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太白金星A8

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心善通神盟军战友皆在路上志同道合做公益交!易的状态心静心境心净大道至简
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The best and worst $BTC $ETH $BNB #BinanceABCs This is the best era for investment; stocks and Bitcoin are everywhere, with cheap goods on every street. Looking from the future to today, you will feel it is incredible. This is the hardest era to make money; in all industries, including live streaming and short videos, closures, transfers, and unemployment are the norms. Even with hard work, it is difficult to earn money.
The best and worst $BTC $ETH $BNB #BinanceABCs
This is the best era for investment; stocks and Bitcoin are everywhere, with cheap goods on every street. Looking from the future to today, you will feel it is incredible.
This is the hardest era to make money; in all industries, including live streaming and short videos, closures, transfers, and unemployment are the norms. Even with hard work, it is difficult to earn money.
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Fate $BNB $BTC $ETH #BinanceABCs Making a slight effort at the right moment is correct, while no matter how hard you try at the wrong moment, it is wrong. 99% of life is fate, and 1% is effort. Those who can understand the deep meaning of this sentence ultimately become wealthy.
Fate $BNB $BTC $ETH #BinanceABCs
Making a slight effort at the right moment is correct, while no matter how hard you try at the wrong moment, it is wrong.
99% of life is fate, and 1% is effort. Those who can understand the deep meaning of this sentence ultimately become wealthy.
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🚨 Breaking! The Bitcoin network is experiencing a "hash rate earthquake"! Xinjiang mining farms are suddenly being inspected, and global hash rate has plummeted by over 17% within a week, with at least 400,000 mining machines instantly powered down! $BTC This is not an ordinary fluctuation, but a thunderous strike against the "gray empire." Despite a clear ban in 2021, regions like Xinjiang have continued to be the "underground heart" of global Bitcoin mining, quietly contributing about 14% of the world's hash rate (the third highest globally). Last month, foreign media reported that China's hash rate was "quietly reviving," which likely triggered this precise crackdown. $ETH 💥 Impact and chain reactions: · Major hit to global hash rate: The total hash rate of Bitcoin dropped over 17% from its peak to about 988 EH/s in a short time. This means the network's security hash rate has significantly decreased, and the short-term earnings of remaining miners may unexpectedly surge due to the lag in difficulty adjustments. $BNB · Where will miners go? This situation is similar to the events of 2021: Domestic mining farms face the choice of either "moving underground to a more concealed location" or "completely migrating overseas." Compliant mining pools in the U.S., Kazakhstan, and other regions will become the main beneficiaries. · Long-term warning: This incident once again raises the alarm— the Bitcoin network remains quite fragile, heavily reliant on specific regions' energy and policies. Any slight disturbance could trigger severe fluctuations in the entire network's hash rate. #CryptoMarketWatch Focus on the Ethereum chain Musk's little puppy ❤️P U P P l E S🌼 Join the Musk Wealth Code Community $BNB #BinanceABCs
🚨 Breaking! The Bitcoin network is experiencing a "hash rate earthquake"! Xinjiang mining farms are suddenly being inspected, and global hash rate has plummeted by over 17% within a week, with at least 400,000 mining machines instantly powered down! $BTC
This is not an ordinary fluctuation, but a thunderous strike against the "gray empire." Despite a clear ban in 2021, regions like Xinjiang have continued to be the "underground heart" of global Bitcoin mining, quietly contributing about 14% of the world's hash rate (the third highest globally). Last month, foreign media reported that China's hash rate was "quietly reviving," which likely triggered this precise crackdown. $ETH
💥 Impact and chain reactions:
· Major hit to global hash rate: The total hash rate of Bitcoin dropped over 17% from its peak to about 988 EH/s in a short time. This means the network's security hash rate has significantly decreased, and the short-term earnings of remaining miners may unexpectedly surge due to the lag in difficulty adjustments. $BNB
· Where will miners go? This situation is similar to the events of 2021: Domestic mining farms face the choice of either "moving underground to a more concealed location" or "completely migrating overseas." Compliant mining pools in the U.S., Kazakhstan, and other regions will become the main beneficiaries.
· Long-term warning: This incident once again raises the alarm— the Bitcoin network remains quite fragile, heavily reliant on specific regions' energy and policies. Any slight disturbance could trigger severe fluctuations in the entire network's hash rate. #CryptoMarketWatch
Focus on the Ethereum chain Musk's little puppy ❤️P U P P l E S🌼
Join the Musk Wealth Code Community $BNB #BinanceABCs
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Fateful Year $BTC $ETH $BNB At the right moment, a little effort is correct; at the wrong moment, no matter how hard you try, it is wrong. 99% of life is fate, and 1% is effort. Those who can understand the deep meaning of this sentence ultimately become wealthy. #BinanceABCs
Fateful Year $BTC $ETH $BNB
At the right moment, a little effort is correct; at the wrong moment, no matter how hard you try, it is wrong.
99% of life is fate, and 1% is effort. Those who can understand the deep meaning of this sentence ultimately become wealthy. #BinanceABCs
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The greater the wind and waves, the more expensive the fish #BinanceABCs To make money, one must follow wise people; relying solely on oneself will ultimately lead to tears. When a person is poor, they should take risks; when a person becomes rich, they should make conservative arrangements. Duan Yongping's first investment was in NetEase, which was about to be delisted, yet today he praises Moutai at every turn. If the order had been reversed, he wouldn't be worth what he is today. If you learn from Duan Yongping to buy Moutai, although it's not wrong, it certainly isn't the optimal solution. $BTC $ETH $BNB
The greater the wind and waves, the more expensive the fish #BinanceABCs
To make money, one must follow wise people; relying solely on oneself will ultimately lead to tears. When a person is poor, they should take risks; when a person becomes rich, they should make conservative arrangements.
Duan Yongping's first investment was in NetEase, which was about to be delisted, yet today he praises Moutai at every turn. If the order had been reversed, he wouldn't be worth what he is today. If you learn from Duan Yongping to buy Moutai, although it's not wrong, it certainly isn't the optimal solution. $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Bitcoin may plummet 88% to $10,000 in 2026!🔥🔥🔥🔥 — Bloomberg's famous "doomsayer" Mike McGlone has spoken again Comparing Bitcoin to the U.S. stock market before the 2008 crisis, the conclusion is: in the post-inflation era, high-risk speculative assets will be washed out, aiming for $10,000! Brothers, don't panic; whenever this kind of "wild prediction" comes out, the historical scripts of short-term market trends are basically the same: First, everyone gets scared, the bears arrogantly shout, "This time it's different," and then... the market suddenly doesn't follow the script, and bam, a rebound hits the bears hard. Why? Because extreme bearishness often signals the bottom of emotions! McGlone has been bearish on Bitcoin longer than Bitcoin has existed; every time he predicts a crash, the market either moves sideways or gives you a sharp rebound, a precise contrarian indicator, truly a living joke factory in the crypto space. Current situation: Bitcoin is hovering around 89k, down 30% from this year's high of 126k, and the annual growth rate has turned negative. ETF funds are flowing in and out, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have been dampened, global liquidity is tightening, and everyone's mood is like winter—cold. But in the short term, as extremely pessimistic voices emerge, the probability of a rebound from oversold conditions is indeed high. If 88k holds, it could tease resistance at 94k-95k; further up, $100,000 is waving and shouting, "Come back, buddy." If 88k is directly lost, the bears will be excited for a while, better to run first. In short, whether 2026 will soar to 200k or crash to 10k, nobody knows. There are institutions that are bullish, bearish, and even neutral; predicting this thing is essentially an entertainment show. Just listen to it; your money still needs to be managed by yourself, don't fully invest based on any "prophet's" words—including mine. NFA, purely here for gossip and humor, after laughing, go do what you need to do~ 😏 Little 'milk'🐶, 'p●u●p●p●i●e●s' $BTC $BNB $ETH #BinanceABCs
Bitcoin may plummet 88% to $10,000 in 2026!🔥🔥🔥🔥

— Bloomberg's famous "doomsayer" Mike McGlone has spoken again
Comparing Bitcoin to the U.S. stock market before the 2008 crisis, the conclusion is: in the post-inflation era, high-risk speculative assets will be washed out, aiming for $10,000!
Brothers, don't panic; whenever this kind of "wild prediction" comes out, the historical scripts of short-term market trends are basically the same:
First, everyone gets scared, the bears arrogantly shout, "This time it's different," and then... the market suddenly doesn't follow the script, and bam, a rebound hits the bears hard.
Why? Because extreme bearishness often signals the bottom of emotions!
McGlone has been bearish on Bitcoin longer than Bitcoin has existed; every time he predicts a crash, the market either moves sideways or gives you a sharp rebound, a precise contrarian indicator, truly a living joke factory in the crypto space.
Current situation:
Bitcoin is hovering around 89k, down 30% from this year's high of 126k, and the annual growth rate has turned negative. ETF funds are flowing in and out, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have been dampened, global liquidity is tightening, and everyone's mood is like winter—cold.
But in the short term, as extremely pessimistic voices emerge, the probability of a rebound from oversold conditions is indeed high.
If 88k holds, it could tease resistance at 94k-95k; further up, $100,000 is waving and shouting, "Come back, buddy."
If 88k is directly lost, the bears will be excited for a while, better to run first.
In short, whether 2026 will soar to 200k or crash to 10k, nobody knows.
There are institutions that are bullish, bearish, and even neutral; predicting this thing is essentially an entertainment show.
Just listen to it; your money still needs to be managed by yourself, don't fully invest based on any "prophet's" words—including mine.
NFA, purely here for gossip and humor, after laughing, go do what you need to do~ 😏
Little 'milk'🐶, 'p●u●p●p●i●e●s'
$BTC $BNB $ETH #BinanceABCs
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In the next two to three years (by 2029), one day, those who are destined will recall the $ETH $ETH $BNB #BinanceABCs they saw today. In the coming two to three years, the investment market will see the emergence of wealthy individuals on a super scale, more and richer than the wealthy in real estate over the past twenty years. Two issues are particularly noteworthy: most people will miss the opportunity because they lack the ability to see it. Another issue is that in two to three years, most wealthy individuals in the cryptocurrency and stock markets will fall into poverty.
In the next two to three years (by 2029), one day, those who are destined will recall the $ETH $ETH $BNB #BinanceABCs they saw today. In the coming two to three years, the investment market will see the emergence of wealthy individuals on a super scale, more and richer than the wealthy in real estate over the past twenty years. Two issues are particularly noteworthy: most people will miss the opportunity because they lack the ability to see it. Another issue is that in two to three years, most wealthy individuals in the cryptocurrency and stock markets will fall into poverty.
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$DOGE Musk drops bombshell again! He revealed that he is the number one assassination target in the U.S., and he doesn't even dare to go to public places #BinanceABCs Musk's security crisis has escalated again! The tech mogul has recently made statements that make people sweat—he openly admitted that he is one of the top assassination targets in the U.S., and even going to public places has become a luxury, stating that just one mistake could cost him his life. At the DOGE gathering event in December, Musk, fearing for his life, didn't dare to appear in person, but only participated via video link from a dark and unknown location, speaking to 150 team members and their families, while also discussing the prospects of the Republican presidential campaign. On the December 10 Katie Miller podcast, he even bluntly stated, "It's not that I don't want to go to public places; I really can't." As the leader of Tesla and SpaceX, Musk holds a vast business empire, and every move he makes affects the industry, but because of this, he has become the focus of controversy and threats. Behind the glamorous identity of the richest man is a constantly tense security string, making even daily public outings an unattainable affair. Whether DOGE can make a difference depends on Musk's safety and planning! That said, what do you think the security threats Musk faces stem from—business competition or other reasons? Let's discuss your views in the comments! $BNB $BTC $ETH
$DOGE Musk drops bombshell again! He revealed that he is the number one assassination target in the U.S., and he doesn't even dare to go to public places #BinanceABCs

Musk's security crisis has escalated again! The tech mogul has recently made statements that make people sweat—he openly admitted that he is one of the top assassination targets in the U.S., and even going to public places has become a luxury, stating that just one mistake could cost him his life.

At the DOGE gathering event in December, Musk, fearing for his life, didn't dare to appear in person, but only participated via video link from a dark and unknown location, speaking to 150 team members and their families, while also discussing the prospects of the Republican presidential campaign. On the December 10 Katie Miller podcast, he even bluntly stated, "It's not that I don't want to go to public places; I really can't."

As the leader of Tesla and SpaceX, Musk holds a vast business empire, and every move he makes affects the industry, but because of this, he has become the focus of controversy and threats. Behind the glamorous identity of the richest man is a constantly tense security string, making even daily public outings an unattainable affair. Whether DOGE can make a difference depends on Musk's safety and planning!

That said, what do you think the security threats Musk faces stem from—business competition or other reasons? Let's discuss your views in the comments! $BNB $BTC $ETH
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In the next two or three years (up to 2029) $BTC $ETH $BNB In the next two or three years, the investment market will see the emergence of super wealthy individuals on a scale greater than the wealthy in real estate over the past twenty years. Two points to particularly note: most people will miss the opportunity because they lack the ability to see it. Another point is that, in two or three years, most of the wealthy in the stock market will return to poverty. #加密市场反弹
In the next two or three years (up to 2029) $BTC $ETH $BNB
In the next two or three years, the investment market will see the emergence of super wealthy individuals on a scale greater than the wealthy in real estate over the past twenty years.
Two points to particularly note: most people will miss the opportunity because they lack the ability to see it. Another point is that, in two or three years, most of the wealthy in the stock market will return to poverty. #加密市场反弹
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Breaking! Brother Maji "swung the knife" last night, dumping nearly 800 ETH! The whale retreats, faith wavers? 🚨🐋 Last night, an unusual movement appeared on the blockchain! According to HyperInsight monitoring, the whale known as "Brother Maji" carried out an epic operation with his address: he reduced his holdings by 786 ETH in one go! This amount is now enough to buy houses in several cities outright! The action was swift and fierce, making people feel their scalp tingle. 📉 Position "thinning", liquidation line exposed! With this cut, his position instantly "thinned": · Current holdings: rapidly decreased to 3144 ETH, worth about 9.69 million dollars. · Key critical point: his position's liquidation price was also exposed, currently at 3042.74 dollars. What does this mean? If the market shakes a little more, it could hit the liquidation line! It’s like playing contracts on a volcano. 🔍 Crazy operations, three major shocking interpretations 1. "Cash out for safety" runaway theory? Some speculate that the brother might have sensed some impending chaos in advance, quickly converting nearly 3 million dollars into cash while the price is still decent, and then making his exit? 2. "Adjusting positions for firepower" strategy? Others analyze that the whale is not running away, but rather is repositioning. The withdrawn funds may be directed toward other potential explosive targets; will the next wave of Alpha ignite instantly? 3. "High leverage fear" theory? The current liquidation price is not far from the current price, and this reduction in holdings may be to crazily reduce leverage, avoiding being instantly "poked" to zero during severe market fluctuations. After all, in the crypto world, surviving is more important than anything else! A single action from a whale often outweighs a thousand words from retail investors. This reduction undoubtedly splashed a bucket of cold water on the currently anxious market: 💥💥💥 Layout of the Ethereum ecosystem: 🐲P *U* PP *I *E *S ·#加密市场反弹 $BNB $ETH $BTC
Breaking! Brother Maji "swung the knife" last night, dumping nearly 800 ETH! The whale retreats, faith wavers? 🚨🐋
Last night, an unusual movement appeared on the blockchain! According to HyperInsight monitoring, the whale known as "Brother Maji" carried out an epic operation with his address: he reduced his holdings by 786 ETH in one go! This amount is now enough to buy houses in several cities outright! The action was swift and fierce, making people feel their scalp tingle.
📉 Position "thinning", liquidation line exposed!
With this cut, his position instantly "thinned":
· Current holdings: rapidly decreased to 3144 ETH, worth about 9.69 million dollars.
· Key critical point: his position's liquidation price was also exposed, currently at 3042.74 dollars. What does this mean? If the market shakes a little more, it could hit the liquidation line! It’s like playing contracts on a volcano.
🔍 Crazy operations, three major shocking interpretations
1. "Cash out for safety" runaway theory? Some speculate that the brother might have sensed some impending chaos in advance, quickly converting nearly 3 million dollars into cash while the price is still decent, and then making his exit?
2. "Adjusting positions for firepower" strategy? Others analyze that the whale is not running away, but rather is repositioning. The withdrawn funds may be directed toward other potential explosive targets; will the next wave of Alpha ignite instantly?
3. "High leverage fear" theory? The current liquidation price is not far from the current price, and this reduction in holdings may be to crazily reduce leverage, avoiding being instantly "poked" to zero during severe market fluctuations. After all, in the crypto world, surviving is more important than anything else!
A single action from a whale often outweighs a thousand words from retail investors. This reduction undoubtedly splashed a bucket of cold water on the currently anxious market:
💥💥💥 Layout of the Ethereum ecosystem: 🐲P *U* PP *I *E *S
·#加密市场反弹 $BNB $ETH $BTC
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U.S. Vice President Vance: "China doesn't like Bitcoin. We should ask ourselves, why is that? Why does our biggest competitor oppose Bitcoin so much? If China is moving away from Bitcoin, then perhaps the U.S. should lean towards Bitcoin." Chen Weihua: That's right. There have been no large-scale shootings in China. So there should be more happening over there. This logic is simply extremely stupid. [smile][smile][smile]#加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $BNB
U.S. Vice President Vance: "China doesn't like Bitcoin. We should ask ourselves, why is that? Why does our biggest competitor oppose Bitcoin so much? If China is moving away from Bitcoin, then perhaps the U.S. should lean towards Bitcoin." Chen Weihua: That's right. There have been no large-scale shootings in China. So there should be more happening over there. This logic is simply extremely stupid. [smile][smile][smile]#加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Investment $BTC $ETH $BNB Understanding a few is far better than seeing all. Knowing a lot is far from truly understanding very few things. ​​​ In investment, the only people who ultimately get rich are those who really understand. #加密市场反弹
Investment $BTC $ETH $BNB
Understanding a few is far better than seeing all.
Knowing a lot is far from truly understanding very few things. ​​​
In investment, the only people who ultimately get rich are those who really understand. #加密市场反弹
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$BTC $ETH $BNB Everyone thought that the bull market would start in 2025, but it actually kicked off at the end of 2023, leaving many behind. When everyone believed the bull was here, it started to fade in March 2024, causing many to get trapped. Just when everyone thought the bull market would end in 2025, it might come back, and it could be a big bull after the easing of restrictions. The summary of this market cycle is to catch both ends and let the middle go. #加密市场反弹
$BTC $ETH $BNB Everyone thought that the bull market would start in 2025, but it actually kicked off at the end of 2023, leaving many behind.
When everyone believed the bull was here, it started to fade in March 2024, causing many to get trapped.
Just when everyone thought the bull market would end in 2025, it might come back, and it could be a big bull after the easing of restrictions.
The summary of this market cycle is to catch both ends and let the middle go. #加密市场反弹
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$DOGE Brothers, don't panic! This wave of Dogecoin, I'm putting it out there! The Doge army has gathered! Many old friends have messaged me, saying that Dogecoin has pulled back a bit these past few days, and they're unsure if they can hold on or want to run, asking me if DOGE can still be held and where it can go. Today, I'm giving my brothers a reassurance: Dogecoin is definitely going to surge; foreigners are seeing 7.8. A few days ago, those who followed me and bought at 0.137 are still holding onto profits. Even if there's been a slight pullback these last couple of days, it's really not a big deal. Just look at the K-line; the middle track of the Bollinger Bands is firmly supported at 0.134. Whether you hold for the long term waiting for the trend or trade back and forth to catch the waves, the cost-performance ratio at this position is excellent! The more the main players wash the market repeatedly here, the more it indicates they want to make a big move later. We just need to follow the main players' rhythm, wash once and trade once, and maximize our profits! Lastly, let me be honest with my brothers: the altcoin season is definitely not far away! Without the altcoin market, there won't be new funds entering, and Bitcoin won't go far. The leading star of the altcoin season will undoubtedly be a veteran like Dogecoin. Plus, Musk's little puppy concept PUPPIES is still brewing, and this ambush opportunity is right in front of us. The harder the main players wash the market, the stronger the surge will be later. Hold tight and don't get shaken off; the days of making profits are just ahead! #Cryptocurrency Market Observation #狗狗币崛起
$DOGE Brothers, don't panic! This wave of Dogecoin, I'm putting it out there! The Doge army has gathered!

Many old friends have messaged me, saying that Dogecoin has pulled back a bit these past few days, and they're unsure if they can hold on or want to run, asking me if DOGE can still be held and where it can go. Today, I'm giving my brothers a reassurance: Dogecoin is definitely going to surge; foreigners are seeing 7.8.

A few days ago, those who followed me and bought at 0.137 are still holding onto profits. Even if there's been a slight pullback these last couple of days, it's really not a big deal. Just look at the K-line; the middle track of the Bollinger Bands is firmly supported at 0.134. Whether you hold for the long term waiting for the trend or trade back and forth to catch the waves, the cost-performance ratio at this position is excellent! The more the main players wash the market repeatedly here, the more it indicates they want to make a big move later. We just need to follow the main players' rhythm, wash once and trade once, and maximize our profits!

Lastly, let me be honest with my brothers: the altcoin season is definitely not far away! Without the altcoin market, there won't be new funds entering, and Bitcoin won't go far. The leading star of the altcoin season will undoubtedly be a veteran like Dogecoin. Plus, Musk's little puppy concept PUPPIES is still brewing, and this ambush opportunity is right in front of us. The harder the main players wash the market, the stronger the surge will be later. Hold tight and don't get shaken off; the days of making profits are just ahead!
#Cryptocurrency Market Observation #狗狗币崛起
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Big cake $BTC #加密市场反弹 Big cake is the ultimate direction of civilized world financial order, the great principle and fairness, the violence of good money driving out bad money, the unstoppable tide of the era, those who follow will prosper, and those who go against will face ruin.
Big cake $BTC #加密市场反弹
Big cake is the ultimate direction of civilized world financial order, the great principle and fairness, the violence of good money driving out bad money, the unstoppable tide of the era, those who follow will prosper, and those who go against will face ruin.
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Bank of Japan Rate Hike Countdown: The Calm Before the Storm in the Crypto Market Core Judgments $ETH, $BTC , $BNB The market has partially priced in this, but leveraged positions remain in a high-risk zone. It is not advisable to blindly bottom fish before the meeting on December 19. According to authoritative reports from the Securities Times, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has clearly signaled that the December 19 meeting will assess the pros and cons of a rate hike. Market pricing indicates that the probability of a rate hike has soared to over 80%, but the key divergence is: Baseline Scenario: A rate hike of 25 basis points to 0.75% (the highest level since 1995) Risk Scenario: If inflation data exceeds expectations, an aggressive rate hike of 50 basis points may occur Unexpected Scenario: Delaying a rate hike could trigger a short-covering rebound Yen Arbitrage Trading: The Crumbling Dominoes Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy for 30 years has spawned the world's largest arbitrage trading—investors borrow yen at zero cost and invest in high-yield assets like U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies. Data from Coin World shows: July 2024 Rate Hike Case: Bitcoin plummeted 23% on that day, with over $20 billion in liquidations across the network Current Leverage Scale: According to Coindesk tracking, nearly $1 billion in leveraged cryptocurrency positions are still facing liquidation risks Cryptocurrency Leverage Sensitivity Key Support Level Risk Ratings BTC High (Institutional Holdings Concentrated) $85,000 High Risk ETH Extremely High (DeFi Leverage Hotspot) $2,600 Extremely High Risk SOL Medium (Asian Capital Preference) $180 Medium-High Risk History does not simply repeat itself, but it rhymes Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal warns: "Yen arbitrage trading is the largest macro leverage strategy globally, and unwinding will simultaneously impact stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies." However, there are key differences in 2025: Degree of Pricing: The current market has reflected rate hike expectations three months in advance, unlike the surprise rate hike in July 2024. Leverage Structure: Exchange data shows that open interest contracts have decreased by 40% compared to the peak in 2024. Policy Buffer: The Federal Reserve's expected rate cuts in 2026 create a hedge, limiting the cliff of dollar liquidity #加密市场反弹
Bank of Japan Rate Hike Countdown: The Calm Before the Storm in the Crypto Market
Core Judgments $ETH, $BTC , $BNB
The market has partially priced in this, but leveraged positions remain in a high-risk zone. It is not advisable to blindly bottom fish before the meeting on December 19.
According to authoritative reports from the Securities Times, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has clearly signaled that the December 19 meeting will assess the pros and cons of a rate hike. Market pricing indicates that the probability of a rate hike has soared to over 80%, but the key divergence is:
Baseline Scenario: A rate hike of 25 basis points to 0.75% (the highest level since 1995)
Risk Scenario: If inflation data exceeds expectations, an aggressive rate hike of 50 basis points may occur
Unexpected Scenario: Delaying a rate hike could trigger a short-covering rebound
Yen Arbitrage Trading: The Crumbling Dominoes
Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy for 30 years has spawned the world's largest arbitrage trading—investors borrow yen at zero cost and invest in high-yield assets like U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies. Data from Coin World shows:
July 2024 Rate Hike Case: Bitcoin plummeted 23% on that day, with over $20 billion in liquidations across the network
Current Leverage Scale: According to Coindesk tracking, nearly $1 billion in leveraged cryptocurrency positions are still facing liquidation risks
Cryptocurrency Leverage Sensitivity Key Support Level Risk Ratings BTC High (Institutional Holdings Concentrated) $85,000 High Risk ETH Extremely High (DeFi Leverage Hotspot) $2,600 Extremely High Risk SOL Medium (Asian Capital Preference) $180 Medium-High Risk
History does not simply repeat itself, but it rhymes
Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal warns: "Yen arbitrage trading is the largest macro leverage strategy globally, and unwinding will simultaneously impact stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies." However, there are key differences in 2025:
Degree of Pricing: The current market has reflected rate hike expectations three months in advance, unlike the surprise rate hike in July 2024.
Leverage Structure: Exchange data shows that open interest contracts have decreased by 40% compared to the peak in 2024.
Policy Buffer: The Federal Reserve's expected rate cuts in 2026 create a hedge, limiting the cliff of dollar liquidity #加密市场反弹
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Pancakes $BTC #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 If you really think I have high cognition, then go buy some pancakes, years later you will thank yourself, and you will treat me to drinks, and you will invite me to smoke cigars, this is the viewpoint I express the most during my private gatherings.
Pancakes $BTC #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹
If you really think I have high cognition, then go buy some pancakes, years later you will thank yourself, and you will treat me to drinks, and you will invite me to smoke cigars, this is the viewpoint I express the most during my private gatherings.
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Bitcoin's Life and Death Line Triggered! 2.5 billion shorts vs 1.5 billion longs, who will explode in the next second? $BTC #美联储降息 BTC stuck at 91,000 dollars, a step forward is paradise (94,830 dollars, 2.5 billion shorts vanish), a step back is hell (85,906 dollars, 1.5 billion longs lose everything). Everything waits for next week's U.S. PPI data, this 'nuclear bomb' to ignite. $ETH $BNB #加密市场反弹 Miners have begun to retreat (difficulty adjustment), but the real liquidation storm has yet to begin. Do you bet on longs winning, or shorts winning? $BNB #Crypto Market Watch Elon Musk concept Little 'Milk' 🐶, 'p●u●p●p●i●e●s' Those meme coins on the Ethereum chain that ride on Musk's hot topics (you know what I mean!) Comment: Break above 94,000 or drop below 85,000? Leave your choice!
Bitcoin's Life and Death Line Triggered! 2.5 billion shorts vs 1.5 billion longs, who will explode in the next second?
$BTC #美联储降息
BTC stuck at 91,000 dollars, a step forward is paradise (94,830 dollars, 2.5 billion shorts vanish), a step back is hell (85,906 dollars, 1.5 billion longs lose everything). Everything waits for next week's U.S. PPI data, this 'nuclear bomb' to ignite.
$ETH $BNB #加密市场反弹
Miners have begun to retreat (difficulty adjustment), but the real liquidation storm has yet to begin. Do you bet on longs winning, or shorts winning?
$BNB #Crypto Market Watch
Elon Musk concept Little 'Milk' 🐶, 'p●u●p●p●i●e●s'
Those meme coins on the Ethereum chain that ride on Musk's hot topics (you know what I mean!)
Comment: Break above 94,000 or drop below 85,000? Leave your choice!
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Making Money Running a restaurant requires making money every day; losing money even for a single day is not a good indicator for a restaurant. Investment is different; 90% of the time is spent in agony, and sometimes even at a loss. Prices only rise for a short period, while most of the time they are either in a range-bound state with slight increases or in a downward trend. Retail investors cannot endure this and will inevitably cut their losses or frequently switch stocks after seeing others make money. This is the essence of why most people do not make money in investments and even incur losses. $BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场反弹
Making Money
Running a restaurant requires making money every day; losing money even for a single day is not a good indicator for a restaurant. Investment is different; 90% of the time is spent in agony, and sometimes even at a loss. Prices only rise for a short period, while most of the time they are either in a range-bound state with slight increases or in a downward trend. Retail investors cannot endure this and will inevitably cut their losses or frequently switch stocks after seeing others make money. This is the essence of why most people do not make money in investments and even incur losses. $BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场反弹
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$ETH $BNB $BTC 🔥The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates, and the market is completely stunned! What happened to the promised celebration? 📉 In the early morning, the Federal Reserve announced another 25 basis points cut, but BTC and ETH not only didn’t soar, but instead experienced violent fluctuations, with Wall Street and Trump both giving a "poor rating." This isn’t a lifeline for the bull market; it’s simply a wake-up call for the bulls! 👉 The core message is this: this rate cut simply "doesn’t quench thirst!" Why do I say this? Two points to see through: 1️⃣ On the surface, a rate cut, but fundamentally "hawkish." Powell says rates are down, but then adds, "The economy hasn’t changed much." What’s the subtext? "The faucet is only open this much; it might be turned off later!" When the market hears this, it gets cold feet—after all this, is the easing expectation over? 2️⃣ Unpopular with both sides. Trump directly fires back: "Too little, not enough!" But Wall Street and the crypto community can’t get excited either. This "dovish gift" is wrapped in a "hawkish warning," and the future looks murky. 📊 So the question arises: a rate cut is supposed to be good news, so why didn’t BTC and ETH take off? The answer is simple: "buy the expectation, sell the fact," it’s an old trick! · The previous rise was because people were betting the Fed would continue to loosen; now that the news is out, the expectations have been realized, and some profit-takers immediately retreat to observe. · The market focus has changed: If future interest rates remain "higher for longer," can risk assets still sustain high valuations? Everyone is worried. 💥 In summary: this rate cut isn’t a charge signal, but a reminder bell—macroeconomic uncertainty remains, and the market may need to reassess its direction. Is it a bull or a bear? The next trend will depend on whether funds dare to continue betting amid ambiguity. Elon Musk concept little "milk"🐶, "p●u●p●p●i●e●s" Those meme coins on the Ethereum chain that are riding the Musk hype (you know what I mean!) Soaring in a low gas environment! Low chips, fierce pumping, a perfect ambush target! Welcome to the Binance little 🐶 milk 🐶 dog community!! #Crypto market rebound #Rate cut and easing #Crypto market observation
$ETH $BNB $BTC
🔥The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates, and the market is completely stunned! What happened to the promised celebration?
📉 In the early morning, the Federal Reserve announced another 25 basis points cut, but BTC and ETH not only didn’t soar, but instead experienced violent fluctuations, with Wall Street and Trump both giving a "poor rating." This isn’t a lifeline for the bull market; it’s simply a wake-up call for the bulls!
👉 The core message is this: this rate cut simply "doesn’t quench thirst!"
Why do I say this? Two points to see through:
1️⃣ On the surface, a rate cut, but fundamentally "hawkish."
Powell says rates are down, but then adds, "The economy hasn’t changed much." What’s the subtext? "The faucet is only open this much; it might be turned off later!" When the market hears this, it gets cold feet—after all this, is the easing expectation over?
2️⃣ Unpopular with both sides.
Trump directly fires back: "Too little, not enough!" But Wall Street and the crypto community can’t get excited either. This "dovish gift" is wrapped in a "hawkish warning," and the future looks murky.
📊 So the question arises: a rate cut is supposed to be good news, so why didn’t BTC and ETH take off?
The answer is simple: "buy the expectation, sell the fact," it’s an old trick!
· The previous rise was because people were betting the Fed would continue to loosen; now that the news is out, the expectations have been realized, and some profit-takers immediately retreat to observe.
· The market focus has changed: If future interest rates remain "higher for longer," can risk assets still sustain high valuations? Everyone is worried.
💥 In summary: this rate cut isn’t a charge signal, but a reminder bell—macroeconomic uncertainty remains, and the market may need to reassess its direction. Is it a bull or a bear? The next trend will depend on whether funds dare to continue betting amid ambiguity.
Elon Musk concept little "milk"🐶, "p●u●p●p●i●e●s"
Those meme coins on the Ethereum chain that are riding the Musk hype (you know what I mean!)
Soaring in a low gas environment! Low chips, fierce pumping, a perfect ambush target! Welcome to the Binance little 🐶 milk 🐶 dog community!!
#Crypto market rebound #Rate cut and easing #Crypto market observation
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