镜中幽狐
BTC Holder
Frequent Trader
1.7 Years
股市的花语是:大部分人的不幸转化成小部分人的幸福。
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$ETH
As of now, aside from one epic negative factor for Ethereum—a potential collapse on the level of a Great Depression in the United States—and a huge downside risk with Bitcoin teetering on the edge, everything else is positive news.
If you want to buy spot and don’t know what to purchase, just buy Ethereum. The foundation chairman has changed, Cancun has been upgraded, the accusations against Uniswap have been dropped, Solana has collapsed, and giant whales are buying OTC like crazy. These are all very significant positives, and it's only a matter of time before the price goes up. Moreover, the minimum expectation this year is $5000, which means it has doubled from now, and it’s already quite good. If it falls to $2500, it will eventually recover. If such a well-established king of altcoins, which has developed for several years, can trap you in spot at $2500, then what else besides Bitcoin will cause you to lose?
The main reason Ethereum is struggling to rise is due to the massive staking. If you study it closely, you'll know that the profits from staking are all derived from dumping. If you are optimistic about a token, do not stake it and let them dump it; it’s a classic case where you care about the interest while others care about your principal.
Many Ethereum staking tokens have also made a fortune. They sold their staked tokens above $3000 and are now buying them back at over $2000. Those with TVL in the billions are nearing $1 billion in revenue, yet they don’t pump the price—shameless. It’s like those KOLs promoting the idea of getting multiple benefits from one fish; you think it’s about getting more from one fish, but in reality, you’re picking sesame seeds and losing watermelons. The staked Ethereum at $3500 can now only be withdrawn at $2500, and the airdrops can’t even compensate for the loss in price 😓
We should resist staking.
As of now, aside from one epic negative factor for Ethereum—a potential collapse on the level of a Great Depression in the United States—and a huge downside risk with Bitcoin teetering on the edge, everything else is positive news.
If you want to buy spot and don’t know what to purchase, just buy Ethereum. The foundation chairman has changed, Cancun has been upgraded, the accusations against Uniswap have been dropped, Solana has collapsed, and giant whales are buying OTC like crazy. These are all very significant positives, and it's only a matter of time before the price goes up. Moreover, the minimum expectation this year is $5000, which means it has doubled from now, and it’s already quite good. If it falls to $2500, it will eventually recover. If such a well-established king of altcoins, which has developed for several years, can trap you in spot at $2500, then what else besides Bitcoin will cause you to lose?
The main reason Ethereum is struggling to rise is due to the massive staking. If you study it closely, you'll know that the profits from staking are all derived from dumping. If you are optimistic about a token, do not stake it and let them dump it; it’s a classic case where you care about the interest while others care about your principal.
Many Ethereum staking tokens have also made a fortune. They sold their staked tokens above $3000 and are now buying them back at over $2000. Those with TVL in the billions are nearing $1 billion in revenue, yet they don’t pump the price—shameless. It’s like those KOLs promoting the idea of getting multiple benefits from one fish; you think it’s about getting more from one fish, but in reality, you’re picking sesame seeds and losing watermelons. The staked Ethereum at $3500 can now only be withdrawn at $2500, and the airdrops can’t even compensate for the loss in price 😓
We should resist staking.
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I want to be a cold-pants person 😡 This is my last post (for sure)
I accidentally brushed through a historical order, but actually I haven't opened a single contract yet 😭😭😭
I accidentally brushed through a historical order, but actually I haven't opened a single contract yet 😭😭😭
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$BTC
Is this market not shady? The wisdom of being in cash 😎
Is this market not shady? The wisdom of being in cash 😎
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$BTC
The most important core question right now is whether the four-year cycle is still in place?
And this question will only have an answer by the middle of next year, so either taking a long position or staying on the sidelines is the best choice for now 😎
The most important core question right now is whether the four-year cycle is still in place?
And this question will only have an answer by the middle of next year, so either taking a long position or staying on the sidelines is the best choice for now 😎
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$BTC
Surpassing 94%😎
Then I feel that being out of the market can immediately overcome 90% of the crypto retail investors😎
Surpassing 94%😎
Then I feel that being out of the market can immediately overcome 90% of the crypto retail investors😎
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$BTC
Isn't this liquidity too poor? Set a stop loss, and it will be goodbye at the bottom of the bear market 😤
Isn't this liquidity too poor? Set a stop loss, and it will be goodbye at the bottom of the bear market 😤
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$BTC
The last QT ended in August 2019, when BTC subsequently plummeted by 60%, while the US stock market slightly dropped and then began to fluctuate upwards a month later🤔
The last QT ended in August 2019, when BTC subsequently plummeted by 60%, while the US stock market slightly dropped and then began to fluctuate upwards a month later🤔
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$BTC
Just woke up and it has plummeted again. The good news is that the whole world is dropping, but the bad news is that the Nasdaq has only dropped by less than a point😓
Just woke up and it has plummeted again. The good news is that the whole world is dropping, but the bad news is that the Nasdaq has only dropped by less than a point😓
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$BTC This pancake starts to drop in price as soon as I touch it 😓
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$BTC
Looking back at history, the technical analysis of the pancake weekly chart has been quite accurate, so the probability of returning to 100,000 in the last two months is still quite high.
Looking back at history, the technical analysis of the pancake weekly chart has been quite accurate, so the probability of returning to 100,000 in the last two months is still quite high.
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Reduce 90% transaction fees, income plummets directly, how could it not fall?
K1ko妹妹的爸比
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$HYPE The market has plummeted crazily in the past two days
Is Hyperliquid going to crash?
Is the DEX track going to be disproved?
Indeed, Jeff Yan is also a scammer
Are all these token issuers just beasts trying to make a profit?
The market's plunge in the past two days is due to 2.6 million HYPE being unstaked by the team, which, based on the current market price, estimates a selling pressure of about 80 million dollars, with the account belonging to Hyper Labs.
The unstaking has a 7-day lock-up period, so this batch of HYPE will really enter the market around November 28th.
This is the team's first time unstaking HYPE. The team has not started selling, but due to the recent panic triggered by the plummet of BTC, retail investors are clearing their positions in advance.
The current opposing views are:
> Everyone speculates that there are off-market buyers who will conduct OTC transactions, so it won't affect the market
> Jeff and the team deserve to buy a Lamborghini to improve their lives
From the data perspective:
> Hyperliquid has generated over 900 million dollars in fees
> In the past 24 hours, 4.5 million dollars worth of HYPE was repurchased and burned
> The SWPE index has reached 1.34, currently at an ATL (all-time low), and there is still 4.5 times the space for recovery based on the historical highest SWPE
> Currently, there is a significant discrepancy between SWPE and protocol revenue, resulting in a serious inversion.
Is Hyperliquid going to crash?
Is the DEX track going to be disproved?
Indeed, Jeff Yan is also a scammer
Are all these token issuers just beasts trying to make a profit?
The market's plunge in the past two days is due to 2.6 million HYPE being unstaked by the team, which, based on the current market price, estimates a selling pressure of about 80 million dollars, with the account belonging to Hyper Labs.
The unstaking has a 7-day lock-up period, so this batch of HYPE will really enter the market around November 28th.
This is the team's first time unstaking HYPE. The team has not started selling, but due to the recent panic triggered by the plummet of BTC, retail investors are clearing their positions in advance.
The current opposing views are:
> Everyone speculates that there are off-market buyers who will conduct OTC transactions, so it won't affect the market
> Jeff and the team deserve to buy a Lamborghini to improve their lives
From the data perspective:
> Hyperliquid has generated over 900 million dollars in fees
> In the past 24 hours, 4.5 million dollars worth of HYPE was repurchased and burned
> The SWPE index has reached 1.34, currently at an ATL (all-time low), and there is still 4.5 times the space for recovery based on the historical highest SWPE
> Currently, there is a significant discrepancy between SWPE and protocol revenue, resulting in a serious inversion.
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$BTC
Patience means being able to understand and endure😡😡😡
Patience means being able to understand and endure😡😡😡
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$BTC
Success is in the hands of man, but the outcome is determined by heaven; if this continues, we can only say see you in the next round.
Success is in the hands of man, but the outcome is determined by heaven; if this continues, we can only say see you in the next round.
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$HYPE
Transaction fees reduced by 90%, new negative news, not repeating a second time
Transaction fees reduced by 90%, new negative news, not repeating a second time
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$ETH
Are you playing like this?😓
Are you playing like this?😓
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Wall Street has to buy 3 million bitcoins below 100,000 at least to pull it, maximum looks for a rebound
🔥Bear? Or a fake bear? CryptoQuant founder gave the key answer
CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju posted.
The meaning is simple:
Funds are still flowing into BTC,
so it is not a bear market.
Currently, funds are indeed still flowing.
He even said:
As long as OG whales stop selling,
combined with a reversal in macro sentiment,
Bitcoin could surge at any time.
He also mentioned before:
Investors who entered 6–12 months ago have a cost around 94,000.
As long as it does not drop below 94,000,
it cannot be called a bear market.
In other words:
This current drop,
is more like an OG rebalancing + macro pressure creating a "pseudo bear."
As long as the funds are not cut off,
the larger trend is still in place.
#BTC
CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju posted.
The meaning is simple:
Funds are still flowing into BTC,
so it is not a bear market.
Currently, funds are indeed still flowing.
He even said:
As long as OG whales stop selling,
combined with a reversal in macro sentiment,
Bitcoin could surge at any time.
He also mentioned before:
Investors who entered 6–12 months ago have a cost around 94,000.
As long as it does not drop below 94,000,
it cannot be called a bear market.
In other words:
This current drop,
is more like an OG rebalancing + macro pressure creating a "pseudo bear."
As long as the funds are not cut off,
the larger trend is still in place.
#BTC
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$BTC
If the US stock market doesn't crash in the second half of the month, it is estimated to rebound for two weeks; the order for over eighty thousand ended today😴
If the US stock market doesn't crash in the second half of the month, it is estimated to rebound for two weeks; the order for over eighty thousand ended today😴
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$BTC
No, how come I just bought it not long ago, and it has plummeted 😅
No, how come I just bought it not long ago, and it has plummeted 😅
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$BTC
No, the market trend for today is too gloomy, isn't it? It's completely abnormal😳
No, the market trend for today is too gloomy, isn't it? It's completely abnormal😳
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$BTC
Let's get serious with the analysis.
I have changed my perspective; this year it is very likely that Bitcoin will continue to repeat its four-year cycle, and we should see it drop below 90k. If it can reach 74k, it is likely to be the bottom.
The reason is simple: currently, U.S. institutions hold only nearly three million Bitcoins, which is less than 15% of the total supply, making complete institutionalization impossible. In the range of 90k-100k, there will be miner bosses supporting the price. Once it drops below 100k, the miner bosses will buy Bitcoin to support the price, and if it stays at this level for a long time without dropping further, Wall Street will not be able to collect chips. Therefore, breaking below 90k in the future is inevitable, and it will stay below 90k for a considerable time to facilitate further chip collection.
Finally, I believe that breaking the four-year cycle is inevitable because the halving of mining rewards determines the four-year cycle, and now the impact of mining output on the overall market is becoming less significant. The reason for continuing the four-year cycle this year is that Wall Street can use this pretext to suppress prices and collect chips while allowing those who stubbornly believe in a 75% drop to miss out.
I believe a landmark event that signifies the end of the four-year cycle will be when institutional holdings exceed 60% of the total supply, which is still too low now.
Let's get serious with the analysis.
I have changed my perspective; this year it is very likely that Bitcoin will continue to repeat its four-year cycle, and we should see it drop below 90k. If it can reach 74k, it is likely to be the bottom.
The reason is simple: currently, U.S. institutions hold only nearly three million Bitcoins, which is less than 15% of the total supply, making complete institutionalization impossible. In the range of 90k-100k, there will be miner bosses supporting the price. Once it drops below 100k, the miner bosses will buy Bitcoin to support the price, and if it stays at this level for a long time without dropping further, Wall Street will not be able to collect chips. Therefore, breaking below 90k in the future is inevitable, and it will stay below 90k for a considerable time to facilitate further chip collection.
Finally, I believe that breaking the four-year cycle is inevitable because the halving of mining rewards determines the four-year cycle, and now the impact of mining output on the overall market is becoming less significant. The reason for continuing the four-year cycle this year is that Wall Street can use this pretext to suppress prices and collect chips while allowing those who stubbornly believe in a 75% drop to miss out.
I believe a landmark event that signifies the end of the four-year cycle will be when institutional holdings exceed 60% of the total supply, which is still too low now.
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