Recently, the market has given us another clear validation. Many people are still observing while most are optimistic, but I have already decisively laid out my short positions. Trends do not wait for anyone; only those who understand the big picture can stand firm during fluctuations.
Trading has never been a game of following the crowd; it is a manifestation of insight and judgment. In a market filled with noise, those who can think independently are the true winners. Every action I take is based on a deep understanding of the trend and strict risk assessment. The layout of short positions has always been a plan that is logically clear and highly executable from the very beginning.
The results are evident; those who followed the right logic have already reaped substantial profits. This is not luck, but a natural result of accurately grasping market principles.
When the market reverses, while others are still hesitating, I have already positioned myself in advance;
When opportunities arise, while others are still observing, I have already harvested returns. My method is not about showing off skills, but rather a practical system validated by the market.
Every judgment stems from the combination of trend analysis, reverse thinking, and risk control. Low-key and steady, but every result crushes conventional understanding.
If you wish to see the market from a higher perspective and learn to make high-probability judgments in complex situations, I can help you open this door. The ability to double people's investments in practical terms is not just talk; it is validated by each result demonstrating the reliability of the strategy. Expert in trend judgment, representative of reverse thinking, master of risk control—these labels are not self-praise, but the abilities accumulated through long-term practical experience.
The market will never cease to challenge; only with continuously evolving judgment and execution can one seize opportunities amidst fluctuations. By following me, you will see the truth of the market, not the noise. Here, there is no exaggeration, only clear, effective, and actionable operations and results.
This live broadcast preview from Binance Square is indeed another high-profile appearance by Sun Yuchen, not quite a "full return," but more like he is trying to regain momentum for himself. $ETH
First of all, he has never really "disappeared"; the stablecoins and DeFi business of the Tron ecosystem have always been running. It’s just that previously, due to regulation and various controversies, he has kept a low profile in public appearances. This time, the Binance live broadcast seems more like a chance to return to the spotlight through the platform, sending a signal that he and Tron are still in the race and ready to stir things up. $RAVE
But you need to be clear-headed; every time Brother Sun comes out, it’s accompanied by controversy and traffic. The previous WLFI project storm just passed not long ago, and this live broadcast will likely still discuss old topics like the Tron ecosystem and stablecoins, while conveniently boosting the heat for his own projects and persona in the crypto circle. $PIEVERSE
For us retail investors, don’t let his slogans and traffic cloud your judgment. He is here to rewrite the rules, but the pitfalls within those rules often end up costing those who follow the trend. It’s fine to watch the excitement, but if you really want to invest heavily in related coins, you must hold back and not get swept up by his rhythm.
$CHZ This wave is really a 'bottom rebound'. When it was falling earlier, it really looked like it was going to cool down. Now, the core of this wave's rise is the NBA playoffs + the full explosion of sports token narratives, and the logic is particularly straightforward:
First, the NBA playoffs directly ignite the heat. This season, NBA viewership has reached a 24-year high, with 170 million people in the United States watching the games, an 86% year-on-year increase. Now that the playoffs have just started, stars like Wembanyama and Doncic are playing intensely, and global fans are paying attention, making sports-related tokens naturally popular. CHZ, as the core fan token of sports, has directly benefited from this wave of traffic, and it's normal for funds to flock in. $ORDI
Second, the fundamentals provide strong support. The previous low point of CHZ was due to uncertainty in U.S. regulation. Now the SEC classifies fan tokens as collectibles and not securities, which effectively clears the obstacles. The project team also plans to return to the U.S. market, launching national team fan tokens, and with a mechanism of 10% revenue to buy back CHZ, once the deflationary expectations emerge, funds will naturally be willing to enter. $PIEVERSE
As for the teams, I am optimistic about the Celtics; their roster depth is sufficient, they have enough playoff experience, and their fan token has always maintained a good level of popularity within the CHZ ecosystem. Additionally, the Nuggets are also worth paying attention to, as the defending champions have the strength to perform steadily in the playoffs.
Currently, bears dominate, and bulls have yet to see any hard logic for a reversal. These two messages are essentially "laying mines" for the market.
The US-Iran agreement is now a "ticking time bomb"; European diplomats have issued direct warnings— the US team, in order to boost Trump's political achievements, will likely create a superficial agreement that fundamentally fails to address the nuclear issue and sanctions conflict. $ETH
- Once the agreement is signed, there may be a brief rebound in the short term, but subsequent conflicts could erupt at any time, and oil prices cannot be contained; inflation expectations will remain high, effectively locking in the Federal Reserve's rate cut options.
- The risks in the Strait of Hormuz have not been alleviated; 20% of the world's oil transportation is hanging in the balance, and oil prices could surge again at any moment, which represents continuous bearish pressure for the high-risk cryptocurrency market.
Looking at the Federal Reserve side:
Next Tuesday, Waller's hearing is in focus, and the market is closely watching his stance on rate cuts. However, with current oil prices and inflation at high levels, even if he makes dovish remarks, it will be challenging to provide substantial commitments for rate cuts. $RAVE
- The market has already priced in rate cut expectations; if the comments from the hearing fall short of expectations, the US dollar and Treasury yields will rebound, directly pressuring the cryptocurrency market. - Moreover, even if there is an agreement to ease oil prices, subsequent technical negotiations and sanctions lifting will be pulled back and forth, leaving the market without a long-term stabilizing assurance.
- Short term: Bears dominate, geopolitical risks + failed rate cut expectations will lead capital to prioritize risk aversion by selling high-risk assets, making both mainstream coins and altcoins vulnerable to collapse. $PIEVERSE - The only opportunity for bulls: only if the agreement is finalized + oil prices continue to decline + Waller provides clear signals for rate cuts, a triple positive resonance could potentially lead to a reversal, but currently, the probability appears extremely low.
Many newcomers to the cryptocurrency world start from the greed of 'betting small to gain big', gradually walking down the path of contract liquidation. I have seen too many people go from thousands or tens of thousands in capital to zero overnight, all within just a few days, each step stepping into the traps of human nature, deeply trapped in the vortex of long and short battles, ultimately becoming liquidity providers in the market. $ETH
The first step is blindly entering the market. Hearing others say that contract leverage can double quickly, reading a few technical posts and watching K lines for a few days, I felt like I grasped the market trend, entering the market with all my spare money, even borrowing to add margin. I always thought, 'I can control the risk,' but forgot that the core of contracts is never about technology, but a test of human nature, ignoring the invisible costs like perpetual contract funding fees and the premiums of delivery contracts. $DOGE
The second step is greedily adding leverage. Initially, I made a small profit of a few hundred or a few thousand and became lost in the excitement. Thinking that 10x leverage was too slow, I decisively increased it to 50x or 100x high leverage, always thinking 'let's make a big bet and turn it around.' Yet, little did I know, in front of high leverage, even a 0.1% spike in volatility could significantly shrink the capital, and the market's unilateral trend has always exceeded expectations, with the margin ratio's red line potentially being touched at any time.
The third step is to stubbornly hold onto losing positions. Once the long or short direction is wrong and losses begin to appear, the first reaction is not to strictly stop-loss and exit, but to 'wait a bit longer, it will definitely reverse.' Holding onto positions with a mindset of luck, watching the losses gradually expand, with the margin balance decreasing, until the system prompts forced liquidation (explosion), I suddenly realized — in contracts, holding onto positions has always been a dead end, and going against the trend only accelerates the return to zero. $APR
The fourth step is to throw caution to the wind after a liquidation. After the first liquidation, unwilling to accept, I thought about 'recouping losses', so I invested more money, added leverage again, frequently traded, chased highs and sold lows, even neglecting position management, falling into a vicious cycle. In the end, not only did I lose all my capital, but I might also incur external debts, completely being eliminated by the market, becoming the most common 'leek' in the cryptocurrency world.
In fact, the contracts themselves are not wrong; the mistake lies in greed and luck. Those who walk down the path of liquidation have always underestimated the cruelty of the market.
It is often questioned whether the fluctuations of the US stock market have any relationship with the cryptocurrency market— the answer is: they are significantly influential and are an important external factor for the cryptocurrency market, especially for mainstream currencies like $BTC $ETH , which have a strong correlation, but are not absolutely bound. The core logic is "capital market sentiment linkage + asset attribute convergence". Understanding these two points will help comprehend why the fluctuations of the US stock market can impact the cryptocurrency market.
Core Influence: Bidirectional transmission of capital and sentiment. The US stock market, as the largest capital market in the world, directly affects the global risk appetite of capital. When the US stock market rises and market sentiment is optimistic, institutions and individual investors are willing to allocate more to high-risk assets. The cryptocurrency market, being a high volatility sector, attracts some capital inflow, pushing up cryptocurrency prices. For example, at the beginning of 2026, when the US stock market reached an all-time high, Bitcoin also responded by returning to the high of $70,000. $RSR
Conversely, when the US stock market experiences a significant decline, capital tends to withdraw from high-risk assets, and the cryptocurrency market often faces a sell-off as well. A recent dive in the US stock market is a typical example of this correlated decline.
Don't let the main players wash you out again! In this round of the imitation season, it's not about vision, but about mentality.
Look at $RAVE $PIEVERSE , these popular coins, their rise isn't because the projects are amazing, but because the main players have grasped the retail investors' mentality tightly.
Bottom sideways trading back and forth, rising a bit only to be crushed, falling down and then pulled back, exhausting you until your mentality collapses and you cut your losses, and then they violently pump the price. By the time you chase in, it’s a false breakout that gets smashed, and after a few times, you completely dare not act, perfectly missing the main upward wave. $CHZ
This trick has been played out, and those filtered out are all people with unstable mentalities. Don't be fooled by fluctuations and false breakouts; withstand the washout, hold your chips, and you can reap the final wave of dividends. In the end, it's all about mentality in trading coins.
The wind of the World Cup is already blowing, don't wait for the game to start before you chase it; you need to ambush now! $CHZ
During the World Cup, sports-related, betting-related, and even meme coins that ride on trending topics are always the short-term funding tracks that are frantically snatched up. Once the heat comes up, it’s common to see a few times increase in value. By laying out in advance, we can directly ride the main wave when the excitement of the game explodes. $ETH
Don't be greedy; choose a few clean plates with community heat and ambush with light positions, don’t go all in. The World Cup is an emotional catalyst; quick in and out, make some quick money from the excitement and leave, don’t overthink it. $ORDI
Now is the golden window for ambushing; don't wait until everyone else rushes in before you remember to get on board, or you will only be left to chase high prices!
Brothers! This wave of妖币$SIREN has gone crazy, and the military has been exposed to the point of not having any pants left!
It has directly fallen below the 0.6 mark, and with this selling momentum, how far can it be from 0.13?
The most critical issue is that the on-chain funds are still continuously flowing out in large amounts, and the main forces are running faster than rabbits!
At this time, do not blindly try to catch the bottom in a moment of impulsiveness. You think you are picking up bargains, but in reality, you are just providing fuel for the main forces, purely catching flying knives!
Before it stabilizes and the funds truly flow back, hold your hands! Don't bet your principal on this bottomless pit!
How many brothers chasing the rise have been trapped this time? Come to 痞老板热力组 for a reasonable thought process.
Morning $ETH looking bullish, the market fulfilled expectations!
The morning session 2326 indicated to enter the market, and at 4:30 smoothly exited, securing profits. The core of trading is to follow the trend, not to guess tops or bottoms, and to go with the trend, profits will naturally follow.
The direction is given to you, the rhythm is given to you, the peace of mind of securing profits is given to you.
The next wave of operations is about to start; interested brothers come 👉 痞老板热力组
Brothers, the midday public strategy $OG current price: 0.33 long Direct stop loss: 痞老板热力组
Based on past trends, the OG's dog dealer has returned
Since the last round of price increase, OG has been continuously accumulating at the bottom for 3 months. Recently, strong altcoins have been showcasing their abilities and continuously stretching, which has indirectly driven up other altcoins
Currently, OG has just started to rise sharply from the bottom. According to the past operating methods of the dog dealer, OG is expected to become the next tenfold cryptocurrency
The old rogue has already brought his internal brothers into the operation!!! If you don't know how to operate, brothers can directly come to: 痞老板热力组
Opportunities are grasped by yourselves, brothers. The meat has been prepared for you, whether you can taste it depends on whether you can seize the opportunity
$BTC Brothers! Keep your eyes sharp and see what it means to predict accurately in advance, the market directly follows my script!
I already clearly told you: the big coin is still in an upward channel on the 4-hour chart, and the daily line is steadily above MA7 and MA20, with MACD golden cross and red bars expanding, the bullish foundation is very solid!
I marked the resistance at 71800-72300 and support at 70000-69000, the thought process is to buy on dips and enjoy the rebound's cost performance!
So what happened? Today the market directly shot up to 74876, perfectly breaking through the resistance range I provided, soaring all the way!
The support level I called near 70458 is the absolute starting point for this rebound. Brothers who followed my bottom-fishing at 70666-70255 directly made over 4000 points profit, bags full!
What is an old rascal? It means I can predict the market trend and key points in advance. No matter how chaotic the news is, I can still grasp the trend from the technical side!
The US-Iran conflict and Trump's rhetoric are all distractions; only the levels and direction I provided are the only truth for you to make money!
Now the market is completely moving according to my predictions. For subsequent precise additions and subtractions in positions and changing signals, I will still call it out first in 痞老板热力组, with execution in place, the profits will naturally come!
If you missed it, don’t slap your thigh. I will still mark the levels for the next opportunity, just follow along and that’s it!
Brothers! The US-Iran second talks have landed, and now this position is just right!
The trend has completely shifted from a strong upward movement to a high-level pullback and consolidation phase.
The downward momentum has basically been fully released, and the next step is a consolidation repair market. There is no extreme emotion in the market, and the long and short direction has not been definitively chosen.
Don't be fooled by the current increase in selling volume during the drop and the decrease in volume during the rebound; it looks bearish in the short term, but it is fundamentally not a collapse structure. Don't panic just because it dropped!
I’ll mark the key points for you, don’t get it wrong:
Upper pressure: the current first resistance at 72000, strong resistance at 73000, previous high ceiling at 73800
Lower support: core entry position at 70500-70000, trend defense line at 68500
The operating idea is given directly to you, just follow it and you’re done.
BTC pulls back to the 70500-70000 range, buy in batches directly!
The initial target looks near 72500! ETH pulls back to the 2180-2150 range, buy in batches simultaneously! The initial target looks near 2230!
Once you enter the market, set a stop loss, and with effective execution, the profits will naturally come to you!
For subsequent turning point signals, I will shout in 痞老板热力组 at the first moment, just keep up with the rhythm and you’re done!
Brothers! What does it mean to eat meat accurately? $ETH 2185 called for a long position, and now the market has reached 2198, already showing a good floating profit!
This terrible market is full of traps; we just play short-term fluctuations, strictly controlling take profits and stop losses, steadily and methodically, and profits will naturally be secured!
A new week, a new beginning! Brothers, let's get started!
The market is always moving, opportunities are endless, today's benefits will be directly given to you, just do it!
$ETH 2185 buy directly nearby!
Set the stop loss at 2145, if it breaks, leave immediately, never hold a losing position!
On a pullback to 2160, directly add to your position, don't hesitate!
For take profit, first look at 2215, if it breaks, directly rush to 2250!
I've marked the levels for you, with execution in place, the profits will naturally come to you!
For subsequent market change signals to add or reduce positions, I will call it out in 痞老板热力组 at the first opportunity, just keep up with the rhythm and you're done!
The core contradiction in the market is not within the crypto circle, but entirely in the external conflict between the U.S. and Iran!
As long as this geopolitical sword of Damocles doesn’t fall, the risk-averse sentiment won’t dissipate, and any rebound may only be temporary.
Currently, Bitcoin is struggling to hold around 71000, and market sentiment is very pessimistic, but hidden opportunities lie in the undercurrents of capital!
Over the weekend, it surged to 73773 on ceasefire expectations, but negotiations collapsed directly, and the U.S. military announced plans to block the Strait of Hormuz, causing the market to cool down immediately, plunging to around 70458 this morning.
However, the technicals haven’t deteriorated! The daily MACD is still positive, and the RSI is hovering around 50, not deeply oversold, indicating that this drop is not a panic-driven one-sided collapse.
The 4-hour chart is also clear, the price is still within the recent ascending channel, the daily chart is firmly above the MA7 and MA20, the MACD has formed a golden cross, and the bullish foundation remains!
Given the current short-term trend, there’s only one strategy: buy on pullbacks! Grab a small rebound with great cost-effectiveness, don’t blindly chase shorts, and patiently wait for the market to establish a clear trend!
In the discussion $BTC my current thought after rushing to 73773 last night, the negotiation collapsed directly and fell back, hitting a low of 71259, and has not yet stood back at 72000. Essentially, we are still being led by the news.
The short-term logic is very simple:
Core market drivers = military negotiations + energy game
On the surface, it is a nuclear issue, but in essence, it is still a conflict of interests over energy and channels, which is the root of the repeated pulls.
So the rhythm for this month is likely to be:
News comes out → spike fluctuations → emotional trading dominates
But there is one key point in the market:
71000-70500 support remains stable with no major negative news, making it difficult to break directly.
Operational thinking is provided:
Long position: 71000-70500 staggered ambush, catching rebounds
Short position: wait for another surge (close to the previous high) to make a short-term pullback, quick in and out
Just a reminder that this week does not rule out sudden conflicts; the market could experience a wave of emotional killing at any time, and positions must be well controlled.
This is not a trend market; it is a news market—what matters is the rhythm, not faith.
A new week, a new beginning! Brothers, let's get started!
The market is always moving, opportunities are endless, today's benefits will be directly given to you, just do it!
$ETH 2185 buy directly nearby!
Set the stop loss at 2145, if it breaks, leave immediately, never hold a losing position!
On a pullback to 2160, directly add to your position, don't hesitate!
For take profit, first look at 2215, if it breaks, directly rush to 2250!
I've marked the levels for you, with execution in place, the profits will naturally come to you!
For subsequent market change signals to add or reduce positions, I will call it out in 痞老板热力组 at the first opportunity, just keep up with the rhythm and you're done!
Currently $ETH the daily structure remains healthy, this little adjustment is not a big deal, it will rebound quickly after the pullback.
That Trump guy is inherently fickle, in a day or two he will definitely push the market up for you!
Don't just panic and stop going long as soon as you see a pullback, it's not that a pullback means you can't go long, the key is where your entry point is and where your stop loss is set!
Take yesterday morning for example when it broke below 73000, I directly called for bottom fishing in the 70500-70255 range, looking back now, going long at this position had no issues at all!
Pay close attention to the 69000 level, if it breaks effectively, you can only short on the highs;
As long as this level is not broken, you can play both ways: going long on pullbacks and shorting on highs!
Recently, it's all about the controlling stocks, the explosive contract monsters!
$RAVE 3 The sky has risen from 0.3 to 6.2, a 20-fold increase, looking at it makes one envious, it's purely a slaughterhouse!
The stock manipulators first transferred 30.58 million coins to the exchange to signal "dumping" to lure shorts, and retail investors all got trapped opening shorts;
Then they took 31.94 million coins to drain the selling pressure, violently pushing the price up, and all the short positions were directly blown up, making a fortune.
Now the market is stable for the main index, crazy for altcoins, and contracts are killing, with traps outnumbering opportunities by 100 times; this kind of situation will only increase, and batch collapses will even drag down the mainstream.
Don't blindly switch positions in the mainstream or you might get stopped out;
Don't chase these kinds of explosive rises like $RAVE ;
If you've made money in altcoins, hurry up and take profits; don’t touch contracts with small coins, if you must play, keep your position under 1%.
Only earn money you understand, don't be greedy for the last bite, or else you won't get the meat and your teeth will break!
I will announce the subsequent change signals personally at 痞老板热力组, don't operate blindly and become a scapegoat.
On the surface, it seems that the talks have broken down, but in fact, neither side has turned hostile; they are still negotiating, which indicates one thing: neither of them wants to truly fight to the end. $BTC
Moreover, the United States has already made a concession, accepting all the preconditions put forward by Iran. Under these circumstances, continuing the talks essentially means they want to reach an agreement. $ETH
The current sticking point is quite simple:
One wants nuclear capabilities, the other wants control over the Strait, both are bottom lines, and in the short term, neither side is likely to budge. $RAVE
But you need to focus on the key point —
As long as these two issues can be softened even a little, or if they can reach a consensus using different phrasing, this matter can be resolved.
So the current rhythm is:
Very tough talk on the surface, but discussions are ongoing beneath, with the market fluctuating accordingly.
Don't be swayed by emotions; this type of market is a grinding phase. The real direction will only emerge when there is substantive progress in the negotiations.
In the discussion $BTC my current thought after rushing to 73773 last night, the negotiation collapsed directly and fell back, hitting a low of 71259, and has not yet stood back at 72000. Essentially, we are still being led by the news.
The short-term logic is very simple:
Core market drivers = military negotiations + energy game
On the surface, it is a nuclear issue, but in essence, it is still a conflict of interests over energy and channels, which is the root of the repeated pulls.
So the rhythm for this month is likely to be:
News comes out → spike fluctuations → emotional trading dominates
But there is one key point in the market:
71000-70500 support remains stable with no major negative news, making it difficult to break directly.
Operational thinking is provided:
Long position: 71000-70500 staggered ambush, catching rebounds
Short position: wait for another surge (close to the previous high) to make a short-term pullback, quick in and out
Just a reminder that this week does not rule out sudden conflicts; the market could experience a wave of emotional killing at any time, and positions must be well controlled.
This is not a trend market; it is a news market—what matters is the rhythm, not faith.