沙漠的鹰

$PEPE
{spot}(PEPEUSDT)
Who can help me calculate how much 250 billion pepes are worth now

💥💥💥💥The Federal Reserve suddenly hits the brakes and stops "tapering". What signals are hidden behind this?

Just now, the Federal Reserve released a big move: Starting from December 1, it will officially stop "tapering"❗️

What does it mean? In simple terms, it means the Federal Reserve has decided not to continue tightening the market's faucet, pausing "quantitative tightening". This "tapering" action, which began in June 2022, once compressed the nearly $9 trillion balance sheet to the current approximately $6.6 trillion💸

Why stop now?

❶ Increased downward pressure on the economy
The slowdown in U.S. growth is an undeniable fact. Stopping tapering can stabilize financial market liquidity and prevent money from becoming too tight.

❷ Liquidity is starting to tighten
Bank reserves are declining, and the money market has already sounded the alarm. Continuing to taper could lead to problems.

It's not simple: The Federal Reserve is caught in a dilemma
On the surface, it looks like monetary policy, but it's actually deeply tied to the U.S. fiscal deficit🧐
During the pandemic, the Federal Reserve's purchase of U.S. Treasuries indirectly "blood-transfused" the Treasury, possibly accounting for more than half of the deficit. If tapering continues and U.S. Treasuries are sold off, it will be more difficult and expensive for the U.S. government to borrow money.

On one side, inflation remains high at 2.8%–3.0%, while on the other side, the job market is showing signs of weakness. The Federal Reserve is walking a tightrope between "protecting the economy" and "controlling inflation".

What does this mean for the market?

✅ Good news: Global liquidity pressure is easing, money is not so tight anymore
⚠️ But be careful: Over the past few years, the Federal Reserve's assets have still expanded by more than $2 trillion, hot money may once again impact financial asset prices, and volatility is inevitable!

Additionally, note that U.S. economic data for October has been postponed to December due to the government shutdown, resulting in a data vacuum + policy uncertainty, leading to chaotic market expectations… This may be one of the reasons for the recent severe fluctuations in U.S. stocks and other assets.

In summary:
The Federal Reserve's pause is a preventive measure anticipating poor economic performance and a signal that liquidity is bottoming out. The wave of interest rate cuts from 2025 to 2026 is about to come; is the market ready? $GIGGLE $ZEC $ETH

This farm at $PIPPIN is pretty good, so I'll just make a small profit of 5 million and leave the rest for you.

It's Trump causing trouble again. I knew that as long as Trump is in office, there will be constant black swan events; nothing surprising, just get used to it. 😌😌😌😌
$TRUMP $WLFI $ETH

The shape of the pancake is very strange!
I just repeatedly observed the structure of the pancake and the on-chain data from the afternoon until now, and found something very interesting!
Everyone knows that BlackRock has been continuously selling for over a week now~ each time transferring chips to cionbasa to sell...
No surprises, today at 19:30 they transferred 4198 pancakes...
But if everyone looks closely at the K-line pull time; it started from the big bullish candle at 8:30...
Let's assume that BlackRock had already started selling at that time, then during the period from 7:30 until now, the market couldn't have pulled up that high.. It only indicates that those chips are still being held and haven't been sold... So if that's the case, what does BlackRock want to do? The following situations may occur!
First situation: Tomorrow is the weekend, transfer to the exchange in advance and wait for Monday to crash.. This situation has a high probability, the market has already dropped a lot, if they crash directly, the position is not good, waiting for the weekend to consolidate before selling.. The price will be better.
Second situation: Because of the sudden favorable news from the Federal Reserve, they are also observing, deciding whether to sell based on market reactions.
Third situation: Intentionally transferring to show retail investors, using it to deceive shorts; when everyone sees the news of their transfer, many will jump in short, and then they privately accumulate.

Through technical patterns, I found that tonight's total trading volume is roughly similar to that wave at noon on November 20, but the price has pulled up nearly three times that amount at that time.. Generally speaking, in a downtrend, a decrease in volume during an upward movement often represents a weakening of selling pressure... which also supports that BlackRock's wave of transferred chips are still in hand...

If as expected, then there is a high probability of a rebound this weekend, or a high-level sideways movement; those looking to short are advised to enter on Monday... For long positions, pay attention to the trend; as long as the trend doesn't break, I think making a profit on a rebound shouldn't be a problem! #BTC走势分析

#我的加密人生 Let's talk about why I decided to liquidate 80% of the Binance book to buy #我的加密人生 ? On one hand, it's because the #Binance book's yield reached the selling expectation, and on the other hand, it's because of the popularity of CZ writing a book. I believe that no matter what name CZ chooses for the book in the future, it will naturally remind people of the commonly used term #我的加密人生 , while also bringing traffic to #我的加密人生 . It meets my three principles for buying: 'has a topic, has popularity, has expectations.' Moreover, the holding addresses are also slowly increasing, which indicates the presence of a bottoming phenomenon. At the same time, I have retained 20% of the #Binance book tokens, waiting for the moment CZ releases the book. What do you all think, brothers? Let's look forward to the day it blossoms and bears fruit!

$ETH
The pancake has been predicted, and the probability of falling below ninety thousand is close to fifty percent. Are you still trying to buy the dip? Now we just need Powell to say something accurate about not lowering interest rates in December, and it will directly crash the market.

My view remains unchanged; high-altitude operations can maximize profits. Today may not necessarily break yesterday's high point, so let's wait and see.

Friends who like billions can pay more attention.

So everyone is waiting for news? No rise without ending the shutdown?\nIf the shutdown ends, the various data that has been accumulated will also be counted, and it is actually very likely that there will be a significant rate cut in December.\nThe U.S. House of Representatives will vote at 5 AM tomorrow to decide whether to end the government shutdown, and several altcoin ETFs are waiting for SEC approval to list.\n\n\nThe direct impact of political decisions on regulatory pace, and the potential structural influx of funds caused by the mass approval of altcoin ETFs.\n\nEnding the government shutdown means that the SEC will resume all functions, including the backlog of ETF approval work. Historical data shows that the non-operational status of regulatory agencies freezes all decision-making processes (for example, the LTC ETF was put on hold due to the shutdown), and after functions are restored, there is often an acceleration in approvals, especially when the policy environment turns crypto-friendly (for example, the context of Gensler's departure and Atkins taking over as SEC chair). This acceleration is not coincidental, but rather a result of the release of regulatory backlog and the interplay of administrative directives. $BTC