加密老四

This wave of Binance's Chinese spot market is a must, compared to $Binance Life, I am more optimistic about $Hakimi

Reasons are as follows:

1️⃣
Can fight on its own
No reliance on any "Double Saints" support, previously reached a market cap of 80 million USD

2️⃣
Web2 phenomenal meme
"Hakimi" is already a hot term across the internet, seen everywhere in short videos and comment sections, with a strong grassroots foundation. If a truly popular meme is to emerge in 2025, it is likely to make the list.

3️⃣
Was washed thoroughly, no rush to get on board
It peaked at over 80 million USD, and now has undergone a deep adjustment, with most of the sell-offs done. If it really gets listed on Binance, the selling pressure won't be that scary, and the space will be easier to open up.

4️⃣
Animal sector market cap has been opened
Dogs have DOGE, frogs have PEPE, squirrels have gone to Nero, all have opened up market cap imagination, with a minimum of 1B. Now the animal legion just lacks a representative from the cat family. Hakimi just fills this position, with a simple and direct narrative that's easy to remember and spread.

5️⃣
Emotions are in place, easy to resonate
This meme itself is fun and easy to spread; people are willing to share it. Compared to hard-pumped coins, assets with emotions and memes are easier to survive and attract newcomers.

6️⃣
Friendly image, no controversy
What bad intentions can cats have? Being cute is enough, and the platform can promote it without worry, making it less likely to step on landmines.

So if Binance really wants to list a meme that can maintain popularity, have a community, and tell new stories, $Hakimi is indeed quite suitable.

The media can indeed create anxiety, saying that it is expected to cut interest rates once next year?!

The dot plot clearly shows:

4 people expect no rate cut,
4 people expect one rate cut (25 basis points),
4 people expect two rate cuts (50 basis points).

The probabilities are the same, so how did he summarize it as expected to cut interest rates once next year?!!

Moreover, look at other predictions:

3 people predict one rate hike,
2 people predict three rate cuts (75 basis points),
1 person predicts four rate cuts (100 basis points),
1 person predicts six rate cuts (150 basis points).

The average calculation is [3*25+4*0+4*(-25)*4*(-50)+2*(-75)+1*(-100)+1*(-150)]/19=-32.9

The average prediction is a rate cut of 32.9 basis points, which also exceeds one rate cut. How did he summarize it as expected to cut interest rates once next year?!!

In fact, the Federal Reserve officials are not in disagreement; they simply have no conclusion.

Basically, employment and the economy are not doing well, which can be confirmed, and the Federal Reserve's statement has also noted this point.

However, after the rate cut in September and October, the CPI data for October is completely missing. October's data is essentially absent, and November's data will not be released until December 18. The Federal Reserve officials also do not know if inflation has rebounded after the recent rate cuts.

And after the rate cut in December, it is also unknown whether employment and the economy have eased to some extent.

The Federal Reserve officials are not anonymously voting; they are either in agreement or tacitly understanding, presenting the outside world with a dot plot that has no conclusion.

Since the Federal Reserve officials have no conclusion, how did he summarize it as expected to cut interest rates once next year?!!

降息25个点预期之内
也没有释放其他的利好
没有继续向上的理由了

First, let's get the bad news out of the way. Making money in the industry is quick, but losing it is even quicker; you can go completely broke overnight.
I made money with He Yue not by luck, but by strictly following five rules. He Yue is a double-edged sword; if played well, 300 can turn into 30,000, but if played poorly, no amount of capital can withstand a single night.
My method sounds harsh, but I know what I'm doing. I divide the 300 capital into ten parts, and each time I only use 30 to open 100 times. If I bet correctly on one point, it doubles; if I bet incorrectly, I immediately stop losses, never dragging it out. As long as you adhere to the following five rules, you can survive in the market and gradually earn steadily.
First, if you're wrong, cut it off, don't hesitate. As soon as you hit the stop-loss point, leave immediately; a lucky mindset will only lead to greater losses.
Second, if you make five mistakes in a row, stop immediately. This indicates that today's state is off or the market conditions are unclear; continuing is equal to giving away money, shut down the computer and come back tomorrow.
Third, if you earn three thousand, at least withdraw half. Profit taken is real profit; don't always think about earning more; preserving profit is more important than anything else.
Fourth, only engage in one-sided markets, and resolutely observe in volatile markets. Volatility is easily swept away, so it’s better to patiently wait for a clear trend before acting.
Fifth, never exceed 10% of your capital for position size; only use thirty for operation each time. The outcome of trying to get rich quickly is often liquidation; with thirty, you can test and make mistakes; if you win, it doubles; if you lose, it’s not painful; gradually accumulating can create a big snowball.
Remember, in the He Yue market, surviving is always more important than making quick money. Rules are discipline; if you adhere to them, you will be the last winner.

Yesterday's four-hour triangle false breakout caused all the automatic trend lines in the system to disappear, and I had to draw them by hand.

Tomorrow night, after the interest rate cut is finalized, there will be a press conference. It is expected that in the following 72 hours, BTC will have a fluctuation of 5 points up or down.

This means that your contract has a risk of liquidation even with more than 10 times leverage.

The big one is coming～

Showing off wealth is indeed a problem.

The person involved in this kidnapping case, Lan Zhanfei, previously took the initiative to publicly expose that he earns nine figures annually. Then on Douyin, he quoted a commercial price of 1.5 million for a single ad.

Such an open person was targeted by kidnappers six months in advance to set up a scheme, and when he arrived in South Africa, he was organizedly followed and ultimately kidnapped. It's really lucky that he was able to return safely afterward.

One of the world's asset management giants, Fidelity Investments, has its CEO stating: I like Bitcoin and hold it; it is the gold standard in the world of cryptocurrency.

It will play a role at the level of people's savings. I hope to become one of those who helps everyone access Bitcoin more easily.

Tell an amazing truth, altcoins will belong to the hunting ground in 2025

"The market lacks liquidity" is probably the most heard phrase, everyone is saying that liquidity determines the size of the market, fundamentally, there is nothing wrong with understanding it this way, but from another perspective

The projects have no innovation, the same narrative is just dressed up differently, from the metaverse to RWA to AI, even the project teams themselves don't believe it, so how can you expect retail investors to take over

The team has not established itself, the community is not built, and they come up with a market value of tens of billions, clearly telling you "I'm here to cash out from the start"

As a result, funds only dare to cluster around the top, 90% of altcoins have become "zombie coins", the project teams pull a little and then get crushed, they simply lie flat, new coins go online and immediately break the issue price, they don't even have the patience to draw charts anymore

In the past, it was "hold on and become rich", now it is "run slowly and get buried", the rhythm has changed to: quick in, quick out, stop loss decisively, one wave of rebound without escaping the peak, the next time to break even may have to wait for another round of bull and bear

Right now, either you have insider information and run faster than the project teams, or you only play with the most certain leading coins, don't ask "which one will be a hundred times", first ask yourself: "How many people have run away from this position, am I the last batch, the altcoin battlefield in 2025 is a hunting ground for professional hunters, not a playground for retail investors"

If the current situation is the early stage of a bear market, then this round of rebound is the last exit opportunity for bulls. What we need to consider next is where the highest point of this rebound will be?

In the early stage of a bear market, the rebound is quite strong. In the last bear market's early stage, when it dropped near 33,000 for the second time, it eventually rebounded to 48,000, with a rebound rate of over 40%. If we look at this rebound rate now, a rebound of 40% from 80,000 would be 110,000;

At least my trading strategy for December is to short at highs. In addition, considering the dense trading area of chips and the maximum delivery pain point of the high volume options on December 26 is 100,000, I believe the possibility of stabilizing above 100,000 in December is relatively low;

If the market situation in December does not meet my expected judgment, then my stop-loss price for short positions will also be after Bitcoin stabilizes above 100,000, excluding short-term trades, because a profit of 1,000 to 2,000 points in short-term trading is already enough to exit, and stop-loss is often around 1,000 points.

Scary data.

Since the official launch of Ondo's US stock tokens within the Binance app's built-in wallet last week, approximately 37.3 million US dollars worth of stock tokens have been minted on the chain over the past 3 days.

Today, Binance co-founder He Yi responded on-site that the launch of this section was in response to the investment needs of the majority of wallet users.

Note: Ondo's US stock tokens are issued and minted on-chain, and are matched by brokers to ensure that the prices synchronize with the stock prices.

ETH Market Analysis:

Ethereum has performed quite well this time, at least keeping up with the rhythm. The rebound peak has exceeded $3200, and currently, it looks a bit like a little old lady going up the stairs, with small steps of increase. I'm really worried that if we're not careful, it could crash down directly!

From the four-hour chart perspective, we are close to the overall downtrend line. The hourly level has also shown a standard head and shoulders pattern, but the price is still being maintained. Pay attention to the upcoming movements, with the upper pressure downtrend line around 3250. The short-term support below is in the range of 3080-3050!

Operational suggestion: For those who want to short, they can look at the 3250 pressure area on the four-hour level, which has a higher cost-performance ratio. A valid breakthrough in four hours would be a loss, while below, watch for reactions near the support!

Next, focus on bsc

Reasons

1. Sister is the co-CEO, as we all know, Sister likes memes
2. I saw a picture saying that Sister mentioned in the meeting that they want to create more interesting Binance memes
3. A while ago, the two alphas with low market capitalization had already given signals

The recent trading volume of FIR on the Binance Alpha platform has surged, backed by an innovative ecosystem that combines AI and music, showing strong development momentum. Several popular songs have already achieved excellent results on the platform, such as Kay Tse's new song "Cheng Guang Zhu Meng" ranking second on the Tencent Music chart, with cumulative plays exceeding 100 million, bringing considerable copyright revenue. Today, FIR announced significant positive news, expecting copyright revenue to exceed 30 million USD by 2026. In addition, a "copyright pledge pool" mechanism will be launched at the end of December, where all users participating in FIR-LP will share 50% of the copyright revenue (settled in USDT). Currently, FIR's market value is only about 6 million USD, still in its early stages, and with increased trading volume and positive news gradually being realized, it has a low market value and huge growth potential, which may lead to significant increases in the short term. It is recommended to consider building positions in a timely manner and patiently waiting for further positive developments.

#FIR

The monthly death cross has arrived, and the second month of the monthly death cross aligns with the behavior of the main players. There are currently two possible scenarios:

1. A rebound to around 100,000 before the death cross in March, reaching a peak, followed by a decline of 45%-50% over several months to the bottom;

2. A rebound to the previous high before the death cross in March, reaching a peak, followed by a decline of 45%-50% over several months to the bottom;

In these two months, we will first look at the rebound of the monthly death cross and try not to chase short positions.

I have been monitoring the dynamics of Japan's interest rate hike information since the Golden Week on October 11. Because the halving day of this round of BTC and the last round both fall in April, if the laws of the larger cycle still hold, then October to December is basically the end of a bull market and the beginning of a bear market. The most important information that could completely bring BTC into the next bear market cycle is Japan's interest rate hike. After all, it has been nearly 10 months since the last interest rate cut, and a third interest rate hike in December or January is logical. This timing just happens to be the period that concludes the bull market phase of this larger bull-bear cycle.

If everything operates according to laws or principles, then the internal logic and connections of these events constitute the laws of its operation.