币境听澜

合约市场最讽刺的真相：
下跌不是空单砸的，是多头抄底抄崩的

人人想抢跑，人人想抄底，没人愿意空，
资金费率持续为正，就是最真实的疯狂情绪

底部只有一个，预测毫无意义
新低不断还在无脑多，不是博弈，是纯送
看懂多空结构，才不会成为行情的燃料
$BTC $ETH

#合约爆仓 #麻吉再出手 Brother Mahjong has been liquidated again
The obsession with long positions has become a pathological condition~

The crypto world has died, dying in its own story.

Today, while scrolling through Twitter, I saw an old investor post: No one is talking about Grayscale anymore, no one is mentioning BlackRock, MicroStrategy has also cooled down, and government reserves have become silent.
I was taken aback.

Upon reflection, it is indeed the case. Around this time last year, who wasn't hyping Grayscale's unlocking and BlackRock's ETF approval? At the beginning of this year, MicroStrategy's every purchase would make headlines, and El Salvador's government reserves were even touted as a national-level belief.

And now?

These once saviors have suddenly become unmentioned. It's like watching a movie halfway, where the main characters collectively go offline, and the audience sits in the cinema, unaware of what else might be interesting to see.

The most terrifying thing in the crypto world is not the crash, but the lack of stories to tell.

Think about it, from the ICO myth in 2017, to the DeFi Summer in 2020, to the NFT frenzy in 2021, each bull market had an exhilarating story behind it. People are not buying coins; they are buying an imagination about the future.

But now, the story has ended.

The story of institutional entry has concluded, the story of government adoption has also finished, and even the last fig leaf, "digital gold," now feels awkward to mention.

This is the harsh reality of the crypto world: when everyone believes in the same story, that story becomes invalid.

I suddenly recall what Buffett once said: Only when the tide goes out do you discover who has been swimming naked. Now that the tide has receded, we find the entire crypto world swimming naked. Without story packaging, all that remains is a pile of code and speculation.

Perhaps this is a good thing.

When all false prosperity fades away, when all stories are told, what remains is truly valuable. Those projects that are genuinely being built, those technologies that are truly solving problems, those applications that are genuinely useful.

The crypto world is not dead; it is finally going to grow up.

Only this process of growth is bound to be painful. #贵金属巨震 $BTC

#大跌 Brothers and sisters, how are you?

The callback is not the end, but a necessary correction after emotional overheating!

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a phase of correction. On the surface, it appears as a price drop, but in essence, it is a natural correction following previous emotions and rapid increases. During an uptrend cycle, the market often accumulates risks when consensus is strongest. When bulls are too aligned, the correction becomes a necessary process to relieve pressure.

From the market structure perspective, this round of correction is not a complete collapse, but rather a leading decline of high-volatility assets, while mainstream assets remain relatively resilient. This differentiation indicates that the market is still digesting previous gains rather than entering a phase of systemic risk. The cooling of emotional indicators helps lay a healthier foundation for the next phase of movement.

For investors, the key is not to predict when the correction will end, but to understand its nature. If the correction is accompanied by a moderate release of trading volume and a decrease in leverage levels, it constitutes a healthy adjustment; only when liquidity plummets and panic selling spreads should one be highly vigilant.

Therefore, it is premature to simply understand the correction as a "trend reversal." In a phase where the transition between bull and bear markets is still unclear, the correction is more like a process of self-calibration in the market. #加密市场回调

#加密法案 #加密货币政策 The U.S. cryptocurrency bill's smooth passage is still a question mark. Recently, Wall Street brokerage firm Benchmark and several media outlets analyzed that although this "Market Structure Bill" has made progress in the House of Representatives, negotiations in the Senate are slow and there are significant differences. Industry estimates suggest that the probability of passage by 2026 is only about 50%-60%.

Why is it difficult to pass smoothly?
1. The bill's content is complex, involving whether digital assets are classified as commodities or securities, and it also involves the division of regulatory powers between the SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) and the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission). This directly affects who will regulate, how they will regulate, and what compliance thresholds the crypto ecosystem will have.

2. Although the House is pushing forward rapidly, there has been a long-standing lack of consensus within the Senate, compounded by details regarding stablecoins, DeFi, and user protection. Recently, large American companies like Cb have also expressed dissatisfaction with certain provisions, fearing that the new bill may increase uncertainty instead.

3. The industry hopes for clear rules, but "structural constraints"—such as risk premiums and compliance burdens—will continue in the short term. Large banks are trying to influence the details of the rules to protect their vested interests.

4. On the market side, the prolonged indecision on the bill has made it difficult for U.S. crypto platforms and related businesses to expand their valuations. Investors also prefer mainstream stable assets like Bitcoin, rather than altcoins and DeFi projects that are more affected by regulatory changes.

The current blockage of the bill's advancement is considered "a delay rather than a complete failure". The U.S. crypto industry is unlikely to see a fully relaxed market in the short term, with mainstream assets being more favored, but structural risks still exist. While being optimistic about long-term potential, one should pay attention to the recurring short-term market sentiment, as legal changes may be delayed again at any moment.

ETH: Is Sunday’s liquidity exhaustion an opportunity or a trap?

The warmth of human life comforts ordinary hearts.

Compared to the fluctuating numbers in the account, this bowl of steaming rib soup is the real 'safe haven' tonight.

I just took a glance at the market, $ETH stuck around 2940.

Many friends ask: Is such stability on Sunday night a sign of a trend change?

If you have been in this circle for a long time, you need to understand the logic behind the 'stillness'.
The calmness on Sunday night is often due to a lack of liquidity.

In other words, the current market is very light.
It only takes a small amount of capital to pull up an enticing bullish candlestick or to smash down a panicked bearish candlestick.

During such times, the K-line has a high degree of distortion.

Let's objectively analyze the current structure:
1. Upper pressure: A solid wall
Looking upwards, the area around 2980 - 3000 has accumulated a large number of dense trading zones.
Without significant positive news over the weekend, relying on this little bit of existing funds, is it possible to break through this selling pressure zone at once? The difficulty is extremely high.

2. Lower support: On the verge of collapse
Looking downwards, 2864 (previous low) is currently the only effective defense position.

The current price is 2935, just a step away from the previous low.
Once the integer level of 2900 is lost, the downward pull will accelerate instantly.

At this time, chasing long positions has a very poor risk-reward ratio.
Because the upper space is locked, but the abyss below is very close.

My suggestion (for reference only):
Watching is the best strategy: Sunday’s liquidity is poor, there are many feints, not trading is the best defense.
If you must operate: follow the bearish trend of the larger cycle.

Reference points:
Entry logic: Assume that the major force uses low liquidity to test the market upwards, touching the 2980 - 2995 pressure zone, and the volume cannot expand.
Action: Lightly short.
Risk control (stop loss): 3035.
Note: If it stabilizes above 3035 with increased volume, it indicates a market structure reversal, and you must exit unconditionally, acknowledging the strength of the bulls.
Target: First target 2888, looking at 2835 after a breakdown.

Trading is not gambling; it is about handling probabilities.
Tonight’s probabilities show: the cost of a bullish attack is too high, while the cost of bearish defense is very low.

Still the same saying:
The major force may deceive, but trading volume and pressure levels will not.
Get some rest, and we will see the outcome on Monday morning. #ETH走势分析 #加密市场回调

$SPACE is going to release flood water

#特朗普取消对欧关税威胁 $ETH Trump suddenly canceled the threat of tariffs on Europe, directly causing a wave of severe fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market—first a sharp decline, then a rapid rebound. Bitcoin once dropped to about $87,000 (a new low for this year) during the height of panic, but after the tariff news 'reversed', it returned above $90,000. In the past 48 hours, over $1,800,000,000 in positions have been liquidated, of which 93% were long positions, indicating that the market was already crowded with excessive risk appetite.
Trend interpretation and opportunity risks:

1. This macro news 'dramatic change → rebound' indicates that Bitcoin and mainstream crypto assets are extremely dependent on global political events and risk aversion in the short term. Major events in traditional finance (like Trump's trade policies) directly determine the flow of funds and sentiment between bulls and bears. The wave of liquidations indicates that leveraged players have significant risk exposure, and any slight disturbance can exacerbate volatility.

2. After Trump announced the suspension of tariffs, market enthusiasm and buying power returned, mainstream coins rebounded, and the overall market cap rose back to $3,140,000,000,000; mainstream coins like ETH also rebounded accordingly, but liquidity and spot trading volume during the decline have noticeably shrunk, with some institutions and large players tending to be cautious.

3. However, feedback from various analysis agencies shows that most investors remain cautious. Bitcoin has not broken through key moving averages this year, and ETF fund inflows have not seen sustained expansion. The market may resume volatility at any time, as similar news will continue to impact risk appetite.

Summary: The short-term rebound belongs to a 'trade turmoil easing + risk aversion sentiment loosening' quick repair, but the overall crypto assets are still in a fluctuating pattern. Investors need to remain vigilant and avoid being overly bullish or blindly increasing leverage.
Although this news brings short-term benefits to the market, the crypto market is still highly dependent on global politics and macro variables, and severe volatility is unavoidable. Positions should focus on fund management and stop-loss measures, and heavy risk-taking is not recommended. For those looking to position for the medium to long term, it is advisable to wait until large trends and ETF fund inflows stabilize before considering increasing positions.

$BTC Every market cycle gives birth to a few meme coins, and when they suddenly skyrocket, it often allows people to turn their fortunes around overnight. Why do we always want to believe that we are the lucky ones? Perhaps it's because everyone thinks they are the main character from the moment they are born.

But the reality is harsh: with great wealth comes great loss; this is the law of conservation in the market. If you want to survive longer, risk management must be your protective charm.

Recently, the performance of $DUSK has indeed been eye-catching, with astonishing gains. But what does this also mean? Those who made profits are starting to sell off. Be cautious of significant daily corrections in the short term; this is nearly a hard rule.

How do we view the technical aspects? Don't just focus on candlesticks; trading volume tells the real story. A breakout with volume or a drop on high volume is what constitutes an effective signal. Low-volume movements are traps.

Specifically in terms of operations, it is recommended to do the following: when entering or exiting at key price levels, set stop-losses between 3% and 5%. Does that sound conservative? Those who are not conservative have long exited the market. Control the risk exposure of each trade well; surviving is more important than making big money.

$BTC $ETH Brother Maji was liquidated 5 times today
Is this a bit of comfort for me?😭

$BTC Bitcoin market has seen adjustments
BTC's latest price has dropped to $89947.52, with a 24-hour decline of -3.28%. Trading enthusiasm remains high, with a transaction volume of approximately $37.123 billion in the past 24 hours. After this drop, market participants are observing whether Bitcoin can maintain its support level. Short-term fluctuations are considered normal adjustments; the key will depend on whether there is further selling pressure or rebound opportunities in the future.

🔥How to Set Stop-Loss Levels❓

Everyone, many have suffered losses in the past few days🥲. What is the most painful thing in trading? It's not that you didn't make money, but that a small loss turned into a big loss, and in the end, you had to cut your losses and leave😭.

Remember: Stop-loss is not giving up, but a trader's "life-saving symbol"!

Many beginners are afraid to set stop-losses and don't know how to do it. Today I will clearly explain the most essential stop-loss methods in one go! This is valuable knowledge that you can't buy with money, so I suggest you like and save it, and take your time to read!

1️⃣ Core Idea: Stop-loss is like a seatbelt, not a tool for venting frustration! Mathematical principles tell us: a 50% loss requires a 100% rise to break even! When encountering "crocodile🐊 biting your hand," you must decisively cut losses to preserve your capital, that's the right way.

2️⃣ Technical Approach: Look for "key defensive lines" on the candlestick chart. Stop-loss points are not set arbitrarily; they should be placed at locations that can prove your judgment wrong, such as below previous low support levels or at points where trend lines are broken.

3️⃣ Dynamic Following: Make stop-loss levels flexible. The market is changing, and stop-losses should be adjusted. Use moving averages as a close bodyguard for trends, and customize active space with the ATR indicator based on volatility to avoid being shaken out unnecessarily.

4️⃣ Capital Management Approach: Look at your wallet first, then the charts! This is the most professional method! Don't ask how much to buy; first, ask how much you can lose. Use the "2%" rule to backtrack positions, letting capital determine the risks you can bear.

5️⃣ Unity of Knowledge and Action: Stay disciplined and avoid big pitfalls. Set stop-losses immediately when placing orders! Never fall for the "holding fantasy syndrome" or make the mistake of easily moving stop-losses. Cut losses short and let profits run🏃🏻‍♂️💰.

Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Learn to set stop-losses to survive longer in the market!
#币圈知识 #宝藏交易员