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With a clear goal, find the right direction to move forward,
every action will not be forgotten.
I will wait for you here.
Chat room Id: m1dxn7f
every action will not be forgotten.
I will wait for you here.
Chat room Id: m1dxn7f
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12.19 Zhao Jinyan: Gold Evening Review｜The market will fluctuate, but the direction never betrays those who are patient
The market never caters to emotions, it only rewards those who are prepared. A slow market provides opportunities for the patient; a fast market rewards those who have already clarified their direction. Understanding the structure is more important than chasing volatility.
Returning to gold itself, the market's expectations for interest rate cuts continue to rise, and the dovish stance of the new core figures of the Federal Reserve has further fueled expectations for easing. As long as there are no sudden liquidity risks or substantial negative factors, the overall direction of gold remains bullish. The 4300 level is not an emotional point but a structural support that has been repeatedly validated by non-farm payrolls and CPI. The price has been quickly absorbed after multiple retests, indicating that buying interest below remains solid.
From a technical structure perspective, the daily, weekly, and monthly lines maintain a bullish arrangement. The current fluctuation seems more like a rhythm adjustment on the way up rather than a trend reversal. The short-term pullback is essentially a buying opportunity, not the end of the bullish trend. The Euro-American market is about to enter a quiet period before the holidays, and a reduction in trading volume may actually benefit the continuation of the structure. As long as the 4300 level holds, the overall strategy remains focused on buying low.
Suggestion:
Big Yellow 4325–4315 heading north,
First look at 4335–4345, after breaking through, sequentially pay attention to 4355 / 4365 / 4380
(The above content is only a personal opinion and trading record share, for reference only, does not constitute investment advice, please take precautions and participate rationally.) #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC $ETH $XAU
The market never caters to emotions, it only rewards those who are prepared. A slow market provides opportunities for the patient; a fast market rewards those who have already clarified their direction. Understanding the structure is more important than chasing volatility.
Returning to gold itself, the market's expectations for interest rate cuts continue to rise, and the dovish stance of the new core figures of the Federal Reserve has further fueled expectations for easing. As long as there are no sudden liquidity risks or substantial negative factors, the overall direction of gold remains bullish. The 4300 level is not an emotional point but a structural support that has been repeatedly validated by non-farm payrolls and CPI. The price has been quickly absorbed after multiple retests, indicating that buying interest below remains solid.
From a technical structure perspective, the daily, weekly, and monthly lines maintain a bullish arrangement. The current fluctuation seems more like a rhythm adjustment on the way up rather than a trend reversal. The short-term pullback is essentially a buying opportunity, not the end of the bullish trend. The Euro-American market is about to enter a quiet period before the holidays, and a reduction in trading volume may actually benefit the continuation of the structure. As long as the 4300 level holds, the overall strategy remains focused on buying low.
Suggestion:
Big Yellow 4325–4315 heading north,
First look at 4335–4345, after breaking through, sequentially pay attention to 4355 / 4365 / 4380
(The above content is only a personal opinion and trading record share, for reference only, does not constitute investment advice, please take precautions and participate rationally.) #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC $ETH $XAU
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Bank of Japan raises interest rates by 25 basis points, as expected #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC $ETH $XAU
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12.19 Zhao Jinyan: Gold Morning Review | Be cautious on Friday, do not chase during fluctuations, wait for a stronger trend to enter
The market, to put it bluntly, has memory.
Everyone remembers the previous highs and lows, and when we reach these positions, naturally there will be hesitation and action from traders, leading to a back-and-forth shift in bullish and bearish sentiments.
So the support and resistance you see is essentially the 'collective memory' of market participants.
After the CPI data predicted yesterday was released, gold is likely to rise, but the wave of increase in the second half of last night was not due to emotional impulse, but rather a natural release after the structure reached its position.
The previous repeated fluctuations and digestion of selling pressure have already washed away what needed to be cleared, waiting for a natural point of strength.
From the market perspective, gold prices are still in a high-level fluctuation structure. The bullish structure above 4290 has not been broken. In an upward trend, prices will not easily fall below the last effective point of increase, and the current key position happens to fall around 4308-4310, which is also a critical area in our system. In terms of resistance, 4350 has been tested multiple times. Comparing the retracement after the first touch with the recent pullback performance, it is evident that the upper resistance is gradually weakening. The more times it is tested, the greater the probability of being broken through later.
Although there was a brief breakout in the early morning, it did not form a continuous rise, and the rise and fall still conforms to the characteristics of a fluctuating market, belonging to the rhythm structure of 'up three back two'. The key is not whether it breaks through, but the continuity after the breakthrough. This breakout occurred in the early morning, and the chips are not sufficient; the market still requires further confirmation from the European and American sessions.
Suggestion:
If gold holds above 4320, it should still be treated with a bullish bias, but since it has already been tested once in the early morning, do not chase prices, wait for a stronger trend.
If the market strengthens and stabilizes, then look for a second test of 4350; the positions during the afternoon and American sessions will determine whether there are conditions for further upward attack.
In a fluctuating market, patience is more important than judgment. #美国非农数据超预期 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $XAU
The market, to put it bluntly, has memory.
Everyone remembers the previous highs and lows, and when we reach these positions, naturally there will be hesitation and action from traders, leading to a back-and-forth shift in bullish and bearish sentiments.
So the support and resistance you see is essentially the 'collective memory' of market participants.
After the CPI data predicted yesterday was released, gold is likely to rise, but the wave of increase in the second half of last night was not due to emotional impulse, but rather a natural release after the structure reached its position.
The previous repeated fluctuations and digestion of selling pressure have already washed away what needed to be cleared, waiting for a natural point of strength.
From the market perspective, gold prices are still in a high-level fluctuation structure. The bullish structure above 4290 has not been broken. In an upward trend, prices will not easily fall below the last effective point of increase, and the current key position happens to fall around 4308-4310, which is also a critical area in our system. In terms of resistance, 4350 has been tested multiple times. Comparing the retracement after the first touch with the recent pullback performance, it is evident that the upper resistance is gradually weakening. The more times it is tested, the greater the probability of being broken through later.
Although there was a brief breakout in the early morning, it did not form a continuous rise, and the rise and fall still conforms to the characteristics of a fluctuating market, belonging to the rhythm structure of 'up three back two'. The key is not whether it breaks through, but the continuity after the breakthrough. This breakout occurred in the early morning, and the chips are not sufficient; the market still requires further confirmation from the European and American sessions.
Suggestion:
If gold holds above 4320, it should still be treated with a bullish bias, but since it has already been tested once in the early morning, do not chase prices, wait for a stronger trend.
If the market strengthens and stabilizes, then look for a second test of 4350; the positions during the afternoon and American sessions will determine whether there are conditions for further upward attack.
In a fluctuating market, patience is more important than judgment. #美国非农数据超预期 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $XAU
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The locked positions are fixed, but the points of the locked positions are dynamic. An accurate method for unblocking needs to depend on specific points and market conditions; this is precisely why you have read many unblocking posts yet still cannot unblock.
For some complex locked positions, if investors cannot steadily unblock based on their own experience and skills, they can find Zhao Zhao. I will provide a reasonable unblocking plan based on your positions and actual situation!
#美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH $SOL
For some complex locked positions, if investors cannot steadily unblock based on their own experience and skills, they can find Zhao Zhao. I will provide a reasonable unblocking plan based on your positions and actual situation!
#美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH $SOL
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I know that the CPI data will definitely rise after it is released. The second half of the rise is not an impulsive emotion, but a smooth release after the structure is in place. Still the same, build in batches and take profits in batches, 4325→4374, today it’s a total of 49 USD🔪, the direction is right, you can eat it any way you want. 54500 USD🔪 is just that smooth. #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $XAU $BTC $ETH
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Today's intraday gold long strategy has been executed relatively well.
Against the backdrop of central bank data week and non-farm data week, the fundamentals themselves provide support for gold, and market sentiment is cautiously bullish, which is the core reason for my choice to go long in the trend. 4323→4340, 17 USD🔪 Los down! #现货黄金创历史新高 #XAUUSD #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC $ETH $XAU
Against the backdrop of central bank data week and non-farm data week, the fundamentals themselves provide support for gold, and market sentiment is cautiously bullish, which is the core reason for my choice to go long in the trend. 4323→4340, 17 USD🔪 Los down! #现货黄金创历史新高 #XAUUSD #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC $ETH $XAU
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12.18 Zhao Zhao Gold (XAU) | Bullish Critical Point Confirmation, Tonight Determines Direction
Today's core variable for gold remains focused on the key data and central bank expectations this evening.
Firstly, U.S. inflation and sales data will be released at 21:30, which directly affects the market's judgment on the Federal Reserve's subsequent policy path, with significant volatility expected during the U.S. trading session. If the data is on the softer side, gold is likely to surge again, testing the important resistance zone of 4350–4380.
Secondly, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision on December 19, with market expectations for rate hikes continuing to rise. If realized, combined with exchange rate factors, precious metals may face short-term phase suppression. If gold cannot effectively break through the high resistance tonight, we should be wary of the possibility of a pullback and trend reversal tomorrow.
On the market, gold has been under pressure in the 4350–4380 range for several consecutive days, and is currently at a critical window for direction selection. The important support level below is 4260, while the price is currently holding above 4320, indicating that bulls have not yet loosened their grip. The 1-hour chart shows that after rebounding from 4271.52, the gold price maintains a fluctuating upward rhythm, and the overall trend has not been disrupted; short-term adjustments are still considered normal corrections.
Suggestions:
Gold near 4332–4322,
Target focus 4340–4350,
After breaking through, look successively at 4355 / 4365 / 4380.
(Strategies are time-sensitive, be sure to protect your positions, for reference only; feel free to communicate if uncertain) #加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 #现货黄金创历史新高 $BTC $ETH $XAU
Today's core variable for gold remains focused on the key data and central bank expectations this evening.
Firstly, U.S. inflation and sales data will be released at 21:30, which directly affects the market's judgment on the Federal Reserve's subsequent policy path, with significant volatility expected during the U.S. trading session. If the data is on the softer side, gold is likely to surge again, testing the important resistance zone of 4350–4380.
Secondly, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision on December 19, with market expectations for rate hikes continuing to rise. If realized, combined with exchange rate factors, precious metals may face short-term phase suppression. If gold cannot effectively break through the high resistance tonight, we should be wary of the possibility of a pullback and trend reversal tomorrow.
On the market, gold has been under pressure in the 4350–4380 range for several consecutive days, and is currently at a critical window for direction selection. The important support level below is 4260, while the price is currently holding above 4320, indicating that bulls have not yet loosened their grip. The 1-hour chart shows that after rebounding from 4271.52, the gold price maintains a fluctuating upward rhythm, and the overall trend has not been disrupted; short-term adjustments are still considered normal corrections.
Suggestions:
Gold near 4332–4322,
Target focus 4340–4350,
After breaking through, look successively at 4355 / 4365 / 4380.
(Strategies are time-sensitive, be sure to protect your positions, for reference only; feel free to communicate if uncertain) #加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 #现货黄金创历史新高 $BTC $ETH $XAU
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12.17 Gold Day Summary
Today's core message is just one sentence: do not chase breakthroughs, just trade within the range.
The morning strategy was very clear, under pressure at high levels, I first took a short position, following the trend down to a minimum of 4306, the short position's space was fully realized; then I followed up with a long position at the key support area, and the market started as expected, rising all the way to 4345, repeatedly trading within the range, with a maximum daily space of 75 USD🔪.
The current position was also decisively given, and the results came very quickly, with a ten-point space almost realized in seconds.
The market has opportunities every day; what is truly valuable is whether the strategy can be repeatedly realized.
Today's wave is the best answer.
#美联储降息 #现货黄金创历史新高 #巨鲸动向
Today's core message is just one sentence: do not chase breakthroughs, just trade within the range.
The morning strategy was very clear, under pressure at high levels, I first took a short position, following the trend down to a minimum of 4306, the short position's space was fully realized; then I followed up with a long position at the key support area, and the market started as expected, rising all the way to 4345, repeatedly trading within the range, with a maximum daily space of 75 USD🔪.
The current position was also decisively given, and the results came very quickly, with a ten-point space almost realized in seconds.
The market has opportunities every day; what is truly valuable is whether the strategy can be repeatedly realized.
Today's wave is the best answer.
#美联储降息 #现货黄金创历史新高 #巨鲸动向
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Will Japan's interest rate hike lead to a crash in gold and silver? My view is very simple: It is highly unlikely, and may actually be favorable.
Recently, when hearing 'Bank of Japan raises interest rates', many people's first reaction is: It's over, gold and silver are going to crash.
But to be honest, this kind of judgment itself is somewhat 'conditioned reflex', and does not truly understand the market.
To conclude: Raising interest rates ≠ gold and silver must fall.
Historically, after Japan raises interest rates, gold and silver do not fall every time; instead, there are more cases where they rise. The key is not 'whether to raise interest rates', but how to raise them and whether the market is scared or not.
There are two simple situations:
The first situation, the one that is most likely to scare people
If Japan suddenly comes out with an 'unexpected rate hike', without any forewarning, directly shocking the market, it could indeed trigger a significant drop in global risk assets.
But to be honest, this kind of judgment itself is somewhat 'conditioned reflex', and does not truly understand the market.
To conclude: Raising interest rates ≠ gold and silver must fall.
Historically, after Japan raises interest rates, gold and silver do not fall every time; instead, there are more cases where they rise. The key is not 'whether to raise interest rates', but how to raise them and whether the market is scared or not.
There are two simple situations:
The first situation, the one that is most likely to scare people
If Japan suddenly comes out with an 'unexpected rate hike', without any forewarning, directly shocking the market, it could indeed trigger a significant drop in global risk assets.
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$BTC $ETH $SOL #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息 The lowest short position for gold given in the morning reached 4308, with a space of 34 US dollars. Steady friends can take precautions first.
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Today's key focus on economic data and events: December 17, 2025, Wednesday
① 15:00 UK November CPI Monthly Rate
② 15:00 UK November Retail Price Index Monthly Rate
③ 17:00 Germany December IFO Business Climate Index
④ 18:00 Eurozone November CPI Year-on-Year Final Value
⑤ 18:00 Eurozone November CPI Monthly Rate Final Value
⑥ 19:00 UK December CBI Industrial Orders Balance
⑦ 21:15 Federal Reserve Governor Waller Speaks
⑧ 22:05 Federal Reserve Williams Delivers Remarks at Meeting
⑨ 23:30 US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the Week Ending December 12
⑩ 23:30 US EIA Cushing Crude Oil Inventories for the Week Ending December 12
⑪ 23:30 US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve Inventories for the Week Ending December 12
$BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美国非农数据超预期
① 15:00 UK November CPI Monthly Rate
② 15:00 UK November Retail Price Index Monthly Rate
③ 17:00 Germany December IFO Business Climate Index
④ 18:00 Eurozone November CPI Year-on-Year Final Value
⑤ 18:00 Eurozone November CPI Monthly Rate Final Value
⑥ 19:00 UK December CBI Industrial Orders Balance
⑦ 21:15 Federal Reserve Governor Waller Speaks
⑧ 22:05 Federal Reserve Williams Delivers Remarks at Meeting
⑨ 23:30 US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the Week Ending December 12
⑩ 23:30 US EIA Cushing Crude Oil Inventories for the Week Ending December 12
⑪ 23:30 US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve Inventories for the Week Ending December 12
$BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美国非农数据超预期
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12.17 Gold (XAU)｜Zhao Zhao Bull and Bear Tug-of-War, Waiting for Directional Choice Within Converging Range
Yesterday, we provided a target of 4290→4320 for the gold market, and after following the trend, we gained 49 dollars. Subsequently, we also achieved the final stop-loss position at 4291. Today, let's continue to observe.
First, let's discuss the unemployment rate and the overall neutral revision of non-farm data released by the U.S. yesterday. Coupled with the impact of earlier data revisions, market sentiment has not been significantly ignited, and gold has failed to produce a unilateral market, with prices showing more signs of repeated fluctuations at high levels. Currently, there is a lack of further catalysts on the macro level, and market participants are in a wait-and-see phase, leaning more towards technical dominance in the short term.
Looking at the market again, after gold found effective support around 4270, it rebounded, but there is clear resistance near 4330, and consecutive highs have not formed effective breakthroughs. On the hourly chart, the highs are gradually descending, and the lows are slowly rising, forming a typical converging triangle structurally. The tug-of-war between bulls and bears is intensifying, and before new information pushes the market, the probability of range-bound trading is relatively high.
Suggestions:
If rebounding to around 4330, the target is to look at the 4300 level;
If it stabilizes after a pullback to around 4295, one can consider participating in a low buy, still targeting 4330.
(Strategies are time-sensitive, please pay attention to position control and carry protection, for reference only)$BTC $ETH $SOL #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #现货黄金破纪录暴涨
Yesterday, we provided a target of 4290→4320 for the gold market, and after following the trend, we gained 49 dollars. Subsequently, we also achieved the final stop-loss position at 4291. Today, let's continue to observe.
First, let's discuss the unemployment rate and the overall neutral revision of non-farm data released by the U.S. yesterday. Coupled with the impact of earlier data revisions, market sentiment has not been significantly ignited, and gold has failed to produce a unilateral market, with prices showing more signs of repeated fluctuations at high levels. Currently, there is a lack of further catalysts on the macro level, and market participants are in a wait-and-see phase, leaning more towards technical dominance in the short term.
Looking at the market again, after gold found effective support around 4270, it rebounded, but there is clear resistance near 4330, and consecutive highs have not formed effective breakthroughs. On the hourly chart, the highs are gradually descending, and the lows are slowly rising, forming a typical converging triangle structurally. The tug-of-war between bulls and bears is intensifying, and before new information pushes the market, the probability of range-bound trading is relatively high.
Suggestions:
If rebounding to around 4330, the target is to look at the 4300 level;
If it stabilizes after a pullback to around 4295, one can consider participating in a low buy, still targeting 4330.
(Strategies are time-sensitive, please pay attention to position control and carry protection, for reference only)$BTC $ETH $SOL #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #现货黄金破纪录暴涨
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Gold (XAU) intraday strategy fully realized, rhythm grasped precisely, both Du and Kong achieved success.
On the Du side, we held steadily from 4292 to 4320, smoothly gaining 28 USD🔪; then, following the strategy, we pursued the long position after the breakout, once again securing 21 USD🔪. (Du Dan achieved a total of 49 USD🔪)
Subsequently, at the high point of 4334, we followed the bearish trend, and the market retraced as expected, accurately reaching the hawkish target of 4291! (Kong Dan achieved 43 USD🔪)
All long and short rhythms have been realized, with structure, direction, and execution highly consistent, leading to profits naturally. #美国非农数据超预期 #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 $BTC $ETH $SOL
On the Du side, we held steadily from 4292 to 4320, smoothly gaining 28 USD🔪; then, following the strategy, we pursued the long position after the breakout, once again securing 21 USD🔪. (Du Dan achieved a total of 49 USD🔪)
Subsequently, at the high point of 4334, we followed the bearish trend, and the market retraced as expected, accurately reaching the hawkish target of 4291! (Kong Dan achieved 43 USD🔪)
All long and short rhythms have been realized, with structure, direction, and execution highly consistent, leading to profits naturally. #美国非农数据超预期 #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 $BTC $ETH $SOL
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Now, to summarize the current market situation in one sentence: it can't go up and is continuously grinding downwards. After rushing to around 93500, it was severely hit down, and a large bearish candle directly wiped out the bulls' enthusiasm. Each subsequent rebound has been lower than the previous one, indicating that fewer and fewer people want to buy, and as more people sell, the price drops. Recently, this has become even more apparent, rebounding slightly from above 89000, failing to stabilize, and being directly smashed down to around 85000. Now it's back to around 86900, which is actually just a bounce after a significant drop, not an improvement in the market.
Now, remember a few key levels: above 88000–89500 is a resistance area, which is where "once it rises to this point, it is easily sold"; below 85000–86000 is a support area, which is where "if it goes further down, there might be some buying support." As long as the price is still hovering below 88000, the overall trend is still weak, so don’t expect an immediate reversal.
If you hold long positions, be careful with this rebound and don’t be too greedy. If it rises around 88000 and doesn’t move, it could easily be smashed down again; if you are in cash or looking to trade short-term, a more stable approach is to wait for it to rebound to the resistance area before considering shorting, rather than chasing shorts at low levels; if the price can firmly stand back above 89500 or even 90000 one day, that would be somewhat bullish; otherwise, it’s more like a breather during a downtrend.
The trend isn’t good yet, regard the rebound as just a rebound, not a reversal; position is more important than direction, and controlling risk is more important than making money.
Suggestion: Short near 87500 for Bitcoin, with a target down to 85000, near 83500. For Ethereum, short near 2950, with a target down to 2870, near 2660. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Be sure to protect yourself!
Now, remember a few key levels: above 88000–89500 is a resistance area, which is where "once it rises to this point, it is easily sold"; below 85000–86000 is a support area, which is where "if it goes further down, there might be some buying support." As long as the price is still hovering below 88000, the overall trend is still weak, so don’t expect an immediate reversal.
If you hold long positions, be careful with this rebound and don’t be too greedy. If it rises around 88000 and doesn’t move, it could easily be smashed down again; if you are in cash or looking to trade short-term, a more stable approach is to wait for it to rebound to the resistance area before considering shorting, rather than chasing shorts at low levels; if the price can firmly stand back above 89500 or even 90000 one day, that would be somewhat bullish; otherwise, it’s more like a breather during a downtrend.
The trend isn’t good yet, regard the rebound as just a rebound, not a reversal; position is more important than direction, and controlling risk is more important than making money.
Suggestion: Short near 87500 for Bitcoin, with a target down to 85000, near 83500. For Ethereum, short near 2950, with a target down to 2870, near 2660. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Be sure to protect yourself!
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Tonight, the non-farm payroll data will be released, which is one of the significant events affecting market sentiment. In the face of such a major market situation, staying calm and rational is more important than chasing highs and selling lows. It is recommended that everyone prepares their position management in advance to avoid heavy operations and leave enough safety space in their accounts. Regardless of whether the data is good or bad, market volatility may intensify, and blindly following trends can easily lead to passive outcomes.
The core of trading is risk control, not betting on the right direction. Even if the direction is judged correctly, without reasonable position management, one may still be eliminated in short-term fluctuations. Non-farm payroll night is more suitable for observing trend changes and finding high-quality entry opportunities rather than rushing to place orders. Remember, the market is never short of opportunities; protecting your capital allows you to go further.
Tonight, let us wait quietly for the data to be revealed, welcoming each fluctuation with a steady mindset. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint; patience and discipline are the keys to long-term profitability. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The core of trading is risk control, not betting on the right direction. Even if the direction is judged correctly, without reasonable position management, one may still be eliminated in short-term fluctuations. Non-farm payroll night is more suitable for observing trend changes and finding high-quality entry opportunities rather than rushing to place orders. Remember, the market is never short of opportunities; protecting your capital allows you to go further.
Tonight, let us wait quietly for the data to be revealed, welcoming each fluctuation with a steady mindset. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint; patience and discipline are the keys to long-term profitability. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL
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12.16 Zhao Zhao Gold European Market:
From the market structure, the price has formed a clear resistance at the 4318 level, with multiple rebounds failing to stabilize effectively, followed by a quick retreat and breaking below the previous low. The short-term rhythm has shifted from strong to weak. Currently, the area around 4191 below is a key position for the previous rebound's concentrated trading area and the short-term long-short game. If the price rebounds to this area during the European market and faces resistance, one can attempt to enter a short position cautiously, participating with light positions and controlling the defense.
If the European market's decline is limited or there is a stop-loss sweep, do not rush to chase the price. Pay attention to the second short opportunity at the 4318 level. This position belongs to the resonance zone of the previous high and trend resistance. Once the rebound is blocked, the bearish momentum is expected to be released again. The overall strategy remains focused on short positions, patiently waiting for the price to reach the level rather than chasing the trend. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL
From the market structure, the price has formed a clear resistance at the 4318 level, with multiple rebounds failing to stabilize effectively, followed by a quick retreat and breaking below the previous low. The short-term rhythm has shifted from strong to weak. Currently, the area around 4191 below is a key position for the previous rebound's concentrated trading area and the short-term long-short game. If the price rebounds to this area during the European market and faces resistance, one can attempt to enter a short position cautiously, participating with light positions and controlling the defense.
If the European market's decline is limited or there is a stop-loss sweep, do not rush to chase the price. Pay attention to the second short opportunity at the 4318 level. This position belongs to the resonance zone of the previous high and trend resistance. Once the rebound is blocked, the bearish momentum is expected to be released again. The overall strategy remains focused on short positions, patiently waiting for the price to reach the level rather than chasing the trend. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL
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Today's gold continues to follow a familiar rhythm.
Repeated fluctuations and pulls between long and short positions, but direction is never based on guessing; it's based on position and execution. Repeatedly entering around key intervals, with clear switches between long and short, entering with basis and exiting with a plan, taking the trend when it's smooth and going against it when necessary, avoiding emotional trades and stubborn battles. Throughout the process, there are both acceleration segments in the trend and necessary pullbacks for washing out positions, but the overall approach remains consistent—do as planned, move as per the rhythm. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Repeated fluctuations and pulls between long and short positions, but direction is never based on guessing; it's based on position and execution. Repeatedly entering around key intervals, with clear switches between long and short, entering with basis and exiting with a plan, taking the trend when it's smooth and going against it when necessary, avoiding emotional trades and stubborn battles. Throughout the process, there are both acceleration segments in the trend and necessary pullbacks for washing out positions, but the overall approach remains consistent—do as planned, move as per the rhythm. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL
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12.15 Zhao Zhao Crude Oil: Trend Analysis indicates a strong consolidation with pullbacks remaining an opportunity
The market never lacks for trends; what it lacks is the patience to follow the prevailing direction.
On the news front, OPEC+ continues its stance on production cuts, and U.S. crude oil inventories have been declining consecutively, providing real support for oil prices; at the same time, the situation in the Middle East is volatile, and geopolitical uncertainties persist, offering a bottom support for crude oil. However, it is important to note that the Fed's hawkish expectations are suppressing risk asset sentiment, making oil prices more likely to consolidate upward in the short term rather than experiencing a unilateral rise.
From a technical perspective, on the hourly chart, if the price does not break below the previous low during pullbacks, the lows are gradually rising, and the price operates within a consolidating upward channel, with effective support below, and the bullish structure remains intact. As long as the key support holds, pullbacks are still seen as corrections rather than a trend reversal.
In terms of operational strategy, the main approach to crude oil is to buy on dips, focusing on opportunities for secondary upward movement after stabilizing in the support range following a decline. If the upper pressure breaks with volume, it is expected to open up new rebound potential.
Recommendation: Around 57.4-57.6 for buying, target around 57.0-56.8.
(The strategy is time-sensitive, so please pay attention to controlling rhythm and risk)
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
The market never lacks for trends; what it lacks is the patience to follow the prevailing direction.
On the news front, OPEC+ continues its stance on production cuts, and U.S. crude oil inventories have been declining consecutively, providing real support for oil prices; at the same time, the situation in the Middle East is volatile, and geopolitical uncertainties persist, offering a bottom support for crude oil. However, it is important to note that the Fed's hawkish expectations are suppressing risk asset sentiment, making oil prices more likely to consolidate upward in the short term rather than experiencing a unilateral rise.
From a technical perspective, on the hourly chart, if the price does not break below the previous low during pullbacks, the lows are gradually rising, and the price operates within a consolidating upward channel, with effective support below, and the bullish structure remains intact. As long as the key support holds, pullbacks are still seen as corrections rather than a trend reversal.
In terms of operational strategy, the main approach to crude oil is to buy on dips, focusing on opportunities for secondary upward movement after stabilizing in the support range following a decline. If the upper pressure breaks with volume, it is expected to open up new rebound potential.
Recommendation: Around 57.4-57.6 for buying, target around 57.0-56.8.
(The strategy is time-sensitive, so please pay attention to controlling rhythm and risk)
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
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