How to do risk control is the first lesson of trading, and the rated amount is the only risk control measure that can ensure that there will be no liquidation in any extreme market conditions!
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Those with the inclination can go back and review: at 2:37 PM on the 16th, was the spot price at one of the better positions in the past 10 days?
It wasn’t a top call because I do right-side trading. I need to first see a confirmed signal that the turning point has formed before entering. Only after the daily line close on the 15th (at 8 AM on the 16th) was it confirmed that a turning point had formed.
Criteria for judging a turning point: time + space + structure—each one is indispensable.
Anyone who casually guesses the top or the bottom is just selling nonsense.
After the June 15 daily close, through a three-dimensional analysis, Aiming had already determined that the current corrective rebound phase had ended and a new round of decline was about to begin. The next day (June 16), while the daily chart was being rejected, he decisively chose to open a put options position. Holding the position means taking profits.
Trading has logic, orders have a basis, and holding positions brings peace of mind.
Starting from May 6, BTC entered into a C-wave correction. Up to now, it is still ongoing, and it will not bottom out in the short term. At least, there is no plan to bottom-fish before October.
In the meantime, the core of the operation can be summed up in one sentence: follow the larger trend—only go short.
Trading itself is simple; what’s complicated is the human heart. If you try to catch a rebound and get a bite out of luck, in the end you will also end up risking your own principal.
The big C wave for BTC isn't finished yet; there are still 2 trading opportunities ahead, with the first one before June 21. It's a chance to get in on the action.
If you want to ride the wave, you need to get your homework done. If you're not prepared when the opportunity comes, you might miss out~
1: Focused on analyzing market trends, laser-focused on capturing signal turning points
2: No small talk, just grinding
3: If you come and just ask about market positions, I won't respond; giving out info for free without understanding the logic isn't my style. Let's talk business, no fluff.
The C-wave action has reached a temporary close. All partnered funds have seen an average principal growth of 4.83x from May 6th to June 6th, with only three trades executed, all in options. The last exit was at 2:51 AM on the 6th, corresponding to a spot price of 59500, and the lowest observed was 59130;
If you're interested, hit me up for a video verification of the trading records.
My specialty is nailing the turning points of large cycles, with both timing and range covered.
Regarding the big C-wave, there are two more trading opportunities coming up; if you catch them, you can still score big;
Now looking back at the market, you see the value of my multiple warnings about the C-wave pullback for Bitcoin, right?
I provided clear pivot points in timing and ranges.
In this market, there are plenty of positions to grab; you could just guess and still get lucky, but being able to pinpoint both time and position is as rare as hen's teeth.
Market trends go through cyclical phases; without a timing reference, any trading strategy is meaningless.
Everyone's keeping an eye on the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran.
My take is this: No matter what kind of deal it is, it won't change the downward trend of Wave C. This kind of news can only influence short-term fluctuations; it won't alter the cycle trend.
If a ceasefire could lead to a massive pump, then the market should have tanked after the February 28th conflict, yet it kept bouncing back until May 6th, right?
Market fluctuations have their own cyclical patterns. Short-term info only impacts temporary moves; it doesn't affect the trend.
In trading, no one can make money just based on news.
The only way to profit in the trading market is to understand the big picture and go with the flow.
BTC has been trading below the EMA 200 since entering the bear market last December, and it's now facing strong resistance after bouncing to this level;
Currently, this position is essentially similar to the conditions at the end of March and the beginning of April 2022.
From yesterday to today, the market hasn't moved much; it's a classic case of no-trade time—just one word: wait. Whether you're waiting in the game or outside the scene, that's up to your own wisdom;
However: significant volatility is on the way;
A few days ago, both the Shanghai Futures Exchange and the Shanghai International Energy Exchange revised their risk control rules, canceling the 20% limit-up and limit-down rule in extreme cases of a continuous one-sided market. This new rule kicks in on the 28th;
In 2025, the Shanghai Futures Exchange continuously raised margin requirements for silver and other precious metals, and we all know what kind of market that leads to;
When it comes to national-level adjustments, they aren't made without reason—there's definitely a cause behind it; it's just about whether you have the vision to see it; #BTC走势分析
This recent market pullback is directly tied to the 30-year US bond yield breaking 5%.
Check out this comparison of the 10-year US bond yield and the S&P 500 curve.
Red represents the 10-year US bond yield. Green shows the S&P 500 yield going inverted again, which happened right before the 2000 dot-com bubble burst. We haven't seen this since, until now, this inversion is making a comeback.