BTC is currently looking like a SHORT opportunity, right guys? We could catch a 3R LONG wave on the H1 according to the plan I posted yesterday; you can scroll back to that post on my page.
Also, tonight and in the coming days, I'll be livestreaming 3 days a week on this channel from 7:30 PM to 10 PM.
Join the livestream to chat and have some fun with me :D
Currently, BTC is hovering around 76.5k after the dip from 79.4k (the second peak) to 75.6k last night. Observing the 1D and H12 charts, buying pressure is gradually weakening: the price formed two peaks around 79.4k but there wasn't any strong volume breaking up to the 80k zone. Therefore, I'm leaning more towards a SHORT scenario rather than LONG.
At 1 AM tomorrow, 30/04, FOMC news will be released. From now until the news drops, the timing might coincide with an H1 retracement. I still see this as a pullback, but I'm cautious about the possibility of a strong H1 and a push back up to 80k, although this scenario isn't my priority, I won't be complacent.
📈 Current Strategy:
You could consider entering LONG around the current zone on H1, with a stop loss at 75,550. The mindset is to take profits if the price shows weakness as it rises, or if the price keeps swinging within a tight range, look to take profit and then consider entering SHORT.
For the current LONG position, you shouldn't just set a take profit/stop loss and leave it; you need to actively manage the trade because there are two possibilities before the news: ---> LONG if the price surges, then ride the LONG all the way ---> If it can't rally, take profit, then consider SHORT
Prioritize managing your risk at 1% of your account per trade, folks. Wishing everyone a productive trading day 💰🔥!
Worldcoin/WLD caught in controversy after criticism from ZachXBT
Worldcoin/WLD is becoming the center of attention in the crypto community after on-chain investigator ZachXBT publicly criticized the project's operational model and tokenomics structure.
Key points of controversy:
1. Eye scan token swap model World uses the Orb device to verify users' identities through iris scans, then distributes WLD tokens. The project aims to build a human verification system in the AI era.
2. Risks from the black market for verified accounts According to ZachXBT, there are reports of buying and selling verified accounts in certain areas. This raises doubts about the actual effectiveness of the identification system.
3. Questionable tokenomics WLD has been criticized for its initially low circulating supply, which can create a sense of scarcity and support prices in the early stages. However, as the amount of unlocked tokens increases over time, selling pressure may become more significant.
4. Concerns over transparency ZachXBT also mentioned the possibility that some stakeholders have sold tokens through OTC transactions. However, these allegations currently lack sufficient public evidence.
Assessment: WLD is a project with a grand narrative about AI and human recognition, but it also comes with many risks related to privacy, token unlocks, and token distribution transparency. Investors should closely monitor the unlock schedule and market reactions before making decisions.
🚨 3 SIGNALS SHOWING BIG MONEY IS FLOWING BACK INTO CRYPTO
After a period of intense volatility due to geopolitical tensions, the crypto market is starting to show clearer signs of recovery.
While it hasn't returned to the highs of early 2026, the total market cap has increased by over 14% since the end of February. This indicates that money is gradually coming back, but investors remain quite cautious.
📌 3 notable signals:
1️⃣ Stablecoins are flowing back onto exchanges Binance has recorded nearly $6 billion in net stablecoin inflow over the last 2 months. Stablecoins are often viewed as 'dry powder', signaling that investors are preparing to open new positions.
2️⃣ Market sentiment is improving The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has bounced back to 47 points, nearing neutral territory after previously dropping to 12 points. This means the market is feeling less fearful.
3️⃣ Institutional capital is returning via ETFs Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen strong inflows, while ETH, XRP, LINK, and SOL are also beginning to show signs of capital attraction.
👉 In summary: Money is flowing back into crypto, but it's not a strong FOMO scenario. The market is likely to trend upward in a steady accumulation phase rather than spiking immediately.
During this period, traders should keep an eye on stablecoin flows, ETFs, and market sentiment to avoid getting swept up in short-term pumps.
After a push from 77.7k to 79.4k this morning, BTC retraced with a drop of 2k down to the 77.4k mark. Evaluating this, it seems similar to the wave 5 of Elliott, which is a push to lure in FOMO before a price dump. Currently, the price is still holding the important support zone of 77k - 77.4k.
📈Current strategy: There are 2 scenarios I’ll be following as per the chart below. You all can take a look. ---> If the support holds long enough, I’ll be looking to LONG (I’m not leaning towards this scenario) ---> Waiting for a clear breakout and a nice retest to SHORT And the trade I shared in the group from mid last week, which has been held for 5 days, hit TP this morning with a RR of 1:5.
Still prioritizing risk management at 1% of the account per trade regardless of the scenario, folks. Wishing everyone a productive trading day 💰🔥
BTC is currently holding around the 77k–78k range after a strong bounce this week. At first glance, the market seems 'calm', but in reality, this is a point that can easily lead traders to FOMO incorrectly.
The positive note is that ETF inflows are still supporting BTC, indicating that institutions haven't pulled out of the market. However, the challenge is that BTC is approaching the psychological resistance level of 80k, and to break through this area, we need some serious buying power, not just a few green candlesticks to lure in excitement.
On the macro front, things are still tense: oil prices are rising due to Middle East tensions, raising concerns about inflation returning. If inflation heats up, the Fed will find it hard to soften its stance anytime soon, and that could shake risk assets like Crypto.
📈 My current view:
If BTC holds the 77k level and continues to accumulate nicely, there's a chance for another test of the 79k–80k range.
But if it breaks below 77k with strong selling volume, traders should be cautious as the price could revisit lower support levels.
During this phase, there's no need to guess tops or bottoms. The most important thing is to wait for price confirmation before entering a position; don't just jump in because you see green.
Are you leaning towards BTC breaking 80k or pulling back first? Drop your thoughts in the comments below.
Arthus Hayes (former CEO of BitMEX) just dropped a bold take that Ethereum will get kicked out of the top 3 cryptos by AI-related tokens.
This prediction is pretty audacious; let's take a look at Arthus's track record: 20 predictions from 2023 - 2025 16 wrong, 2 right, 2 unclear
Bitcoin to hit 1 million USD, ETH to reach 100k USD (November 2023) Reality: BTC peaked at 73k, ETH at 4k. Bitcoin will trade sideways between 60k - 70k until August 2024 Reality: BTC crashed hard down to 54k. The Bank of Japan won't raise interest rates (June–July 2024) Reality: BOJ raised rates in July, and BTC dropped immediately by 25%. Bitcoin to dip below 50k on September 6, 2024 Reality: The lowest was just 52,546 USD. The Fed cutting rates will cause the market to tank (September 18, 2024) Reality: The market surged, BTC closed the month in the green. Crypto's peak will hit in March 2025 Reality: The peak was on January 20, followed by October. BTC to hit 110k before a retest of the 76.5k area (March 2025) Reality: It retested the 76.5k area first and never hit 110k until much later.
If you're listening to Arthus, just take it with a grain of salt; following him for real could lead to a wreck 😂
Currently, BTC is hovering around 78k3 after yesterday's pullback and has reacted according to the plan shared two days ago. It has rejected twice because this area is a confluence of three factors: - A peak broken by H1 and retested according to market structure knowledge - The Fibo 0.5 - 0.618 zone is quite strong - H1 bullish FVG The 1D and 2D frames still maintain a bullish trend in the short term
📈 Current strategy:
Follow the larger trend, but whether LONG or SHORT, close the position when the momentum fades. Currently for LONG, the SL should be 76850 or 76450 for safety, but the RR won't be high if targeting 79k5 or even 80k5. --> If you haven't opened a position yet, wait for M5 to pull back while holding strong support, then a short SL will provide a higher RR for a LONG position. --> As for SHORT here, the SL is quite far at 80k2, and being SHORT here is risky.
Currently, I still have the position from last night that I shared with the community for free since I moved the SL down to 76450 before going to sleep for safety. Please wait for me to update the plan for new entries today if you missed last night.
Still prioritizing 1% account risk per trade, folks. Wishing everyone a productive day💰
Tomorrow night at 7:30 PM, Trump will speak on CNBC 👀
This is CNBC's business and financial program before the market opens, and this time is also close to the end of the 2-week ceasefire between Iran and the US.
Although Trump tends to say one thing and do another, his words can still influence the short-term market.
The current war has become noise; now we just wait to see what this clown of the world will say, as it doesn't have much effect on the market.
For those who are long or short at this time, please pay attention.
1 legend from zero to hero and then back to zero in the crypto world.
Jame Wynn, from someone with no background in economics, in 2023 discovered crypto and $PEPE, turning an initial capital of $7k into a peak of $83M.
The crypto community considers him the main character of the market. Every move of Wynn is monitored and discussed. He started trading memecoins, praised as a genius, and then the first accusations of pump and dump began to surface, but few cared because he always won.
And the slide began here, in March 2025, Wynn turned to Hyperliquid and discovered leverage. Specifically: 40x leverage. In the first few weeks, everything seemed to confirm that he could not lose. Wynn made an extra ~$46M in just a few weeks. Overexcited, Wynn opened more long positions on $BTC worth over $1B. Then in May 2025, the market reversed. The first liquidation. Then the second. The third. The fourth. In a few days, over $85 million evaporated. Wynn posted on social media, asking followers to donate money so he could continue trading. The community also sent him about $50,000. Wynn took the money, returned part to the donors... then used the remaining part to continue opening 40x positions. From March to April 2026, Wynn faced 6 more liquidations in just 2 weeks. An account once worth tens of millions of dollars was left with $900. No comeback. No lessons learned in public. Instead, Wynn started promoting a presale token of his own, calling it "meme takeover". The total amount raised: $5,000. From zero to hero and then back to zero, if you do not control risk and manage capital, no matter how much money you have, you will lose it all like this warrior Wynn.
The ceasefire in Lebanon takes effect — negotiations with Iran move closer - The 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon begins at midnight Thursday. Celebratory gunfire rings out across Beirut. - Trump: "The war is about to end" — the second round of negotiations with Iran may take place this weekend in Pakistan. - Iran proposes not to possess nuclear weapons for more than 20 years — closer to the U.S. proposal (20 years) compared to earlier (3–5 years). - The U.S. is willing to lift sanctions and release billions of USD of Iranian assets. In return, Iran requests UN guarantees against being attacked again. - Pakistani General Asim Munir is said to have made a breakthrough on thorny issues in Tehran.
1 stock about shoes ($BIRD) increased by 910% after announcing a shift to AI despite previously facing the risk of closure.
Perhaps it's time for Nike to pivot to AI?
Joking aside, in the future, the stock price of this company may also return to where it was before, all following the same pattern: the company is on the brink of collapse, shifts to a hot narrative, the floating stock is low causing FOMO investors to jump in, and ultimately, a fake push.
Similar to previous companies that added $BTC to their balance sheet even though the company had nothing to do with crypto, and the result was that the stock also went to 0.
Currently, the BTC is already SW, guys. I have made 3 plans with probabilities of occurrence. But I assess that plan number 3 has a low probability of occurring, so just observe plans 1 and 2, okay guys.
All analyses are just probabilities, but having a plan to closely follow the market is still the safest ✅