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On Wednesday, the U.S. stock indices saw the Nasdaq index drop by 1.2% during the day, the S&P 500 index dropped by 0.8%, and gold rose by 0.7% to $4,333 per ounce.
In November, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000, higher than the expected 50,000;
The U.S. unemployment rate in November was 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%, marking the highest level since September 2021.
At the beginning of January, the new Federal Reserve head will be announced, which could be seen as a positive factor by the end of December. Currently, candidates such as Hassett, Waller, and Walsh all support significant interest rate cuts, which would please Trump.
Old friends bear their own losses. Gold has experienced an approximately 100% increase, strongly attracting capital from the cryptocurrency market. Previously, institutions pursuing volatility favored the crypto market, but this year gold has taken the place of the crypto market. Currently, institutions expect gold to rise by about 20% next year, which may reduce its capital attraction, hoping the crypto market can recover some of its losses. At the same time, be aware of risks.
Japan's interest rate hike is a negative factor, as it caused significant drops when raised in July last year, while the impact of the hike in January this year was minor. This Friday, the market is already betting close to 100% on the expected rate hike. Binance Exchange: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/join?ref=R217YGVK
With Japan's interest rate hike, the higher the market's betting expectations, the more it indicates the extent of pre-digestion. Currently, the market expects a 98% probability of a rate hike, indicating that most of the impact has already been digested. There is still a need to guard against negative impacts, such as the Bank of Japan providing expectations for other rate hikes beyond this one (currently, the market expects the Bank of Japan to hike once next summer).
Attention should be paid to Thursday night's CPI, as it may affect the market. A decrease in CPI is a positive signal, while an increase in CPI is a negative signal. 共建币安广场聊天 Thank you for your support all the way, wishing old friends financial freedom in the new cycle, keep it up 👍
Good morning, Binance Square family. “Luck fades fast, but knowledge compounds quietly.” Start today with learning, not rushing. The market always rewards those who respect the process.
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