Aabid Hussain Wani

Bitcoin has recently rebounded above $90,000, but there remains a divergence in the market regarding bottom confirmation. Here are the key analyses:
#BTC
#BTC走势分析

‌Price Dynamics‌: On November 26, Bitcoin broke through $90,000, rebounding about 12% from last week's low, but the weekly decline still reached 3%‌. The technical outlook indicates that $89,000 is a short-term resistance level, with multiple attempts to break through failing‌.
‌Liquidity Impact‌: Trading was light during the Thanksgiving holiday, with volatility dropping to its lowest level since April, limiting price fluctuations‌.

‌Technical Signals‌: The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, and the price remains below key moving averages, with the rebound not altering the downward trend‌. Although the RSI has risen from the oversold zone, it has not formed a structural breakout‌.

‌Sentiment Divergence‌: Traditional media continues to be bearish, while institutional funds (such as Entree Capital's new fund) are entering to support the market, increasing divergence in market expectations‌.

‌Bottom Confirmation‌: It is necessary to observe whether higher lows or a breakthrough of key moving averages occur; currently, the risk of retesting the $80,000 low remains‌.

‌Macroeconomic Factors‌: Improvement in U.S. employment data (initial jobless claims dropped to 216,000) and expectations of interest rate cuts may support the rebound, but policy uncertainty continues‌.

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CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. analyzed three possible trends for Bitcoin in the next six months: 1. continue to decline; 2. rebound and then continue to rise; 3. consolidate sideways.

Currently, the on-chain dynamics of Bitcoin have not shown any signs of "starting."

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100,000 USDT contract low leverage compound interest first month, 36% profit rate achieved!

This is my first month doing the contract challenge. To be honest, this month has been tough. First, many brothers who experienced the 10.11 incident must have lost money. My profits also had a significant pullback. Additionally, with the COAI token, I got myself stuck because of the funding fee, incurring 4,300 USDT, but currently facing an unrealized loss of 9,000 USDT. I guess I've paid the price for my own greed, but overall the result is still quite good.

This is my second month in the square, and I’ve gained a group of brothers and sisters. Because I am quite down-to-earth, they often say I don't know how to generate traffic. I still want to continue doing it my own way because I firmly believe that flowers attract butterflies.

As a KOL, I can promise that my contract trading will never close. I show my contract trading to everyone, not because I have courage, but because I am confident that I can make money in this market. Those who don't even dare to open a contract trading account should roll out of the square early. I hope that everyone, as seasoned traders, can shield the newcomers from a bit of wind and rain, and together we can make the cryptocurrency pie bigger, sharing and making money together.

Finally, to the friends who have scrolled to this post, I’d like to say: this market is never short of stars, but it lacks longevity. May we never die! #加密市场回调

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