโ $BTC A disappointing #forecast for my crypto bros for the coming year 2026. This is the most useful thing you will read in the near future.โโโ ๐ What you see in my pictures are very boring lines and graphs. But they will help us understand what awaits us. ๐ The first book I read on trading and investing was Warren Buffett, where this wonderful old man said, "Be bold while others are afraid." Essentially, while everyone is afraid of a crash and prices are falling, you should be buying. For this, we have the Fear and Greed indicator, which is currently showing a value of 25, and it seems like it's time to act! But! ๐ HOW TO FIND A START POINT FOR PURCHASES TO BE AT MAXIMUM PROFIT AND AVOID A FALSE BOTTOM??? ๐ For this, the second book I read, ALEXANDER ELDERS' "HOW TO PLAY AND WIN ON THE STOCK EXCHANGE," comes to our aid. ๐ This book describes an excellent method for identifying market reversals, namely, the divergence between price and MACD values. In short, if the price forms a new peak and the MACD histogram forms a peak lower than the previous one, then prepare for a decline, and vice versa. ๐ This is exactly what you can see in my first picture on the 1-week timeframe. Our last bullish cycle had three peaks, with the MACD histogram showing the latest peak lower than the previous one. ๐ Now let's look at the second picture. The last time something similar happened, the price fell by 70%. Based on this, we can conclude that the positive market bottom forecast is around 85,000 (I've written about this level before), assuming a 70% decline from the last impulse. The negative forecast would be 70% from the start of the bullish cycle, with Bitcoin bottoming at 40,000. ๐ Based on how well the Fibonacci timelines have worked, a positive forecast of 85,000 can be expected in late winter to mid-spring 2026. If we see a strong rebound from 85,000, then by the end of summer 2026 we could see a price of 150,000. ๐ The negative forecast is that the price of 40,000 bitcoin may be reached by the end of 2026 - beginning of 2027.
While browsing Truth Social, I noticed the announcement of Donald Trump's address to the nation. Thursday, 5:00 AM Moscow and Minsk time, 4:00 AM Kyiv time. Significant statements are unlikely to be expected; I think it will be more of a year-end summary, but it is important to understand that events can trigger volatility. Responding promptly will not be possible, as it is early morning, and you will find yourself in the reality that you will find yourself in. Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐ $BTC
๐ข$BTC 17.12.2025 Morning of Wednesday. โถ๏ธ ๐Price Movement๐Review of yesterday's closing ๐ Upcoming Eventsโ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best gratitude for me! Turn on notifications so you don't miss my daily releases and stay updated. Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
๐ข$BTC 16.12.2025 Evening of Tuesday. โถ๏ธ ๐โHow to use crowd predictions to your advantageโ ๐ The necessity of self-education ๐Price movement โ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, likes, and subscriptions are the best gratitude for me! Turn on notifications so you don't miss my daily releases and stay updated. Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
๐ขโ #Nasdaq plans to launch nearly round-the-clock trading of American stocks and will submit the corresponding documents to the SEC. This involves a format of 23 hours a day, 5 days a week (23/5) instead of the current 16 hours. The trading week will start on Sunday evening and end on Friday morning Moscow time, accommodating time zones for the convenience of international investors. There will be two sessions: the main session (pre-market, regular, and post-market) and the night session, with a one-hour break for clearing and servicing. Trades from the early night session will be counted the following calendar day. This initiative reflects the growing global demand for US stocks; similar plans have already been announced by the NYSE and Cboe, indicating a possible change in the structure of the American markets. โ๏ธ P. S. I believe this is very important news! Let's discuss it! $BTC
๐ข$BTC 16.12.2025 Morning of Tuesday. โถ๏ธ ๐Price Movement๐Review of yesterday's closing ๐Don't miss the evening release, where we will analyze how to use the majority opinion as a useful toolโ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best gratitude for me! Enable notifications so you don't miss my daily releases and stay updated. Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
$BTC Heat map of cryptocurrency ETFs at the moment. If you are asking the question of why Bitcoin is falling by 2.8%, while the funds that hold them are down by 5%? One reason may be the use of leverage
For those who say that $BTC is a scam, I advise looking at the situation more broadly and looking into the technical sector #Nasdaq . Here is a large company, IRobot, almost 40 years in the market, opened today with a decrease of 78%โโโ They presented their face this morning, what if you had -78% on your balance over the weekend?๐๐ญ
๐ข$BTC 15.12.2025 Evening of Monday. โถ๏ธ ๐โThe influence of Japan on the global economy โ๐โWhat will happen if the Japanese central bank raises the rate this Fridayโโ๐Price movement โ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best gratitude for me! Turn on notifications so you don't miss my daily releases and stay informed about events. Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
๐ข$BTC 15.12.2025 Monday morning. โถ๏ธ ๐Price movement ๐What is FVG or Imbalance ๐Beginning of the formation of the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern on the main Bitcoin trend ๐Don't miss the evening release, it will discuss the influence of Japan on the world economy and cryptocurrencies in particular โ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best gratitude for me! Turn on notifications so you don't miss my daily releases and stay updated. Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
๐ข$BTC $ETH 14.12.2025 Evening of Sunday. โถ๏ธ ๐Price movement of BTC & ETH๐What can we expect from Monday? ๐Economic analysisโ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinions in the comments. Your feedback, likes, and subscriptions are the best gratitude for me! Turn on notifications so you don't miss my daily releases and stay informed. Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
๐ข$BTC 14.12.2025 Sunday morning. โถ๏ธ ๐Why Binance is against my publications ๐Gold price movement ๐BTC price movementโ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best gratitude for me! Wishing you green P\u0026L my crypto brothers๐
๐ข$BTC 13.12.2025 Saturday evening. โถ๏ธ ๐Investment strategy ๐How to follow D. Trump's statements ๐Price movementโ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best thank you for me! Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
๐ข$BTC 13.12.2025 Saturday morning. โถ๏ธ ๐Price movement ๐AI bubble ๐Michael Beauty and his Shortโ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best gratitude for me! Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
๐ข$BTC 12.12.2025 Evening of Friday. โถ๏ธ ๐Price Movement ๐โContinuation of the topic of QE/QT's impact on Bitcoin price movement, please start by watching the morning videoโ๐Market Theoryโ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinions in the comments. Your feedback, likes, and subscriptions are the best gratitude for me! Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
โ๐ข $BTC #ะคะ ะก starting from 12.12.2025 will begin the purchase of U.S. treasury bonds in the amount of about $40 billion within a month; the measure is aimed at supporting liquidity and the stable functioning of the treasury bond market, is not a quantitative easing program, and may lead to a decrease in treasury bond yields and a weakening of the U.S. dollar, which indirectly affects the conditions for risk assets, including the cryptocurrency market.
P. S. Personal opinion - the background from this news may have more influence than the money itself. $40 billion is not such a large amount compared to previous inflows (See my evening video review today)๐
๐ข$BTC 12.12.2025 Morning of Friday. โถ๏ธ ๐Price Movement ๐MARKET THEORY ๐โWhat is QE/QT? โ See the continuation on the impact of QE/QT on cryptocurrency in the evening editionโโ๏ธ Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best gratitude for me! Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
๐ข$BTC 11.12.2025 Thursday evening. โถ๏ธ ๐Price movement ๐News of the coming week ๐Spot/Futures which to choose? ๐What is SL? ๐Scam in the cryptocurrency information spaceโ๏ธ ๐ค I didn't have time to answer all the questions, even the standard ending didn't fit! But we are not in a hurry with you๐ Stay with me, we will discuss everything! Share your reasoned opinion in the comments. Your feedback, like, and subscription are the best gratitude for me! Wishing you green P&L my crypto brothers๐
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