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There are less than 14 hours left until the Japanese yen interest rate hike
In addition to confirming the announcement of the interest rate change on December 19, the market is more concerned about whether the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates. Currently, the interest rate is 0.5%, and after the hike, it will only reach 0.75%.
However, as previously mentioned, to bring the interest rate back to a neutral range, the market speculates that this round of interest rate hikes should eventually reach 1.25%, which means betting on 3 consecutive rate hikes.
The last time Japan raised interest rates consecutively was from March 2024, continuing until January 2025, taking about 10 months to raise Japan from a negative interest rate of -0.1% to a final rate of 0.5%.
Currently, Japan is still facing soaring prices, with the inflation rate exceeding 2% for 3 consecutive years. The public continues to criticize the Bank of Japan for not keeping up with inflation, resulting in very low actual borrowing costs.
The market is currently digesting the panic of consecutive rate hikes after the initial hike, and December is also the worst time for liquidity due to North American Christmas and year-end holidays, leading to significant market fluctuations.
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In recent days, Bitcoin's price movement has attracted the attention of many traders. From a technical perspective, there are several signals worth noting.
On the 4-hour chart, a long upper shadow indicates significant resistance from the northbound side, but the trading volume lacks follow-through, which often signals a weakening of upward momentum. More importantly, the price has been oscillating around the 21-day moving average for over ten days, which is not favorable for the bulls once the support below fails, a decline to the same level may follow. Aggressive traders are even watching the 105,000 short entry point.
Short-term trading suggestions: Consider shorting in the 88,000-88,600 range, with a stop-loss set at 89,200. Key support levels below are around 86,500, 85,000, and 84,000. Market sentiment remains cautious, and the adjustment pressure of $BTC still exists.
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