金天一
High-Frequency Trader
11.7 Months
tg：@JTY188｜小红书：JTY1011｜技术分析博主｜专攻大饼｜擅长接针｜邀请码：TY188｜期待你的加入
8 Following
779 Followers
612 Liked
39 Shared
All
Quotes
PINNED
See original
Tianyi's teaching on stop loss > Supplementing positions and breaking even > Hedging
Tianyi's teaching on stop loss > Supplementing positions and breaking even > Hedging
▶️ Everyone knows that stop loss is a cost of trading, but can you really stop loss strictly? When you are long and the price drops below expectations, will you supplement and then exit? If the average price after supplementation doesn't reach, and it continues to drop, you can only open a short hedge, euphemistically calling it locking in losses. Haha, I have only heard of locking in profits; locking in losses is a divine operation, truly admirable.
1️⃣ Stop loss
I have detailed the stop loss in my position management section, so I won't elaborate here.
2️⃣ Supplementing positions and breaking even
▶️ Everyone knows that stop loss is a cost of trading, but can you really stop loss strictly? When you are long and the price drops below expectations, will you supplement and then exit? If the average price after supplementation doesn't reach, and it continues to drop, you can only open a short hedge, euphemistically calling it locking in losses. Haha, I have only heard of locking in profits; locking in losses is a divine operation, truly admirable.
1️⃣ Stop loss
I have detailed the stop loss in my position management section, so I won't elaborate here.
2️⃣ Supplementing positions and breaking even
PINNED
See original
Teaching of Tianyi on Position Management
⚠️ When watching the market, the importance is: trend > structure > level.
⚠️ In trading, the importance is: position management > risk-reward ratio > win rate.
⚠️ If you have 1000 in capital and a stop loss of 50%, you will have 500 left. If you want to return to 1000, you need to earn 100% on the remaining 500. From this, it can be seen that position management is crucial; it can not only prevent you from being liquidated but also allows you to exchange small stop losses for large profits or make it easier for you to break even.
1️⃣ First, positions can be classified into full positions and incremental positions.
▶️ Full position in simple terms means that you put all your money together in a big wallet. If you have 1000, even if you use 10% of the funds, 100, to open a position, if you do not set a stop loss, the losses can exceed 100 until your entire 1000 is lost, leading to the collapse of your big wallet.
⚠️ In trading, the importance is: position management > risk-reward ratio > win rate.
⚠️ If you have 1000 in capital and a stop loss of 50%, you will have 500 left. If you want to return to 1000, you need to earn 100% on the remaining 500. From this, it can be seen that position management is crucial; it can not only prevent you from being liquidated but also allows you to exchange small stop losses for large profits or make it easier for you to break even.
1️⃣ First, positions can be classified into full positions and incremental positions.
▶️ Full position in simple terms means that you put all your money together in a big wallet. If you have 1000, even if you use 10% of the funds, 100, to open a position, if you do not set a stop loss, the losses can exceed 100 until your entire 1000 is lost, leading to the collapse of your big wallet.
See original
$BTC 12.17BTC daily chart later trend
Note: This is a daily chart, long-term trend
In the long run, starting with 7 is certain to happen, either this month or next month
The question is how it will happen, currently there are 2 expectations
Firstly, both 85-80 can be seen as a double bottom or short-term bottoming, so there is a rebound expectation here
Expectation one: Successful bottoming, starting a major rebound, with the first target at 992-1012 and the second target at 107, both are positions to definitely short
Expectation two: Consolidation between 83-80, reaching this position, as long as the rebound does not exceed 88, it will inevitably break down, looking at 751-731, after reaching 751-731, you can then consider the first expectation above again
As long as there is an expectation, a trading plan can be formulated, and after reaching the position, we will issue 🥹
#美国非农数据超预期
#BinanceABCs
#巨鲸动向
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
$ETH
Note: This is a daily chart, long-term trend
In the long run, starting with 7 is certain to happen, either this month or next month
The question is how it will happen, currently there are 2 expectations
Firstly, both 85-80 can be seen as a double bottom or short-term bottoming, so there is a rebound expectation here
Expectation one: Successful bottoming, starting a major rebound, with the first target at 992-1012 and the second target at 107, both are positions to definitely short
Expectation two: Consolidation between 83-80, reaching this position, as long as the rebound does not exceed 88, it will inevitably break down, looking at 751-731, after reaching 751-731, you can then consider the first expectation above again
As long as there is an expectation, a trading plan can be formulated, and after reaching the position, we will issue 🥹
#美国非农数据超预期
#BinanceABCs
#巨鲸动向
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
$ETH
See original
$BTC 12.17
As mentioned before, the fourth test at 88 must be short, plummeting to a take profit of 865
Rebound at 88 to continue short, completing 2 profitable short positions
So today's focus is still on 88; if it cannot rise above, it will drop further, with a higher probability of breaking 85 in the evening
Looking down to around 83-80; once this position is reached, do not chase shorts
After reaching this position, there are 2 expectations, to be updated in the next article
#加密市场观察
#美国非农数据超预期
#BinanceABCs
#巨鲸动向
$ETH
As mentioned before, the fourth test at 88 must be short, plummeting to a take profit of 865
Rebound at 88 to continue short, completing 2 profitable short positions
So today's focus is still on 88; if it cannot rise above, it will drop further, with a higher probability of breaking 85 in the evening
Looking down to around 83-80; once this position is reached, do not chase shorts
After reaching this position, there are 2 expectations, to be updated in the next article
#加密市场观察
#美国非农数据超预期
#BinanceABCs
#巨鲸动向
$ETH
See original
$BTC 12.15 Night
88000 is the lower edge of the channel. If the third test is valid, then there are two expectations.
Expectation One: The rebound is weak, but 906, then wait for the fourth test, the fourth test must be a short.
Expectation Two: Break above 906, then continue to operate in the channel. In the short term, we can first look at between 926-916, and in the medium term, the highest can be around 99. This is a must-short position.
In short, three sentences summed up directly 🤣
#美联储FOMC会议
#加密市场观察
#BTC走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
88000 is the lower edge of the channel. If the third test is valid, then there are two expectations.
Expectation One: The rebound is weak, but 906, then wait for the fourth test, the fourth test must be a short.
Expectation Two: Break above 906, then continue to operate in the channel. In the short term, we can first look at between 926-916, and in the medium term, the highest can be around 99. This is a must-short position.
In short, three sentences summed up directly 🤣
#美联储FOMC会议
#加密市场观察
#BTC走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
See original
$BTC 12.15 Night
88000 is the lower edge of the channel. If the third test is valid, then there are two expectations.
Expectation One: The rebound is weak, but 906, then wait for the fourth test, the fourth test must be a short.
Expectation Two: Break above 906, then continue to operate in the channel. In the short term, we can first look at between 926-916, and in the medium term, the highest can be around 99. This is a must-short position.
In short, three sentences summed up directly 🤣
#美联储FOMC会议
#加密市场观察
#BTC走势分析
$ETH
88000 is the lower edge of the channel. If the third test is valid, then there are two expectations.
Expectation One: The rebound is weak, but 906, then wait for the fourth test, the fourth test must be a short.
Expectation Two: Break above 906, then continue to operate in the channel. In the short term, we can first look at between 926-916, and in the medium term, the highest can be around 99. This is a must-short position.
In short, three sentences summed up directly 🤣
#美联储FOMC会议
#加密市场观察
#BTC走势分析
$ETH
See original
$BTC 12.14BTC Key Support 88000
Tonight and Next Week Key Level 88000
This is the lower boundary of the upward channel and support resonance
At the same time, it resonates with Fibonacci 0.618
Current short-term trend is unclear, both long and short can be considered
Personal suggestion: after breaking the level, go short on the right side, just ensure to set a stop loss
Of course, as time goes by, the levels will gradually rise, we will discuss this later
#美联储降息
#加密市场反弹
#BTC走势分析
$ETH
Tonight and Next Week Key Level 88000
This is the lower boundary of the upward channel and support resonance
At the same time, it resonates with Fibonacci 0.618
Current short-term trend is unclear, both long and short can be considered
Personal suggestion: after breaking the level, go short on the right side, just ensure to set a stop loss
Of course, as time goes by, the levels will gradually rise, we will discuss this later
#美联储降息
#加密市场反弹
#BTC走势分析
$ETH
See original
12.08 Night Bitcoin Ethereum Thoughts
$BTC
Previously mentioned, Bitcoin will remain bullish only if it operates above 89. Looking for a small-scale upward wave c, with a target of 96-97 for wave c.
On the 4-hour level, 89 is indeed holding up, although this spike is a bit long, there was a wave of super washout, and after the washout, the market will truly start.
Therefore, the viewpoint from 12.05 can continue, still looking at 96-97 above, but as time goes on, the points need to gradually decrease.
Tonight is 97, tomorrow night is 96, short-term pressure is at 93-94, with support still at 89.
Therefore, both support and resistance are there, and you can try placing orders.
Long positions at 89188-88188, cancel if it rises to 96 in advance.
Short positions at 97200-98200, points can be lowered tomorrow.
$ETH
Aunt Tai is quite scary, directly testing the daily resistance trend line. If Bitcoin really reaches 96, Aunt Tai's trend line will surely break, looking at 3350-3450.
⚠️ The current market is neither up nor down, need to control the desire to open positions. I've only opened 2-3 positions in the past two weeks. In this kind of behind-the-scenes pure manipulation market, I think there's no need to open positions, just wait at key points.
⚠️ The next update will cover the extreme rebound position for the long term.
#ETH走势分析
#BTC走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$BTC
Previously mentioned, Bitcoin will remain bullish only if it operates above 89. Looking for a small-scale upward wave c, with a target of 96-97 for wave c.
On the 4-hour level, 89 is indeed holding up, although this spike is a bit long, there was a wave of super washout, and after the washout, the market will truly start.
Therefore, the viewpoint from 12.05 can continue, still looking at 96-97 above, but as time goes on, the points need to gradually decrease.
Tonight is 97, tomorrow night is 96, short-term pressure is at 93-94, with support still at 89.
Therefore, both support and resistance are there, and you can try placing orders.
Long positions at 89188-88188, cancel if it rises to 96 in advance.
Short positions at 97200-98200, points can be lowered tomorrow.
$ETH
Aunt Tai is quite scary, directly testing the daily resistance trend line. If Bitcoin really reaches 96, Aunt Tai's trend line will surely break, looking at 3350-3450.
⚠️ The current market is neither up nor down, need to control the desire to open positions. I've only opened 2-3 positions in the past two weeks. In this kind of behind-the-scenes pure manipulation market, I think there's no need to open positions, just wait at key points.
⚠️ The next update will cover the extreme rebound position for the long term.
#ETH走势分析
#BTC走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
See original
12.08 Night Bitcoin Ethereum Thoughts
$BTC
Previously mentioned, Bitcoin will remain bullish only if it operates above 89. Looking for a small-scale upward wave c, with a target of 96-97 for wave c.
On the 4-hour level, 89 is indeed holding up, although this spike is a bit long, there was a wave of super washout, and after the washout, the market will truly start.
Therefore, the viewpoint from 12.05 can continue, still looking at 96-97 above, but as time goes on, the points need to gradually decrease.
Tonight is 97, tomorrow night is 96, short-term pressure is at 93-94, with support still at 89.
Therefore, both support and resistance are there, and you can try placing orders.
Long positions at 89188-88188, cancel if it rises to 96 in advance.
Short positions at 97200-98200, points can be lowered tomorrow.
$ETH
Aunt Tai is quite scary, directly testing the daily resistance trend line. If Bitcoin really reaches 96, Aunt Tai's trend line will surely break, looking at 3350-3450.
⚠️ The current market is neither up nor down, need to control the desire to open positions. I've only opened 2-3 positions in the past two weeks. In this kind of behind-the-scenes pure manipulation market, I think there's no need to open positions, just wait at key points.
⚠️ The next update will cover the extreme rebound position for the long term.
#ETH走势分析
#BTC走势分析
$BTC
Previously mentioned, Bitcoin will remain bullish only if it operates above 89. Looking for a small-scale upward wave c, with a target of 96-97 for wave c.
On the 4-hour level, 89 is indeed holding up, although this spike is a bit long, there was a wave of super washout, and after the washout, the market will truly start.
Therefore, the viewpoint from 12.05 can continue, still looking at 96-97 above, but as time goes on, the points need to gradually decrease.
Tonight is 97, tomorrow night is 96, short-term pressure is at 93-94, with support still at 89.
Therefore, both support and resistance are there, and you can try placing orders.
Long positions at 89188-88188, cancel if it rises to 96 in advance.
Short positions at 97200-98200, points can be lowered tomorrow.
$ETH
Aunt Tai is quite scary, directly testing the daily resistance trend line. If Bitcoin really reaches 96, Aunt Tai's trend line will surely break, looking at 3350-3450.
⚠️ The current market is neither up nor down, need to control the desire to open positions. I've only opened 2-3 positions in the past two weeks. In this kind of behind-the-scenes pure manipulation market, I think there's no need to open positions, just wait at key points.
⚠️ The next update will cover the extreme rebound position for the long term.
#ETH走势分析
#BTC走势分析
$BTC 12.05BTC Night
In the medium term, the view of the abc wave remains unchanged
However, the longer it consolidates, the lower the target will be
Last week was 99, this week is 98, and next week will be 96
If the price remains above 89, then this view remains valid; breaking below 89 requires caution
In the short term, the neckline of 91800 has already been broken, and there is currently only 400 points of space; if it cannot recover tonight, it may continue to decline
If it cannot rebound at 872, then it will completely weaken; if this is the case, then Bitcoin has experienced four sharp rises and falls in the 84-94 range, seriously manipulating the market and treating retail investors like monkeys 🐒
#BTC走势分析
#比特币走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
In the medium term, the view of the abc wave remains unchanged
However, the longer it consolidates, the lower the target will be
Last week was 99, this week is 98, and next week will be 96
If the price remains above 89, then this view remains valid; breaking below 89 requires caution
In the short term, the neckline of 91800 has already been broken, and there is currently only 400 points of space; if it cannot recover tonight, it may continue to decline
If it cannot rebound at 872, then it will completely weaken; if this is the case, then Bitcoin has experienced four sharp rises and falls in the 84-94 range, seriously manipulating the market and treating retail investors like monkeys 🐒
#BTC走势分析
#比特币走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
See original
$BTC 12.07 Expectations for next week's trend
Key positions for today and tomorrow: 872-857
Currently still in a bullish structure, still a rebound market
Whether the rebound can continue depends on whether this range below the trend line can hold, then left-side long positions can be attempted
After receiving it, still look at 93 first, then look at 95-97, this is also the position for left-side short positions
Once the level is broken, must stop loss, as a new downtrend may begin, look at 751-731
⚠️ The ideal trend is a rebound to 97-98, then starting a new round of decline to 75
⚠️ Of course, if it directly starts to fall, that will be it
#加密市场观察
#BTC走势分析
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#美股2026预测
$ETH
Key positions for today and tomorrow: 872-857
Currently still in a bullish structure, still a rebound market
Whether the rebound can continue depends on whether this range below the trend line can hold, then left-side long positions can be attempted
After receiving it, still look at 93 first, then look at 95-97, this is also the position for left-side short positions
Once the level is broken, must stop loss, as a new downtrend may begin, look at 751-731
⚠️ The ideal trend is a rebound to 97-98, then starting a new round of decline to 75
⚠️ Of course, if it directly starts to fall, that will be it
#加密市场观察
#BTC走势分析
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#美股2026预测
$ETH
$BTC 12.05BTC Night
In the medium term, the view of the abc wave remains unchanged
However, the longer it consolidates, the lower the target will be
Last week was 99, this week is 98, and next week will be 96
If the price remains above 89, then this view remains valid; breaking below 89 requires caution
In the short term, the neckline of 91800 has already been broken, and there is currently only 400 points of space; if it cannot recover tonight, it may continue to decline
If it cannot rebound at 872, then it will completely weaken; if this is the case, then Bitcoin has experienced four sharp rises and falls in the 84-94 range, seriously manipulating the market and treating retail investors like monkeys 🐒
#BTC走势分析
#比特币走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
In the medium term, the view of the abc wave remains unchanged
However, the longer it consolidates, the lower the target will be
Last week was 99, this week is 98, and next week will be 96
If the price remains above 89, then this view remains valid; breaking below 89 requires caution
In the short term, the neckline of 91800 has already been broken, and there is currently only 400 points of space; if it cannot recover tonight, it may continue to decline
If it cannot rebound at 872, then it will completely weaken; if this is the case, then Bitcoin has experienced four sharp rises and falls in the 84-94 range, seriously manipulating the market and treating retail investors like monkeys 🐒
#BTC走势分析
#比特币走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
See original
$BTC 12.05BTC Night
In the medium term, the view of the abc wave remains unchanged
However, the longer it consolidates, the lower the target will be
Last week was 99, this week is 98, and next week will be 96
If the price remains above 89, then this view remains valid; breaking below 89 requires caution
In the short term, the neckline of 91800 has already been broken, and there is currently only 400 points of space; if it cannot recover tonight, it may continue to decline
If it cannot rebound at 872, then it will completely weaken; if this is the case, then Bitcoin has experienced four sharp rises and falls in the 84-94 range, seriously manipulating the market and treating retail investors like monkeys 🐒
#BTC走势分析
#比特币走势分析
$ETH
In the medium term, the view of the abc wave remains unchanged
However, the longer it consolidates, the lower the target will be
Last week was 99, this week is 98, and next week will be 96
If the price remains above 89, then this view remains valid; breaking below 89 requires caution
In the short term, the neckline of 91800 has already been broken, and there is currently only 400 points of space; if it cannot recover tonight, it may continue to decline
If it cannot rebound at 872, then it will completely weaken; if this is the case, then Bitcoin has experienced four sharp rises and falls in the 84-94 range, seriously manipulating the market and treating retail investors like monkeys 🐒
#BTC走势分析
#比特币走势分析
$ETH
See original
$BTC 12.03BTC Night
I never expected that it would actually be a trend of expectation two; the short position based on expectation one clearly hit the stop-loss.
So the target levels are indicated on the chart as 96 and 99.
Since 931 has already been breached, a bullish structure has formed on the 4-hour level, so it can pull back to enter long positions with the target levels in sight.
The first support below is 90388.
The second support below is 86488.
Both are positions to consider entering long.
The first resistance above is 96-97.
The second resistance above is 992-1012.
On the left side at the second resistance, observe the volume and price at the first resistance before making a right-side decision.
#BTC走势分析
I never expected that it would actually be a trend of expectation two; the short position based on expectation one clearly hit the stop-loss.
So the target levels are indicated on the chart as 96 and 99.
Since 931 has already been breached, a bullish structure has formed on the 4-hour level, so it can pull back to enter long positions with the target levels in sight.
The first support below is 90388.
The second support below is 86488.
Both are positions to consider entering long.
The first resistance above is 96-97.
The second resistance above is 992-1012.
On the left side at the second resistance, observe the volume and price at the first resistance before making a right-side decision.
#BTC走势分析
$BTC 12.01BTC Night
Bitcoin 865-855 has arrived as expected, today's key point is here
If it breaks down, it will definitely start with 7, bulls wait and see
If it holds up, there are 2 expectations
1️⃣ Head and shoulders structure down to 89 to continue falling, starting a new round of decline, spot layout at 7.6-6.7w with gradual entry
2️⃣ Small-scale ABC wave rebound, if there is a rebound, 93 will definitely be broken
⚠️ Personally, I prefer the first option, so only wait at 89 for long positions
⚠️ What if it doesn't test 89 and falls directly? What else can be done, just watch empty-handed, but I have an empty position in the futures, got in at 26, added to the position when it broke 26 to get to 22🤣, this right-side short position started to plummet right after editing the text, there was simply no time to post🤣
#加密市场回调
#BTC走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Bitcoin 865-855 has arrived as expected, today's key point is here
If it breaks down, it will definitely start with 7, bulls wait and see
If it holds up, there are 2 expectations
1️⃣ Head and shoulders structure down to 89 to continue falling, starting a new round of decline, spot layout at 7.6-6.7w with gradual entry
2️⃣ Small-scale ABC wave rebound, if there is a rebound, 93 will definitely be broken
⚠️ Personally, I prefer the first option, so only wait at 89 for long positions
⚠️ What if it doesn't test 89 and falls directly? What else can be done, just watch empty-handed, but I have an empty position in the futures, got in at 26, added to the position when it broke 26 to get to 22🤣, this right-side short position started to plummet right after editing the text, there was simply no time to post🤣
#加密市场回调
#BTC走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
See original
$BTC 12.01BTC Night
Bitcoin 865-855 has arrived as expected, today's key point is here
If it breaks down, it will definitely start with 7, bulls wait and see
If it holds up, there are 2 expectations
1️⃣ Head and shoulders structure down to 89 to continue falling, starting a new round of decline, spot layout at 7.6-6.7w with gradual entry
2️⃣ Small-scale ABC wave rebound, if there is a rebound, 93 will definitely be broken
⚠️ Personally, I prefer the first option, so only wait at 89 for long positions
⚠️ What if it doesn't test 89 and falls directly? What else can be done, just watch empty-handed, but I have an empty position in the futures, got in at 26, added to the position when it broke 26 to get to 22🤣, this right-side short position started to plummet right after editing the text, there was simply no time to post🤣
#加密市场回调
#BTC走势分析
$ETH
Bitcoin 865-855 has arrived as expected, today's key point is here
If it breaks down, it will definitely start with 7, bulls wait and see
If it holds up, there are 2 expectations
1️⃣ Head and shoulders structure down to 89 to continue falling, starting a new round of decline, spot layout at 7.6-6.7w with gradual entry
2️⃣ Small-scale ABC wave rebound, if there is a rebound, 93 will definitely be broken
⚠️ Personally, I prefer the first option, so only wait at 89 for long positions
⚠️ What if it doesn't test 89 and falls directly? What else can be done, just watch empty-handed, but I have an empty position in the futures, got in at 26, added to the position when it broke 26 to get to 22🤣, this right-side short position started to plummet right after editing the text, there was simply no time to post🤣
#加密市场回调
#BTC走势分析
$ETH
See original
$BTC 12.01 Morning waterfall face wash
Last week's viewpoint continues, temporarily unchanged
There are 2 positions for additional purchases, 89 and 865-855
89 was warned yesterday, automatically canceled over the weekend, and fell directly this morning, as expected
I have said, looking at a long-term view starting with 7, as for how to move in between, look at the short-term, then for the short-term, see if the second support 865-855 can hold, if it holds, the rebound will not exceed 90 and will continue to fall to test the 80,000 integer level, if it holds and rebounds above 90, look for the small-level wave C, which could reach 96-97, I personally lean towards the former not exceeding 90
$ETH Aunty 2830 is the support, if broken, it will fall further
#加密市场反弹
#BTC走势分析
Last week's viewpoint continues, temporarily unchanged
There are 2 positions for additional purchases, 89 and 865-855
89 was warned yesterday, automatically canceled over the weekend, and fell directly this morning, as expected
I have said, looking at a long-term view starting with 7, as for how to move in between, look at the short-term, then for the short-term, see if the second support 865-855 can hold, if it holds, the rebound will not exceed 90 and will continue to fall to test the 80,000 integer level, if it holds and rebounds above 90, look for the small-level wave C, which could reach 96-97, I personally lean towards the former not exceeding 90
$ETH Aunty 2830 is the support, if broken, it will fall further
#加密市场反弹
#BTC走势分析
See original
$BTC 11.29
Expectations for the market trends in December next month and next week
✅ Chart 1 is for the long term, and the target range of 76,000-67,000 remains unchanged. The key point is how far this rebound can go. First, the breaking of the weekly upward trendline has not yet been tested a second time. Therefore, considering the key support and resistance swap points, there are two crucial positions: one is 992-1012, and the other is 1055-1075. Now, what needs to be done is to monitor the red rebound line; how it rebounds will depend on the short term.
✅ Chart 2 is for the short term, with two potential upward expectations: one is touching the trendline or a minor pullback to 89 before rising, and the other is a pullback to the 865-855 range before rising. The longer the sideways movement lasts, the greater the probability of breaking the trendline will increase, so the risk at 89 will become higher. This is also the reason I informed the group that 89 is only valid on weekends.
⚠️ It is important to note that this analysis is based on a significant rebound. If the small rebound ends here, there will be no Chart 2, and we will look directly at the range starting with 7.
#加密市场反弹
#BTC走势分析
Expectations for the market trends in December next month and next week
✅ Chart 1 is for the long term, and the target range of 76,000-67,000 remains unchanged. The key point is how far this rebound can go. First, the breaking of the weekly upward trendline has not yet been tested a second time. Therefore, considering the key support and resistance swap points, there are two crucial positions: one is 992-1012, and the other is 1055-1075. Now, what needs to be done is to monitor the red rebound line; how it rebounds will depend on the short term.
✅ Chart 2 is for the short term, with two potential upward expectations: one is touching the trendline or a minor pullback to 89 before rising, and the other is a pullback to the 865-855 range before rising. The longer the sideways movement lasts, the greater the probability of breaking the trendline will increase, so the risk at 89 will become higher. This is also the reason I informed the group that 89 is only valid on weekends.
⚠️ It is important to note that this analysis is based on a significant rebound. If the small rebound ends here, there will be no Chart 2, and we will look directly at the range starting with 7.
#加密市场反弹
#BTC走势分析
See original
$BTC 11.26 The pancake is constipated, what should we do next?
If there is no fluctuation today, the US stock market will be closed tomorrow, and it will close early the day after tomorrow, so we can celebrate the weekend in advance! 🤣
Actually, I'm quite speechless every Monday and Tuesday because I always finish discussing the market a week in advance, leaving nothing much to talk about 🤣. Let's extend this discussion and take a look at the charts ⬇️
✅ This week's focus: 89000
✅ Last week we mentioned that if this 1-hour trend line breaks, it can be seen as a temporary stop in the decline, transitioning to a 1-hour range fluctuation or rebound, with 89000 as the first major resistance. Based on this boundary, there are two expectations, and plans should be made according to them.
1️⃣ Expectation one: 89000 serves as the dividing line for the strength of the rebound. If this barrier cannot be crossed, the probability of a second dip or a failed rebound greatly increases. Long positions on the left side should only be gambled around 81 for a second dip, with a range of 81-89. Only do this once; if it breaks below 806, stop loss must be triggered, and if it breaks below 7, it must go down.
2️⃣ Expectation two: Breaking above 89 may trigger a chain reaction for bulls, rapidly pushing up to 92-93. Therefore, dip buying at 89 or shorting at 93 on the left side.
⚠️ Expectations are just expectations; proper risk control is essential.
#加密市场反弹
#BTC☀
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
If there is no fluctuation today, the US stock market will be closed tomorrow, and it will close early the day after tomorrow, so we can celebrate the weekend in advance! 🤣
Actually, I'm quite speechless every Monday and Tuesday because I always finish discussing the market a week in advance, leaving nothing much to talk about 🤣. Let's extend this discussion and take a look at the charts ⬇️
✅ This week's focus: 89000
✅ Last week we mentioned that if this 1-hour trend line breaks, it can be seen as a temporary stop in the decline, transitioning to a 1-hour range fluctuation or rebound, with 89000 as the first major resistance. Based on this boundary, there are two expectations, and plans should be made according to them.
1️⃣ Expectation one: 89000 serves as the dividing line for the strength of the rebound. If this barrier cannot be crossed, the probability of a second dip or a failed rebound greatly increases. Long positions on the left side should only be gambled around 81 for a second dip, with a range of 81-89. Only do this once; if it breaks below 806, stop loss must be triggered, and if it breaks below 7, it must go down.
2️⃣ Expectation two: Breaking above 89 may trigger a chain reaction for bulls, rapidly pushing up to 92-93. Therefore, dip buying at 89 or shorting at 93 on the left side.
⚠️ Expectations are just expectations; proper risk control is essential.
#加密市场反弹
#BTC☀
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
See original
$BTC 11.26 The pancake is constipated, what should we do next?
If there is no fluctuation today, the US stock market will be closed tomorrow, and it will close early the day after tomorrow, so we can celebrate the weekend in advance! 🤣
Actually, I'm quite speechless every Monday and Tuesday because I always finish discussing the market a week in advance, leaving nothing much to talk about 🤣. Let's extend this discussion and take a look at the charts ⬇️
✅ This week's focus: 89000
✅ Last week we mentioned that if this 1-hour trend line breaks, it can be seen as a temporary stop in the decline, transitioning to a 1-hour range fluctuation or rebound, with 89000 as the first major resistance. Based on this boundary, there are two expectations, and plans should be made according to them.
1️⃣ Expectation one: 89000 serves as the dividing line for the strength of the rebound. If this barrier cannot be crossed, the probability of a second dip or a failed rebound greatly increases. Long positions on the left side should only be gambled around 81 for a second dip, with a range of 81-89. Only do this once; if it breaks below 806, stop loss must be triggered, and if it breaks below 7, it must go down.
2️⃣ Expectation two: Breaking above 89 may trigger a chain reaction for bulls, rapidly pushing up to 92-93. Therefore, dip buying at 89 or shorting at 93 on the left side.
⚠️ Expectations are just expectations; proper risk control is essential.
#加密市场反弹
#BTC☀
$ETH
If there is no fluctuation today, the US stock market will be closed tomorrow, and it will close early the day after tomorrow, so we can celebrate the weekend in advance! 🤣
Actually, I'm quite speechless every Monday and Tuesday because I always finish discussing the market a week in advance, leaving nothing much to talk about 🤣. Let's extend this discussion and take a look at the charts ⬇️
✅ This week's focus: 89000
✅ Last week we mentioned that if this 1-hour trend line breaks, it can be seen as a temporary stop in the decline, transitioning to a 1-hour range fluctuation or rebound, with 89000 as the first major resistance. Based on this boundary, there are two expectations, and plans should be made according to them.
1️⃣ Expectation one: 89000 serves as the dividing line for the strength of the rebound. If this barrier cannot be crossed, the probability of a second dip or a failed rebound greatly increases. Long positions on the left side should only be gambled around 81 for a second dip, with a range of 81-89. Only do this once; if it breaks below 806, stop loss must be triggered, and if it breaks below 7, it must go down.
2️⃣ Expectation two: Breaking above 89 may trigger a chain reaction for bulls, rapidly pushing up to 92-93. Therefore, dip buying at 89 or shorting at 93 on the left side.
⚠️ Expectations are just expectations; proper risk control is essential.
#加密市场反弹
#BTC☀
$ETH
See original
$BTC 11.24 Whether the decline has stopped depends on tonight
Currently, the main trend line is under pressure; whether it stops declining depends on tonight
The first image shows the possible trend after successful suppression, first testing the support situation in the 82-81 range. If it holds, it will directly turn into range oscillation, with a range of 81-88. Therefore, 82-81 can be tried from the left side; if it breaks, stop loss. The support below has been mentioned in previous days.
The second image shows the possible trend after breaking; it can be seen as a large-level stop decline, with 806 being the phase bottom for this stage. After oscillation, it looks bullish.
#BTC走势分析
#比特币波动性
#美联储重启降息步伐
#ETH巨鲸增持
$ETH
Currently, the main trend line is under pressure; whether it stops declining depends on tonight
The first image shows the possible trend after successful suppression, first testing the support situation in the 82-81 range. If it holds, it will directly turn into range oscillation, with a range of 81-88. Therefore, 82-81 can be tried from the left side; if it breaks, stop loss. The support below has been mentioned in previous days.
The second image shows the possible trend after breaking; it can be seen as a large-level stop decline, with 806 being the phase bottom for this stage. After oscillation, it looks bullish.
#BTC走势分析
#比特币波动性
#美联储重启降息步伐
#ETH巨鲸增持
$ETH
Login to explore more contents