BNB-阳

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FOLKS long position settings have made a profit and lost, no pressure now, today's first wave of long positions was pulled to loss by you, the second wave has already recovered, continue to hold, first target around 10
#FOLKS #加密市场观察

RIVER finally turned green for me, I won't play anymore, it's good to stop while ahead, earning enough for one extra hour 😀#river

RIVER just got stopped out by you and you didn't move, I will enter long again at 1.986, I don't believe you can stop me out again

#river

Yesterday, BTC had a slight rebound, and the non-farm payroll data was released with little volatility, slightly bearish. The fundamentals remain not very optimistic, the daily level has broken the rising channel, and the weekly trend still maintains a downward trend. Pay attention to the fundamental situation and wait for stabilization.

Ethereum is following Bitcoin's consolidation, breaking the rising channel to form a short-term downward channel. The daily level shows a slight head and shoulders pattern, with room still below, waiting for consolidation.

Intraday outlook:

BTC is below the healthy range at the 1-hour and 4-hour levels, and below the healthy range at the daily level. The expectation for the day is to maintain consolidation, with significant resistance above, making it difficult to break through. Intraday support is at 84000-84500, and resistance is at 88000-89000.

ETH is below the healthy range at the 1-hour and 4-hour levels, and below the healthy range at the daily level. The expectation for the day is to maintain consolidation, with significant resistance above, making it difficult to break through. Intraday support is at 2800-2850, and resistance is at 3000-3050.

#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

Perfect exit from short position near zec399, today broke below the 400 level, support turned into resistance, went short at 399, made a profit near 380 in the afternoon, return rate of 226%, brothers who followed can enjoy the evening, I'll continue to watch the market for you, I'll notify you if there are good opportunities

#zec #加密市场观察

In today’s cryptocurrency market, many people find it difficult, and indeed it is difficult. Retail investors have been repeatedly harvested this year, with sudden drops and subsequent recoveries; the tricks are repetitive yet still effective.

But why are there still people making money?

Because the market is no longer what it used to be; the leaders have changed. Institutions like BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Fidelity have entered the scene with huge capital, like elephants trampling into a living room, rewriting the rules.

Even the Ethereum Foundation has started to trade in waves. If you still cling to the old mindset of 'holding without action and enduring when trapped,' losses are inevitable.

This round of rising prices is driven by Wall Street, with a rhythm different from the past. The interest rate cut cycle is about to arrive, the global regulatory framework is becoming clearer, and ETFs are continually being launched—everything is attracting long-term institutional capital to enter the market.

The next wave of trends will be asset reallocations driven by institutions, not a collective frenzy from retail investors. Therefore, what you need to do is not to chase after the rise and fall or remain anxious, but to see clearly who is leading the market,
select key targets, formulate phased plans, grasp market turning points, and lay low with calmness.

The market is always changing, but opportunities always arise after a washout. Whether you can reach that moment depends not only on your understanding but also on whether your mindset can remain stable.

Put aside the noise, refine your character. The more intense the institutional washout, the greater the subsequent potential. In crises, there often lies the ticket to the next round of tomorrow.

Stay clear-headed, remain patient; bull markets do not emerge in the noise but brew in places that go unnoticed.

#美联储降息 #加密市场观察

Yesterday's post has reminded us that this week is a risk week. Lower your positions and wait for the golden opportunity after the market panic. Last night, BTC and ETH led the altcoins out of a deep correction, which is already consuming the expectations of the rate cut on the 19th. After it lands, it will be an excellent opportunity for us to charge forward. At this stage, it's still the same: liquidate and participate. In the short term, it will definitely be a market with ups and downs. Contracts must include take profit and stop loss; only by surviving in this market can we welcome glorious moments.

#加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向

RIVE's decline is limited, around 4.2 is a position to open a new order, hold on for now, and check the earnings tomorrow morning #rive

U.S. non-farm employment and CPI inflation data, along with quarterly index rebalancing, all come at once, and in the eye of the storm, the most taboo is to be stubborn.

Remember three things:

Reduce your positions, take profits where you can, lower expectations, and surviving is more important than anything else.

Watch more and act less, especially before and after data releases; don't surf in the storm of bullets like a gambler.

Reserve sufficient USDT, as this will be your ammunition for future bottom fishing. When the market panics and creates a golden pit, having resources will prevent panic.

The more chaotic the market, the more stable your mind must be. This week is a risk week, but after a big drop, opportunities also lie within. Hold tight to your chips and wait for the market to provide a clear direction. Stay steady; we can win #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 .

What chain reactions will occur in the cryptocurrency market if Japan raises interest rates?

The ultra-low interest rate policy that the Bank of Japan has maintained for a long time is an important source of global "cheap funds". Once this policy shifts, its impact will far exceed Japan itself, becoming a sword in the global capital market.

Impact on US stocks: This will directly lead to funds flowing out of US stocks, especially for interest rate-sensitive technology growth stocks, where the discount rates in their valuation models will rise significantly, facing a double blow from capital outflow.

Impact on the cryptocurrency market: The cryptocurrency market is a heavy disaster area for high leverage. Once cheap leverage is withdrawn, the market will face deleveraging pressure, liquidity will tighten rapidly, potentially leading to severe price fluctuations or even crashes.

Interest rate hikes in yen usually drive up the value of the yen, creating a "seesaw" effect with the dollar. In the short term, the dollar may weaken relative to the yen, potentially pushing up the prices of cryptocurrencies denominated in dollars. However, this is more like "good news is bad news"; if the market shifts to a risk-averse mode because of this, then a weaker dollar may actually become a reason for selling.

In the face of macro liquidity, cryptocurrencies are not a "decentralized safe haven"; like US stocks, they are also (high-risk) assets.

When the Bank of Japan signals an interest rate hike, rather than closely monitoring the yen exchange rate, it is better to pay close attention to the scale of JPY arbitrage trading closures and changes in US Treasury yields, as they are more reliable indicators of market direction.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议

ZEC is currently fluctuating around the 400 level, with limited downside potential. It is advisable to buy near 400, as the short-term pullback is ending and a rebound is about to come #zec #加密市场反弹

The ETH long position of the buddy did not take profit, and the result is the same as that of small retail investors, regardless of the size of the funds. The consequences of being greedy with contracts affect everyone; everyone has a greedy heart, it depends on whether you can control your desires.

#ETH

Next week's macro news:

Monday evening: Two big shots from the Federal Reserve (Milan, Williams) will speak one after another, any hints regarding the interest rate path will disturb the market in advance.

Thursday early morning: Atlanta Fed President Bostic will speak to warm up for the CPI data.

Thursday evening at 21:30: The CPI and initial jobless claims data will be released, a dual impact.

If the CPI is lower than expected (indicating rapid cooling of inflation) = the market will firmly believe that interest rate cuts are coming soon, the dollar will come under pressure, liquidity expectations will improve, which is usually the fuel for risk assets like crypto.

If the CPI is higher than expected (inflation remains stubborn) the dollar will rebound, interest rate cut expectations will be delayed, and a short-term market adjustment will be almost inevitable.

However, the medium to long-term scenario has not changed much; the interest rate cut cycle may be delayed, but it will not be absent, and the tide of liquidity will eventually turn, which is fundamentally positive for the crypto market.

In terms of operations:

This week, ahead of the data, market sentiment may tend to be cautious, maintaining a certain flexibility in positions, preparing to respond to fluctuations in either direction; the real trend may only become clear after this CPI data is finalized.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议

Sol said more later, the early backtest started to rebound around 123, and the bottom is also gradually rising. Let's get a short position in and wait for the result #sol

The market is beginning to spread the panic of the interest rate hike on the 19th, with U.S. stocks leading the decline. The classic 'painting door' market in the crypto world has reappeared, and many bulls have been buried again. The panic is being released, but this could very well be the turning point for the market this month.

My core viewpoint remains unchanged: negative news is likely to be digested in advance, and the rate hike could actually become the starting point for a phase of rebound. However, before that, contract operations must be undertaken with extreme caution and a step-by-step approach.

The current core contradiction in the market: the core of market trading is the game between 'interest rate hike expectations' and 'early release of expectations.' Panic selling is a fact, but the strength of deep sell-offs is weakening. The key will be to observe the defensive situation in the core support area.

Before the interest rate hike on the 19th, the market is likely to maintain a volatile or slightly weak downward trend to digest the panic. In terms of operations, focus on high shorts, with low longs as a supplement, entering and exiting quickly.

Position management is a lifeline; avoid going ALL IN at once. During market panic, it is often a time to find value entry points. When everyone believes that the interest rate hike will lead to a surge, we should be wary of a pullback from 'selling the fact.'

In summary: The panic before the interest rate hike creates better entry positions for us. Do not chase highs and kill lows; patiently wait for direction after policy clarity. The market constantly shifts between fear and greed, and only the calm hunter can survive until the end.
#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察

ETH has reached the lower edge of the upward channel, you can enter long around 3090, with a target range of 3250-3300 (mid-position of the upward channel), with support below at 3020-3040 (trading dense area). If it breaks below 3020, stop loss

The downward momentum on the 4-hour level is weakening, and the 1-hour RSI has entered the oversold area, with a rebound expected. You can follow up #ETH

Must participate

Today we review the trend of ETH. ETH dropped from 4700 to 2600, with each rebound peak decreasing, and the downtrend is accompanied by increased volume, clearly indicating a bearish control.

However, the last wave that dropped to 2600 was different. The downtrend still saw increased volume, but the real body of the bearish candles clearly narrowed, and the lows gradually increased, indicating that the decline has clearly stalled.

With increased volume yet unable to drop further, such signals appearing in key support areas often indicate a depletion of selling pressure, so the subsequent attempts to test did not break the previous low, confirming this judgment.

However, stopping the decline does not mean an immediate surge, just as the arrival of spring does not mean one will immediately shed their down jacket. It can oscillate at the bottom to continue exploring lower levels, or it can gradually accumulate energy to form a reversal structure.

So how did it move afterwards?

After hitting 2600 for the first time, a bullish engulfing pattern appeared, and the rebound faced resistance and retraced. On December 20, it again formed a bullish engulfing pattern without breaking the previous low, marking the first bottoming signal, followed by a breakout on increased volume at the neckline.

The second bullish signal was when the lows kept rising during the retracement, indicating that the bulls were gradually regaining the initiative.

The third signal is the recent breakout of the previous high, indicating that the bottom range has already been established.

Yesterday, when it dropped a bit, many people panicked, but I clearly understand that this was just a normal retracement after hitting the pressure of the downtrend line. The overall structure shows that the lows are continuously rising, and every drop is a better entry opportunity. If one constantly fantasizes about a significant drop breaking down, they will only miss the trend.

Remember: when observing the market, look at the big picture. Don't be swayed by short-term fluctuations; if the trend is there, hold steady.

#ETH #加密市场反弹

The delisting of AIA is a decisive and swift sanctioning measure. Can the enforcement be a bit stronger? #AIA