$PIPPIN Strong rise within a few days, bring fans a wave of snacks, this kind of coin should not be greedy. Exit when making a profit. #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs
🔥Japan is raising interest rates, Bitcoin is in danger!
On the 19th, the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, which is a significant matter. Japan's interest rates have been nearly zero for many years, and everyone has been playing the "Yen carry trade": borrowing cheap yen to exchange for dollars to buy high-risk assets like Bitcoin and US stocks.
However, once interest rates are raised, the cost of borrowing increases, making arbitrage less profitable. Institutions will have to sell assets, exchange back to yen, and pay off their debts. This is called "carry trade unwinding", resulting in tightening global liquidity, with high-leverage, high-volatility assets like Bitcoin being the first to suffer.
Over the past year, every time the BOJ raised interest rates, BTC plummeted:
March 2024, interest rate hike → BTC down 23%;
July 2024, interest rate hike → BTC down 26%;
January 2025, interest rate hike → BTC down nearly 30%.
This time, the market is almost certain that the rate will rise to 0.75%, so Bitcoin has already "fallen in advance" as a precaution. In the short term, it may continue to fluctuate downward, even testing $70,000.
But don't panic, such declines are often due to anticipated reactions, and once the news is confirmed, the market may actually "buy the fact" and rebound.
In summary:
Japan's interest rate hike = global liquidity withdrawal = Bitcoin takes the hit first.
Be cautious in the short term, but it remains an opportunity in the long term.
In the next few days, fasten your seatbelts, watch the yen, watch the stock market, and don’t rush in.
$ZEC The short position was successfully taken, after several hours finally breaking out of the downtrend. For the short term, take profit on a rebound and continue to look for entry positions.
The position adjustment plan is ongoing, interested friends can come to #聊天室领奖
Currently, $ZEC has positioned short near 400, and the overall judgment remains bearish.
From a sectoral perspective, the short-term enthusiasm for the privacy track has clearly cooled down, with weakened capital inflows, while on-chain data shows:
Small funds continue to attempt bottom fishing; large funds, however, are continuously reducing their positions. This indicates that the dominant force in the market is still withdrawing, making it difficult for a rebound to form an effective continuation.
In the short-term structure, ZEC's rebound is mainly a technical correction, and it is recommended to take a short position as the main strategy during the rebound.
Reference: Attempt to short lightly near the rebound to the 400-410 range, with the first target at 360, and further looking towards 320-300.
In the medium to long term, if the privacy narrative continues to retreat and market liquidity weakens, ZEC still has the potential for a significant pullback,
with long-term support expected around 100 USD.
For spot holders, it is recommended to take partial profits or cut losses and exit,
waiting for the market to enter a new round of bear market bottom before considering medium to long-term positioning.
Brothers, is there still anyone who thinks that PIPPIN, this altcoin, has no potential? The bottom keeps rising, and every pullback is for a better upward move. Who dares to short it???
Currently, the fees are negative, but the funds for shorting are decreasing, and the market has been unable to drop further, indicating that retail investors do not have chips. The chips are mostly in the hands of the big players, who continuously lure short positions to attract retail investors to short as fuel. There are no signs of capital withdrawal on the chain, so for subsequent operations, try to focus on going long during pullbacks.
Follow Ali, continuously positioning to make profits.
This time, CZ is waging a war against the bears with real money.
The position $ASTER was very clearly accepted by him. CZ has personally confirmed that the increase in ASTER is far more than 2 million US dollars, and the buying is still ongoing. The market is also voting with prices, stabilizing in the key consensus area, and against the backdrop of 'unlocking negative news', the more it falls, the more it looks like an accumulation area. This is not a collapse; it's a standard golden pit.
The signals on the market are equally clear: a decline with reduced volume, selling pressure exhausted, and the main forces are firmly holding their ground in the cost area, while large funds quietly sweep up amidst emotional panic. When the technical golden pit overlaps with the founder's clear support, this is no longer just a simple short-term rise and fall, but a typical cognitive differential opportunity.
The logic of ASTER is no longer just a token; it carries the core narrative of CZ's later-stage career and ecological layout. The greater the divergence and the more noise, the more it tests whether you can understand the funds and behaviors, or if you're being led by emotions.
There’s only one question left: do you think CZ's clear commitment to increasing positions this time will create a historical bottom above 0.75, or is it just a short-term market protection?
$ETH : Last night, the overall market adjusted as it followed the U.S. stock market decline, with a focus on narrow fluctuations during the day, resulting in minimal overall volatility. The daily trend has been weakening continuously in recent days, with limited rebound strength. If it breaks down again, caution is needed regarding the risk of a retest of weekly support levels.
After concentration liquidation by the bulls last night, the current trends of BTC, ETH, and SOL are structurally bearish.
In terms of institutional funds:
BTC net outflow of 313 million USD, ETH net outflow of 72.7 million USD, SOL net inflow of 39.8 million USD. Institutional short-term risk appetite has decreased, but there is still relative optimism towards SOL.
The overall sentiment is bearish, suitable for short-term or swing trades to sell at highs, avoiding chasing prices or bottom-fishing, with a focus on tonight's non-farm payroll data.
BTC: Short near 86500, rebound can target 88500, take profit at 84000
ETH: Short near 3000, rebound can target 3100, take profit at 2850
SOL: Short near 128, rebound can target 132, take profit at 122
For those who can't manage stop-loss or take-profit, you can pay attention to @阿黎的翻仓计划 one hand, #聊天室领奖
💥That incident has been a while ago, but I still can't forget it.
$ZEC One day, an old fan sent me a voice message, and their voice was trembling:
$SOL "Sister Li, please help me... I trusted my friend and took a loan to buy 100,000 U of a counterfeit currency. At first, it rose rapidly, and I thought I was going to get rich.
$FHE But in the middle of the night, the market crashed. If I hadn't gotten up to check the market and shorted it at the last minute, I might not even be alive now."
As he spoke towards the end, he was almost choked up.
"Sister, my wife doesn’t know about this. I love her very much, but I can’t tell her. She would forgive me, but she would definitely be heartbroken."
Hearing this, I was also silent.
I used to look down on people like this—taking loans, being impulsive, gambling with their lives.
But at that moment, I understood that he wasn't bad; he was just confused by the market.
I told him, "Consider yourself lucky to have woken up before completely falling off the cliff. You still have 3,000 U, and that's enough. The market is still there; as long as you stay steady, opportunities will always come."
Later, he really steadied himself.
No more all-in, no more betting on direction, he started to operate according to plan and position.
Half a year later, he not only paid off his debts but also grew his account to over 400,000 U.
In the crypto world, it has never been simply 'who profits and who loses.'
What it tests is whether you can keep your composure in the darkest night.
Too many people get liquidated, not because of losing in the market, but because they lose to their emotions.
Loans, heavy positions, blind rushes—I've seen too many of these pitfalls.
If you are still confused, losing, and panicking right now,
Please stop for a moment,
Learn to save your life first before talking about turning things around.
The crypto world never lacks opportunities; what it lacks are those who can remain calm in despair.
🔥An ordinary investor's comeback: the transformation from continuous losses to systematic profits
$BTC Ye Ci from Beijing, who works in sales, almost lost an entire year in the cryptocurrency market last year, with his account being halved multiple times.
$ETH This year in November, he started to relearn the trading system, moving from chaotic operations to strictly following strategies.
$SOL I told him three things:
First, do not chase highs, and do not blindly follow trends.
Second, buy with a plan and sell with discipline.
Third, taking profits and cutting losses is more important than predicting market trends.
He began to truly work according to the system—
At the beginning of November, he positioned himself in strong coins at low prices, controlled his positions, and insisted on taking profits.
By the end of the month, during the review, his account had stabilized and turned profitable.
This is not luck, but execution ability.
Market fluctuations always exist, but only disciplined people can survive the fluctuations.
Trading cryptocurrencies is not about courage, but about execution.
Those who can maintain rhythm in chaos will be able to profit in the market in the long run.
$ETH 9 days, from 8000U to 1 million U: My ultimate review and risk insights
$BNB The pace in the crypto world is fast, making and losing money can happen in an instant.
$SOL In these 9 days, I went from 8000U to 1 million U, but more importantly, I learned about the 'cost behind quick money'.
On the 10th, I took a small long position at ZEC 500, and after the trend started, it surged to 648, and I decisively took profits. That trade made me realize that real profits come from discipline and execution, not luck.
The next day, I predicted a reversal in ZEC and shorted at 580, and it dropped all the way to 450, allowing me to take profits again.
The lesson from that time is — the market will never move as you expect, but with a lighter position, you can wait for opportunities.
For the third time, I identified a 'top signal' at high BTC levels, shorting at 95264. That night it plummeted to around 91000, and I exited with profits. I couldn't sleep that night and deeply understood: getting rich relies on luck, but long-term success relies on rhythm.
I am still reviewing and optimizing my system.
Going from 8000U to 1 million is not a miracle, but an extreme example of strict execution.
However, I want to emphasize — those who do not understand risk management cannot hold onto 100,000 even if they earn 1 million.
Currently, $ZEC has positioned short near 400, and the overall judgment remains bearish.
From a sectoral perspective, the short-term enthusiasm for the privacy track has clearly cooled down, with weakened capital inflows, while on-chain data shows:
Small funds continue to attempt bottom fishing; large funds, however, are continuously reducing their positions. This indicates that the dominant force in the market is still withdrawing, making it difficult for a rebound to form an effective continuation.
In the short-term structure, ZEC's rebound is mainly a technical correction, and it is recommended to take a short position as the main strategy during the rebound.
Reference: Attempt to short lightly near the rebound to the 400-410 range, with the first target at 360, and further looking towards 320-300.
In the medium to long term, if the privacy narrative continues to retreat and market liquidity weakens, ZEC still has the potential for a significant pullback,
with long-term support expected around 100 USD.
For spot holders, it is recommended to take partial profits or cut losses and exit,
waiting for the market to enter a new round of bear market bottom before considering medium to long-term positioning.
$ASTER From a structural perspective, the ASTER daily chart has shown clear signs of bottoming out, with gradually increasing support at lower levels, and volume starting to release gently, indicating short-term rebound momentum.
The current price range is between 0.88 and 0.95, which is a phase for potential entry. It may be considered to accumulate positions in this range gradually. This area is close to the CZ cost zone, with limited selling pressure. As long as there is no significant volume breakout, it is likely to continue consolidating.
If the price effectively breaks below 0.85, caution is needed, as it may trigger panic selling, disrupting the short-term structure.
Accumulating at lower levels and gradually positioning, with stop-loss set below 0.85, targeting a rebound space towards the 1.0-1.1 range.
Short-term focus is on rebound recovery, and if there is a significant volume breakout above 1.1 in the medium term, it may enter a phase of strengthening trend.
Funds on the BEAT chain continue to flow out, so for short-term operations, a short position is chosen. There is a need for a pullback at the hourly level.
At the current position near 2.08, a small short position can be taken, with a target around 1.95.
$ZEC continues to short, ZEC has an advantage of being very suitable for short-term trading. From the four-hour chart, ZEC has already shown a downtrend. If it doesn't hold the support at 400 today, we will see it near 370.
Brothers, keep up with this wave; Ali has already taken fans into the market.
🚀🚀There is a 'foolproof method' that almost everyone can learn, yet can achieve stable long-term profits.
$PIPPIN I have been in the cryptocurrency space for ten years, witnessing too many people become wealthy by luck, only to return to zero due to emotions.
$BEAT The ones who can truly survive long-term are never the smartest, but the ones who are the dumbest, the most stable, and the most disciplined.
$FHE I used a 'foolproof method' to gradually grow my account to two million.
Not relying on genius operations, but on rules.
First, stability is the first principle. When the market crashes and the projects you hold can remain stable without collapsing, it indicates that there is strength behind it maintaining stability. When the market is calm, the projects that can hold steady are usually the most promising.
Second, go with the trend. The simplest operational logic is always: when the trend is up, hold; when the trend weakens, exit. Trading is not about competing with intelligence, but about execution.
Third, know when to give up. If there’s no movement in the short term, don’t stubbornly hold on; cut losses when needed.
"Clear all positions at a 5% loss" sounds brutal, but it is this discipline that has saved me countless times.
Fourth, a sharp drop does not represent an opportunity; patiently wait for reversal signals. While the probability of a rebound during extreme market panic is indeed high, wait for confirmation signals before acting; don’t blindly try to catch the bottom based on feelings.
Fifth, always prioritize leading projects. The strong remain strong; this is the eternal law of the market. Don’t be greedy and dabble in miscellaneous projects; leading projects are not only resistant to declines but also easily favored by major funds.
Sixth, price is not important; direction is crucial. Buying is not about getting the lowest price but about aligning with the trend. Learn to abandon the "catching the bottom mindset" and turn yourself into a follower of the trend.
Seventh, profits are just a process; stability is the goal. Don’t get carried away by short-term gains; true experts never focus on one or two instances of profit, but rather on whether the long-term curve is steadily rising.
Eighth, holding cash is a form of wisdom. Those who do not know how to hold cash will eventually pay tuition. True experts understand the importance of waiting during uncertain times. In the market, frequency is not the core; success rate is key.
The truth of the cryptocurrency world can be summed up in one sentence:
Those who can survive are not the most aggressive, but the most rational.
Don’t blindly chase hot trends, and don’t stubbornly hold on alone.
Keep learning, make rational judgments, and seek progress in stability,
You will naturally seize the opportunities that belong to you during cyclical changes.
🔥🔥🔥How to determine whether a coin has upward potential? Just remember these two points.
Many people who are new to the crypto space always want to find a coin that will "skyrocket soon."
But those who can really profit in the crypto space never look at short-term fluctuations; they only focus on two things.
First, is there significant capital backing it?
The market does not rise based on faith; it is driven by real money.
The ones who can truly drive the market are always the institutions, funds, and project teams—these big players are the engines of the market.
If they are investing, continuously increasing their positions, and stabilizing the market, it means this sector will not easily cool down.
Conversely, a coin that no one is managing or supporting, no matter how good the technology is, is useless.
Retail traders competing against each other will only thin the market out, ultimately being harvested by the main players.
Second, check whether the community has sustained enthusiasm.
Whether a project can go far depends on "whether anyone is chasing it."
If a coin is not being discussed, not being shared, and the community is quiet, it shows that the story cannot even continue.
The essence of the crypto space is narrative; as long as there are ongoing topics, updates, and interactions, it has the potential to be reignited by funds.
It's like a show; no matter how good the plot is, if it ends poorly after three episodes, the audience will not continue watching.
Thus, a coin with potential usually has two points:
First, significant capital backing it,
Second, sustained community enthusiasm and ongoing narratives.
In contrast, those coins without stories, popularity, or management, even if they spike in the short term, are mostly just exit strategies.
Blindly getting in is just using your principal to lift others.
Trading coins requires watching trends, but more importantly, paying attention to the "backing."
Don’t just focus on candlesticks; pay attention to capital flow, narrative lines, and community enthusiasm,
This is the key to keeping up with the main players and positioning yourself in advance.
The current market is in the stage of main players shifting their positions,
If you are still hesitating about the direction and don’t know which rhythm to follow,
Then follow me, let’s understand the pattern together, seize the opportunity for doubling, and help you recover your funds, get out of your positions, and turn the tide.