Crypto玩家一号

$ETH

Has the market turned bullish after a slight rise for a few days? My view is very clear: we are still in a bear market because the monthly chart has formed a high position dead cross (Chart 1). At least the monthly chart needs to adjust for six months to a year, so don't be overly ambitious; take the opportunity of a weekly rebound and exit.
As for the current weekly rebound, historically it falls into two categories. One is a daily divergence leading to a weekly rebound (Chart 2), and the other is a two-month sideways consolidation without breaking new lows leading to a weekly rebound (Chart 3). Which category does the current situation belong to?
On the evening of December 4th, #ETH走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区

$BTC
大饼这几天有点小硬呀？那就干它。
根据缠论技术分析，目前大饼正在走四小时反弹，30分钟离开笔也在进行中。（图1）
操作策略：做多
· 🎯 进场区间：86300至86700分批进多
· 🎯 目标位：88200 89000
· 🛑 止损：84800
12.17日 #btc走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹

$ETH

Reject anxiety! ETH's "bottom grinding" rebound is imminent, with clear signals to go long from the Chen theory.
The market is born out of despair and rises amidst hesitation! Ethereum's current "墨迹走势" is precisely a classic move by the main force to accumulate positions! The Chen theory technical structure shows: the 30-minute bottom divergence has been confirmed, and the four-hour rebound is very likely to explode! 🔥（图1）
Operational strategy: Go long
· 🎯 Entry range: 2920 to 2935 in batches
· 🎯 Target price: 2985 3030
· 🛑 Stop loss: 2860
12.17 #ETH走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安中文社区 @币安Binance华语

2025.12.17 Crypto Morning News
☀️ Brothers, the morning report is here! New data has come in, and the winds are shifting from 'expectations' to 'reality':

1️⃣ 【Macroeconomic Levels Bottoming Out】 The U.S. non-farm employment in November exceeded expectations, with an increase of 64,000 jobs, reversing the previous downturn. Coupled with Trump publicly stating that 'the Federal Reserve rates could be lower', both political pressure for policy change and supportive data are in place, making the direction of the flow increasingly clear.

2️⃣ 【Smart Money Racing Ahead】 After the non-farm data was released, gold surged to $4312.54 per ounce. The price language of traditional safe-haven assets is always honest; it is telling us: the re-evaluation of currency value has begun, and this is not a drill.

3️⃣ 【Whale Institutions Continue to Reallocate】 Asset management giant BlackRock deposited 47,463 ETH into Coinbase. This is not retail FOMO; this is traditional capital's substantial positioning and layout at the spot level, reserving core assets for the upcoming new cycle.

4️⃣ 【Regulatory Ice Melting Faster】 The SEC has officially ended its four-year investigation into Aave, the leading DeFi protocol. This is a crucial signal: the top regulatory body is clarifying boundaries and clearing obstacles for compliant development. From expressing recognition (of Bitcoin) to taking actual action (ending the investigation), the attitude shift has entered the operational stage.

5️⃣ 【Super Variables are Brewing】 Rumors suggest that Musk may represent the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections. If true, this would be one of the most powerful political narrative variables imaginable in the crypto space. A leader well-versed in technology and embracing crypto entering the core of power would have an imagination far exceeding short-term policy fluctuations.

6️⃣ 【Remember the Current Keywords】 Fulfillment. Macroeconomic data and political statements are fulfilling easing expectations, gold is fulfilling currency anxieties, institutions are fulfilling asset allocations, and regulators are fulfilling the 'no pursuit' commitment. Everything is transforming from 'hearsay' to 'sight'.

In summary: When macro tides, institutional footprints, and regulatory sunlight appear simultaneously, every market pullback is a reward for your understanding. Don't focus on the waves at your feet; the push of the tide has already changed.
$BTC $ETH
@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区

#btc #eth
2025.12.16 Cryptocurrency Morning News
☀️ Brothers, the morning report is here! Today's news still revolves around gold, and the pattern is quietly changing:

1️⃣ 【Increased Liquidity Expectations】 Two Federal Reserve officials (Collins, Williams) have successively expressed support for interest rate cuts, citing slowing employment. The expectation of opening the floodgates is growing stronger!

2️⃣ 【Regulatory Sentiment Reversal】 SEC Chairman publicly declares: Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are the most advanced financial systems in the world! This endorsement from the highest regulatory level is invaluable!

3️⃣ 【Traditional Power Capital Enters】 The “American Bitcoin” organization supported by the Trump family has increased its holdings by 261 BTC. This is not retail behavior; it is a family fund with keen political instincts making strategic moves.

4️⃣ 【Eastern Power Advances Infrastructure】 The National Bureau of Statistics of China has signed a memorandum to carry out technological cooperation in blockchain and other areas. Major global economies are betting on this new track, and the trend is unstoppable.

5️⃣ 【Market Cleansing of High Leverage】 “Big Brother” increased ETH long positions were liquidated, with total losses exceeding $22.7 million. This is not a bad thing; it is cleaning up the frenzy of high leverage, making the foundation for future rises healthier.

6️⃣ 【Remember the Current Stage】 Expectations of macroeconomic easing + changes in regulatory attitudes + global capital and technology layouts, every short-term fluctuation in the market is preparing for the next stage.

In summary: Ignore the daily waves, see the direction of the entire tide. When the gears of liquidity, policy, and adoption start to turn simultaneously, your position will determine your outcome.

$ZEC


🙌 ZEC bulls gathered! The four-hour support held, and the rebound is about to accelerate! (Image 2)
Morning divergence long position ✅ has made a profit
Evening 30-minute second buy ✅ about to enter (entry point shown in Image 3)
· 🎯 Entry range: 396 to 400 in batches
· 🎯 Target level: 419 440
· 🛑 Stop loss: 383
🔥 Missed the first wave, don't miss the second wave again!
12.15 evening #zec走势分析 #山寨币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区

💎 Simple and straightforward: Ethereum will bounce back tonight, go long!\nEthereum increased by 3% today, so the pullback is like the market giving out red envelopes, and it is about to hit the four-hour resistance level of 3180. (Figure 1)\nAccording to the theory of cycles, Ethereum showed a 30-minute level divergence this morning, which is likely to trigger a four-hour rebound, so the best opportunity tonight is to wait for the 30-minute second buy. (Figure 2)\nOperation strategy: Go long\n· 🎯 Entry range: Enter long in batches from 3080 to 3100\n· 🎯 Target: 3180 3250\n· 🛑 Stop loss: 3000\n12.15 evening #ETH走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹 \n@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区

2025.12.15 Cryptocurrency Morning News
Brothers, today's news is still explosive! Regulators, institutions, and big players are all moving, and the direction is becoming clearer:

1️⃣ 【Strong Signal】U.S. regulatory agencies have preliminarily approved Ripple and Circle to establish trust banks! This means that stablecoins and crypto payments are officially entering the national financial system!

2️⃣ The Polish cabinet has approved cryptocurrency regulations, the bill is just waiting for the president's signature! Another victory for Europe's compliance landscape!

3️⃣ Trump candidate publicly states: Bitcoin can counterbalance government spending! Political narrative +1, BTC's “freedom asset” attribute is highlighted!

4️⃣ Coinbase CEO drops bombshell: The U.S. government itself has Bitcoin reserves! Regulating on one side while secretly hoarding?

5️⃣ Cathie Wood reiterates: Bitcoin is the preferred asset for institutions entering the crypto market! ARK continues to go all in!

6️⃣ Michael Saylor may hint that MicroStrategy will increase its Bitcoin holdings again! This publicly traded company takes buying BTC more seriously than doing business!

7️⃣ But note the signal: Some smart money suddenly turns, opening a short position of 1000 BTC, worth nearly 90 million dollars! Big funds starting to hedge?

8️⃣ Citigroup predicts: Tonight's U.S. non-farm payroll report may release contradictory signals, market volatility warning! Hold your positions tight!

$ETH
🚨 Alert! Is ETH continuing to plummet or is it starting a decent rebound? Please follow me!
Recently, ETH has been stronger than BTC, but it has also broken below the four-hour trend line. The medium to long-term trend still looks bearish. Currently, it is finding support near the four-hour support level of 3020. Let's take a small rebound first and then decide; after the rebound, we will continue to short. (Image 1)
According to the theory of cyclic analysis, ETH has shown a bottom divergence at the support level on the one-hour chart, which is likely to trigger a rebound on the four-hour chart. (Image 2)
⚠️ One point must be emphasized: we must wait for the one-hour level to pull into the central area (above 3090) and make a one-hour level pullback instead of entering now. If it cannot pull in, then give up and wait for the next trading plan.
Operation Strategy: Go long
· 🎯 Entry range: 3045 to 3060, enter long in batches
· 🎯 Target: 3139 3180
· 🛑 Stop loss: 2980
December 15th #ETH走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安中文社区 @币安Binance华语

$ZEC
After the sharp drop yesterday, ZEC has broken below the four-hour trend line, currently finding support around the four-hour support level of 397. Let's take a small rebound first, and then continue shorting. (Image 1)
According to the Chande theory technical analysis, ZEC has formed a 30-minute level bottom divergence at the support position, which is highly likely to trigger a four-hour level rebound. (Image 2)
Operational strategy: Go long
· 🎯 Entry range: 398 to 403, enter long in batches
· 🎯 Target: 413 440
· 🛑 Stop loss: 387.5
12.15 #zec走势分析 #Altcoin Analysis #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹

@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区

🚀 Brothers! CZ says the cycle is about to change! Will there be no more bear markets in the future?
Listen up, CZ's speech this time is incredible! He directly said that the previous four-year major cycle might be coming to an end!

To put it simply: It used to be dictated by miners (halving, selling after mining), which is why we had such prolonged bear markets. And now? It's those Wall Street guys in suits with money who are coming in!

Their money is stable and long-term, unlike us retail investors who easily cut losses. Once these giants come in, the market foundation becomes solid!

My judgment: The kind of bear market that falls for two years and brings despair is unlikely to be seen again! There will definitely be adjustments, but they will be quick in and out, deep V shapes, without dragging on.

What does everyone think? Is the bear market really destined to become a "short-lived ghost"? Let’s get lively in the comments!
$BTC $ETH
@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区 #加密市场反弹 #cz

$ZEC
《Not convinced? ZEC will definitely drop to 400! Dual confirmation from Chán theory + market feel》
💥 It's been intense for a while, time to take a break! The upper pressure of the central axis is obvious, and the cost-effectiveness of short positions is highlighted.
According to Chán theory technical analysis, ZEC is currently building a central axis at the 30-minute level, and it is set to take off after leaving the pen in 30 minutes. (As shown in the first picture)
Operation strategy: Short
· 🎯 Entry range: 437 to 439, enter short in batches
· 🎯 Target position: 420 400
· 🛑 Stop loss: 455
❓ Dare to follow? Share your position in the comments, let's witness the market together!
12.14 #zec走势分析 #山寨币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安中文社区 @币安Binance华语

$ETH

🚨 Warning! ETH is garbage! If you dare to be weak, I'll short! The consolidation zone is locked, a crash is imminent!

Only look at the charts! Don't listen to those positive narratives! ETH can't even form a decent upward move, who are you trying to fool? Weakness is the biggest negative factor!

According to technical analysis based on Elliott Wave Theory, ETH is currently building a clear 1-hour level consolidation zone around 3040 to 3120. The high point of this consolidation zone has been repeatedly suppressed by the 4-hour resistance level of 3174! This isn't weakness, this is garbage! Since there's no upward momentum, the only direction left is downward! What we're waiting for isn't an upward "consolidation divergence," but an accelerated plunge in the downward "departure move"! (As shown in Figure 1)
Trading Strategy: Short Selling

· 🎯 Entry Range: Short sell in batches between 3120 and 3150

· 🎯 Target Prices: 3030, 2980

· 🛑 Stop Loss: 3220

December 14th #ETH走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹

@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区

2025.12.14 Crypto Morning News
☀️ Brothers, the morning report is here! The news on the 14th remains solid, with each piece more critical than the last:
1️⃣ 【Official Certification!】 The chair of the U.S. SEC has personally acknowledged: The U.S. government has given Bitcoin the "approval stamp"! The biggest uncertainty in regulation has officially been lifted, marking a historic turning point!
2️⃣ 【Money Printing Machine Activated】 This week, the net inflow into the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF is $2.866 billion! The funding floodgates are wide open, and institutions are scrambling to buy without stopping!
3️⃣ 【Cycle Theory Broken】 Grayscale has issued a significant viewpoint: The Bitcoin four-year halving cycle may no longer be applicable, with the target looking directly at a new high in 2026! The situation is about to change!
4️⃣ 【Benchmark Standing Tall】 MicroStrategy has successfully retained its position in the Nasdaq 100 index, with an "eternal hold" strategy gaining endorsement from traditional capital circles!
5️⃣ 【Invisible Whales】 It has been revealed that Bitmine holds a staggering 3.2% of the total ETH supply, valued at $12 billion! The real giants are lurking beneath the surface, and chips are being frantically accumulated.
6️⃣ 【Gold Alert】 Gold is currently reported at $90,300, with a key turning point possibly approaching, requiring close attention to support levels! Once traditional assets fluctuate, the capital diversion effect may exceed expectations.
7️⃣ 【Future Variables】 Trump claims Kevin Warsh (a well-known hawk) is his first choice for Fed chairman. If true, the global liquidity narrative will face a new game of strategy, stimulating!
8️⃣ 【Limited Impact of Yen】 Analysts suggest that a rate hike in the yen may struggle to trigger large-scale risk aversion. The easing tone in major markets remains unchanged, and the stage for risk assets remains solid.
$ETH $BTC #加密市场反弹
@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区

$ETH


🚨 Emergency Warning! After a high position lure, ETH crashes again! 3440 daily line pressure is conclusive, and the Fusaka upgrade has completely turned from favorable to unfavorable! (Image 1)
According to Chán theory technical analysis, an hourly top divergence triggers a drop. Currently, there is an hourly level rebound. The probability of leaving the pen in the next one or two days at the hourly level is high. (Image 2)
Operation strategy: Short selling
· 🎯 Entry range: 3140 to 3170, entering short in batches
· 🎯 Target: 3040 3000
· 🛑 Stop loss: 3240
On December 13, #ETH走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安中文社区 @币安Binance华语

2025.12.13 Daily Cryptocurrency News
☀️ Brothers, the morning report is here!
1️⃣ 【Milestone】 Five cryptocurrency companies have directly obtained U.S. banking licenses! Institutions are no longer 'entering' but have received the keys to the armory!
2️⃣ 【Divine Assistance】 Federal Reserve officials finally spoke up: Long-term, a rate cut cannot be ruled out! The faucet for the U.S. dollar will eventually be reopened!
3️⃣ 【Barometer】 Gold has surged crazily, hitting a historical high of $4350! Traditional safe-haven assets are screaming: The expectation of massive liquidity is back!
4️⃣ 【Eastern Power】 The People's Bank of China has sent a clear signal: A reserve requirement and interest rate cut could come at any time! The two major global economies may simultaneously turn to easing!
5️⃣ 【Rule Implementation】 The European Union has officially transferred cryptocurrency regulatory authority to ESMA, and the MiCA legislation is set to be fully rolled out! The chaotic period is over, and the era of compliant major players has begun!
6️⃣ 【On-chain Evidence】 USDC on the Solana blockchain has wildly transferred $85 million! This is not retail behavior; it’s whales using real money to accumulate!
7️⃣ 【Another Victory】 Top custody institution BitGo has officially been approved to open a bank! The vault for institutional funds is being taken over by the crypto world.
8️⃣ 【Real-world Application】 980 gas stations in the UAE fully accept stablecoin payments! Cryptocurrency is no longer just a concept; it's fueling your car!
$BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹

$ZEC
ZEC has recently been very strong, rising without stopping, and has now broken through the middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands.
According to Chande's technical analysis, ZEC is currently experiencing a four-hour rebound continuation, with a 30-minute departure from the pen ongoing.
Operation strategy: Go long
· 🎯 Entry range: Around 454.5
· 🎯 Target: 469 483
· 🛑 Stop loss: 440
12.12 #zec走势分析 #山寨币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安中文社区 @币安Binance华语

$SOL


🔥 SOL Chuan Lun Alert! Four-hour rebound initiated, target 145-150, positive news support!
SOL has finally reached its limit! Daily Pinbar with a long lower shadow, four-hour rebound is about to kick off, aiming to exit on a 30-minute level this evening, currently experiencing a 30-minute level pullback (enter when five-minute MACD divergence occurs).
Positive news boost:
Vanguard's SOL ETF restriction lifted, institutional doors wide open!
Franklin Templeton SOEZ ETF launched + staking rewards!
12.11 ETF inflow $11M, SOL stands out
Operation strategy: Long
· 🎯 Entry range: 136.2 to 136.8
· 🎯 Target: 140 145
· 🛑 Stop loss: 133
12.12 #sol走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安Binance华语 @币安中文社区

$LUNA2 $LUNC $USTC

“🚨 Do Kwon sentenced to 15 years in prison, tears streaming down! 40 billion Terra scam finally caught, the culprit of LUNA's fall from heaven to hell pays the price! 😡 But the market has gone crazy: soaring 132% to $0.16 in 7 days, 24h trading volume of 780 million! How crazy now, how tragic in the future?
From a technical perspective, the daily top divergence has appeared, pulling up to a strong resistance at $0.25, RSI overbought death cross imminent——the countdown to the collapse of scam coin LUNA! Friends, for those who lost blood back then, who will comment on your Terra nightmare?
12.12 #luna走势分析 #山寨币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安中文社区 @币安Binance华语

$ETH
Insider has heavily invested in long positions, what are you waiting for?
After yesterday's rapid decline, Ethereum has stabilized at the support level of 3160 (four-hour top-bottom conversion) as shown in Figure 1.
According to the Chen Theory technical analysis, Ethereum experienced a 30-minute bottom divergence, which is highly likely to trigger a four-hour level rebound (Figure 2).
PS: Insider opened a long position in ETH worth 450 million USD, follow him for some insight (Figure 3).
Trading Strategy: Go Long
· 🎯 Entry Range: Around 3218
· 🎯 Target: 3278 3350
· 🛑 Stop Loss: 3158
December 12, #ETH走势分析 #主流币分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹
@币安中文社区 @币安Binance华语