趋势阿特

The cryptocurrency world has never been a factory of myths, but a true battlefield.
There are no so-called "masters of eternal profit" here, only those who are continuously eliminated by the market.
Recently, you have also seen that one by one, the once influential big shots are stepping down consecutively; it's not that the direction was wrong, but that they failed to maintain risk control and could not withstand human nature.

True success is never about getting rich quickly, but about preserving capital, surviving, and being able to continue taking action in extreme market conditions.
Being able to minimize losses in fluctuations, steadily profit in trends, and avoid making fatal mistakes when emotions are most chaotic—that is the hard power of a trader.
The market always has opportunities, but opportunities are only left for those still standing at the table.

If you are tired of trading by intuition, chasing highs and cutting losses, and reverting to square one after a single mistake, it's time to switch to a system that can truly allow you to survive long-term.

Recruiting in the At Trading Circle
No empty promises, no emotional operations
Only discussing trends, positions, risk control, and execution
There is only one goal: stabilize capital and achieve continuous growth.

If you want to live a little longer in this battlefield, and go a little further,
you can come to find me; I am waiting for you in my profile introduction and the group chat below!
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#加密市场观察
#BinanceABCs

Review yesterday
In the morning, we positioned to go long on the big pie in the range of 102500-102000, aiming for 105000-106000, securing over 3000 points steadily during the day.
After the breakthrough at 105000 failed to continue, Ater promptly reminded to reverse to a high short position, and the market subsequently dropped to around 100700, closing with about 4000 points in the evening.
Both long and short were accurate, and the rhythm was well grasped; this is Ater's real trading rhythm.
The big pie is positioned daily with a thousand-point space. Friends who can't find direction can join the Binance chat room below to communicate!
$BTC
#代币化热潮
#美国结束政府停摆
#Strategy增持比特币
#主流币轮动上涨
#美国政府停摆

Ethereum follows Bitcoin's decline, and the bearish structure remains clear. The bearish outlook provided at midnight has been realized, and the overall market still mainly continues the trend.

The daily line has continuously closed in the red, with the focus shifting downward, the Bollinger Bands opening downward, and the bearish momentum has not shown signs of exhaustion; after breaking the support at the 4-hour level, there was only a weak rebound, the MACD death cross is trending downwards, and the rebound seems more like a correction rather than a reversal.

The operating idea remains unchanged, consider the bearish target first looking at 2700 when rebounding to the 2850–2900 range, and if it breaks below 2700, continue to pay attention to 2620.

Cautious participation in a weak market, control positions, and strictly set stop-losses.
$ETH
#美国非农数据超预期
#ETH走势分析
#美国初请失业金人数
#加密市场观察

The recent rebound of the pancake resembles more of a 'buffer zone' for the bears rather than a signal of a trend reversal.
From a structural perspective, this pull-up from the lower rail is primarily driven by short covering, representing a typical technical correction. During the rebound, trading volume has lagged behind, and bullish sentiment has not formed a consensus. Each price increase has been laborious, and the resistance area above remains firmly intact, consistently failing to establish a solid foothold. This type of rebound leans more towards emotional correction or even inducing buying, rather than a genuine strengthening.
Once the short covering force is exhausted, if the price retreats again and key support is breached, it is highly likely that the market will continue its downward rhythm, searching for a new equilibrium range. The short-term fluctuations can indeed disrupt judgment, but from a trend perspective, the weak structure has not undergone fundamental changes, and the center of gravity continues to move downward.
Ate's view remains that the rebound will reach the 86000–86500 range, still mainly positioning for short positions, with the first target focusing on 84000. If 84000 is effectively broken, the focus will shift to the 82000 line below.
Patience is more important than frequent actions; recognizing the main direction and acting in accordance with the trend is essential to remain undefeated in such market conditions.
$BTC
#美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

This kind of market where both longs and shorts are killed will definitely trap many people. It's not that the entry point is wrong, but rather that at the moment of entering, they never thought about 'how to exit'.
When the market fluctuates, the mindset gets chaotic, and the longer they hold on, the deeper they sink, ultimately giving control to the market.

Unwinding a position is never about waiting for the market to be generous, but about re-establishing the rhythm:
Reduce positions when necessary, change direction when needed, use plans to exchange for time.

If you are still stubbornly holding on, trading chaotically, without any strategy,
stop struggling alone.
If you want to unwind your position, want to keep pace with truly rhythmic operations,
come in, and I will guide you step by step to turn the situation around.
$BTC

#美国非农数据超预期
#BinanceABCs
#加密市场观察
#美SEC代币化股票交易计划
#亚洲家族办公室加密资产配置

Just hold a firm bearish view, the trend hasn't changed, repeated temptations to go long are just for harvesting!
$BTC
#BinanceABCs #加密市场观察

This kind of market has been repeating for two consecutive days, first with a strong surge that creates the illusion of a trend reversal, followed by an unrelenting sell-off that takes away the chips of those chasing the highs.

Art also mentioned that the bearish trend has not changed; fundamentally, it is not that the trend is getting stronger, but rather that funds are repeatedly harvesting emotions at high levels.
It looks lively, but in reality, every sharp rise is a preparation for the next plunge. $BTC

#加密市场观察

The data released in the US tonight overall signals a dovish but not easy stance. The November CPI and core CPI both fell below market expectations, indicating that the trend of declining inflation is still ongoing, and the effects of high interest rates on prices have not yet faded, which to some extent alleviates market concerns about a second rebound in inflation.

Meanwhile, the employment data showed weak performance, with an increase in the unemployment rate and insufficient momentum in new job creation, indicating that the labor market is cooling down. This is not a cliff-like recession, but a normal result of the gradual transmission of economic slowdown to the real economy.

With declining inflation and weakening employment, the combination of the two means that the US economy is entering a stage of "slowing down but not out of control," which is also the most acceptable state for the current Federal Reserve. For the market, short-term fluctuations are more likely to occur rather than a one-sided trend, and the true direction still needs to wait for subsequent data to be further confirmed. #加密市场观察

From this set of data, it can be seen that tonight at 21:30 will be a highly concentrated time window, prone to magnified volatility.
The U.S. November CPI year-on-year, core CPI year-on-year, and the number of initial jobless claims for the week will be released at the same time, which itself means the market cannot be calm, the key lies in—who controls the direction.

First, let's look at the expected CPI year-on-year of 3.1%.
This figure is not low, indicating that inflation has not truly 'returned to the safe zone', but is more like a high plateau. If the published value is higher than expected, the market will quickly adjust its previous optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts, U.S. Treasury yields will rebound, the dollar will strengthen, and risk assets will be under short-term pressure; conversely, if it is lower than expected, the bulls may take the opportunity to push higher, but this kind of rise is more of an emotional impulse, and its sustainability remains in question.

Next, let's look at the expected core CPI of 3.0%.
Core inflation is the true focus of the Federal Reserve. If core CPI remains stubbornly high, even if the surface CPI shows a slight decline, it will be difficult to change the overall tone of monetary policy. In other words, if the core does not loosen, the market will not dare to truly relax and go long, which is very crucial.

Finally, the expected number of initial jobless claims is 225,000, lower than the previous value of 236,000.
If the data continues to decrease, it indicates that the employment side remains tight, which is not good news for inflation and may further reinforce the logic of 'high interest rates lasting longer'; conversely, if initial claims rise significantly, it would signal to the market that 'the economy is starting to cool down'.

In summary, tonight's data structure resembles a directional selector, rather than the starting point of a one-sided market.
There will definitely be violent fluctuations in the short term, but two situations must be guarded against:
First, a washout market where prices rise then fall, or fall then rise after data release;
Second, the market uses data to release emotions, but does not change the existing trend structure.

For trading, the worst thing to do at such a juncture is to heavily position oneself in advance. A truly prudent approach is to wait until the data is released, observe whether the market's first reaction is quickly negated, and then decide whether to follow.
Remember this: data determines volatility, structure determines direction.
Understanding this point makes tonight's market valuable; not understanding it will only turn into a night of being educated by the market.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#美国非农数据超预期
#加密市场观察

More than a month from 20,000 u to 270,000 u, there is no sudden wealth, only discipline. Do not gamble on the market, do not over-invest, follow the trend, maintain the rhythm, and slowly roll out the profits. Up to today, it is not luck that brought me here, but long-term execution.

Trading is not a one-time turnaround; it is about whether you can continue to survive in the market.

From a student's journey of trading!
$BTC $ETH
#美国非农数据超预期
#美国初请失业金人数
#美国ADP数据超预期
#美联储降息预期升温

Trump's speech this time essentially sets the tone for future policies and market directions, rather than simply reviewing achievements.

He repeatedly emphasized the transition from a 'mess' to 'the best in history', with the core goal being to strengthen expectations and convey a signal to the market: the upcoming policies will not be conservative, but rather more aggressive. His statements on security, military strength, and border issues are essentially aimed at lowering systemic risk premiums, creating an environment for capital to remain in risk assets.

The fiscal actions are quite direct. Distributing a one-time bonus of $1,776 to 1.45 million military personnel is a high-efficiency liquidity injection that will support consumption and demand in the short term. The $18 trillion investment commitment is more about providing an upper limit for the market's imagination and stabilizing medium to long-term economic expectations.

The most critical information still comes from monetary policy. He clearly stated that a new Federal Reserve Chair would be announced soon and emphasized that the new Chair will advocate for substantial interest rate cuts, which is almost equivalent to confirming to the market that easing expectations are becoming the main line, and the marginal effects of high-interest rate cycles are weakening.

For us, the signal released by this speech is very clear: the policy direction leans towards stimulation, liquidity expectations are improving, and what the market will be trading next is not recession, but how far the prosperity expectations can go. Following policies and capital is much more important than going against the trend.
$BTC $ETH
#美国非农数据超预期
#特朗普家族币

$SOL SOL Yesterday's short position has been successfully realized.
Trading has never been a straight line; as long as the overall direction is correct, any fluctuations during the process are just noise for us.

Positioning short above 130, steadily harvesting when it falls to around 120, securing a full 10 points.
Not greedy, not gambling, only engaging in the trends that we understand and can hold onto; this rhythm is the true way to sustain in the long run.
#加密市场观察

The hourly structure of Erbing has become very clear. The previous high around 3177 surged and then retreated, typical of a false bullish move followed by weakness. Subsequently, the price has broken through the middle Bollinger band and is currently operating in the lower middle band area, with the overall focus continuously shifting downward. The rebound volume is inadequate, indicating a significant lack of bullish support; essentially, it is a weak repair rather than a trend reversal.

Currently, after a quick dip near 2789, a slight sideways movement has appeared, but this is a technical buffer after the decline, not a stabilization signal. Before the price re-establishes above the middle band, the bears still hold the initiative.

The operational thinking is very simple; do not chase after the rebound, maintain a focus on shorting. Pay attention to the 2850-2880 area for potential resistance during short-term rebounds, and at that position, you can attempt to short in batches. First, look at the 2780 line below; if it breaks, continue to look down towards the 2720-2700 range. If unexpectedly strong, hold above 2900, short positions should be stopped out and observed.

This market relies not on courage, but on discipline. Following the structure is much more reliable than guessing bottoms and tops.
$ETH
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察

Today's pancake from a 15-minute structure perspective, this wave rising above 90300 is clearly a false rally. The high-level volume has not effectively expanded, and the price quickly fell back below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The trend is already very clear: after the rise, there was a rapid long bearish candle drop, and the bulls' support is obviously insufficient. The price has been running below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands for a long time, and the rebound has always been constrained by the middle track. Although there is support around 85200 on the downside, the rebound strength is weak, merely a technical correction. Currently, around 85900 belongs to a weak sideways trend, not a trend reversal.

My thinking remains very simple: mainly short on the rebound, do not chase the long, consider continuing to layout short orders relying on the middle track in the range of 86000–86500.
The upper defense focuses on 87000, while the lower side first looks at 85200, and if it breaks down, continue to look at the previous low!

This kind of market is essentially about high-level wash trading plus oscillation to offload. Chasing the rise will only lead to repeated harvesting. Before the direction is established, it is better to stay in cash than to hand over chips in the oscillation!
$BTC
#加密市场观察

In this market, being liquidated really feels like playing a game.
Chasing high prices will inevitably lead to losses, stubbornly holding against the trend, not understanding the trend but still daring to invest heavily, the result is only one: being mercilessly educated by the market.

If you are tired of paying tuition fees over and over again and want to truly understand the trend and hit the right rhythm, the Ater homepage chat room is open for you, taking fewer detours is more important than anything else.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#加密市场观察

Art has repeatedly reminded that before the trend changes, all rallies are just traps for the unsuspecting.
At this position, still chasing the upward trend is essentially gambling with emotions.
The brief strength seems lively, but in reality, it's fleeting; a return is just a matter of time.
The result is also very direct: a drop of 200 points after two waves of selling. Those who buy at high positions will have to pay for their impulsiveness. $ETH
#ETH走势分析

$ETH Ethereum surged 100 points within half an hour, a typical emotion-driven market. The trading volume has clearly increased, and the bulls suddenly gained strength, catching the bears off guard and forcing them out. It is important to note that this kind of rapid surge resembles the concentrated entry of short-term funds, and there is a significant risk in chasing highs. Next, the focus will be on whether the market can stabilize after a pullback; if it can hold, there will be continuation, but if it can't, a rapid retracement is likely to occur.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

US stocks opened high, often not just a repair of sentiment at the index level, but a signal of a rekindling of risk appetite. When capital sees the Nasdaq and S&P jump upward first, the immediate reaction is not to wait and see, but to look for opportunities in 'highly elastic assets' for a supplementary rise, and Bitcoin is almost always at the forefront.

In terms of rhythm, US stocks opening high → risk asset sentiment warming up → marginal improvement in dollar liquidity → capital spilling over into the cryptocurrency market, this is a path that has been repeatedly validated in recent years. Especially against the backdrop where Bitcoin has already completed a full correction and the technical structure is stabilizing, the strong opening of US stocks resembles a fuse that completely ignites the previously hesitant bullish sentiment. You will find that the rise of Bitcoin is often not a 'slow increase', but accompanied by increased volume and a rapid recovery of key resistance levels, which is essentially the result of capital scrambling for positions.

But there is a key point here: rising prices are never prepared for those who hesitate. Many people see US stocks rising and start to find reasons for Bitcoin in their minds; by the time the trend is truly confirmed, the price has already left the comfort zone, leaving only the choices of chasing highs or missing out. The ones who can truly capitalize on this segment of the market are always those who made plans in advance and dared to execute at critical positions.

Therefore, it is not surprising that the market has come; what is surprising is whether you are on the right side. Understanding the logic is just the first step, more importantly, someone helps you break down the rhythm clearly—when to enter, where to defend, and at what point to take profits, rather than shouting after the rise or panicking after the fall.

Recruitment is open: If you repeatedly miss the rhythm in the crypto world, or always realize what happened only after the market has moved, you are welcome to join Ater's practical team. Here, we do not paint cakes or engage in emotional trading; we only make trades that are logically clear, position specific, and risk-controlled first.
If you want to follow a true approach to capitalize on trends rather than being repeatedly educated by the market, visit Ater's group chat on the homepage; positions are reserved for those willing to execute.
$BTC $ETH
#加密市场观察

Waller's speech leans dovish, which is a medium to long-term positive for cryptocurrencies, but in the short term, it is more about emotional recovery, not a trend reversal.

Bitcoin's rebound is still seen as a recovery market; if the evening rebound is under pressure, prioritize short positions. Only consider light long positions when key support is stabilized after a pullback; quick entry and exit!

Ethereum's trend is weak, rising but not stable. If it rebounds to resistance, continue to look bearish; do not chase long positions unless it breaks through!

The overall sentiment in altcoins is such that without a significant breakout, do not chase highs, only play within the range rhythm!

Tonight's core idea is to not chase rebounds, remain calm during pullbacks, and prioritize position control!
The market has worn down the edges, and direction has been lost; let's discuss this together in the group chat on Ater's homepage!
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#美联储降息预期升温

At 9:30 PM tonight, Waller speaks, and the weight of this speech is clearly greater than that of ordinary officials' statements. The reason is simple—Waller is one of the most forward-looking figures within the Federal Reserve in the past two years and is also the one who is most likely to "leak" information ahead of time. The market takes every word he says as a subconscious barometer of policy expectations.

From past positions, Waller is not an extreme hawk in the traditional sense. On the contrary, he has repeatedly emphasized "data-driven" approaches, even acknowledging the trend of declining inflation earlier than the market at critical stages. Because of this, any slight change in his tone during a speech is often rapidly exaggerated by the market.

What needs to be closely watched tonight is not whether he will directly talk about "interest rate cuts"; first, whether he recognizes the sustainability of the current declining inflation; second, whether he emphasizes the marginal suppressive effect of high interest rates on the economy and financial conditions; third, whether he hints that "the necessity of maintaining restrictive policies is decreasing".

If Waller continues to emphasize that "more time is needed to confirm inflation" and that "it is too early to discuss a shift", then market expectations for interest rate cuts will be briefly suppressed, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will rise, and risk assets are likely to experience emotional pullbacks, with the crypto market also likely to enter a defensive phase.

However, if he mentions that "current interest rates are already at sufficiently restrictive levels" and that "the inflation path is moving toward the target", even without providing a timetable, the market will treat it as a dovish signal. In this case, risk appetite will warm up, and both indices and crypto assets will have the potential to undergo a phase of expectation correction.

Here is a key point: Waller's true influence comes from the "expectation difference".

If the market bets on a dovish stance in advance and he chooses caution—this will lead to a squeeze on the bulls; if the market is overall defensive and he slightly softens his stance—this will lead to a squeeze on the shorts.

So tonight, there is no need to take positions in advance; instead, wait for the market to provide answers, observing whether U.S. Treasury yields move first or the dollar does, whether risk assets move in sync or diverge, and whether trading volume expands.

Waller is not here to create trends, but he often serves as the last person to calibrate emotions right before a trend starts.
Understanding this, tonight's volatility will no longer be noise but an opportunity.
$BTC $ETH
#美国非农数据超预期
#加密市场观察
#美联储降息