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Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).

What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.

Simple, but it’s done the job for years.

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).

Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.

But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!

$SAND is still under pressure and the price is riding the lower side of the Bollinger Bands, which tells us the short-term trend is still bearish. There’s no real relief bounce yet and sellers are clearly keeping control for now.

From here it’s simple: either we get a bounce from this lower BB area, or the price keeps sliding lower. If we do see a bounce, the key thing to watch will be a clean break back above the middle Bollinger line. That’s the level buyers need to reclaim to shift momentum and make a proper long idea valid. Until that happens, it’s still a wait for confirmation of the spot. #SANDPriceAnalysis

$POL is still based near the lows after a strong sell-off. Price is holding the local bottom, but buyers are still capped below the 100 EMA and the local high. That area is the key for any bullish continuation.

If buyers manage to break and hold above the 100 EMA and take the local high, then a good opportunity starts shaping up toward the first target, with the bigger gap above acting as a magnet. Until that break happens, the game plan remains the same—wait for confirmation, not a full send yet. #POLPriceAnalysis

$ARB is still stuck inside the range, but buyers are showing some life from the local bottom. Price is holding above that lower support and slowly pressing into the orange zone above.

The key level is still that local high. If buyers manage to break and hold above it, then the game plan shifts to looking for continuation toward the major target zone. Until that break happens, it’s a wait-for-confirmation spot, not something to rush. #ARBPriceAnalysis

$ETH is approaching the zone of EMAs, which is the major breakout point that we are looking for, in order to get that explosive movement to upper zones (just like last time we fell below EMAs).

Key focus remains on that zone, while we are also keeping an eye not to form any new local low, which would endanger our game plan here. #ETHPriceAnalysis

$BTC looks bullish, as the price is on the verge of forming a proper breakout here. What we are looking for is after the recent liquidity grabs, which formed some kind of triangle pattern, we are into the tight gap between the upper side and lower side of that pattern.

Which leaves us with one way only, a breakout, so that's what we look and wait for. Once we get a proper breakout where buyers secure the area, we are going to aim for a long here for sure (although the current market price is already worth a long entry in my opinion). #BTCPriceAnalysis

The start of the week looks promising for $ETH , with buyers starting the bounce from the 100 EMA, which can turn into an explosive move.

That's actually what we are looking for, an explosive movement for ETH, which would give us a good recovery (and possibly a new ATH for ETH as well).

Buyers of $BTC are still holding onto the 100EMA, where for the 5th week sellers haven't managed to secure this area at all.

What we see and what we need now is a proper MSB to form here (market structure break), which would open for us a last bullish movement for this cycle (maybe not as high as our target but definitely towards the current ATH). #BTCPriceAnalysis

$HBAR is sitting inside a clear liquidity zone and sellers are losing momentum here. Price already swept the lows and is trying to stabilize, so this area is key for any bounce attempt. Buyers need to reclaim the small support above and start holding it to show they’re stepping back in.

If buyers manage to get price back above that zone and start securing the EMAs, then a move toward the first target makes sense, with higher targets opening after. Until that happens, this is still early and patience matters. #HBARPriceAnalysis

$XLM is sitting right on a key support/neckline area, and so far buyers are holding it. We already saw one deeper sweep below, and price managed to get back above that zone, which tells me sellers are losing momentum down here.

For longs, we want a clean BOS and a reclaim of the nearby EMAs. If buyers manage to secure that, then a move back into the upper range becomes likely, with the marked target zone as the main objective. Until that happens, this remains a wait-for-confirmation area, but the structure is starting to look constructive. #XLMPriceAnalysis

$XRP is stuck between the established support and the EMAs, so price is getting squeezed. This usually leads to a stronger move once one side gives in. Buyers are still holding the support area well, but they need a clean MSB and a push above the EMAs to take back momentum.

If buyers manage to reclaim that zone and secure above the EMAs, we can expect a healthier push toward the upper range. Until then, this remains a tight consolidation with pressure building up. #XRPPriceAnalysis

$ETH buyers have for now taken full control over EMAs, where the middle line of Bollinger Bands has also made a crossover, signaling for a bigger reversal that is forming here.

The game plan remains the same; we are looking for further movement to upper zones here. #ETHPriceAnalysis

And again $BTC is back inside the EMAs channel and looking pretty bullish. Either another fakeout and we will get a rejection from 200EMA or we will see a proper breakout from it, which would result in a parabolic move for $BTC .

Overall the past few weeks have been pretty big rollercoaster rides so might as well have another one to upper zones after the breakout (that's what we see). #BTCPriceAnalysis

$ATOM is still trading inside this slow bleed, but the last reaction from the smaller support shows buyers are trying to hold the zone. We already saw one pickup from this level, meaning this area stays the key region for any bullish attempt.

For upside, we need a proper structure break first. Price has to break above the middle BB/trendline and show buyers reclaiming it. Only then the long setup starts to make sense, as the whole trend is still leaning bearish until that shift happens.

If we get a clean MSB + break above the red trending line, the next targets open up quickly since liquidity above recent highs hasn’t been taken yet. Until then, patience — let the confirmation come. #ATOMPriceAnalysis

$UNI is trying to build strength after that sweep above the EMAs, and buyers are slowly taking back momentum. The main thing we’re watching now is the break of the 200 EMA, since every major push on UNI started only after reclaiming it.

If buyers secure the EMAs again and hold above them, we look toward the upper targets shown on the chart. Structure is slowly shifting, but confirmation still comes from the 200 EMA reclaim — until then, we stay patient with the plan. #UNIPriceAnalysis

$TON is trying to build a local bottom after that sharp flush, and buyers are starting to show interest around this support zone again. This is the same region where the last major push began, so it naturally attracts reaction.

For the long idea to play out, buyers need to push price back toward the 100 and 200 EMAs and reclaim them. That would be the first real sign that momentum is shifting. Until then, EMAs remain the main target and the first hurdle.

If buyers manage to take control here, the structure allows a steady climb back into the upper zones where the bigger move could start forming. #TONPriceAnalysis

$ETH is doing good, where buyers still maintain the zone above the BOS area (our entry zone).

The game planThe game plan has not changed;changed; we still look for a breaka break of that 200 EMA,200 EMA, which we think will happen in this month. Once. Once we get it, the next target can be aimed for! #ETHPriceAnalysis

Despite FOMC being bullish news for us, we got a strong downside liquidity sweep on $BTC that dragged the price of the BTC back to our entry area.

Despite that we keep our game plan intact, we look for another movement back to 200 EMAs, opening a new position (bullish here as long as we are above the liquidity zone).

$CAKE is holding the support zone, but buyers still need to take back control by reclaiming the EMAs. That’s the first step before we even think about a move into the upper zones.

If buyers manage to secure the EMAs, we should see price pushing back toward the old bullish trend zone. That’s where the clearer momentum shift forms and the long-term target becomes realistic again. For now, it’s all about reclaiming those EMAs and building from this support. #CAKEPriceAnalysis

$FIL is sitting right above the support zone again, and this area keeps showing good reactions. As long as price holds here, the R:R setup stays interesting, but buyers still need to step in stronger.

For any bullish continuation, buyers have to secure both the 100 and 200 EMAs. Those two have been acting as the main barrier, so a clean reclaim above them becomes the confirmation that opens the move toward the bullish CME target higher. Until that happens, FIL is just building up near support and waiting for momentum to shift. #FILPriceAnalysis