After being in the crypto world for a long time, I realized: Truly capable people rarely discuss market trends.
If you've been in the crypto world long enough, you will definitely discover something very counterintuitive: Those who have been doing well for a long time, and are becoming more stable, really seldom discuss daily fluctuations, chase trends, or call trades.
They are not 'ignoring everything', but rather — their emotions are not driven by the market.
I didn't understand this before either. I once thought this was called 'having a good mindset', but gradually I came to understand: This is not about being born calm, but rather about the structure of money being different.
When the structure is right, you naturally remain stable;
The Federal Reserve QT has ended! What’s the truth behind it?
QT has ended. But money is still tight. ——The liquidity truth you need to understand.
Imagine your home’s water supply has been turned off for three years.
Every month, the water from the faucet decreases. You have to queue for showers, and use water sparingly for plants. Even flushing the toilet has to be timed.
Finally, one day, the property management notifies you: "Good news, we are no longer turning off the water!"
You excitedly turn on the faucet ——only to find that the water pressure is still very weak. This is the real state of the global financial market now.
Three years of withdrawal have finally stopped. Starting from June 2022, the Federal Reserve initiated an epic
Why did the Federal Reserve cut rates but still see a major drop?
Since September 2024, the Federal Reserve has initiated a new round of interest rate cuts. On September 17, it cut rates by 25 basis points, and on October 29, it cut another 25 basis points. In just two months, the federal funds rate fell from 4.25% to a range of 3.75%-4.0%.
According to the logic of economic textbooks, this should be a "liquidity feast" — rate cuts mean lower borrowing costs, and funds would flood into the market like a deluge, pushing up the stock market, real estate, and cryptocurrencies across the board. However, reality has given us a resounding slap in the face.
The S&P 500 index rose only 1.9% from September 17 to November 8,
📉 Bitcoin vs Gold: Why this chart, is the key to judging the 'next big market movement'?
Over the past decade, if you divide the price of Bitcoin by the price of gold, you will see a very striking trend: Bitcoin has consistently outperformed gold in the long run.
The chart (BTC/XAU) shows every major bottom, every significant surge, all hinting at the same thing:
Funds are accelerating from traditional 'store of value tools' (gold), towards new store of value tools (Bitcoin).
Mentioning 'full-time trading', what image comes to your mind?
Is it sitting on the beach in Bali, sipping coconut juice while clicking the mouse, earning thousands of dollars effortlessly? Or watching the fluctuating red and green numbers on multiple screens, strategizing and making decisions from afar?
If that's the case, I must first throw a bucket of cold water: That's not professional trading, that's a scene from a movie, or an illusion sold to you by course instructors.
Real professional trading, is often dull, lonely, and even filled with self-doubt. But at the same time, it is one of the fairest,
ZCASH Why did it surge? What is the underlying reason?
🤔I'll start with the conclusion Zcash is a Bitcoin that can protect privacy
You can choose when transferring: ✅ Public and transparent (like regular transfers) ✅ Completely private (others can't see)
📖 The story begins in 2013 That year, John Hopkins University Several cryptography professors were thinking: "Bitcoin is good, but transfer records are fully public. Can we make a privacy version?" So they developed the Zerocash protocol. In 2016, this technology was made into a product officially launched named Zcash (ZEC)
🔐 What is the technology really powerful for? It sounds very complicated but the principle is quite simple.
Regular transfers: like sending a WeChat red envelope Centralized governments can see
📉 Bitcoin 2025: Are we experiencing the second "big correction" of the year? If you think the recent correction was "terrifying", first, look at these two segments:
🔻 ① Jan – Apr 2025 Maximum drop of Bitcoin: -31.75% Duration: 79 days
🔻 ② Oct – Nov 2025 Maximum drop of Bitcoin: -27.64% Duration: 44 days
Both corrections have a common point: The drop is within the 30% range, but the correction time is getting shorter.
What does this indicate?
1️⃣ Correction ≠ End Bitcoin's bull market has never risen in a straight line, but rather in a fluctuating manner. Every major bull market includes a 25–35% "washout-style correction".
2️⃣ Shortened time = Momentum still exists The correction in the first half of 2025 took 79 days. This time, it only took 44 days. This indicates that funds are not fleeing but waiting for new entry points.
3️⃣ The "mid-stage fluctuation" of a bull market is often the easiest position to get washed out During the correction, retail investors panic while whales accumulate, which is the classic structure of a bull market.
🔍 It’s not about price, but about trend structure. EMA period still maintains a bullish pattern. Long-term demand (ETF, institutions, reduced supply after halving) has not changed. The correction range is consistent with historical bull market ranges. The bottom is gradually rising, and the long-term trend has not been broken.
In other words: There is a lot of short-term noise, but the long-term logic has not changed.
🧭 The real difficulty of a bull market is not selecting coins, not analyzing...
But rather: In the correct trend, enduring the fluctuations.
⚠️ Disclaimer All content is solely personal opinion, not financial advice (Not Financial Advice) Please conduct independent research based on personal circumstances!
In the early morning of November 13, 2025, While most people are still asleep Bitcoin suddenly gave global investors It was a wake-up call. —From $102,000 to $97,900 It hit a nearly six-month low.
This is the third time this month that it has fallen below the $100,000 mark. In just 4 hours, $34 billion in market value just evaporated like that. It's more than the GDP of some small countries.
Even more deadly is that The well-known institution 10X Research even released a report at this time. They directly declared, "Bear market confirmed."
From the peak of $126,000 to now, Bitcoin has fallen by 23%.
U.S. Government Reopens | Bitcoin Falls Below $100,000? #BearMarketIsHere
The long-awaited party has finally started, but the guests are leaving one after another. —— this is the true reflection of the current cryptocurrency market.
On November 13, the U.S. government ended the longest "shutdown" in history, which should have been good news, but Bitcoin fell below $99,000 in the early hours of the 14th, and Ethereum plummeted nearly 7%. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the network reached $721 million.
It's like opening a long-awaited gift box, only to find that it contains no surprises, but a pile of bills to deal with.
💥 Five major "roadblocks" hinder the market's recovery.
1. The government is open, but the economy's "wounds" are still bleeding.
Since mid-October, the price of Bitcoin has fallen from $126,000 to $94,000. That corresponds to a decline of about 25.5%. A pullback of 20-35% during a bull market is normal. Take this opportunity to accumulate more.
Collapse is merely a surface phenomenon; the essence is that the flood of funds is flowing back. Global M2 is fully erupting, and this has never been a trivial matter. 📈 The historical rule is simple: As long as global liquidity is unleashed, risk assets will not hold back. The stock market moves first, gold follows, and finally—Bitcoin is often the one that surges the most. What's the current situation? Funds have already moved. Bitcoin has not yet moved. This is not a decline, but rather the calm before the storm. 🚀 #Bitcoin is ready to follow. You only need to do one thing: sit tight.