羡羡的加密日记

Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!

Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.

When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.

First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.

Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.

Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.

Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.

Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.

Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.

Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.

Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.

Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.

These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.

Which are the best altcoins?
Deflation coins:
BNB, FLOKI, SHIB
Fully circulated coins:
PEPE, BOME, PEOPLE, NOT, WIF

Recently, there has been widespread talk that Binance Life will be launching spot trading.
However, I no longer have much expectation for it. This is mainly because the first one to launch spot trading, Giggle, has seen its market value drop to 65 million. According to the trend-following rules of the market, the performance of Binance Life's market value after launching spot trading will likely reference Giggle's market value performance. Will it drop by half right after launching? It's hard to say.

Recently, I discovered an interesting thing while scanning the blockchain: the gameplay of meme coins on BSC and SOL is quite different.
On BSC, meme coins typically experience a downward trend after the promoters sell off, leaving retail investors to hold on, and even if they want to make a comeback, they may not be able to surpass the previous high.
On SOL, it's different; many coins can be revived even after hitting zero. Foreign investors act decisively, they take profits and cut losses quickly, and as long as the theme is recognized, there is a chance to return to previous highs or even break through.
So don't rush to re-enter the market, be patient and wait for the right opportunity, otherwise, it's easy to get trapped.

During the day, there is basically no market activity, just back-and-forth fluctuations for correction. The real market trend is likely to occur in the evening. If you want to make a move, it's recommended to wait for a rebound before taking action.

Here, buying long is not advised because of the current trend; it will either rebound slightly and then drop again, or it will just crash down. The risk of going long is too high, and the cost-effectiveness doesn't add up. Don't risk losing a lot of money just to make a little profit.

Today the market is once again a sea of red, gold has reached new highs, and the US stock market hasn't dropped much, yet cryptocurrency has inexplicably fallen. The current explanation that can be found is that Japan is going to raise interest rates, but ultimately, it's still due to the lack of liquidity in the market. So what needs to be done now is to watch more and act less, and wait until after the delivery on the 26th to take action.

As for Bitcoin, I mentioned yesterday afternoon that if the daily chart can't hold above the MA30, there is a risk of dropping back to $80,000, and the current trend completely aligns with expectations. Today, let's keep an eye on the support level at $85,000: if it holds, a solid bottom with three tests could form; if it doesn't hold, we may need to continue adjusting downwards.

Regarding Ethereum, I shorted at $3180 yesterday, and now it's dropped, which aligns with expectations. Everyone can take some profits and wait before deciding what to do next.

As for BCH, I originally planned to buy around $520, but given the current market situation, it's better not to rush into action; let's wait until the market situation clarifies after the delivery.

Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its downward trend, directly breaking below the 88000 support range, and it stabilized after dipping near the 85000 support level. The current market focus is on the strength of the rebound, and it remains to be seen whether the small-scale trend can form a bottom.

From the analysis of the small-scale charts, the price is rebounding based on support, and this sign is worth noting, but the strength of the rebound remains the core variable. The short-term resistance level above is at 88000, and only by breaking through this level can Bitcoin regain its upward momentum and possibly complete a small-scale bottom formation.

BTC has indeed tested the support near 88k as analyzed last week! Now let's see how strongly it can rebound from this area and whether it can rise robustly to the resistance level above.

Looking at the four-hour chart, it can be seen that it rebounded exactly at the 88k support zone, and this position is also the lower support of the parallel channel trend. Next, we will focus on two resistance levels: first watch 94k, then the major resistance area at 98k.

Let's talk about several popular tokens that have been active recently:

$ZEC: A token in the privacy track has suddenly gained momentum, showing an independent trend not following the market;
$ADA: It has performed very well among mainstream coins, with a strong technical rebound;
$AVAX: The public chain sector has been very active, without any setbacks;
$WIF: As one of the leading Meme coins, it still has significant volatility, but its popularity hasn't decreased.

The focus should be on the key positions where the main force is making the market. These places are both important resistance and support levels.

If the lower edge of the densely concentrated key position cannot be pushed up, the price is likely to turn downwards. Additionally, the 400 million funds that were pulled in from 3-4 AM have already all run out. Generally speaking, after the funds escape, the price will still fluctuate back and forth a few times, with the fluctuation range approximately between 926-935.

BTC no need to look at anything else right now, just focus on the flag pattern!

It is already in a downtrend, and now this kind of movement appears to be going up, but most of it is a bearish flag, which has a higher probability of breaking downwards in the end.

Recently, pay more attention to the changes in the K-line, and once it really breaks down this pattern, it is likely to signal further downward movement!

I sold my ZEC long position at almost the highest point! I specifically reminded everyone yesterday to take all profits, and sure enough, a small K-line M top appeared afterward, and the coin price followed with a pullback.
In this kind of market, you really can't be greedy for that last bit of profit; otherwise, the profits you've made can easily be given back. Remember, if you make money, run away in time, and taking the profit while it's good is the reliable way!

Let's take profits on ZEC long positions! Looking at the 1-hour chart, the trend is an ascending wedge, and there is also an M top, indicating a high probability of a pullback in the short term. Moreover, there is a divergence at the top, and if profits are given back, it won't be worthwhile.
Don't be greedy for that last bit of profit; first, let's secure the profits.

POWER has indeed dropped all the way down as I predicted. It is a new currency with a low market value, and it had previously been pumped up, so the decline is only natural.

This short position is too appealing! Even with a low leverage of 10 times, one can earn more than double. The publicly shared contract opportunities completely met expectations and did not disappoint.

For those who followed the trades, you can now take profits in batches and set a break-even stop loss to secure your profits!

BTC is currently showing higher lows; the critical $90,000 neckline has been breached, forming a bullish complex head and shoulders bottom pattern. Everyone can look for opportunities to go long or add positions.

Let's take a look at the situation with a few popular coins:
TRUMP: The official mobile game has just launched, with fan interactions exceeding 100,000 on the X platform, up 15% in 24 hours, and its market cap has surpassed $500 million;
PIPPIN: It has rebounded 20 times from the bottom, with long positions surging to 1030%, and a 24-hour trading volume of $120 million, making it a hot coin worth focusing on;
WET: It surged 100% right after being listed on the exchange, reaching a market cap of $180 million, supported by market maker background, and is expected to double again in the short term;
FKH: This is a potential coin themed around the Year of the Horse, having increased 25% in 24 hours, with the community calling it the "next WIF", and its low market cap makes it prone to explosive growth.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is basically confirmed, and it will also start quantitative easing to inject money into the market. Now is the time to appropriately increase risk investments and seize this decent rebound trend in daily and weekly charts.

TRUMP coin has completely failed this round of the bull market; it is basically impossible to see a significant rise, and to make money, one must wait for the next round of the bull market.

The core reason is that most tokens have not yet been unlocked, and with next year likely being a bear market, not only is the price expected to drop, but there will also be the added pressure of token unlocks. Just thinking about this scenario is a headache.
However, if Trump can get through the midterm elections and become president again in 2027-2028, then TRUMP coin will definitely be the strongest meme coin in the next bull market.

Why do I say this? There are three key points:
The bear market will continue to push prices down; after fully washing out, the price may drop to 1 dollar, which means an additional 80% decline from now, low enough to create profit space;
Currently, the tokens have not been fully unlocked, and the manipulators have no incentive to push prices up. If we wait two more years for full unlocking, only then will the manipulators start to reposition;
At that time, prices will be low enough, tokens will be fully circulated, and combined with Trump's continued popularity as president, it will be difficult for this coin not to rise in the next bull market.

The POWER has been fluctuating upwards since it opened.
As a low market cap coin, it has already increased significantly, and it now seems to indicate a pullback. You can try a small short position with low leverage.

It is recommended to use 10x leverage for a small position, opening a short around the current price of 0.26465, with stop loss and take profit not determined for now. Remember to manage your position size reasonably; if you can't handle the volatility, just set a 15-point stop loss.

ZEC has really been on the rise these past two days, and today's performance is particularly strong!

After a slight pullback, it quickly bounced back, feeling like this wave is about to start a second surge. I've kept some long positions; if it can hold the neckline, it's not impossible for it to surge up to 500.

RDNT recently experienced a wave of sharp rebounds, but these coins are generally one-time trends. The way they rise is likely the same way they will fall afterwards.

I had also bought its spot before, and ended up losing several times my investment, so I quickly cut my losses and ran; otherwise, there wouldn't even be a chance to escape now.

Just a reminder, for coins that suddenly pull up a big bullish candle, absolutely do not chase the highs!

ETH is following BTC's fluctuations, and the current price has stabilized above $3100, oscillating here.
The four-hour downtrend line is approaching again, and it is estimated that after some oscillation, it will attempt to break through. Overall, it still fluctuates with BTC, just keep an eye on the key positions: above looking at the pressure at 3250, and below focusing on the support at the integer level of 3000!