以观沧海

Relearn books on studying technical analysis 📚.
$PEPE

For high frequency and high leverage, you still need the right mindset and emotion management. Basically, it’s a probability question—don’t pay attention to temporary gains or losses. If the expected value is positive, you can trust the law of large numbers. When I’m holding a position, I remind myself: it’s just a probability question—don’t worry about this single time. As long as you follow the entry logic, take-profit and stop-loss can be flexible. $AAVE

BTC climbed back from $58K to $62.5K,
while institutions are actually running money out of BTC ETFs.
I’ve thought about this for a long time.
BTC ETF recorded a net outflow of $4.5B in June,
reaching a historical high.
In the same period, the XRP ETF saw a net inflow of $60M.
The Hyperliquid ETF saw a net inflow of $160M.
Money didn’t leave—it just moved elsewhere.
My take: this isn’t bearish on BTC; it’s diversification.
Institutions are exiting the BTC ETF,
not because they don’t like Bitcoin,
but because it has already risen too much,
positions were too concentrated, and the value proposition has improved elsewhere.
On the other hand,
XRP has a story tied to a possible reversal in regulatory expectations,
and HYPE has on-chain data and community consensus as its narrative.
The money isn’t going into worse assets—
it’s moving toward better value and clearer stories.
So what signal does this BTC rebound send?
In the short term, it could be a rebound from oversold conditions.
$58K is a strong support from June,
and bouncing back from there is a normal technical move.
But the fact that institutions aren’t chasing BTC ETFs says one thing:
they’re not in a rush.
They’re waiting for a better price—or a better story.
What about you?
Did you trim positions during this rebound,
or did you add on the move?
What were you thinking at the time?
Tell me $BTC
#比特币回升至6.1万美元上方

Last night this $FIL trade for a short-term move was originally in profit a bit—I thought it was basically good to go. I placed a breakeven order. What can I say… no matter how good the technical analysis is, in the face of absolute strength and big money, it’s really not worth mentioning. The crypto trader “猛2号” swept all my long positions clean. And with his guided trading, in an instant the price dropped sharply and the breakeven order turned into a losing exit. $FIL

Circumstances are not important; what matters is the state of existence.
Circumstances do not determine the state of existence; the state of existence determines the circumstances.
Circumstances themselves do not create a materialized experience.
What matters is the state of existence—only the state of existence materializes experience and makes it real.$BTC

Circumstances are not important; what matters is the state of being.
Circumstances do not determine the state of being; the state of being determines circumstances.
Circumstances themselves do not create a materialized experience.
It is the state of being that matters—only the state of being materializes the experience, making it real.

$60,402
Major upsets at the World Cup and contract liquidations are essentially the same thing.
I watched that Netherlands game, which ended 0–3.
Before the match, the odds had the Netherlands giving 1.5 goals.
After the match, the comments were full of “fixed match.”
What difference is that from the contract market?
You bet on a certain coin,
open a long position at 10x or more,
then a sudden breaking news hits,
the price spikes the opposite way—
and your position is gone.
That Netherlands game is the same:
You think the Netherlands will win,
place a heavy bet,
and then three goals happen—
and your money is gone.
The difference is this:
In football, you can call it a fixed match,
in contracts, you can say it’s market makers controlling the market.
But the truth might be the same—
you’ve misunderstood probabilities.
BTC is now $60.4K.
It touched $61.3K last night but didn’t go through.
$58.2K is the strong support this week.
With your current position,
have you left room for “the impossible”?
#BinancePickAndWin

Blooming in Adversity! An Inspirational Tale of Turning from “Soft Rice” to a Hero
In the world of sports, there are always some stories that move people and leave them in awe. Today, let’s step into Connor’s inspiring life and feel his dazzling turnaround—from “soft rice” to a hero.

Connor, a name that once stood for weakness, was the target of others’ mockery and ridicule. In those dim days, Connor ate “soft rice,” bearing the endless pressure from the outside world. But just as it seemed there was no hope in that seemingly bottomless abyss, someone appeared—his wife. She didn’t give up on her husband; instead, she used endless encouragement and support to light the spark of hope in Connor’s heart. Connor once told his wife, with deep affection, that without her encouragement back then, he would never have achieved the success he has today. Undoubtedly, his wife was Connor’s greatest benefactor.

With his wife by his side and urging him on, Connor began his comeback. He no longer accepted his circumstances. He no longer endured others’ cold stares and laughter. Instead, he used his own sweat and hard work to move step by step toward success. After eight years of hardship and refinement, Connor finally reached the glorious moment that was his. His name was written into history, becoming an immortal legend in the sports world.

Connor’s story is one of resilience and defiance. It tells us that no matter what kind of adversity we face, as long as we have dreams in our hearts and we dare to pursue them, we can surely find a path that belongs to us. From “soft rice” to a hero, Connor’s experiences explain what true inspiration and growth really mean. His story will continue to motivate countless people to press forward in adversity and climb to the heights of life.
$BTC $DOGE

Trading is a profession with a very strong level of expertise. Many people think that all it takes is selling low and buying high. When they see other people posting profit screenshots and the fairy tale of getting rich overnight, you’ve truly underestimated your opponent. Your opponent is a professional team—faster, more insider information, and a risk control team and a strategy team. However, I still believe that trading can make money. The reason I lose money is that my professional skills are insufficient: I don’t have a complete trading system, a funds risk-control system, the ability to manage emotions after consecutive losses, and the ability to overcome human weaknesses. So I want to train myself to become an excellent trader. Saturday, July 4, 2026, the 20th day of the fifth lunar month
#交易训练 $BTC $ETH

BNB rose within four hours and looks bullish; on the daily chart level, it might still be a pullback—anyway, I’m in the move up.

$PUMP has fallen from 0.002250 to the downtrend line of 0.001150 being broken. Next, it will most likely rise for a wave.

$60,402
World Cup upsets and contract liquidations are essentially the same thing.
I watched that Netherlands match, 0-3.
Before the game, the odds had the Netherlands giving 1.5 goals.
After the game, the comments section was full of “fixed match.”
So what’s the difference from the contract market?
You like a certain coin,
go long with a leverage position over 10x,
then one sudden piece of breaking news hits,
the price reverses and stabs through,
and your position is gone.
That Netherlands match was the same.
You backed the Netherlands,
put in a big bet,
then three goals came,
and your money was gone.
The difference is:
In football, you can call it a fixed game.
In contracts, you can say the whales/manipulators control the market.
But the truth might be the same—
you misunderstood probability.
BTC is now $60.4K.
It touched $61.3K last night but didn’t break through.
$58.2K is the strong support level for this week.
With your current position,
have you left room for “impossible” to happen?
#BinancePickAndWin

Circumstances don’t matter; what matters is the state in which I exist.
$AAVE

$60,402
Big upsets at the World Cup and contract liquidations are essentially one thing.
I watched the Netherlands match 0-3.
Before the match, the odds had the Netherlands giving 1.5 goals.
Afterward, the comment section was full of "fixed match" talk.
What's the difference from the contracts market?
Say you like a certain coin,
you open a 10x+ long,
and then a sudden breaking-news headline hits,
the price spikes in the opposite direction—
and your position is gone.
The Netherlands match was similar.
You favored the Netherlands,
you went in with heavy stakes,
then three goals happened—
and your money was gone.
The difference is:
In football, you can claim it's a fixed match.
In contracts, you can say the whales/manipulators controlled the market.
But the truth might be the same—
you misunderstood probability.
BTC is now $60.4K.
Last night it touched $61.3K but didn’t break through.
$58.2K is this week’s strong support.
As for your current position,
has it left room for the "impossible"?
#BinancePickAndWin

Tonight is the Non-Farm Payrolls. If you’re new, look here. I used to not understand it either.

First, the logic—otherwise tonight’s data will just look like entertainment:
Strong employment data = the economy is overheating = the government dares to raise rates = bearish for BTC
Weak employment data = the economy cools down = there’s no reason to keep hiking = bullish for BTC
Got it? Then keep looking.

$60,722
Last night, the ADP was 98,000.
And in person, Waller said the inflation risks have already declined.
This is the first crack we’ve seen from the Fed chair in terms of the rate-hike stance.
If tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls confirm that employment is cooling,
the probability of a rate hike in September will drop rapidly from 76%—
which will be the biggest market event of the week.

BTC is now at $60.7K,
with a 1.2% intraday trading range.
Upward, $61.3K is the resistance it just tested last night.
Downward, $58.2K is this week’s low.

Now let’s talk technicals. At this price, you’re right at the edge of the 4-hour pressure line where bulls and bears are dueling.
From the 15-minute and 1-hour charts, the upside pressure is around 60,800.
The downside support is around 58,000.
Expect more sideways consolidation in that range.
If you’re trading trends, you’re afraid of chop; if you’re trading chop, you’re afraid of trends.
Technical analysis is for reference.

Before the Non-Farm results come out,
which side will you stand with?
#非农数据
$SOL
$BTC

It’s the last dance of my trading career. Today I sold my phone. Thinking about it, since the pandemic started, I’ve had no problems getting into futures—yet I lost so much that I sold the car too. Back then, I was already close to what ordinary people would call financial freedom: a car, several apartments, and savings. After four years, I kept losing and kept scraping together money. Most of the money was lost in futures. In the end, with the last 300u, plus these four years of experience, I created a miracle. Wish me luck
$ADA

If I can take profit, it only takes two numbers to make 27u.
Just think—this phone has followed me for years too. I haven’t put a screen protector on it. I just wiped it for him a moment ago, and my heart is filled with mixed feelings. Whatever—if I can take profit, then I won’t have to sell it tomorrow. If I can’t, I’ll consider selling the phone. This final dance—life must succeed, and transactions must be completed.

Thinking of selling the phone, last dance—could sell it for more than a thousand, over a hundred bucks too.

I just wanted to make a little money delivering orders, but I didn’t expect this—I lost over 100 and ended up with just over 40. That account still only has 7 bucks.

After having 100 on one account and 1 yuan on another, after countless crashes and liquidations, I decided to use these two accounts to earn a living. Although managing discipline and emotional control against human nature is more difficult than doing delivery work, I decided to push past myself and change myself.