I saw an order from a streamer, Ethereum opened a long position at 2934.96, which confuses me greatly. Because in this market, I would definitely go short. ETH does not match the logic of opening a long position in terms of trend, position, and pattern. The most basic aspect of trading is not understanding the big trend and small reversals. Moreover, this long position was opened after the CPI data was released. It's really unbelievable, I can't stand it anymore, so I'm posting.
The current US stock market, with the S&P and Nasdaq indices both showing a downward trend, is quite risky. There are currently no bullish signals. ETF funds are continuing to flow out tonight, and shorting on rallies is the key strategy.
Key point 🔥 Follow me. I will start live streaming with 1000 followers, only teaching you how to understand and make money from certain market trends. #BTC走势分析 #加密ksan Many people see Bitcoin rallying and rush in to go long without thinking. Then they stop-loss, get liquidated, and end up buried. A situation where both bulls and bears are hurt. I initially wanted to short Bitcoin at 91000, but the market didn't give me the opportunity.
BTC market trends, combined with BTC ETF, on-chain whale trading, and BTC market plate view, 1. BTC ETF funds continue to flow out, with capital outflow, 2. On-chain data trading is sluggish, with no whales trading. All point to the current low liquidity of Bitcoin. This means there is no capital entering the market for trading. 3. The interest rate hike in Japan on the 19th will not have a significant impact on the market; market expectations have long been consumed. 4. The resistance above BTC is between 93000-97000; the market will not exceed this price, and there is no expectation of a bull market, the rest are just rebounds. 5. The support level below, if the closing price is greater than 82000, will welcome a temporary rebound; if the closing price cannot stand above 82000, prepare for the next spike, get ready with funds, and go for it.
Learn a money-making tip every day! #BTC #加密ksan The winner takes all, and the loser is the bandit. The immortal points out the path to wealth. The immortal shows the way
Bitcoin's hourly market trend shows a green K-line with an inverted hammer during the bottom-up process. (The upper shadow is very long, more than four times the K-line body, the longer the better) This kind of shape means that as long as the subsequent closing price is not lower than the opening price of this inverted hammer line, it will continue to rise vigorously.
Learn a money-making tip every day! #BTC #加密ksan The winner takes all, and the loser is the bandit. The immortal points out the path to wealth. The immortal shows the way
Bitcoin's hourly market trend shows a green K-line with an inverted hammer during the bottom-up process. (The upper shadow is very long, more than four times the K-line body, the longer the better) This kind of shape means that as long as the subsequent closing price is not lower than the opening price of this inverted hammer line, it will continue to rise vigorously.
With Japan's interest rate hike, will Bitcoin crash?
#日本加息 #加密ksan 1. Why can Japan's interest rate hike withdraw liquidity from the financial market?
First, we need to understand why Japan is raising interest rates. The essence is to cope with domestic inflation and stabilize the yen exchange rate. Once the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, the cost of yen funds in the market will increase, and those who originally borrowed cheap yen to invest in the global market (including the cryptocurrency market) may withdraw to repay debts, which will put pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin. From your previous Bitcoin market observations, starting from October 11, it has already fallen significantly from its highs and is currently in a weak oscillation. At this time, encountering the capital withdrawal effect from Japan's interest rate hike indeed increases the probability of a short-term decline.
Several large banks have begun issuing loans secured by Bitcoin
Wall Street giants collectively enter the fray: traditional banks launch Bitcoin-backed loan services, and the financial attributes of crypto assets gain mainstream recognition
Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of MicroStrategy, recently revealed that six top financial institutions on Wall Street, including BNY Mellon, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Charles Schwab, JPMorgan Chase, and Citigroup, have officially started lending business secured by Bitcoin — this news marks Bitcoin's transition from a fringe alternative asset to a core application scenario within the traditional financial system, with the collateral financing capabilities of crypto assets receiving endorsement from the world's most influential financial institutions.
This financial revolution led by Wall Street giants not only reshapes Bitcoin's asset positioning but also opens a new stage for the deep integration of the crypto economy with the traditional financial system. As Michael Saylor stated: "When the world's largest banks begin to accept Bitcoin as collateral, it signifies that the value of crypto assets has been recognized by the cornerstone of the financial system — this is not the end, but the starting point for cryptocurrencies to become mainstream global assets."
Key actions in the China-US economic game. #加密ksan The United States wants to drag us into the pit of deflation, achieving a future buyout of Chinese assets. Earlier articles have informed you about where China's confidence lies. 1. Why is the US doing this? For the past 30 years, our China has relied on cheap labor to produce a vast number of goods. Americans could just print dollars to buy them, and the dollars we earned were then used to buy US Treasury bonds, which means we were essentially lending them money to spend, making life very comfortable for Americans. Later, we no longer wanted to be the “sucker,” which made the US anxious, and they began to gamble their national fortune against us—deliberately worsening their own inflation while blocking our goods from being sold, hoping to make our produced items pile up unsold (overcapacity), while ordinary people dare not spend money (deflation), ultimately seizing the opportunity to buy out our industrial chain. 2. Why are we facing deflation despite printing so much money? It's not that printing money is useless; it's that the US is sabotaging us from behind: they do not allow our goods to be exported. With too many products made domestically and too few buyers, naturally, prices drop, and consumption cannot pick up, reversing the global inflation situation. Additionally, the US is eyeing our real estate, attempting to undermine our monetary control measures and deepen the deflation. 3. How are we responding? - Anti-involution: Stop overproducing, reduce overtime and the race to the bottom, so that ordinary people have time and money to spend, and deflation can naturally ease. - Create a unified national market: Break local protectionism, for example, diverting oil and labor from the west to the east, and directing technology and capital from the east to the west, solving the problem of “some places have goods piling up unsold, while others want them but don’t have them.” - Seize the discourse power in currency and energy: Buy more gold, develop the financial market in Hong Kong to attract international capital; also engage in energy projects to become a “powerful country in electricity,” intending to bind the RMB to new resources like electricity, replacing the old model of the dollar being tied to oil, gradually gaining control over the currency. 4. The final core message The US is making its last struggle through dollar hegemony, while we rely on the productivity of 1.4 billion people and new energy and currency strategies to respond. The future will depend on whether the RMB and the electricity system can outperform the dollar and oil system.
The process of compliance and institutionalization of cryptocurrencies has significantly accelerated #比特币ETF #加密ksan
Behind this is the push for relaxed cryptocurrency regulation in the United States, which will bring positive impacts such as accelerated compliance, increased funding, and greater liquidity for cryptocurrencies.
By the end of 2025, there are a total of 124 registered applications for ETPs (Exchange-Traded Products) related to cryptocurrencies in the U.S. market.
Among them, products related to Bitcoin account for the highest proportion, totaling 21 items (of which 18 are based on the derivatives structure of the 1940 Act). Following closely are combination products (15 items), as well as mainstream token products like $XRP (10 items), Solana (9 items), and Ethereum (7 items).
There are 42 spot applications under the 1933 Act, with the remainder being derivatives or structured fund applications.
Technical Analysis: ETH: The 4-hour MACD energy bars and price have formed a clear top divergence (indicating weakened buying power in the market, with serious lack of buying strength).
SKDJ: A top divergence forms around 80, and the price needs to focus on confirming the SKDJ divergence by closing below 3090.
One hour: ETH: The price formed a fair value gap on December 9 at 11 PM (3240--3140) and retraced last night to fill the gap. The support level is tentatively set at 3140-2125, and one can plan for a rebound with long positions, holding short-term, with a main stop loss at 3070.