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The Japan Effect on BTC
📉 Crypto Market Brief: The "Japan Effect" tests Bitcoin's $85k.
Sentiment: 🛑 Risk Aversion (Extreme Fear)
📊 Today's Market Snapshot
The crypto market wakes up today with a distinctly red tone. Bitcoin (BTC) has lost the psychological zone of $90,000, currently trading in the range of $85,000 - $86,000. This represents a significant correction from its recent historical highs (above $125k), wiping out billions in total market capitalization.
Sentiment: 🛑 Risk Aversion (Extreme Fear)
📊 Today's Market Snapshot
The crypto market wakes up today with a distinctly red tone. Bitcoin (BTC) has lost the psychological zone of $90,000, currently trading in the range of $85,000 - $86,000. This represents a significant correction from its recent historical highs (above $125k), wiping out billions in total market capitalization.
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XRP in the Era of Institutional Maturity.
Date: December 13, 2025
Theme: Fundamental Analysis and On-Chain
Introduction: The Awakening of the Sleeping Giant
As the year 2025 comes to a close, the crypto asset market has left behind the "Wild West" phase to enter the era of financial integration. In this new landscape, few assets have transformed their narrative as radically as XRP.
What was once labeled as the "bankers' token" or the "asset of eternal judgment" now stands as a fundamental piece of the global payment infrastructure. Trading in the range of $2.30 USD, XRP has ceased to move due to judicial rumors and is now driven by flows of institutional capital.
Theme: Fundamental Analysis and On-Chain
Introduction: The Awakening of the Sleeping Giant
As the year 2025 comes to a close, the crypto asset market has left behind the "Wild West" phase to enter the era of financial integration. In this new landscape, few assets have transformed their narrative as radically as XRP.
What was once labeled as the "bankers' token" or the "asset of eternal judgment" now stands as a fundamental piece of the global payment infrastructure. Trading in the range of $2.30 USD, XRP has ceased to move due to judicial rumors and is now driven by flows of institutional capital.
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RIPPLE USD (RLUSD) vs XRP
1. The main fear: Is RLUSD going to "kill" the utility of XRP? (The negative scenario)
This is the concern that many retail investors have and it is valid.
The original promise of Ripple was that XRP would serve as a "bridge currency". If you wanted to send Dollars to Yen, you would go through XRP in the middle.
The negative narrative is simple: If Ripple launches a stablecoin (RLUSD) that is always worth 1 dollar, banks will prefer to use that stablecoin to move money because it has no volatility.
This is the concern that many retail investors have and it is valid.
The original promise of Ripple was that XRP would serve as a "bridge currency". If you wanted to send Dollars to Yen, you would go through XRP in the middle.
The negative narrative is simple: If Ripple launches a stablecoin (RLUSD) that is always worth 1 dollar, banks will prefer to use that stablecoin to move money because it has no volatility.
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THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM
📈 The Calm Before the Storm: BTC Stabilizes at Key Support, While BNB and XRP Show Dangerous Volume Divergences.
1. Weekly Summary: Consolidation at the Central Axis
The last week was characterized by consolidation in the market leaders, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). After a strong initial correction, BTC demonstrated resilience, maintaining crucial support in the $X zone (where X is the low price of the week) and trading sideways below the key resistance of $Y. This narrow trading range indicates a balanced uncertainty between buying and selling pressure.
1. Weekly Summary: Consolidation at the Central Axis
The last week was characterized by consolidation in the market leaders, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). After a strong initial correction, BTC demonstrated resilience, maintaining crucial support in the $X zone (where X is the low price of the week) and trading sideways below the key resistance of $Y. This narrow trading range indicates a balanced uncertainty between buying and selling pressure.
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ESSENTIAL GUIDE TO XRP
Purpose and Near Future
1. What is XRP really?
XRP is a digital asset that operates on a public and distributed ledger called the XRP Ledger (XRPL), which was created by co-founders of the financial technology company Ripple Labs.
Unlike Bitcoin (designed as decentralized digital money) or Ethereum (designed as a platform for decentralized applications), the primary purpose of XRP is to serve as a liquidity bridge to facilitate fast and low-cost cross-border payments for financial institutions, banks, and payment providers.
1. What is XRP really?
XRP is a digital asset that operates on a public and distributed ledger called the XRP Ledger (XRPL), which was created by co-founders of the financial technology company Ripple Labs.
Unlike Bitcoin (designed as decentralized digital money) or Ethereum (designed as a platform for decentralized applications), the primary purpose of XRP is to serve as a liquidity bridge to facilitate fast and low-cost cross-border payments for financial institutions, banks, and payment providers.
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Crypto in Times of Volatility
The nature of the cryptocurrency market is volatility. Drastic fluctuations are the norm, not the exception. To survive and even thrive in this environment, it is crucial to replace emotional reactions with a solid strategy and discipline.
Next, I present a concise and practical guide on how to act in these moments.
1. Establish the Framework: Reaffirm your Strategy
Before any move, pause and define:
Time Horizon: Are you a long-term investor (years) or a short-term trader? Your answer determines the aggressiveness of your risk management.
Next, I present a concise and practical guide on how to act in these moments.
1. Establish the Framework: Reaffirm your Strategy
Before any move, pause and define:
Time Horizon: Are you a long-term investor (years) or a short-term trader? Your answer determines the aggressiveness of your risk management.
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The Great Divergence and the Age of Utility.
Introduction: A New Political and Economic Paradigm
As we stand here today, at the close of 2025, it is evident that the landscape has changed radically. The hostile regulatory environment is a thing of the past. Thanks to the administrative changes in the United States and the collaboration between the SEC and the CFTC this September, cryptocurrencies have ceased to be a "rebellious" asset and have become a federally recognized asset class. Institutions are no longer looking for how to enter; they are looking for how to optimize their permanence.
As we stand here today, at the close of 2025, it is evident that the landscape has changed radically. The hostile regulatory environment is a thing of the past. Thanks to the administrative changes in the United States and the collaboration between the SEC and the CFTC this September, cryptocurrencies have ceased to be a "rebellious" asset and have become a federally recognized asset class. Institutions are no longer looking for how to enter; they are looking for how to optimize their permanence.
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Weekly Crypto Summary (November 17 - 23, 2025)
Fall to Annual Lows and Regulatory Fragmentation
The cryptocurrency market experienced one of its most volatile and bearish weeks of the year, with selling pressure causing Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to reevaluate key support levels not seen since early 2025.
Price Performance: The $100,000 Barrier Lost
Bitcoin (BTC): The downward trend accelerated at the beginning of the week, driven by global macroeconomic uncertainty and nervousness about Federal Reserve policy.
The cryptocurrency market experienced one of its most volatile and bearish weeks of the year, with selling pressure causing Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to reevaluate key support levels not seen since early 2025.
Price Performance: The $100,000 Barrier Lost
Bitcoin (BTC): The downward trend accelerated at the beginning of the week, driven by global macroeconomic uncertainty and nervousness about Federal Reserve policy.
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Bitcoin through time.
Chronology of Bitcoin Market Cycles: A Historical Analysis
Date: November 2025
Introduction
Bitcoin does not move in a straight line; it moves in logarithmic cycles defined by its "Halving" events (supply reduction every 4 years) and global liquidity. Below, I present the defined eras of euphoria (Bull Market) and depression (Bear Market).
1. The Age of Discovery (2009 - 2012)
The birth of a digital asset with no market price.
2009 (Genesis): Satoshi Nakamoto mines the genesis block. Value: $0.00. It is a cryptographic experiment.
Date: November 2025
Introduction
Bitcoin does not move in a straight line; it moves in logarithmic cycles defined by its "Halving" events (supply reduction every 4 years) and global liquidity. Below, I present the defined eras of euphoria (Bull Market) and depression (Bear Market).
1. The Age of Discovery (2009 - 2012)
The birth of a digital asset with no market price.
2009 (Genesis): Satoshi Nakamoto mines the genesis block. Value: $0.00. It is a cryptographic experiment.
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USUAL. POST-UIP-11 Liquidity Transition
The USD0 liquidity layer is evolving towards a more efficient and optimized structure. This update moves the system to a configuration designed to reduce friction for users while simultaneously strengthening the foundation for upcoming products.
The liquidity layer enters its next phase as part of the adjustments introduced with UIP-11 and the general trend towards disinflation. These changes refine the way incentives are allocated in the USD0 markets and prepare the protocol for the products that will arrive at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025. The transition unfolds over several key dates, each marking a defined step in the updated structure.
The liquidity layer enters its next phase as part of the adjustments introduced with UIP-11 and the general trend towards disinflation. These changes refine the way incentives are allocated in the USD0 markets and prepare the protocol for the products that will arrive at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025. The transition unfolds over several key dates, each marking a defined step in the updated structure.
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Weekly Analysis - November 16
Weekly Analysis of the Cryptocurrency Market: The Fall of "Digital Gold" and the Sentiment of Fear
The cryptocurrency market closed the week immersed in a clear sentiment of risk aversion, with the main digital currencies registering sharp declines and a wave of liquidations exceeding 700 million dollars. Macroeconomic factors, such as uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and the reassessment of risk by institutional investors, pushed digital assets down, breaking key psychological levels.
The cryptocurrency market closed the week immersed in a clear sentiment of risk aversion, with the main digital currencies registering sharp declines and a wave of liquidations exceeding 700 million dollars. Macroeconomic factors, such as uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and the reassessment of risk by institutional investors, pushed digital assets down, breaking key psychological levels.
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XRP 101: General Overview
The document provides an overview of XRP, a digital asset designed for fast and low-cost cross-border payments.
Timeline
2004: Ryan Fugger conceptualizes the decentralized payment system of Ripple.
2012: The XRP Ledger (XRPL) is created by Jed McCaleb, Chris Larsen, and Arthur Britto.
2013: The distribution of XRP is launched; 100 billion XRP pre-mined, with most allocated to Ripple Labs and the founders.
2017: XRP reaches its all-time high during the cryptocurrency boom.
Timeline
2004: Ryan Fugger conceptualizes the decentralized payment system of Ripple.
2012: The XRP Ledger (XRPL) is created by Jed McCaleb, Chris Larsen, and Arthur Britto.
2013: The distribution of XRP is launched; 100 billion XRP pre-mined, with most allocated to Ripple Labs and the founders.
2017: XRP reaches its all-time high during the cryptocurrency boom.
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Crypto News
Before giving you a perspective, it is crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable. The following information is based on current analysis and trends, but does not constitute a guarantee of results or personalized financial advice. Never invest money that you are not willing to lose.
💡 Short-Term Outlook (Upcoming Weeks)
The crypto market is, as usual, at a point of high sensitivity to macroeconomic and technical factors.
💡 Short-Term Outlook (Upcoming Weeks)
The crypto market is, as usual, at a point of high sensitivity to macroeconomic and technical factors.
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Guide to Starting to Invest in the Crypto Market
Investing in cryptocurrencies requires education, patience, and solid risk management.
1. Education and Fundamentals (The Golden Rule)
Before investing, you need to understand the ecosystem:
* Blockchain: It is the underlying technology. Think of it as a decentralized and immutable digital ledger that records all transactions.
* Cryptocurrency: A digital asset that uses cryptography to function as a medium of exchange. The most famous is Bitcoin.
1. Education and Fundamentals (The Golden Rule)
Before investing, you need to understand the ecosystem:
* Blockchain: It is the underlying technology. Think of it as a decentralized and immutable digital ledger that records all transactions.
* Cryptocurrency: A digital asset that uses cryptography to function as a medium of exchange. The most famous is Bitcoin.
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Weekly Analysis Crypto Market
Weekly Crypto Market Analysis (Recent Weeks)
The cryptocurrency market has shown a short-term correction trend and high volatility in recent weeks, with an overall risk aversion sentiment influenced by macroeconomic factors.
1. Overall Market Performance
Total Market Capitalization: A decrease in total crypto market capitalization has been observed this week, indicating profit-taking or a risk aversion move.
The cryptocurrency market has shown a short-term correction trend and high volatility in recent weeks, with an overall risk aversion sentiment influenced by macroeconomic factors.
1. Overall Market Performance
Total Market Capitalization: A decrease in total crypto market capitalization has been observed this week, indicating profit-taking or a risk aversion move.
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USUAL Q4 2025
The USUAL roadmap for the fourth quarter of 2025 (4Q 2025), focused on consolidation, simplification, and preparation for USUAL v2, aiming to become a community DeFi bank.
Key points of the plan:
USD Product Alignment:
USD0 (Productive stablecoin): Remains as the base, a stablecoin backed by Treasury bills. It will evolve with an accumulation/rebase mode to share more protocol income, becoming 'productive cash'.
USD0x (Delta-neutral Yield): A stablecoin with a high-performance engine based on cash and carry strategies (financing differentials), designed for real yield and no farming.
Key points of the plan:
USD Product Alignment:
USD0 (Productive stablecoin): Remains as the base, a stablecoin backed by Treasury bills. It will evolve with an accumulation/rebase mode to share more protocol income, becoming 'productive cash'.
USD0x (Delta-neutral Yield): A stablecoin with a high-performance engine based on cash and carry strategies (financing differentials), designed for real yield and no farming.
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Path to USUALv2 - Q4 2025
USUAL is becoming a DeFi Fintech: the high yield USD0x joins the USD suite, the EUR0 and FX rails are being launched and $USUAL strengthen with
real yield and utility: v2 starts here.
As we approach the end of the year, it's a good time to take stock of what has evolved, what has been learned, and what comes next. Some milestones were moved along the way, but always with a purpose: to build a stronger foundation for a more ambitious plan. This plan will unfold in the
real yield and utility: v2 starts here.
As we approach the end of the year, it's a good time to take stock of what has evolved, what has been learned, and what comes next. Some milestones were moved along the way, but always with a purpose: to build a stronger foundation for a more ambitious plan. This plan will unfold in the
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PAXG vs Gold spot
The price of PAX Gold (PAXG) is designed to follow the spot price of gold (physical gold in real time), but it can fall or rise more dramatically due to factors specific to the cryptocurrency market.
Here are the main reasons why the drop in PAXG may have been more pronounced than that of physical gold:
1. Liquidity and Cryptocurrency Market Sentiment
* 24/7 Market (Crypto): The PAXG market operates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, on cryptocurrency platforms. This allows for an immediate and often exaggerated reaction to news or market panic, even outside of traditional gold trading hours.
Here are the main reasons why the drop in PAXG may have been more pronounced than that of physical gold:
1. Liquidity and Cryptocurrency Market Sentiment
* 24/7 Market (Crypto): The PAXG market operates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, on cryptocurrency platforms. This allows for an immediate and often exaggerated reaction to news or market panic, even outside of traditional gold trading hours.
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The cryptocurrency market today, October 11, 2025, is showing a strong decline in the last 24 hours, despite an overall growth in the past week.
* Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $111,000 - $112,000 with a significant decrease (between -0.99 \% and -8.44 \% in 24h, according to the source).
* Ethereum (ETH) also shows a notable drop (around -11.74 \% in 24h).
* The volatility is partly attributed to fears of a new tariff threat from the U.S. to China.
* Despite the recent correction, the market had reached a record total capitalization in previous months and had seen Bitcoin surpass $125,000.
$BTC
* Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $111,000 - $112,000 with a significant decrease (between -0.99 \% and -8.44 \% in 24h, according to the source).
* Ethereum (ETH) also shows a notable drop (around -11.74 \% in 24h).
* The volatility is partly attributed to fears of a new tariff threat from the U.S. to China.
* Despite the recent correction, the market had reached a record total capitalization in previous months and had seen Bitcoin surpass $125,000.
$BTC
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USUAL Protocol
The USUAL Protocol is designed to be a decentralized system that issues a stablecoin (USD0) and redistributes value through its governance token ($USUAL ).
1. Downward Movement of the Currency (USD0)
The main currency of the protocol, USD0, is a stablecoin whose central design is specifically intended to prevent downward movements and maintain a constant value of 1 USD.
The protocol achieves this stability through two main pillars:
* Full Collateralization: USD0 is backed 1:1 by Real World Assets (RWA), specifically short-term U.S. Treasury bills (T-Bills) and other AA-Grade assets. Unlike fractional reserves, the protocol aims to maintain collateralization above 100% (the site indicates a current collateralization above 101%).
1. Downward Movement of the Currency (USD0)
The main currency of the protocol, USD0, is a stablecoin whose central design is specifically intended to prevent downward movements and maintain a constant value of 1 USD.
The protocol achieves this stability through two main pillars:
* Full Collateralization: USD0 is backed 1:1 by Real World Assets (RWA), specifically short-term U.S. Treasury bills (T-Bills) and other AA-Grade assets. Unlike fractional reserves, the protocol aims to maintain collateralization above 100% (the site indicates a current collateralization above 101%).
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