A-阿龙

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1. Open the Binance APP, enter "chat room" in the top search bar, and click to enter the function entry;
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3. In the friend search box, accurately enter my exclusive chat ID: utep4p44bl, click search and you will find me. Send a friend request to start interacting!
In the future, whether you want to chat about market trends, share experiences, or consult questions, you can chat directly after adding me as a friend, no need to find channels everywhere $BTC $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察

Golden Week Review: Steady at the 4300 mark! Next week will see a pullback and consolidation, with layout opportunities coming

Gold's market this week experienced a "grind before the break", showcasing a typical breakout trend: at the beginning of the week, it oscillated in the 4170-4250 range to gain momentum, and on Tuesday night, it strongly broke through the critical resistance at 4250-4260. Although there was a nearly hundred-point retreat on Friday (mainly due to profit-taking), it quickly stabilized at the end of the session, ultimately closing above 4300, highlighting the overall resilience of the bulls.

The technical aspect has formed a clear support structure: the previous resistance at 4250-4260 has completely transformed into strong support, and after breaking through the 4300 mark, a new support platform has also been established; the moving averages on the daily level are in a bullish arrangement, with various technical indicators maintaining bullish signals, solidifying the trend's foundation.

Looking ahead to next week, two points need to be emphasized: first, the short-term technical pullback risk, with an initial pullback or consolidation in the 4320-4280 range, which is the core observation window for laying out long positions; second, next Friday (December 16) non-farm data; if employment data exceeds expectations, it may trigger short-term fluctuations but will not change the overall bullish trend.

In terms of operational thinking, the macro environment still supports gold, so there is no need to panic during pullbacks. It is recommended to focus on "buying on dips" and to seize layout opportunities around the pullback support area of 4280-4260 $BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金

This week's trading summary: Maintain the rhythm and wait for new situations

The trading cycle for this week has concluded. Although there were slight pullbacks during the process, we have always adhered strictly to risk boundaries and have steadily controlled the overall trading rhythm.

There are no absolute favorable conditions in trading. This week presented several high-quality opportunities, and while we regret not being able to seize them, it once again confirms the market's norm — short-term fluctuations and pullbacks are not bad things; rather, they build momentum for more powerful breakthroughs ahead.

In the face of market fluctuations, a rational mindset is key. There is no need to be frustrated by momentary regrets; negative emotions will only disrupt decision-making rhythms. Furthermore, there is no need for anxiety; as long as we protect our principal and maintain our 'presence' in the market, countless new opportunities will open up to us in the future.

In the new week, we continue to adopt a steady approach to welcome the new market conditions! $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议

$BTC $ETH Tuesday Morning Gold Insights

Overnight, gold dipped to 4176 before quickly rebounding, currently oscillating narrowly above 4190. From the 1-hour cycle perspective, the market is still in the technical recovery phase after the decline, with no clear reversal signals appearing, and the overall weak pattern remains unchanged.

The short-term moving averages maintain a bearish arrangement, but the downward momentum has significantly weakened, with prices forming effective support at the lower Bollinger band.
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First resistance at 4200-4205, the middle Bollinger band; second resistance at 4220-4225, the upper Bollinger band; only when it stabilizes at the middle band and breaks above the upper band with volume will the short-term trend have conditions for strengthening.

Low-level support is strengthening, but the rebound volume is insufficient.

During the decline phase, the volume has decreased, and lower shadows have frequently appeared, reflecting an increase in support near the low of 4176.
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The rebound process has not seen a corresponding increase in volume, remaining of a corrective nature; if the 4190-4195 area continues to stabilize, there is hope for a rise to 4215-4220; if the support at 4180 is lost, it may test the low of 4165-4170 again.

Trading suggestions:

Bullish opportunities: After stabilizing in the 4190-4195 area, consider light positions to go long, targeting 4215-4220, with a stop loss below 4180. $BTC

Analysis and Trading Strategy for Gold Market on Monday Evening

Gold has been consistently operating below the key watershed, with the 4220 level remaining the core anchor point for the current bullish and bearish tug-of-war. Whether this position is broken or not directly determines the short-term trend direction, and the view remains consistent with previous observations.

Currently, prices are under pressure below 4220, with previous support levels turning into apparent resistance, and bearish signals are evident. Although the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates this Thursday, before the policy is implemented, under the prevailing sentiment of 'buy the expectation, sell the fact', the overall strategy still focuses on rebound shorts; only when prices strongly break below the 4163 support level will a switch to a low long strategy be considered to avoid premature bottom-fishing.

Operationally, buy at 4190, stop loss below 4175, target 4215-4220$BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析

Last week, the gold market exhibited a pattern of 'highs and lows with range fluctuations'. It opened at 4220.7 at the beginning of the week and quickly rose to an intra-week high of 4265.1, relying on short-term bullish momentum. However, insufficient buying strength at high levels triggered a strong pullback, with a minimum reaching the key support level of 4162. Ultimately, the weekly line closed at 4196.3, forming a spinning top candlestick with a slightly longer upper shadow. This pattern directly reflects the intensified short-term tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with the pullback pressure clearly released.

From the 4-hour cycle perspective, the current gold price is in a range of 4160-4260 with reduced fluctuations, characterized by two core features: First, both attempts to break the 4260 resistance level last week encountered resistance and fell back, indicating concentrated selling pressure above; second, the 4160 support level has been tested twice without being effectively broken, indicating some buying support in that area. Combined with the technical signal of a continuously narrowing Bollinger Band, it is likely to continue the back-and-forth struggle within the range at the beginning of this week. Attention should be paid to the 'breakout direction' — if it effectively breaks below 4160, it will open up the space to test the lower boundary of the converging triangle at 4120; if it breaks above 4260, it may restart the bullish trend.

Trading suggestion: Focus primarily on the range fluctuation approach. A rebound to the 4220-4223 range could be an opportunity to position short, with a target looking down to 4188-4190, $BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析

The first order has entered and exited, Xiao Xiao has a good grasp,
The second order short position has been set with target profit already determined, waiting for result $BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金

Fortune favors the bold, the non-farm payroll data is not ideal, so unemployment expectations are not that good, which is bullish for gold. Is there a high possibility of a data-driven surge tonight? If it breaks the low point of today, it will continue to fall. Currently, the data-driven expectation is $BTC $ETH $BNB .

Why are large numbers of people switching from the cryptocurrency world to gold? The core reason is two words: Stability and Savings

No longer being tossed around by the 'troubles' of the cryptocurrency world, gold has become a more pragmatic choice with its four 'anti-routine' advantages:

- Cost-effective and transparent: No hidden costs such as transaction fees, gas fees, or contract margins like in the cryptocurrency world. There are zero miscellaneous fees in trading, and whatever you earn is yours without worrying about 'invisible expenses'.
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- Flexible and no long-term locks: Unlike the extreme volatility and liquidation risks of the cryptocurrency world, gold prices are more steady and controllable, with shorter break-even periods. Even small amounts of capital can be turned around quickly without having to endure long periods of being stuck.
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- Beginners can stay calm: It’s easy to fall into pitfalls in the cryptocurrency world by figuring things out on your own, but with gold, there is free professional guidance covering everything from market interpretation to risk control, allowing even those with zero foundation to get started smoothly.
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- Low entry barriers bring more peace of mind: Compared to the often tens of thousands of yuan required to enter the cryptocurrency world, gold allows for stable investments with smaller amounts of capital. You don't have to 'gamble it all' to follow trends and earn profits. $BTC $ETH #币安区块链周 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

12.4 Afternoon Bitcoin & Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

The market's short-term upward momentum has entered a significant decline channel. Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the critical resistance level of 94100 but has failed to achieve an effective breakout, clearly indicating concentrated selling pressure and strong resistance in this area.

Technical warning signals have further intensified, with the 4-hour chart forming a technical resonance pattern that requires close attention:

- MACD Indicator: The fast and slow lines are flattening at high levels and gradually converging, with the red momentum bars continuously shrinking, directly confirming the ongoing depletion of market buying power.

Comprehensive judgment indicates that after a continuous upward trend, the short-term adjustment demand in the market has fully heated up. Unless Bitcoin's price stabilizes above 93500 again, and the technical divergence structure is effectively resolved, the overall trend will lean towards testing the lower support range.

Specific Trading Suggestions

Bitcoin: It is recommended to position short orders in the range of 93300-93900, with the first target aimed at 91800, and be sure to set strict stop-loss protection.
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Ethereum: It is recommended to position short orders in the range of 3215-3230, with the first target aimed at 3120$BTC $ETH #币安区块链周 #加密市场观察

Current real trading record locked at 9 orders, 6 wins, 3 losses, with a continuous profit momentum!\nOn Tuesday, 2 consecutive wins and 1 loss kicked off the profitable start, and on Wednesday, another 4 wins and 2 losses expanded the achievements. With high-density operations over two days, the accuracy of predictions has consistently remained high, with each decision targeting certain profitability! $BTC $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持

Morning gold trend, short positions directly see the target of 13 space point, multiple bags 1379 dollars / one hand $SOL #下一任美联储主席人选

Yesterday, the gold market was undergoing a solid washout stage. The current price has risen above 4220. Since the market opened this morning, it has been climbing northward. For those without positions, you might consider my suggestion.
If yellow fish pulls back to 4226-4228, short it, with a stop at 4235 and a target at 4220, looking down to 4215.

Current price 42050-4200 long position, protection at 4195. Target around 4225-4230.

Analysis of the Core Reasons for the Morning Cryptocurrency Plunge

The recent morning drop in Bitcoin and Ethereum can be attributed to a resonance of three main factors: "profit-taking from previous gains + the impact of false news + fluctuations in market expectations."

1. Profit-taking correction is the main reason: Previously, Bitcoin and Ethereum had approached recent highs, and many investors had planned to "take profit," leading some to cash out early, which triggered a wave of follow-up selling and created a chain reaction.
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2. False news as the trigger: This morning, false news about "the Federal Reserve Chair resigning" surfaced. Although it was quickly debunked, the market was already in a sensitive state, and the short-term panic directly amplified selling behavior.
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3. Market expectations add uncertainty: Recent discussions about the "Federal Reserve possibly slowing down interest rate cuts" have heated up. Investors are worried that tightening liquidity will lead to capital withdrawal from the cryptocurrency market, and the mindset to avoid risks in advance has further intensified the decline. $BTC $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析

ZEC is synchronously declining with the overall market, first dipping near the key support level of 370, and the minor trend has already shown signs of instability at the 370 support; in the afternoon, it directly broke down, currently oscillating around 359, and the short-term weak pattern is clear.

Operation suggestion: Pay attention to the range of 360-370 for light positioning of short positions, with a target aimed at the area of 330-320 $BTC $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持

Layout 28's big pancake aunt, without a late response, the upgraded thoughts provided in advance are effective. Today is the 12th of January, do you see if everyone is following what I said, $BTC $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT $ETH #香港稳定币新规 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

These well-known figures in the cryptocurrency circle mostly acquire ill-gotten wealth quickly, and it also leaves just as fast. The so-called wealth in the cryptocurrency world is often earned at the cost of one's life, and it may not necessarily be easy to spend; one may be living lavishly today, but tomorrow could bring disaster. Those who come out to mix, will eventually have to pay the price!$BTC $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场观察

The current long and short pattern of BNB is clear — two consecutive bearish candles on the 4-hour chart, with bullish momentum completely suppressed, indicating a weak trend in the short term; the hourly chart simultaneously confirms the bearish dominance, with prices struggling to rise after touching 899, and rebound momentum continuously lacking, making it difficult to change the pressure pattern in the future.

Operation suggestion: Wait for the market to rebound to the 830-850 range to set up short positions, with a target looking down at the 810-790 area $BTC $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹

Federal Reserve's December "Tuning Week": Interest Rate Cuts Game, Data Vacuum, and Leadership Turmoil, A Policy Dilemma Under Triple Predicaments

With less than two weeks until the Federal Reserve's December meeting, a complex game intertwined with "internal divisions, data outages, and leadership changes" is officially underway. The hawk-dove camps are openly opposing each other, key economic data is absent due to the government shutdown, and Trump is about to finalize a new chairperson candidate. These three variables combined have put the Federal Reserve in its most challenging decision-making dilemma in recent years, also affecting the re-pricing rhythm of global assets.

1. Hawk-Dove Split: Interest Rate Cut Expectations "Roller Coaster," Divisions Laid Bare

The internal policy divisions within the Federal Reserve have shifted from "implicit" to "explicit," directly causing wild swings in market interest rate cut expectations:

- Doves: Centered on "preventing unemployment," advocating aggressive interest rate cuts: Federal Reserve Board members Mylan and Waller have explicitly stated that the U.S. economy "needs significant interest rate cuts," warning that current high rates are pushing up unemployment and hindering economic development, even advocating multiple rounds of 50 basis point cuts to quickly bring rates back to neutral levels. Following their remarks, the probability of a rate cut in December skyrocketed from 30% to 87.4%.
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- Hawks: With "controlling inflation" as their bottom line, insisting on holding steady: This year’s FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Musalem has emphasized that current inflation remains above target, and the Fed needs to "proceed with caution," opposing blind easing. Previously, when hawkish remarks were concentrated in mid-November, the probability of a rate cut in December had plummeted to below 30%. $BTC $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹