One day everyone will regret not listening when @Block Insight told us to buy #ASTER at $0.84… but we ignored it. Now it’s trading above $2+🔥 I really wish I had listened back then…
Will YOU regret it later, or are you already a holder?
American federal jobs are at their lowest point in a decade.
This did not happen slowly. It resulted from widespread layoffs imposed by the Trump administration.
There are now fewer people working for the government than at any point in the past decade, indicating that size and cost-cutting continues to be the clear focus.
The FED just injected $40B into the market in 2-3 days. • Largest liquidity injection since 2020 • Emergency-style balance sheet expansion • Liquidity is back on the table
🚨 Macro Update: US Jobs Cooling — Crypto Watch Zone
The latest US jobs data signals a clear slowdown: • Job growth weakened • Unemployment rose to 4.6% • Household employment declined • Participation remained flat
This reduces pressure on the Fed to stay aggressive. When rate-cut expectations rise, liquidity conditions improve — historically a supportive backdrop for crypto.
But timing matters. Early moves can be deceptive. Retail often reacts first, while the real direction is usually set after the US session opens and ETF flows come in.
My take: • Short-term volatility is likely • ETF inflows turning positive would confirm strength • A brief dump could simply be a liquidity shakeout before continuation
Macro favors risk assets, but patience wins here. Let the market reveal its hand.
The November U.S. Employment Situation will be released Dec 16, 2025 at 8:30 AM ET. This report carries extra weight due to delayed data from recent government shutdowns — and markets are watching closely.
What to watch • Expected job growth: ~50,000 • Unemployment rate: ~4.5% • October’s delayed data may show further softening
Why it matters Following last week’s rate cut, the Fed is now fully data-dependent. A weaker labor print increases the probability of additional rate cuts in early 2026, improving liquidity conditions but raising short-term volatility.
Market impact Expect sharp moves across risk assets immediately after the release. Initial reactions can be misleading — confirmation usually comes once US markets and ETF flows are active.
Stay patient. Let the data settle before positioning.
The latest print came in above expectations, signaling increasing softness in the U.S. labor market. This shift suggests economic momentum may be slowing faster than previously priced in.
Why it matters • Rising unemployment increases pressure on the Federal Reserve • Strengthens the case for a more accommodative policy stance • Keeps rate cuts firmly on the table if inflation continues to cool
If labor weakness accelerates, discussions around liquidity support and even QE-style measures could resurface. Markets tend to reprice these inflection points quickly, driving sharp moves across rates, FX, and risk assets.
Macro conditions are evolving — volatility remains elevated.
December 15 is shaping up as a key volatility day for global markets, with multiple catalysts lined up that could drive sharp moves across risk assets.
Key timeline (ET): • 9:00 AM — Federal Reserve liquidity operations begin (potential multi-billion repo activity) • 9:00 AM — Economic sentiment data release sets early market tone • 9:30 AM — Fed Governor Miran speaks (watch for policy signals) • 10:30 AM — NY Fed President Williams remarks • 3:00 PM — President Trump delivers major economic statements
Why it matters Liquidity signals and guidance on future rate cuts will likely determine whether markets shift into risk-on or risk-off mode. Stocks, bonds, and crypto could all see elevated volatility.
Stay disciplined. Today is about reaction to liquidity and policy signals, not headlines.
💥 Macro Outlook — U.S. Liquidity Catalyst Ahead 🇺🇸
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expects $100–150B in tax refunds to hit U.S. households in early 2026, creating a sizable liquidity injection into the real economy.
Why markets care • Direct cash boosts consumer spending • Supports real wage growth as tax burdens ease • Improves risk sentiment if growth holds while inflation cools
This type of fiscal liquidity often shows up first in consumption data, then filters into risk assets as confidence builds. Combined with lower tax rates, 2026 could open with a materially stronger demand backdrop.
Macro tailwinds are forming — timing and confirmation will matter
“If you were ever jealous of people buying crypto on the cheap, and able to hold them through the cycles, think about what they did in moments like this.
🚨 BREAKING 🚨 President Trump has announced that he will address the nation tomorrow night at 9 PM EST from the White House. This is a major event, and markets are paying close attention because such speeches often include important messages about the economy, policy, or national issues. Traders and investors are staying alert, as Trump’s words could quickly move stocks, crypto, and overall market sentiment.