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kithe

Alpha挖掘选手|加密爱好者|仅分享个人看法不做参考投资建议!
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Where's the next stop for the BTC ecosystem? 👀 Tonight, the BTC-pegged public chain incubated by Harvard, @PGProtocol, is chatting with Dr. Ken, the mastermind behind Non-Small Number. Honestly, the timing for this is spot on. Join the livestream below to get insights just in time for what to watch before the Seoul summit on 4/29 🫡 #PGProtocol #BTCFi #Web3
Where's the next stop for the BTC ecosystem? 👀

Tonight, the BTC-pegged public chain incubated by Harvard, @PGProtocol, is chatting with Dr. Ken, the mastermind behind Non-Small Number. Honestly, the timing for this is spot on.

Join the livestream below to get insights just in time for what to watch before the Seoul summit on 4/29 🫡
#PGProtocol #BTCFi #Web3
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Humanity Protocol has recently adjusted the token allocation plan for $H , requiring investors to make a final choice between two options by today UTC 09:00: Option one, extend the vesting period, with the cliff pushed from June to September, distributing over 12 equal quarterly releases; Option two, a 3:10 discounted immediate unlock, replacing the original approximately 16.67 million tokens with 5 million of $H (a 70% shrink), to be fully released on June 25. Early backer Trix Ventures has publicly chosen option two. This firm invested during a valuation phase of about $60 million, and even with the discounted swap, they can still achieve around 7x returns. Analyzing the liquidity structure, the release on June 25 faces multiple layered risks: over a hundred investors may unload simultaneously, with about 330 million $H H flooding the market; the Sablier contract is fully transparent on-chain, allowing quant teams and short sellers to position themselves early; market makers might pull back buy depth to avoid risk, causing a significant drop in actual realization prices. The partnership between Humanity Protocol and Mastercard lends credibility to the project, and the on-chain identity verification sector has sustained growth potential against the backdrop of AI’s accelerating penetration. However, choosing a liquidity window does not equate to a valuation judgment of the project— for early investors who have realized paper gains, converting tokens into liquid capital is a more empowered choice in the current market environment. As of today, those who do not respond will default to the extension option.
Humanity Protocol has recently adjusted the token allocation plan for $H , requiring investors to make a final choice between two options by today UTC 09:00:
Option one, extend the vesting period, with the cliff pushed from June to September, distributing over 12 equal quarterly releases;
Option two, a 3:10 discounted immediate unlock, replacing the original approximately 16.67 million tokens with 5 million of $H (a 70% shrink), to be fully released on June 25.

Early backer Trix Ventures has publicly chosen option two. This firm invested during a valuation phase of about $60 million, and even with the discounted swap, they can still achieve around 7x returns.

Analyzing the liquidity structure, the release on June 25 faces multiple layered risks: over a hundred investors may unload simultaneously, with about 330 million $H H flooding the market; the Sablier contract is fully transparent on-chain, allowing quant teams and short sellers to position themselves early; market makers might pull back buy depth to avoid risk, causing a significant drop in actual realization prices.

The partnership between Humanity Protocol and Mastercard lends credibility to the project, and the on-chain identity verification sector has sustained growth potential against the backdrop of AI’s accelerating penetration. However, choosing a liquidity window does not equate to a valuation judgment of the project— for early investors who have realized paper gains, converting tokens into liquid capital is a more empowered choice in the current market environment. As of today, those who do not respond will default to the extension option.
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Big moves on the Solana chain. Checked the on-chain data, and Circle just minted 250 million USDC in two batches, totaling 500 million (around 500 million USD), all on the Solana chain. To be honest, with such a massive minting volume, it’s either anticipating chain demand or gearing up for some major event. The reserves of USDC on Solana have been consistently rising, and this move by Circle is pretty telling. ......But having 500 million USDC just sitting in the pool has to lead somewhere, right? $SOL $USDC $CRCL {future}(CRCLUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT)
Big moves on the Solana chain.

Checked the on-chain data, and Circle just minted 250 million USDC in two batches, totaling 500 million (around 500 million USD), all on the Solana chain.

To be honest, with such a massive minting volume, it’s either anticipating chain demand or gearing up for some major event. The reserves of USDC on Solana have been consistently rising, and this move by Circle is pretty telling.

......But having 500 million USDC just sitting in the pool has to lead somewhere, right?
$SOL $USDC $CRCL
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DeFiLlama's latest RWA data is something else 📈 Over a year, the active RWA market cap has skyrocketed from $4.1 billion to $25.2 billion, a direct five-fold increase. Looking at the breakdown, it’s basically tokenized funds, commodities, and private credit leading the charge. No cap, this RWA lane isn’t just a pure hype play; the old money is entering the game at a pretty steady pace...... #RWA $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
DeFiLlama's latest RWA data is something else 📈

Over a year, the active RWA market cap has skyrocketed from $4.1 billion to $25.2 billion, a direct five-fold increase.

Looking at the breakdown, it’s basically tokenized funds, commodities, and private credit leading the charge.

No cap, this RWA lane isn’t just a pure hype play; the old money is entering the game at a pretty steady pace......
#RWA $BTC
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ARK's report has some good stuff. It says that in Q1, Bitcoin dropped by 22%, but those "conviction buyers" didn't panic; they ramped up their holdings from 2.13 million to 3.6 million <a>$BTC </a>, increasing by nearly 70% 📈 I checked out the definition of these "Conviction Buyers"; they are the long-term holders who don’t sell and keep their coins for over a year. Despite the 22% drop, they scooped up 1.47 million coins, marking the biggest increase since 2020. While retail traders are screaming about the dip, the big players are quietly accumulating. Whether it's a bear market or not depends on who's making moves. {future}(BTCUSDT)
ARK's report has some good stuff.

It says that in Q1, Bitcoin dropped by 22%, but those "conviction buyers" didn't panic; they ramped up their holdings from 2.13 million to 3.6 million <a>$BTC </a>, increasing by nearly 70% 📈

I checked out the definition of these "Conviction Buyers"; they are the long-term holders who don’t sell and keep their coins for over a year.

Despite the 22% drop, they scooped up 1.47 million coins, marking the biggest increase since 2020.

While retail traders are screaming about the dip, the big players are quietly accumulating.

Whether it's a bear market or not depends on who's making moves.
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TED Protocol is emerging as one of the more interesting infrastructure plays in the cross-chain stablecoin space. As the crypto market continues expanding across multiple blockchain ecosystems, liquidity fragmentation remains one of the largest unresolved problems. Stablecoins are distributed across different chains, yet moving value between them still requires multiple steps, unnecessary friction, and inefficient routing. TED Protocol is designed to address exactly that. By combining decentralized liquidity aggregation, cross-chain routing, and currency-aware swap logic, TED Protocol enables a more seamless way to move stablecoin liquidity across networks. The protocol integrates multiple liquidity sources such as Curve, Uniswap, and PancakeSwap, while also leveraging interoperability layers including Circle CCTP, LayerZero, and Wormhole. What makes the concept stand out is its focus on stablecoin exchange as a true cross-chain infrastructure layer, rather than simply another token utility narrative. In a market where efficiency, execution, and liquidity access matter more than ever, this model has the potential to become highly relevant. TED Protocol is positioning itself around a real structural problem in Web3 — and that alone makes it a project worth watching closely.
TED Protocol is emerging as one of the more interesting infrastructure plays in the cross-chain stablecoin space.

As the crypto market continues expanding across multiple blockchain ecosystems, liquidity fragmentation remains one of the largest unresolved problems. Stablecoins are distributed across different chains, yet moving value between them still requires multiple steps, unnecessary friction, and inefficient routing.

TED Protocol is designed to address exactly that.

By combining decentralized liquidity aggregation, cross-chain routing, and currency-aware swap logic, TED Protocol enables a more seamless way to move stablecoin liquidity across networks. The protocol integrates multiple liquidity sources such as Curve, Uniswap, and PancakeSwap, while also leveraging interoperability layers including Circle CCTP, LayerZero, and Wormhole.

What makes the concept stand out is its focus on stablecoin exchange as a true cross-chain infrastructure layer, rather than simply another token utility narrative. In a market where efficiency, execution, and liquidity access matter more than ever, this model has the potential to become highly relevant.

TED Protocol is positioning itself around a real structural problem in Web3 — and that alone makes it a project worth watching closely.
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Here it is, Drift has announced the recovery plan after being hacked on April 1st. Total loss is $295.7 million, Tether has proposed to contribute up to $127.5 million (in the form of credit linked to $100 million in revenue), and other partners will contribute an additional $20 million. Users will receive a separate recovery token, distinct from the DRIFT governance token, which can be used to claim from the recovery pool, and the token is transferable. 🤔 I noticed another detail: after the restart, the settlement layer will switch from USDC to USDT, and Tether will also engage market makers. In simple terms, Tether is deeply involved, repaying gradually with revenue, rather than a one-time compensation. Whether the money can actually be repaid will depend on whether the trading volume can hold up after the restart. $DRIFT {future}(DRIFTUSDT)
Here it is, Drift has announced the recovery plan after being hacked on April 1st.

Total loss is $295.7 million, Tether has proposed to contribute up to $127.5 million (in the form of credit linked to $100 million in revenue), and other partners will contribute an additional $20 million.

Users will receive a separate recovery token, distinct from the DRIFT governance token, which can be used to claim from the recovery pool, and the token is transferable. 🤔

I noticed another detail: after the restart, the settlement layer will switch from USDC to USDT, and Tether will also engage market makers.

In simple terms, Tether is deeply involved, repaying gradually with revenue, rather than a one-time compensation.

Whether the money can actually be repaid will depend on whether the trading volume can hold up after the restart.
$DRIFT
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CoinGecko's first quarter report is out, and the data doesn't look good. The total cryptocurrency market cap fell by 20.4% to 2.4 trillion, down 45% from the peak in October last year. BTC fell 22% this quarter, underperforming the US stock market, and CEX spot trading volume was directly cut by 39.1%. Stablecoins are a bit interesting; USDT shrank by 1.6% for the first time since Q2 2022, while USDC actually increased by 2.4%, which says a lot about the situation 🤔 Additionally, the perpetual contracts on Hype are pretty strong, the daily trading volume for 24/7 oil contracts once exceeded the platform's BTC, this sector seems to really be taking off!!! $HYPE {future}(HYPEUSDT)
CoinGecko's first quarter report is out, and the data doesn't look good.

The total cryptocurrency market cap fell by 20.4% to 2.4 trillion, down 45% from the peak in October last year.

BTC fell 22% this quarter, underperforming the US stock market, and CEX spot trading volume was directly cut by 39.1%.

Stablecoins are a bit interesting; USDT shrank by 1.6% for the first time since Q2 2022, while USDC actually increased by 2.4%, which says a lot about the situation 🤔

Additionally, the perpetual contracts on Hype are pretty strong,

the daily trading volume for 24/7 oil contracts once exceeded the platform's BTC,

this sector seems to really be taking off!!!
$HYPE
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New birth $BLESS In the past 9 hours, the project party transferred 300 million BLESS from two project party addresses on the Sol chain, worth 3.83 million dollars. 200 million directly went to Bg, and another 50 million was cross-chain sold on BSC, with 10 million already exchanged for 125,000 USDT. The coin price has been directly halved and discounted, dropping by 55%😅 The project party is no longer hiding anything; they are openly selling in another place! Teachers, please pay attention⚠️ Source of information: Teacher Yu Jin {future}(BLESSUSDT)
New birth $BLESS

In the past 9 hours, the project party transferred 300 million BLESS from two project party addresses on the Sol chain, worth 3.83 million dollars.

200 million directly went to Bg, and another 50 million was cross-chain sold on BSC, with 10 million already exchanged for 125,000 USDT.

The coin price has been directly halved and discounted, dropping by 55%😅

The project party is no longer hiding anything; they are openly selling in another place!

Teachers, please pay attention⚠️

Source of information: Teacher Yu Jin
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Ridiculous, $SIREN this stock is really not pretending. At the beginning of the month, it dropped from $2 to $0.13, a decrease of 94%, then starting from 4/5, a batch of addresses crazily withdrew coins from Binance Alpha wallet, up to now, 30.07 million coins have been withdrawn (worth 25.09 million dollars), and the coin price has also rebounded from $0.13 to $0.83. I checked that someone had previously calculated that the market maker controlled 88.5%, now with this batch of withdrawal addresses, it is very likely the same group of people, the actual control is up to 93% or higher, and considering CEX, it will only be higher 😅 $SIREN Information source: Teacher Yu Jin's sharing {future}(SIRENUSDT)
Ridiculous, $SIREN this stock is really not pretending.

At the beginning of the month, it dropped from $2 to $0.13, a decrease of 94%,

then starting from 4/5, a batch of addresses crazily withdrew coins from Binance Alpha wallet,

up to now, 30.07 million coins have been withdrawn (worth 25.09 million dollars),

and the coin price has also rebounded from $0.13 to $0.83.

I checked that someone had previously calculated that the market maker controlled 88.5%,

now with this batch of withdrawal addresses, it is very likely the same group of people,

the actual control is up to 93% or higher, and considering CEX, it will only be higher 😅
$SIREN
Information source: Teacher Yu Jin's sharing
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Awesome, the whales associated with Matrixport have closed all long positions in four wallets over the past two days. 1500 BTC plus 120,000 ETH, the total position is almost 400 million dollars, netting a profit of 59 million. I checked the addresses and they are indeed from the same batch of old active users, with a very unified operation rhythm, basically executing the same decision. The profit from BTC is not that much, the major profit was made on this rebound in ETH 🐋 I have to say, being decisive and clearing everything at this position is better than most people. As for whether this is a clear top signal or just taking profits, let's see if there will be a re-entry. 🤔 $ETH $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT)
Awesome, the whales associated with Matrixport have closed all long positions in four wallets over the past two days.

1500 BTC plus 120,000 ETH,

the total position is almost 400 million dollars, netting a profit of 59 million.

I checked the addresses and they are indeed from the same batch of old active users, with a very unified operation rhythm, basically executing the same decision.

The profit from BTC is not that much, the major profit was made on this rebound in ETH 🐋 I have to say,

being decisive and clearing everything at this position is better than most people.

As for whether this is a clear top signal or just taking profits, let's see if there will be a re-entry. 🤔
$ETH $BTC
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Wow, Jameson Lopp and his five colleagues have proposed BIP-361, which aims to freeze addresses on the Bitcoin network that are vulnerable to quantum computing attacks, including Satoshi Nakamoto's batch of approximately $74 billion worth of coins. The logic is as follows: after three years, transferring to old addresses will be prohibited, and after five years, old signatures will become invalid, locking up any coins that haven't migrated. The third phase does leave a zero-knowledge proof relief channel, so those with mnemonic phrases can still recover their funds. This is actually the second step of their three-phase plan; the first step, BIP-360, was proposed in February, introducing a new P2MR output type. The community is quite vocal about this, with opponents claiming this is just a disguised confiscation🤷 To be honest, the rationale is understandable, but messing with Satoshi's coins, voting on this is inherently a political issue🤔 $BTC #量子威胁 {future}(BTCUSDT)
Wow, Jameson Lopp and his five colleagues have proposed BIP-361,

which aims to freeze addresses on the Bitcoin network that are vulnerable to quantum computing attacks, including Satoshi Nakamoto's batch of approximately $74 billion worth of coins.

The logic is as follows: after three years, transferring to old addresses will be prohibited, and after five years, old signatures will become invalid, locking up any coins that haven't migrated.

The third phase does leave a zero-knowledge proof relief channel, so those with mnemonic phrases can still recover their funds.

This is actually the second step of their three-phase plan; the first step, BIP-360, was proposed in February, introducing a new P2MR output type.

The community is quite vocal about this, with opponents claiming this is just a disguised confiscation🤷

To be honest, the rationale is understandable, but messing with Satoshi's coins,

voting on this is inherently a political issue🤔
$BTC
#量子威胁
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$RAVE so ruthless ah 1u saw it until now 1u opened a long position, took a bit, and ran away, too enchanting Could it be the next $RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT) {future}(RAVEUSDT)
$RAVE so ruthless ah 1u saw it until now

1u opened a long position, took a bit, and ran away, too enchanting

Could it be the next $RIVER
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XRP has directly integrated into the Rakuten ecosystem in Japan. Rakuten Wallet has listed XRP as an asset and payment target, users can exchange points for XRP and can also use it for consumption. Looking at the scale, Rakuten has 44 million users, 3 trillion points (approximately 23 billion USD), and over 5 million merchants, basically covering daily consumption in Japan 🇯🇵. This means that XRP no longer needs to talk about cross-border narratives; it directly falls into the grocery shopping scenario. Japan has always been relatively conservative about crypto payments, but players of Rakuten's size are willing to participate, which is more valuable than the data itself. Whether it can achieve significant volume is another story, but at least it's not just a pipe dream! #xrp $XRP {future}(XRPUSDT)
XRP has directly integrated into the Rakuten ecosystem in Japan.

Rakuten Wallet has listed XRP as an asset and payment target,

users can exchange points for XRP and can also use it for consumption. Looking at the scale, Rakuten has 44 million users, 3 trillion points (approximately 23 billion USD), and over 5 million merchants, basically covering daily consumption in Japan 🇯🇵.

This means that XRP no longer needs to talk about cross-border narratives; it directly falls into the grocery shopping scenario.

Japan has always been relatively conservative about crypto payments, but players of Rakuten's size are willing to participate, which is more valuable than the data itself.

Whether it can achieve significant volume is another story, but at least it's not just a pipe dream!
#xrp
$XRP
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The CoinGecko report on spot CEX for 2026 is quite interesting. USDT and USDC account for 66.6% of the top 12 trading pairs, essentially it's a stablecoin world. Only about 32% of new coins listed have positive returns on the first day, with an increase of 67% being the highest, Binance and OK both at 50%. However, after 12 months, most are below 10% above the issue price 😮. Looking at the reserve side, the underlying assets of the top 12 exchanges increased from 152.1 billion to 225.4 billion, Binance directly doubled to 93.4 billion, Cb holds 800,000 coins $BTC as ballast. Retailers have a noticeably higher turnover rate, MC, HTX, and KuCoin are stuck between 1.44 and 2.04, while institutional exchanges are stable. New coins are like this, a short-term lottery and a long-term zero, still the old rule. 😂 {future}(BTCUSDT)
The CoinGecko report on spot CEX for 2026 is quite interesting.

USDT and USDC account for 66.6% of the top 12 trading pairs,

essentially it's a stablecoin world.

Only about 32% of new coins listed have positive returns on the first day,

with an increase of 67% being the highest, Binance and OK both at 50%.

However, after 12 months, most are below 10% above the issue price 😮.

Looking at the reserve side,

the underlying assets of the top 12 exchanges increased from 152.1 billion to 225.4 billion,

Binance directly doubled to 93.4 billion, Cb holds 800,000 coins $BTC as ballast.

Retailers have a noticeably higher turnover rate,

MC, HTX, and KuCoin are stuck between 1.44 and 2.04, while institutional exchanges are stable.

New coins are like this, a short-term lottery and a long-term zero, still the old rule. 😂
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So impressive, Hyperliquid that——11 people generated a net profit of 900 million USD, averaging over 80 million each Founder Jeffrey Yan, who came from MIT, the team basically didn't raise much funding to reach this scale Mechanism is an on-chain perpetual contract exchange, All fee income flows back to $HYPE holders and the HLP treasury, not relying on token unlocks to profit from people {future}(HYPEUSDT) The profit figures are derived from on-chain data calculations, not from financial reports Just this, 11 people.......
So impressive, Hyperliquid that——11 people generated a net profit of 900 million USD, averaging over 80 million each

Founder Jeffrey Yan, who came from MIT, the team basically didn't raise much funding to reach this scale

Mechanism is an on-chain perpetual contract exchange,

All fee income flows back to $HYPE holders and the HLP treasury, not relying on token unlocks to profit from people

The profit figures are derived from on-chain data calculations, not from financial reports

Just this, 11 people.......
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Big brother is here to restock again Saved 2.4 million dollars and directly went all in on 54,157 pieces at the position of 44.3 Checked the records and lost money running away from the hype bought two months ago He's back again 😂 Teachers, do you have a regular investment for $HYPE ? {future}(HYPEUSDT)
Big brother is here to restock again

Saved 2.4 million dollars and directly went all in on 54,157 pieces at the position of 44.3

Checked the records and lost money running away from the hype bought two months ago

He's back again 😂

Teachers, do you have a regular investment for $HYPE ?
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Sure enough, giving fewer chips is good for pulling the market I looked at the accounts created in January, a single account wore down 10u and was given 481 pieces At the current price, fully unlocking a single account is 200u+, Haha, unfortunately, there’s only 30%, just need 10u wear to get 144 pieces Anyway, that's about it, let’s see how it goes So, does this mean that the fun has come back? 🤡 $GENIUS {alpha}(560x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6)
Sure enough, giving fewer chips is good for pulling the market

I looked at the accounts created in January, a single account wore down 10u and was given 481 pieces

At the current price, fully unlocking a single account is 200u+,

Haha, unfortunately, there’s only 30%, just need 10u wear to get 144 pieces

Anyway, that's about it, let’s see how it goes

So, does this mean that the fun has come back? 🤡

$GENIUS
kithe
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I just saw that today's alpha is $GENIUS this birth

Fortunately, I only traded about 10,000 at that time and stopped

It's also a scam project riding on the investment of yzilabs!

What's funny is that you can claim your airdrop rewards,

but sorry, you can only claim 30% of the tokens, and 70% will be burned

Don't worry, there might be a reversal, or!

Locked for a year 🤣

This birth now added a refund option, do you really think it's that good? Wrong

Only the net Genius fees will be refunded, not the absolute fees.

What it means is: you made a transaction, total fees = 20 basis points (0.20%).

Among them:
- 15 basis points are PancakeSwap fees (or other DEX),

- 5 basis points are Genius fees.

Here, you will only get refunded “5 basis points are Genius fees” 🤣

Summary...

Pure bad guys

Looking at it this way, the airdrop amount is relatively small, although the project side is an sb, I estimate the chips are all in hand, don't get carried away and short, or you'll be re-educated by the project side teachers!
#ALPHA
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Strategy has bought again The 8-K document shows that from April 6 to April 12, approximately $1 billion was spent to purchase 13,927 BTC at an average price of $71,902. Looking at the current holdings: a total of 780,897 coins, with a total cost of about $59 billion, and an average cost of $75,577. The current BTC price is below the average price line (purchased at $71,902 but average $75,577), resulting in a paper loss 📉 Year-to-date return of 5.6% on $BTC , still buying, the rhythm hasn’t changed. Almost 800,000 coins now 🐮 {future}(BTCUSDT)
Strategy has bought again

The 8-K document shows that from April 6 to April 12, approximately $1 billion was spent to purchase 13,927 BTC at an average price of $71,902.

Looking at the current holdings: a total of 780,897 coins, with a total cost of about $59 billion, and an average cost of $75,577.

The current BTC price is below the average price line (purchased at $71,902 but average $75,577), resulting in a paper loss 📉

Year-to-date return of 5.6% on $BTC , still buying, the rhythm hasn’t changed.

Almost 800,000 coins now 🐮
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