If this wave of interest rate hikes in Japan initiates a continuous mode, market panic will quickly spread.
Combined with the worst liquidity window in December, this decline has likely just begun!
The market speculates that this round of interest rate hikes will increase from 0.5% to 0.75%, but this is just the beginning, with subsequent increases potentially reaching 1.25%!
The last time Japan continuously raised interest rates was from March 2024 to January 2025, for a full 10 months, directly raising from a negative interest rate of -0.1% to 0.5%!
Additionally, North American Christmas and year-end holidays have resulted in extremely poor market liquidity, and even slight large capital movements could trigger significant volatility!
ETH is on the verge of collapse, and the bears' home ground has already started.
Brothers, be sure to seize this opportunity!
Ethereum's intraday rebound resistance is seen at 2970-3015.
If these two resistance levels cannot be broken, the market will continue to weaken.
Support below: 2825-2795!
The key support for ETH is in the range of 2825-2795.
Once it falls below here, the market will test the lower boundary of the range at 2715!
2715 is the last bastion for the bulls.
The current weak rebound is mainly because the resistance level of 2970-3015 cannot be broken.
Only by breaking through here can the market possibly continue to challenge 3100!
If it cannot break through, all rebounds are just traps for the bulls, and the bear friends should seize the opportunity to get on board!
Friends who have followed this wave of short positions can maintain low positions in the market.
For those who haven't followed,
See you in the next wave in our chat room!!!! There’s also big news tonight with non-farm data!!!
The market is on fire! This week is definitely the most exciting week of 2025!!!
The big non-farm payroll is debuting tonight, with CPI released on Thursday and Japan's interest rate hike on Friday. Can this wave of chain explosions be withstood?
Just now, the market plummeted and broke below 2900, completely sending away my buddy. Insider Brother has a floating loss of 50 million U, once having a floating profit of 30 million that didn’t sell, and now can only watch helplessly as the market gets harvested!
The market downturn has arrived as expected, and this week due to the imminent interest rate hike in Japan
The market's anxious sentiment is overflowing, and it’s normal to run away in advance!
The Christmas catastrophe is coming again!
In previous years before Christmas, the market always keeps falling because everyone goes on vacation, leading to a liquidity drought.
Brothers who are bottom-fishing, don't rush, it’s recommended to observe patiently.
A great opportunity may be just around the corner!
Yesterday, we set up ETH shorts at 3150, which dropped to a low of 2870.
Directly made a profit of 280 points.
Brothers who followed along made at least 100+ points, earning a few hundred U is really easy!
For those still holding their positions, remember to reduce your holdings and move up your stop-loss to securely lock in profits!
For those who didn’t catch up, don’t panic.
Tonight there’s still the big non-farm payroll, and the fluctuations in the US stock market will provide opportunities for placing large orders!
See you in the chat room, let’s keep going tonight!🔥🔥🔥
Recently, the BTC market has been much more complicated than expected, with frequent "painting the door" wash trading, continuously shrinking trading volume, and narrowing price fluctuations!
All of this is sending a signal: a trend change is imminent!
Last night's market has already given a clear signal.
The second bottom test did not break 89000, but instead rebounded strongly.
In the past day, the buy and sell amounts on the order book have been basically balanced, and the large sell orders that accumulated a few days ago have also started to disappear.
This indicates that bearish sentiment is gradually weakening, and the short-selling power in the market is diminishing.
ETF institutions continue to sell, with a daily outflow of 0.77 million USD, but retail investors and large holders are consistently entering the market to take over, indicating that institutions are harvesting "leeks" while retail investors are increasing their long positions.
On the four-hour K-line chart, the bullish volume is significantly stronger than the bearish volume, which is an important signal that the bulls are dominating.
Currently, price fluctuations are narrowing, and trading volume is shrinking, which is a classic precursor to a trend change!
Considering the comparison of bullish and bearish volumes, the probability of BTC breaking upwards is greater.
Key support and resistance levels for BTC today:
Today, pay close attention to whether the price will retrace to around 90500; if it tests and does not break, it will be the best opportunity to enter long positions!
If the market successfully initiates a second surge, the short-term target pressure is aimed at the 94000-95000 range!
This is the next station for the bulls and also a potential ambush point for the bears to counterattack.
If the market unexpectedly weakens, key support is still at 89000, which is the last defensive line for the bulls. If it breaks below this, the bearish forces will quickly dominate.
Tonight, keep a close eye on key levels, brothers who want to steadily profit,
Come to the chat room to ambush the next wave of the market!💪💪💪
Last night was a disaster again! 153,000 people were liquidated!!!
Both long and short positions were wiped out, prices fell and then rose again, but the values remained the same. After a night’s sleep, the positions were gone.
This wave of retail investors thought that interest rate cuts were a good sign and frantically bought the dip.
Little did they know that institutions had already sold at high levels, once again perfectly taking over!
Yesterday, a batch was liquidated as prices dropped, but then they were pulled back up again.
The period of volatility has not yet ended; buying the dip will only lead to further losses!
The rules of the cryptocurrency market have never changed:
During volatile periods, those who cannot wait are always the ones who get killed.
The ones who truly make money are those who control their positions during volatility,
patiently waiting for signals and preserving their capital! Brothers, surviving is more important than anything else!
Last night, I guided my followers to set up a long position in Ethereum around 3170.
Unity of knowledge and action, directly netting 60 points! Feeling good now?
Yesterday, I also mentioned in the article that if Ethereum does not break below 3100, we can expect a wave of rebound.
For those who followed, remember to protect your positions today.
Black Friday, there is still a chance in the US stock market tonight.
Let’s do it again! See you in the chat room, don’t miss it! 🔥
Last night's speech by Powell can be said to have drawn a conclusion for the market: the interest rate cut cycle has temporarily come to an end!
Although the entire interest rate cut cycle is not over yet, the Federal Reserve has pressed the pause button this time, and all good news has been exhausted!
In the upcoming market, don't blindly be bullish anymore.
94500 is just a temporary high point; the next may be the bears' main stage.
BTC surged to 94500 last night but could not break through.
This basically confirms that this is a temporary high point!
There may be a wave of high temptation, but if it does not exceed 94500, the market will start to plunge!
Intraday pressure: 91800-92500
Short-term pressure is at 91800-92500; as long as it doesn't go up, BTC's trend will not be strong, and the bears will still be in control!
Today's support is at 88800, 86800.
It is highly probable that it will consolidate around 90k.
The news of Japan's interest rate hike will continue to suppress the market, and BTC will not have much room for significant increases in the short term!
In the next few days, there may be high temptation, but before the 19th, the market will likely weaken.
Is the downtrend not over yet? ETH's four-hour pattern has broken!!!
It may continue to fall! The logic is very clear:
Interest rate cuts have been realized, and it has started to drop. The entire downward cycle in mid to late December may have just begun!
Tonight's key depends on the performance of the U.S. stock market!
If the U.S. stocks continue to widen their losses during the trading session, market sentiment will completely collapse, and the downtrend may accelerate further!
Current market sentiment is very weak. If U.S. stocks continue to widen their losses during the trading session,
the market will have no chance of rebound and will directly enter a deep decline mode!
If U.S. stocks stabilize, the market may temporarily enter a consolidation phase, but the overall rebound space is limited, and under emotional pressure, it may test lower levels again at any time!
The four-hour support pattern for ETH has already broken, and currently, the bears are in absolute control, with the market entering a downward cycle!
The next key point is the daily support at 3100. If this level cannot be held, the market may continue to decline deeply, targeting 3000 or even 2960!
3100 is the key defensive line for daily bulls,
as long as it does not break, there will still be a chance for a rebound! But if it breaks, the market will completely weaken, and the downside will be fully opened!
If ETH rebounds to the range of 3250-3300 but cannot break through, then the market remains weak, and bears can continue to ambush.
Only by breaking through 3300 does the market have a chance for a second surge; otherwise, all rebounds are just bait for the longs, brothers, don’t get trapped!
Brothers, last night Master Bao presented the 'Last Dance', but the market remained calm, casually drawing a door, which is really a bit boring.
The new version of QE surprisingly had no movement in the market, and even Bitcoin, the most sensitive to liquidity, is behaving abnormally!
But the most explosive news came last night: Trump hopes to lower the expectations directly to 2% next year, and it actually started to appear within the Federal Reserve!
This is a super big signal!!
Last night, I told everyone to place short orders around 94400, and it was precisely timed.
It directly crashed by 4000 dollars!
Yesterday in the Bitcoin analysis, I also mentioned to pay attention to the 94500 resistance for entering shorts.
For those who followed along,
This wave of market trends has been steadily profitable.
Even if you didn't maximize your gains, at least 2000 points of profit, right?
A few hundred dollars is also easily earned!
Congratulations to the brothers who seized the opportunity!
For those who missed it, don't worry, the next wave of layout opportunities is coming soon!
See you in the chat room, let's continue to steadily make profits!
The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is about to be revealed, with the dual bomb of interest rate cuts + dot plot. Will it cause the market to crash violently, or will it soar high?
If it's a hawkish interest rate cut, where will the focus be?
The divergence in the dot plot is key!
The current market expects two interest rate cuts in 2026, but there is significant divergence within the dot plot!
If tonight's dot plot shows that more people believe there will only be one interest rate cut in 2026
For example, a result of 11 to 8 or even 12 to 7, market sentiment will shift entirely to pessimism, and a wave of selling may occur!
Next year, the chair of the Federal Reserve will change, and the policy direction of the new chair is still uncertain.
If the influence of the dot plot is weakened, the market may react in advance, leading to more intense fluctuations. Worst-case scenario: hawkish signal + negative news landing
Once tonight's speech conveys a hawkish signal, BTC and other risk assets may directly face a significant correction, and the market needs to be mentally prepared for "up and down spikes"!
Key BTC levels for today:
Short-term support: 91400-90000
This range is the lifeline for bulls. As long as it holds here, there is still a chance for the market to continue to rise!
Target pressure for rising: 94500-96000
This is the ambush point for bears, and a failed rise is the best layout opportunity for bears!
If tonight's news brings a spike down to the 88700-86800 position
Here, you can cautiously try to go long!
For those who entered the big BTC position around 90000 with me yesterday, make sure to protect your profits!
For friends who have no clear direction in tonight's market,
Just come to the chat room, let's seize the big opportunity together! 💪💪💪
Interest rate cuts are coming soon! The overnight rate cut is almost a certainty, but do you know Powell's strategy? — Dovish decisions, hawkish speeches!
Can Powell's speech stir up a huge wave in the market again?
Let’s wait and see! But no matter what
ETH has already proven the madness of the market with a surge!
From the current perspective, the market is already pricing in the rate cuts, but Powell's speech is the key!
If the speech is hawkish, the market may face a short-term correction
If unexpectedly dovish, ETH may surge again!
Last night's surge had no obvious news support
More so, the market is preemptively positioning for the rate cut!
This indicates a strong expectation for a rebound in the future; brothers, you must seize the opportunity!
Yesterday I urged everyone to position ETH long around 3105
It surged to a high of 3397, directly gaining 200 points safely!
Wasn’t this wave enjoyable?
For those who followed, make sure to protect your profits, dial 666
For those who didn’t follow, don’t worry
Tonight Powell's speech may ignite a new wave of market activity; let’s keep going tonight, the opportunity is right in front of us!
Brothers, this week the market welcomes the ultimate showdown, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut + Japan's interest rate hike, a double disruption
The script for the rate cut is very clear:
1️⃣ Hawkish rate cut = big drop
2️⃣ Rate cut not exceeding expectations = drop 😵
3️⃣ Exceeding expectations with a 50BP rate cut = soaring for several days 🚀
As for Japan's interest rate hike, it is a known negative factor. Based on the current market sentiment
If ETH drops before the rate cut, the interest rate hike in Japan may only be a small jab, unless the rate hike exceeds expectations (but the probability is very small)!
In the last two days, some whales have been quietly increasing their positions in ETH,
This indicates that the main force is very confident about the rebound of the market!
The daily level support is in the range of 3050-3010
As long as this level is not broken, the rebound pattern of ETH will not change, brothers can continue to watch for the rebound!
The target pressure for the short-term rebound is in the range of 3180-3230
Brothers, note that this position is an excellent point for short positions, aim steadily!
If ETH retraces and breaks below 3000, the bullish pattern will deteriorate, and the market will need to be redefined!
Support below is at 2960, 2865
In the short term
ETH is still under pressure from the downward trend line
Brothers can pay attention to the short opportunity as it rebounds near the trend line
Quick in and out, steadily make a profit!
Those who followed this wave of Ethereum can take profits, and those who haven't hopped on shouldn't rush; let's wait for the next wave of setups, see you in the chat room!!!
Last night's market was truly an art of the manipulators. BTC directly spiked to 877
Then came an astonishing V-reversal, oscillating up and down, completely clearing both long and short positions!
The market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut in December, so there won't be too many surprises.
Now the market focus has shifted to the rate cut path in 2026!
If the Federal Reserve's expectations for the number of rate cuts in 2026 are unclear
or at least 3 times below market expectations, that would be bearish, and the market may face significant fluctuations!
Currently, the probability of this situation occurring is not small, so brothers must be prepared defensively!
Key intraday BTC level: the dividing line between long and short at 90000!
Long position support: 90000
Now 90000 is the lifeline for bulls; as long as the four-hour closing does not fall below 90000, the market continues to look for rebounds and upward momentum.
Support below: 87600-86300
If the four-hour closing falls below 90000 again
then short-term long positions must exit decisively! The bullish pattern will be completely invalidated.
The market will turn bearish, with target support at 87600 and 86300, and operations must be flexible to respond!
Currently, bulls have stabilized at 90000.
If the rebound continues to gain strength, resistance is at 93000 and 94000; if broken, there may even be an opportunity for 96000!
But brothers, don’t be greedy near the resistance level; those who are cautious can gradually reduce positions to lock in profits; winning is the hard truth!
Recent trades have been quite good; yesterday's Ethereum and Bitcoin rebounds have also been captured.
All have caught the comments following along.
See you in the next trade layout chatroom; let's not miss each other!
Brothers, pay attention! Pay attention! The market is now a bomb that could explode at any moment! The probability of a rate cut in December has reached over 90%, and the market consensus is at its peak, but remember: the higher the consensus, the greater the risk!
Do you remember when the expectation of a rate hike in Japan was 90% in August 2024?
As a result, BTC plummeted 20% in a single day, directly liquidating the entire market!
This is the reality that "good news turns into bad news."
The market never follows the script; the more it seems like a sure thing, the more likely it is to become a big trap!
Last night, there was a sudden crash that liquidated quite a bit; the already limited liquidity is now even less.
Key levels for ETH today:
Short-term support: 3050-3010
The bullish pattern on the ETH daily chart has not been completely destroyed.
If the short-term pullback to 3050-3010 can hold,
there is still a chance for the market to rebound!
The initial target is 3200.
But remember, if the resistance level is not broken, don't be greedy with long positions; a rebound is a great opportunity for shorts!
If the support at 3050-3010 is broken, give up the short-term long positions immediately!
The lower support directly targets 2910.
Resistance range: 3210-3300.
The current rebound resistance for ETH is around 3210; if the market rushes to this range,
shorts can position lightly and set stop losses; liquidation is someone else's business!
Friends who followed the long position for ETH at 2940 yesterday should protect profits and continue to hold.
Let's see the next godly trade in our chat room!!!
Did you participate in last night's monkey business market? Was it exciting?
The Federal Reserve's rate cut in December is basically locked in, but the market is still sluggish.
Bitcoin's rebound lacks strength, and there is fierce back-and-forth trading in the short term, with monkey business markets emerging one after another!
The current key support level for BTC is at 88000 dollars.
As long as this support holds, there is still a chance for a rebound to 95000 on the daily chart!
However, considering the market's sluggishness,
a rebound to 95000 may require a period of consolidation to complete.
Brothers, this rebound is a test of patience!
The current market is highly volatile, and frequent trading can easily lead to stop-losses.
Brothers must be patient to find the right entry points, trading low for long and high for short in a stable manner!
Last night, we set up long positions near 88200 for the family,
resulting in a direct rebound profit of 3000 points!
For those who followed, wasn't this a blast?
For friends who missed out, there will be another opportunity tonight.