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$RAVE The Way to Harvest Chives

First, control over 97% of the spot chips, then continuously raise the price to create hype, because everyone knows that this kind of altcoin is just air, and it will definitely go to zero in the future. So everyone comes in to short, countering the dealer. The higher the dealer raises the price, the more chives will come in to short and counter the dealer. In this way, the dealer can continuously raise the price by 100 times, but most people do not make money from the rise.

It's not that they can't afford it; it's that there is fundamentally no solution to win. Because the dealer can continuously collect funding fees, and the spot is in their hands, they can set the price as they wish. They can collect up to 2% of your principal every hour, and even in a sideways market for a day, they can eat up 48% of your principal. The larger your short position, the more funding fees the counterpart receives every hour. This way, the dealer can replenish a steady stream of chips and continue to counter you. It’s a no-win situation; you can only admit defeat.

The collection of such high funding fees is extremely unfair to retail investors. It is precisely because of the funding fees that the dealer cannot lose. If there were no funding fees, both sides could compete based on capital strength, and as the price rises, the funding for shorting would gradually increase until it eventually collapses. However, with the funding fees, they can continuously steal the chips from the shorts.

The higher it goes, the more people are fooled into shorting. Many new chives entering the coin circle can easily get carried away; unless the shorts are completely wiped out, they basically cannot go down. As long as there are still people shorting, the dealer will keep pushing up. Some say, can't I just follow the dealer and go long? The dealer directly uses a 'heaven and earth needle,' smashing from 15 to 10 last night, then immediately pulling it back up. Neither longs nor shorts can escape this. Some people say to hold the spot. The dealer has 97% of the chips; when you buy the spot, you are helping the dealer fuel their fire. Moreover, you don’t know when it will suddenly go to zero, and even if it rises, you can't hold on to it.

This kind of volatility is to trick people into getting on board and then harvesting. You know it will crash, but you can't control it from blowing you up. It’s not that gamblers should die; it's that they are deceived. This is no different from fraud; it’s just raising the price and then tricking people into shorting and taking their money. This, if developed further, will turn into a park.

In the end, only exchanges can control them; no other link can control them.

Demon coins are very common in bear markets. A few days ago, there was a siren who played this kind of demon coin with a 90% loss rate. The dealer has a thousand ways to make you lose. These coins were hardly played at first, and all the chips are in the dealer's hands. Knowing the specific distribution of chips, the price is determined by them. Pulling 100 times or 1000 times is just shifting from one hand to the other. No matter how you go long or short, the dealer can blow you up. Just the funding rate can grind you down. Then, after the dealer manipulates the coin price, they can wipe out all the gains in just one day.

$RAVE Unless there are chips at the bottom, really don't touch it, and don't try to short it. Most people want to short these coins after such a surge because they know it will eventually crash, but you don't know when. Once you short it, the dealer will pull it up several times, with no end in sight. You want to gamble with spot trading, but you don't know when the dealer will bring you back to 0.

There are only two reasons why one can make money on such demon coins: the margin is maxed out, or luck is through the roof. But never let a single lucky win make you arrogant, as it really only shows that you were lucky and does not mean you are truly amazing.

In terms of price, the short-term news may not last long, and the market will eventually return to its own rhythm. Yesterday, it surged strongly to 72773, which basically tested the price gap after the previous decline. The price has reached the upper resistance level, so it is not surprising if it closes with a downward trend today. However, this is the initial drop after the surge; if it reaches a new high and fakes a breakout, it would be the best opportunity to short. This means that if the price rises to above 73000 and then drops below 72770, it would be a perfect bearish signal. If it breaks through without a retracement, it will continue to rise. The bottom to watch is 70600. If it falls below this level today, it will directly turn into a weak sideways movement. If it tests this level and shows a small rebound, one can go long briefly.

In summary, the short-term surge influenced by news generally does not last long; the market is still in a large range sideways structure. The key resistance is in the range of 73000-74000. Paying attention to false breakout behaviors at this level can continue to support a medium-term short position. If it breaks through and stabilizes, it may fill the monthly line pin. The short-term support is around 70600. If it falls below this level, it will directly turn into weak sideways movement. If this level shows support and rebounds, it indicates a secondary surge process and a short-term long opportunity. However, regardless of how the market develops and surges, I still have a bias towards refreshing the previous low. I believe that only by completely clearing the liquidity of the bulls entering the market this time can we see better accumulation at the bottom, allowing us to reach higher peaks in the future; otherwise, everything seems unreasonable and rushed. $BTC

Apart from the geopolitical pause in the conflict, there are no more favorable expectations. Meanwhile, looking at the chips, short-term holders who got in around 66,000 will definitely take profits and change hands. For now, we should observe the recent sentiment this week; the high-level shorts won't be resolved so quickly. The main point remains whether Trump will flip-flop.
$BTC

Some trading ideas under the current market situation. Given the poor market sentiment and operating environment, it is recommended to keep positions small, whether holding spot or contracts. You can gradually invest in some potential coins that you are optimistic about, such as in the AI sector, including $TAO
. AI will certainly become more popular this year, and this sector can be a focus in the first half of the year. However, as mentioned above, it is still influenced by Trump news. At this moment, risk control is more important than direction, because surviving in a bear market is the qualification for profit. Stop-loss and take-profit must be standardized hobbies. If sudden news causes a crash, you must withdraw your position first, prefer to take a loss and buy back later, rather than stubbornly wait for a rebound; otherwise, it will be a failed trade.

Trump has spoken, saying that 8 AM on April 8 is the deadline for negotiations. He thinks the conditions proposed by Iran are unacceptable. If no agreement is reached by the deadline, he will blow up Iran's power plants and bridges. Both sides have reached a critical point in negotiations, and if there is no outcome in the next couple of days, a conflict is very likely to escalate.

Market sentiment is very pessimistic, but large institutions are still buying. Over the past month, MicroStrategy has purchased more than 46,000 bitcoins, indicating that large institutions view prices below $70,000 as a bargain, continuously taking advantage of the low prices to accumulate.

Currently, market sentiment is very panicked, closely watching the progress of US-Iran negotiations, with recent fluctuations relying entirely on the results.

Reverse warning, isn't that old man Trump going to fight back? 😂 It feels like a counterattack of verbal assault will send Bitcoin back to 65,000 again.
$BTC

$STO No need to think, the big crash at the back is just a matter of time. The more you play it, the happier the dealers are. This sudden spike in volume is betting on you to open contracts with it. When no one plays, it will naturally become a solo coin.

Altcoins have changed from previously just being shipped from the same place to a method of attracting trades, it's still the same old story in a new guise!

Bitcoin is currently fluctuating within a range. The Nasdaq has fallen sharply in recent days, but it hasn't dropped significantly. As I mentioned before, if U.S. stocks keep falling and crash, Bitcoin is likely to struggle as well.

Since Bitcoin dropped to $60,000 on February 6th, it has been consolidating around this price level for almost 2 months. After such adjustments, it will choose a direction to move, and it is likely to go down because U.S. stocks are not expected to improve.

The last time Bitcoin dropped to $80,000, it consolidated from November 21st to January 30th for more than 2 months, so this time it seems we are also close to choosing a direction and changing the trend.

Bought some FIR, at the end of December, $15 million in copyright revenue will be distributed to the community, which means that holding $FIR tokens and depositing them into the Fireverse platform will allow you to receive copyright dividends. By 2026, it is expected that there will be $30 million in copyright revenue, and the project team is willing to give 50% to the community, which is enough to prove the project's vision. Let's see how it performs after buying some.

Today I noticed a good alpha popular project $FIR, which has quickly doubled from the bottom, and it is clear that there is capital supporting it. Although today it dropped from 0.056 to 0.035, it quickly bounced back, and the trading volume has noticeably become more active. Many people are quietly buying the dip. I feel there may be new movements recently, so it's worth paying attention to. #FIR

Bitcoin is still mainly in a state of fluctuation. Although altcoins have seen a slight rebound, the momentum is not strong. Personally, I feel that the overall market situation is still not very optimistic.

I think this wave of fluctuations may drag on for quite a while for two reasons:

First, Christmas is approaching in the West, and we will also be celebrating New Year's Day. At the end of the year, everyone is busy taking holidays and spending time with family, so they won't focus too much on trading.

Secondly, the Federal Reserve has only injected liquidity twice this year, and it remains uncertain whether they will do so again in December.

Moreover, both the external environment and the market's fundamentals have not fully improved.

Therefore, people are quite conflicted regarding whether we are in a bull market or a bear market, with differing opinions.

I believe that for the market to truly turn positive, we first need to digest all these negative factors, and only then will the effects of liquidity be gradually reflected.

Currently, the market has been in a continuous state for 4 weeks, and it certainly needs to rebound. However, the current rebound is still relatively weak. In the medium to long term, the market will need time to consolidate, and the next decent market situation is likely to wait until the first quarter of next year.

As one of my long-term favored spot targets, $UNI's rebound strength cannot be underestimated.

The previous surge of $UNI was strongly driven by the dual benefits of the fee switch and treasury destruction, creating an independent market trend.

Looking at it now, this momentum is still continuing, and I hope this wave can recover last week's decline.

Whether we can have a prosperous year may really depend on $UNI's sustained performance this round.

This has both real value support and a deflationary mechanism for protection, holding it in hand is indeed much more solid than a purely emotion-driven meme. #UNI

"Success at First Attempt"

The IP is indeed a good IP, and the Year of the Horse is approaching.

The narrative is deeply connected with the first sister, and in the future, there will be no shortage of topics for hype.

If it were in the past two months,

I would definitely have charged in without hesitation.

However, in the current situation of tight liquidity,

I always feel that it is still lacking something.

It cannot inject a strong dose of confidence into the market.

0x730e9b7091258cdf578136ec8394daea2db84444

Regarding the overall market brought by ETFs, it does not mean that a coin can simply rush in with its eyes closed just because it has an ETF.

For many altcoins, ETFs may be a lifeline.

But for some other coins, it may just be a nice addition.

The approval of the ETF at most indicates that the fundamentals of this project have stabilized, and the downward space is limited, but it does not mean that it will definitely surge.

Market sentiment, the project itself, and the flow of funds are still key factors.

Based on the current news, I personally have more confidence in those mainstream altcoins that already have strength and consensus

Such as $SOL, $LINK, $DOGE, $AAVE, $XRP, $HABR.

As for other smaller coins, in the short term, they are likely to follow these mainstream coins, primarily linked, with independent markets being difficult.

The current market's heat has gradually returned to established cryptocurrencies. The sudden 50% surge represented by a large bullish candlestick makes people yearn again. However, trading cryptocurrencies still requires a more realistic approach; one should not forget the severe downturns after a slight increase. The market is unpredictable, and risk management should always come first.

That said, the leading projects in the Ethereum ecosystem have indeed performed quite well recently. Protocols like $uni and $aave, which have real income, have kept pace with this round of increases. The lending demand on Aave has also remained quite stable. From a configuration perspective, these established DeFi projects are indeed safer, at least unlike some altcoin projects that might vanish before you even realize it. #UNI #AAVE

Officially returning to the square, it has been a long time since the last update. During this period of no updates, I didn’t quit the circle or lie flat; my main focus has been on the primary market, taking hits and paying tuition for various projects.

To be honest, the market has been fluctuating during this time. Although I haven’t operated much in the secondary market, I have been quietly observing, reflecting, and summarizing. When the market was quiet, I held back, but now that it's lively, I feel it’s time to return and continue chatting.

Next, I will continue to focus on two areas: opportunities in the secondary market and promising projects on the primary chain. No empty promises, no hype; we eat together when there’s profit, and jump together when there’s a pit.

As the market warms up, it’s time for me to return as well. Brothers, you’ve waited long enough; let’s roll up our sleeves and continue working!

In this round of market, the liquidity of many altcoins is actually particularly poor. A slight disturbance can easily lead to a flash crash or a spike, resulting in extremely high operational risks. The cryptocurrency market is not short of black swan events, and due to the lack of regulation, price manipulation is a common occurrence. When something goes wrong, no one will cover for you. Instead of complaining, it's better to think about where you haven't done well, and solidify risk control. This is the key to long-term survival. 🙏$ATOM

$IOTX