加密桑娜
行情分析，合约现货技术分析，区块链技术分析！钉钉：msp252580
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RAVE rebounds 29%! Has the adjustment after the launch ended? Can it continue to soar in the small-cap coin craze?
Recently, the new coin RAVE has been gaining some traction! Just a few days after its launch, it not only didn't cool down but also surged against the trend on the leaderboard — in the past 24 hours, it skyrocketed by over 29%, and the trading volume increased by 23%. This rebound is quite impressive! However, a question arises: has the adjustment after the launch really come to an end? In the current market where everyone is flocking to small-cap coins, can it maintain this upward momentum?
Has the adjustment after the launch really ended?
Let's first review RAVE's 'debut trajectory': it went live at $0.5 on December 14, but immediately after the opening, it entered an adjustment phase, dropping directly to $0.27. Interestingly, on the same day, it rebounded from this low point and regained the issuance price of $0.5!
Has the adjustment after the launch really ended?
Let's first review RAVE's 'debut trajectory': it went live at $0.5 on December 14, but immediately after the opening, it entered an adjustment phase, dropping directly to $0.27. Interestingly, on the same day, it rebounded from this low point and regained the issuance price of $0.5!
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日本央行（BOJ）近日正式宣布，将政策利率上调 25 个基点至 0.75%，创下 1990 年代以来的最高水平。此举标志着日本彻底告别长期零利率框架，并释放明确信号：若未来经济与物价走势符合预期，将延续加息周期。
加息决策背后有坚实数据支撑。核心逻辑在于通胀与薪资形成良性循环 —— 核心 CPI 已连续三年高于 2%，央行预测 2027 财年仍能维持这一水平；企业对 2026 年春斗调薪持乐观态度，进一步巩固内需动能。同时，日元长期贬值推升进口成本，加息成为缓解输入型通胀的必要举措。
尽管 2025 年三季度 GDP 年化率萎缩 1.8%，但 BOJ 强调这一现象具有暂时性，认为 21.3 万亿日元财政刺激及 AI 设备投资将带动四季度经济反弹。值得注意的是，由于通胀率仍高于名义利率，日本实际利率仍处负值区间，货币环境整体偏宽松。
后续政策将延续 “循序渐进、数据驱动” 的基调。市场普遍预期，2026 年 4-6 月可能再度加息，年中将利率推升至 1%；法国巴黎银行（BNP Paribas）则预测，长线终点利率或达 1.5%。分析师指出，2026 年上半年的薪资谈判与零售数据将成为判断加息节奏的关键，而日元走势、日债收益率与全球资金再配置的互动，将影响明年全球资产表现。
加密货币市场方面，伴随日本加息利空落地，比特币短线冲高至 87500 美元。近期走势震荡加剧，多空博弈较为激烈。
加息决策背后有坚实数据支撑。核心逻辑在于通胀与薪资形成良性循环 —— 核心 CPI 已连续三年高于 2%，央行预测 2027 财年仍能维持这一水平；企业对 2026 年春斗调薪持乐观态度，进一步巩固内需动能。同时，日元长期贬值推升进口成本，加息成为缓解输入型通胀的必要举措。
尽管 2025 年三季度 GDP 年化率萎缩 1.8%，但 BOJ 强调这一现象具有暂时性，认为 21.3 万亿日元财政刺激及 AI 设备投资将带动四季度经济反弹。值得注意的是，由于通胀率仍高于名义利率，日本实际利率仍处负值区间，货币环境整体偏宽松。
后续政策将延续 “循序渐进、数据驱动” 的基调。市场普遍预期，2026 年 4-6 月可能再度加息，年中将利率推升至 1%；法国巴黎银行（BNP Paribas）则预测，长线终点利率或达 1.5%。分析师指出，2026 年上半年的薪资谈判与零售数据将成为判断加息节奏的关键，而日元走势、日债收益率与全球资金再配置的互动，将影响明年全球资产表现。
加密货币市场方面，伴随日本加息利空落地，比特币短线冲高至 87500 美元。近期走势震荡加剧，多空博弈较为激烈。
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市场不少人盼着日本加息落地后暴跌抄底，但回顾历史规律，加息当天鲜少出现大幅跳水，下行影响多存在滞后性，真正的关键在下周。
今日盲目抄底易陷入回调陷阱，这轮行情并非一蹴而就：大概率是当天快速下探后迅速收复，随后逐步跌至低位，再进入为期三四周的缓慢反弹。
今日短线策略可延续昨日节奏：白天等待反弹至高点布局空单，晚间回落时止盈。成本占优的空单可分批止盈，后续反弹后再择机补仓。
今日盲目抄底易陷入回调陷阱，这轮行情并非一蹴而就：大概率是当天快速下探后迅速收复，随后逐步跌至低位，再进入为期三四周的缓慢反弹。
今日短线策略可延续昨日节奏：白天等待反弹至高点布局空单，晚间回落时止盈。成本占优的空单可分批止盈，后续反弹后再择机补仓。
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The cryptocurrency market quickly fell after a surge last night, with Ethereum hitting a two-week low of $2775 this morning, recovering slightly before the deadline.
On-chain analysis platform Arkham data shows that the world's largest Ethereum (ETH) reserve institution, BitMine (BMNR), withdrew approximately 30075 ETH (valued at $88.73 million) from FalconX through two new addresses early on the 19th, continuing its usual accumulation pace. Arkham estimates that since the beginning of this week, BitMine has accumulated ETH worth at least $229 million, and its current holdings have officially surpassed 4 million ETH, accounting for more than 3.3% of the total ETH supply, further approaching the goal of “holding 5% of the circulating supply.”
BitMine Chairman and Fundstrat founder Tom Lee proposed the “5% alchemy” last year, which focuses on positioning for the “Made in America Validator Network (MAVAN)” set to launch in 2026. The company estimates that if it ultimately holds 5% of ETH and stakes all of it, the annualized return could contribute $400 million in cash flow. Despite currently facing paper losses of several billion dollars, management still positions ETH as a long-term income-generating asset rather than a short-term speculative target.
The market generally believes that BitMine's scale effects and professional custody advantages will further facilitate institutional capital inflow into ETH, especially under the expectation that the Trump administration may introduce energy and blockchain-friendly policies. The narrative of ETH's “equity returns” continues to strengthen, potentially establishing a competitive landscape alongside Bitcoin in both the crypto and traditional capital markets.
In the short term, large-scale accumulation may exacerbate ETH price volatility; however, from a medium to long-term perspective, BitMine's substantial investment has cast a vote of confidence in the ETH staking economy. After MAVAN launches in 2026, the influence of holding over 3% combined with stable revenue streams will be a key test of whether Ethereum can become part of the mainstream asset portfolio.
On-chain analysis platform Arkham data shows that the world's largest Ethereum (ETH) reserve institution, BitMine (BMNR), withdrew approximately 30075 ETH (valued at $88.73 million) from FalconX through two new addresses early on the 19th, continuing its usual accumulation pace. Arkham estimates that since the beginning of this week, BitMine has accumulated ETH worth at least $229 million, and its current holdings have officially surpassed 4 million ETH, accounting for more than 3.3% of the total ETH supply, further approaching the goal of “holding 5% of the circulating supply.”
BitMine Chairman and Fundstrat founder Tom Lee proposed the “5% alchemy” last year, which focuses on positioning for the “Made in America Validator Network (MAVAN)” set to launch in 2026. The company estimates that if it ultimately holds 5% of ETH and stakes all of it, the annualized return could contribute $400 million in cash flow. Despite currently facing paper losses of several billion dollars, management still positions ETH as a long-term income-generating asset rather than a short-term speculative target.
The market generally believes that BitMine's scale effects and professional custody advantages will further facilitate institutional capital inflow into ETH, especially under the expectation that the Trump administration may introduce energy and blockchain-friendly policies. The narrative of ETH's “equity returns” continues to strengthen, potentially establishing a competitive landscape alongside Bitcoin in both the crypto and traditional capital markets.
In the short term, large-scale accumulation may exacerbate ETH price volatility; however, from a medium to long-term perspective, BitMine's substantial investment has cast a vote of confidence in the ETH staking economy. After MAVAN launches in 2026, the influence of holding over 3% combined with stable revenue streams will be a key test of whether Ethereum can become part of the mainstream asset portfolio.
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Emoji coins are making a comeback: DOGE sees increased holdings from whales, $MAXI pre-sale is hot, is the next hundredfold opportunity?
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2022 market crash script repeats? BTC rebound can't save DOGE, lowest may drop to 0.05 USD!
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Meme Coin Comeback! DOGE and SHIB Get Regulated Futures, Can We Still Buy the Dip?
Once mocked as a 'pure meme' cryptocurrency, now it's surprisingly entered the mainstream financial circle! DOGE (Dogecoin) and SHIB (Shiba Inu) can now be traded as regulated futures, and this wave of mainstream recognition has really raised expectations! Today, let's talk about the current situation of these two coins and see if there are any opportunities to buy the dip!
First, let's look at Dogecoin, which has been a bit sluggish recently—lying flat in the 12.5-14 cent range, down 11%-18% over the past month, which is quite frustrating. It's currently stuck at a small resistance level of 16 cents, with 18 cents being a tougher hurdle. But to be honest, once it breaks through these two levels, it could take off by 40%+! Moreover, the technical indicators are showing exhaustion, indicating oversold signals, so it might suddenly bounce back any day now. Of course, we also need to watch out for key supports at 11 cents and 10 cents; breaking those could lead to trouble.
First, let's look at Dogecoin, which has been a bit sluggish recently—lying flat in the 12.5-14 cent range, down 11%-18% over the past month, which is quite frustrating. It's currently stuck at a small resistance level of 16 cents, with 18 cents being a tougher hurdle. But to be honest, once it breaks through these two levels, it could take off by 40%+! Moreover, the technical indicators are showing exhaustion, indicating oversold signals, so it might suddenly bounce back any day now. Of course, we also need to watch out for key supports at 11 cents and 10 cents; breaking those could lead to trouble.
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Breaking! Coinbase launches compliant futures for SHIB/DOGE, institutions are flocking to layout crypto derivatives
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DOGE stands at a watershed! $0.074 life and death line, is it holding back a big move or is it cooling off?
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Why did the cryptocurrency market drop today?
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The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike storm is coming! Will cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH rise or fall next? Should retail investors lie flat or buy the dip?
This Friday afternoon (12.19) the Bank of Japan is set to announce its interest rate decision, and the market is going crazy — betting on a rate hike of 1 basis point (which is an increase of 0.25 percentage points) to 0.75%, with a probability as high as 95%! This is the highest record since 1995, and the Bank of Japan is about to completely bid farewell to the 'ultra-low interest rate lying flat mode'~
Why are they so bold? Three strong data points back them up:
Prices are skyrocketing: core CPI has exceeded the 2% target for 28 consecutive months, directly hitting 3.0% in October, making the yen in hand increasingly worthless;
Wages have also increased: nominal wages rose by 2.6% in October, higher than market expectations, and with the spiral rise of prices and wages, interest rates cannot be suppressed without a hike;
Why are they so bold? Three strong data points back them up:
Prices are skyrocketing: core CPI has exceeded the 2% target for 28 consecutive months, directly hitting 3.0% in October, making the yen in hand increasingly worthless;
Wages have also increased: nominal wages rose by 2.6% in October, higher than market expectations, and with the spiral rise of prices and wages, interest rates cannot be suppressed without a hike;
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Trump-related project splashes 120 million! USD1 going hard against USDT/PYUSD? Regulatory red lines hanging overhead
Trump's return to the White House marks one year, and his family's associated cryptocurrency project WLFI has made a big move! This Wednesday, the governance forum proposed a motion: to use 5% of the national treasury reserves (about 120 million USD) to subsidize its own stablecoin USD1, vowing to seize market share. This operation has directly focused Washington and Wall Street — it's not just a turf war in the crypto circle, but also a limit test of political influence and regulatory red lines!
Burning money to exchange for market! USD1 hard against the two giants
WLFI's calculations are ringing loud: using subsidies to exchange for liquidity, a strategy similar to the traditional tech industry's 'burning money to acquire customers'. Specifically, it will spend in three areas: providing market-making rewards for the USD1 liquidity pool, subsidizing payment companies for settlement connections, and giving cashback to cross-border remittance companies, directly targeting the stablecoin giants USDT and PayPal's PYUSD.
Burning money to exchange for market! USD1 hard against the two giants
WLFI's calculations are ringing loud: using subsidies to exchange for liquidity, a strategy similar to the traditional tech industry's 'burning money to acquire customers'. Specifically, it will spend in three areas: providing market-making rewards for the USD1 liquidity pool, subsidizing payment companies for settlement connections, and giving cashback to cross-border remittance companies, directly targeting the stablecoin giants USDT and PayPal's PYUSD.
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DOGE to drop 60%? BTC rebound can't save it! Is the 2022 collapse script about to repeat?
Analyst VisionPulsed Emergency Warning: Even if Bitcoin rebounds, Dogecoin (DOGE) could plummet to $0.05. The technical divergence + signals of historical repetition make this too dangerous!
📊 BTC has a chance of rebounding, it all depends on the 'higher lows'
BTC's daily RSI indicator is falling from overbought to oversold. In the past two months, every time this indicator 'reset', BTC made new lows. But this time is different — if the indicator reaches oversold and BTC can create 'higher lows', it would be the first time in two months and could trigger a short-term rebound.
However, don’t be blindly optimistic! BTC is currently stuck at the lower edge of the 7-8 day Gaussian channel, having stayed there for 4 weeks. In 2022, it lingered in a similar range for 63 days before breaking down. Whether it can rebound depends entirely on whether the recent lows can be held; if broken, there’s no hope.
📊 BTC has a chance of rebounding, it all depends on the 'higher lows'
BTC's daily RSI indicator is falling from overbought to oversold. In the past two months, every time this indicator 'reset', BTC made new lows. But this time is different — if the indicator reaches oversold and BTC can create 'higher lows', it would be the first time in two months and could trigger a short-term rebound.
However, don’t be blindly optimistic! BTC is currently stuck at the lower edge of the 7-8 day Gaussian channel, having stayed there for 4 weeks. In 2022, it lingered in a similar range for 63 days before breaking down. Whether it can rebound depends entirely on whether the recent lows can be held; if broken, there’s no hope.
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Can DOGE reach 1 dollar? Hope to realize the dream in 2029, currently at 0.133 dollars, focus on two key levels!
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BTC Late Night Wash Trading! 4 Hours Liquidation of 194 Million, Brother Maji Chased Up for a Week and Lost 3.4 Million
On the night of December 17, the crypto market suddenly experienced a wash trading event! Around 22:45, BTC made a sharp short-term surge, breaking through 90,000 USD, but then selling pressure hit, causing it to not only give back all its gains but also drop below 87,000 USD. ETH's price movement was synchronized, initially breaking 3,000 USD before quickly retreating, with the writing time reporting 2,850 USD.
Coingalss data shows that in the past 4 hours, the total network liquidation reached 194 million USD, with long positions liquidated at 72 million USD and short positions liquidated at 121 million USD.
Taiwan's well-known investor Brother Maji once again chased the rising market and fell into a trap. OnchainLens monitoring shows that he deposited 149904 USDC that night, opened a 40x BTC long position, a 10x HYPE long position, and increased his 25x ETH long position, with all three positions currently in a losing state.
According to htc data, this "Long Position King" has accumulated a loss of 3.4 million USD in the past week, with recent operations continuously falling behind.
On the night of December 17, the crypto market suddenly experienced a wash trading event! Around 22:45, BTC made a sharp short-term surge, breaking through 90,000 USD, but then selling pressure hit, causing it to not only give back all its gains but also drop below 87,000 USD. ETH's price movement was synchronized, initially breaking 3,000 USD before quickly retreating, with the writing time reporting 2,850 USD.
Coingalss data shows that in the past 4 hours, the total network liquidation reached 194 million USD, with long positions liquidated at 72 million USD and short positions liquidated at 121 million USD.
Taiwan's well-known investor Brother Maji once again chased the rising market and fell into a trap. OnchainLens monitoring shows that he deposited 149904 USDC that night, opened a 40x BTC long position, a 10x HYPE long position, and increased his 25x ETH long position, with all three positions currently in a losing state.
According to htc data, this "Long Position King" has accumulated a loss of 3.4 million USD in the past week, with recent operations continuously falling behind.
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Is the altcoin season over? Experts say: It hasn't ended, it will start rising in Q2 2026!
Are you about to go crazy from altcoins? BTC is charging ahead, while altcoins are lying flat in place, and many investors are anxiously stamping their feet: Is the altcoin season completely dead, or is it simply delayed?
The answer is here — multiple big names have spoken: It's not dead, it just hasn't started yet!
Four-year cycle changed to five years? The core reason for the delay has been found.
Macro expert Raoul Pal directly pointed out: Stop stubbornly clinging to the old four-year cycle; it has quietly transformed into a five-year structure!
The key reason is simple: The maturity dates of many debts from 2021-2022 were extended, leading to market liquidity being less than expected, and the altcoin rebound that was supposed to come has naturally been postponed.
The answer is here — multiple big names have spoken: It's not dead, it just hasn't started yet!
Four-year cycle changed to five years? The core reason for the delay has been found.
Macro expert Raoul Pal directly pointed out: Stop stubbornly clinging to the old four-year cycle; it has quietly transformed into a five-year structure!
The key reason is simple: The maturity dates of many debts from 2021-2022 were extended, leading to market liquidity being less than expected, and the altcoin rebound that was supposed to come has naturally been postponed.
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SHIB is not crashing! But is this the bottom? Two trends to watch closely, don't blindly bottom fish!
SHIB is finally not 'free-falling' anymore! The previous flash crash mode, where it dropped without brakes, has stopped, and the volatility has become extremely low. It appears to have stabilized, but don't rush to shout 'bottom fishing'—this can at most be called 'not crashing', and we are still far from the true bottom!
The current state of SHIB is very clear: it is not 'stronger', it is just 'not falling'. Compared to the sharp drop in October-November, the price has finally stabilized, and the selling pressure has clearly weakened, but from a technical perspective, there is still no confidence:
✅ All important moving averages are still pressing down, and the long-term moving average trend remains bearish, indicating that the downtrend has not reversed at all;
The current state of SHIB is very clear: it is not 'stronger', it is just 'not falling'. Compared to the sharp drop in October-November, the price has finally stabilized, and the selling pressure has clearly weakened, but from a technical perspective, there is still no confidence:
✅ All important moving averages are still pressing down, and the long-term moving average trend remains bearish, indicating that the downtrend has not reversed at all;
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BTC hits $88,000 and encounters resistance! Bitwise calls for a new high in 2026, is the four-year bear market curse truly ineffective?
This wave of Bitcoin operations is a bit exciting! It just broke through $87,000 last night and immediately faced pressure around $88,000. Both bulls and bears are fighting fiercely, and the market is still debating whether it will drop back to $80,000. Bitwise directly threw out a 'reassurance': the four-year bear market curse no longer works, and 2026 is expected to refresh the historical high!
📉 Four-year cycle failure? Institutional funds rewrite the rules
In the past, Bitcoin's 'script' was quite fixed: soaring after halving, then entering a bear market two years later, with no exceptions in 2014, 2018, and 2022. But Bitwise investment director Matt Hougan said this routine is now invalid!
📉 Four-year cycle failure? Institutional funds rewrite the rules
In the past, Bitcoin's 'script' was quite fixed: soaring after halving, then entering a bear market two years later, with no exceptions in 2014, 2018, and 2022. But Bitwise investment director Matt Hougan said this routine is now invalid!
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Is the market approaching the bottom? Japan's interest rate hike + CPI negative news hides opportunities! ETH rebound is imminent, and the meme coin NIGHT does not follow the drop hiding opportunities.
Recently, the crypto market has been mainly focusing on a "grinding fluctuation", but key signals have already clustered together — Japan's interest rate hike is imminent, the fear index has soared to 16, ETH's pullback is about to finish, and there are plenty of meme coins and manipulated coins hiding opportunities!
📊 Core signal of the market: The bottom is getting closer, and the bad news landing is an opportunity!
First, look at the overall market: After a sharp drop, BTC rebounded to around $87,000, with Japan's rate hikes on the 18th and 19th (over 90% probability), the market is getting closer to the bottom! The fear index is still in the "extreme fear" zone at 16, a typical window period of "others panic, I am greedy"!
📊 Core signal of the market: The bottom is getting closer, and the bad news landing is an opportunity!
First, look at the overall market: After a sharp drop, BTC rebounded to around $87,000, with Japan's rate hikes on the 18th and 19th (over 90% probability), the market is getting closer to the bottom! The fear index is still in the "extreme fear" zone at 16, a typical window period of "others panic, I am greedy"!
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DOGE drops 5.9% breaking 0.13! Holding at 0.127 dollars is the only hope for recovery, on-chain activity is cooling down
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