krypton_bit
О криптовалюте - простыми словами! Трейдер, инвестор 24/7 в CRYPTO. Стримы и аналитика .Графики, метрики, мысли о рынке.
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⚡ TRUMP APPOINTS NEW HEAD OF THE FED
❗️ Donald Trump has officially nominated Kevin Warsh for the position of chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Warsh is a former member of the Board of Governors of the Fed, known for a more hawkish view on inflation and criticism of excessively loose monetary policy. His candidacy has long been discussed as an alternative to the 'soft' policy of recent years.
Why is this important for the markets?
— expectations for the rate may shift
— market sensitivity to inflation data increases
— a factor of short-term volatility for crypto and stocks
If the Fed's rhetoric becomes more hawkish, pressure on risk assets will intensify. Confirmation of the course is a key trigger in the coming months.
Warsh's appointment is a signal: U.S. monetary policy may become more restrained. The market faces a reassessment of expectations.
This is not financial advice.
#WhoIsNextFedChair #FOMC #TRUMP $BTC $ETH
❗️ Donald Trump has officially nominated Kevin Warsh for the position of chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Warsh is a former member of the Board of Governors of the Fed, known for a more hawkish view on inflation and criticism of excessively loose monetary policy. His candidacy has long been discussed as an alternative to the 'soft' policy of recent years.
Why is this important for the markets?
— expectations for the rate may shift
— market sensitivity to inflation data increases
— a factor of short-term volatility for crypto and stocks
If the Fed's rhetoric becomes more hawkish, pressure on risk assets will intensify. Confirmation of the course is a key trigger in the coming months.
Warsh's appointment is a signal: U.S. monetary policy may become more restrained. The market faces a reassessment of expectations.
This is not financial advice.
#WhoIsNextFedChair #FOMC #TRUMP $BTC $ETH
TRUMP DECLARES STATE OF EMERGENCY DUE TO CUBA — STRIKE ON OIL AND GLOBAL MARKETS
January 29–30, 2026 Donald Trump signed a decree: the situation around Cuba is recognized as an "unusual and extraordinary threat" to U.S. national security. A national state of emergency has been declared in the country.
The U.S. is launching a pressure mechanism on oil:
countries and companies that supply oil to Cuba (directly or through schemes) face new tariffs and duties on their goods in the U.S. Specific rates will be announced later.
At risk are Mexico and the remaining Venezuelan chains. This is a continuation of Trump's tough stance after Venezuela and a signal of expanding energy sanctions.
Why is this important?
— increase in geopolitical premium on oil
— pressure on emerging markets
— increased volatility in risky assets
The state of emergency is not about Cuba, but about controlling energy flows. For the markets, this is another factor of instability in an already tense macro environment.
This is not financial advice. Analytical commentary.
#trump #newscrypto $BNB $XRP
January 29–30, 2026 Donald Trump signed a decree: the situation around Cuba is recognized as an "unusual and extraordinary threat" to U.S. national security. A national state of emergency has been declared in the country.
The U.S. is launching a pressure mechanism on oil:
countries and companies that supply oil to Cuba (directly or through schemes) face new tariffs and duties on their goods in the U.S. Specific rates will be announced later.
At risk are Mexico and the remaining Venezuelan chains. This is a continuation of Trump's tough stance after Venezuela and a signal of expanding energy sanctions.
Why is this important?
— increase in geopolitical premium on oil
— pressure on emerging markets
— increased volatility in risky assets
The state of emergency is not about Cuba, but about controlling energy flows. For the markets, this is another factor of instability in an already tense macro environment.
This is not financial advice. Analytical commentary.
#trump #newscrypto $BNB $XRP
Update on the bitcoin schedule with global liquidity.
How are you, my dear ones? Those who were feeding me nonsense in streams six months ago?🤣
Listen to those who rely on facts, not those who speak beautifully 😉
#bitcoin $BTC $ETH
How are you, my dear ones? Those who were feeding me nonsense in streams six months ago?🤣
Listen to those who rely on facts, not those who speak beautifully 😉
#bitcoin $BTC $ETH
29.01.2026 — red day immediately for all markets?
Today, cryptocurrencies, metals, and the stock market fell simultaneously. BTC and gold are losing >5%, stocks and indices are in the negative, and US10Y yields are decreasing.
This is not a local crypto-event risk, but a classic risk-off: investors are simultaneously reducing positions in risky and defensive assets, locking in profits and reducing leverage.
— Crypto is falling along with the stock market → no isolated pressure
— Gold is also in the negative → a liquidity sell-off, not a flight to safety
— Bond yields are decreasing → caution and expectation of slowdown
When everything falls at once, it is more often a phase of cleansing and reevaluation, rather than the beginning of a systemic crisis.
The market is releasing tension. The key is to watch whether selective recovery will appear or if pressure will continue broadly.
Recently discussed the overheating of the market on the stream and in our lessons.
Divergence on MACD is still working out ✅
This is not financial advice, but an analytical comment.
$BTC #GOLD #CryptoTrends
Today, cryptocurrencies, metals, and the stock market fell simultaneously. BTC and gold are losing >5%, stocks and indices are in the negative, and US10Y yields are decreasing.
This is not a local crypto-event risk, but a classic risk-off: investors are simultaneously reducing positions in risky and defensive assets, locking in profits and reducing leverage.
— Crypto is falling along with the stock market → no isolated pressure
— Gold is also in the negative → a liquidity sell-off, not a flight to safety
— Bond yields are decreasing → caution and expectation of slowdown
When everything falls at once, it is more often a phase of cleansing and reevaluation, rather than the beginning of a systemic crisis.
The market is releasing tension. The key is to watch whether selective recovery will appear or if pressure will continue broadly.
Recently discussed the overheating of the market on the stream and in our lessons.
Divergence on MACD is still working out ✅
This is not financial advice, but an analytical comment.
$BTC #GOLD #CryptoTrends
Powell has announced a pause: the rate is under control, risks have decreased
The Fed enters 2026 with confidence in the US economy: growth is steady, consumption is stable, long-term inflation expectations are back on target — 2%. The current monetary policy stance is close to neutral, and raising rates is not considered a baseline scenario.
— Inflation above target is mainly due to tariffs, not demand
— The labor market is cooling, but without sharp weakness
— Risks to inflation and employment have decreased
— Rate decisions are strictly data-driven, with no predetermined scenario
The Fed is in no rush to lower rates, but also sees no need to tighten policy. This reduces pressure on risk assets and supports a "soft landing" scenario.
Geopolitics, energy, and the unstable trajectory of US government debt remain factors of uncertainty.
Powell's rhetoric is moderately neutral-positive: the rate is on pause, the focus is on data, and there is room for future cuts.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical comment.
#FOMC #cryptotrends
The Fed enters 2026 with confidence in the US economy: growth is steady, consumption is stable, long-term inflation expectations are back on target — 2%. The current monetary policy stance is close to neutral, and raising rates is not considered a baseline scenario.
— Inflation above target is mainly due to tariffs, not demand
— The labor market is cooling, but without sharp weakness
— Risks to inflation and employment have decreased
— Rate decisions are strictly data-driven, with no predetermined scenario
The Fed is in no rush to lower rates, but also sees no need to tighten policy. This reduces pressure on risk assets and supports a "soft landing" scenario.
Geopolitics, energy, and the unstable trajectory of US government debt remain factors of uncertainty.
Powell's rhetoric is moderately neutral-positive: the rate is on pause, the focus is on data, and there is room for future cuts.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical comment.
#FOMC #cryptotrends
Outflows from ETFs are increasing: how to interpret this for the market?
Last week, spot ETFs showed significant capital outflows:
— Bitcoin ETF: −1.33 billion dollars
— Ethereum ETF: −611 million dollars
— Solana ETF: +9.6 million dollars
— Ripple ETF: −40.6 million dollars
— For LINK, LTC, HBAR, and DOGE — zero activity or no data
In total, nearly 2 billion dollars left BTC and ETH ETFs in one week.
At the same time, BlackRock transferred 1,815 BTC and 15,112 ETH to Coinbase Prime wallets. Such transfers are often associated with rebalancing or preparation for sale, but do not always indicate immediate pressure on the market.
It is important to understand: ETFs represent "passive" capital. Outflows from them do not equate to panic in the spot market, but reflect a decrease in interest from institutions at the moment.
Outflows increase short-term pressure on BTC and ETH, while the lack of interest in most altcoins indicates selectivity of capital. A small inflow into SOL stands out against the backdrop of overall cooling.
The signal is moderately bearish in the short term and indicates increased caution among large participants. For the market, the dynamics of inflows are currently more important than individual transactions.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical comment.
#Ethereum #bitcoin $ETH $BTC
Last week, spot ETFs showed significant capital outflows:
— Bitcoin ETF: −1.33 billion dollars
— Ethereum ETF: −611 million dollars
— Solana ETF: +9.6 million dollars
— Ripple ETF: −40.6 million dollars
— For LINK, LTC, HBAR, and DOGE — zero activity or no data
In total, nearly 2 billion dollars left BTC and ETH ETFs in one week.
At the same time, BlackRock transferred 1,815 BTC and 15,112 ETH to Coinbase Prime wallets. Such transfers are often associated with rebalancing or preparation for sale, but do not always indicate immediate pressure on the market.
It is important to understand: ETFs represent "passive" capital. Outflows from them do not equate to panic in the spot market, but reflect a decrease in interest from institutions at the moment.
Outflows increase short-term pressure on BTC and ETH, while the lack of interest in most altcoins indicates selectivity of capital. A small inflow into SOL stands out against the backdrop of overall cooling.
The signal is moderately bearish in the short term and indicates increased caution among large participants. For the market, the dynamics of inflows are currently more important than individual transactions.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical comment.
#Ethereum #bitcoin $ETH $BTC
Gold and Bitcoin: why is it important to watch XAU right now?
According to Swissblock, the dynamics of gold often serve as a leading indicator for Bitcoin.
When gold rises while BTC remains under pressure, a bullish divergence forms. In past cycles, such discrepancies often ended with a sharp catching-up impulse in Bitcoin.
The opposite situation—BTC rising amid falling gold—often signaled liquidity exhaustion and an approaching correction.
Currently, gold is reaching new highs, while BTC is consolidating. This looks like a classic bullish divergence, which historically has favored Bitcoin.
If gold starts to correct noticeably, and BTC completes its upward impulse, the market may enter a zone of negative divergence. In past cycles, such phases coincided with market peaks.
Addition from Bitwise
Currently, investor attention is focused on gold and silver, while crypto remains out of focus. This often happens before a shift in capital interest.
The link between XAU and BTC is currently more important than individual news. Gold may indicate what stage of the cycle Bitcoin is in.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical observation.
#xau #bitcoin
According to Swissblock, the dynamics of gold often serve as a leading indicator for Bitcoin.
When gold rises while BTC remains under pressure, a bullish divergence forms. In past cycles, such discrepancies often ended with a sharp catching-up impulse in Bitcoin.
The opposite situation—BTC rising amid falling gold—often signaled liquidity exhaustion and an approaching correction.
Currently, gold is reaching new highs, while BTC is consolidating. This looks like a classic bullish divergence, which historically has favored Bitcoin.
If gold starts to correct noticeably, and BTC completes its upward impulse, the market may enter a zone of negative divergence. In past cycles, such phases coincided with market peaks.
Addition from Bitwise
Currently, investor attention is focused on gold and silver, while crypto remains out of focus. This often happens before a shift in capital interest.
The link between XAU and BTC is currently more important than individual news. Gold may indicate what stage of the cycle Bitcoin is in.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical observation.
#xau #bitcoin
Live Broadcast: Cryptocurrency Market Analysis in Real Time
January 29, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Air time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Ссылка на стрим
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptomarket
January 29, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Air time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Ссылка на стрим
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptomarket
Live broadcast: cryptocurrency market analysis in real time
January 27, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptomarket
January 27, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptomarket
Open Interest (OI) — one of the key indicators of the futures market.
It shows the total volume of all open positions, not the direction of the price.
📊 How to read OI and price together:
🟢 Price ↑ + OI ↑
New traders with leverage are entering the market.
The risk of sharp movements and liquidations increases.
🟢 Price ↑ + OI ↓
Shorts are closing, the rise is happening without leverage.
Often a healthier and more sustainable movement.
🔴 Price ↓ + OI ↑
Accumulation of shorts or aggressive hedges.
Risk of a sharp bounce upwards.
🔴 Price ↓ + OI ↓
Capitulation. Positions are being closed, the market is clearing.
⚠️ Why this is important:
Exchanges profit from liquidations.
When OI is overheated — the market more often chooses the path where it “wipes out the crowd.”
🧠 Conclusion:
Open Interest ≠ entry signal.
It is an indicator of risk and market structure that helps avoid entering overheated movements.
#crypto #openinterest #futures #trading
I will soon make a video, in simple words🤝
It shows the total volume of all open positions, not the direction of the price.
📊 How to read OI and price together:
🟢 Price ↑ + OI ↑
New traders with leverage are entering the market.
The risk of sharp movements and liquidations increases.
🟢 Price ↑ + OI ↓
Shorts are closing, the rise is happening without leverage.
Often a healthier and more sustainable movement.
🔴 Price ↓ + OI ↑
Accumulation of shorts or aggressive hedges.
Risk of a sharp bounce upwards.
🔴 Price ↓ + OI ↓
Capitulation. Positions are being closed, the market is clearing.
⚠️ Why this is important:
Exchanges profit from liquidations.
When OI is overheated — the market more often chooses the path where it “wipes out the crowd.”
🧠 Conclusion:
Open Interest ≠ entry signal.
It is an indicator of risk and market structure that helps avoid entering overheated movements.
#crypto #openinterest #futures #trading
I will soon make a video, in simple words🤝
The news indicator shows a rise in anxiety: what does it mean?
The sentiment indicator, based on the analysis of the news background, indicates an increase in anxiety in the financial markets.
The rise in anxiety is usually associated not with a single event, but with the accumulation of risks: expectations regarding interest rates, geopolitics, macroeconomic uncertainty. In such moments, market participants become more cautious.
It is important to understand: anxiety is not panic. Most often, such phases lead to a decrease in activity and an increase in volatility, rather than instant collapses. The market begins to 'doubt' rather than capitulate.
As anxiety rises, capital more often flows into larger and more liquid assets. Speculative instruments and small altcoins tend to perform worse during such periods.
The signal is moderately protective: the market becomes more cautious. In such phases, managing risks and expectations is more important than aggressive bets.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical comment.
#trading #CryptoNews $BNB $SOL
The sentiment indicator, based on the analysis of the news background, indicates an increase in anxiety in the financial markets.
The rise in anxiety is usually associated not with a single event, but with the accumulation of risks: expectations regarding interest rates, geopolitics, macroeconomic uncertainty. In such moments, market participants become more cautious.
It is important to understand: anxiety is not panic. Most often, such phases lead to a decrease in activity and an increase in volatility, rather than instant collapses. The market begins to 'doubt' rather than capitulate.
As anxiety rises, capital more often flows into larger and more liquid assets. Speculative instruments and small altcoins tend to perform worse during such periods.
The signal is moderately protective: the market becomes more cautious. In such phases, managing risks and expectations is more important than aggressive bets.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical comment.
#trading #CryptoNews $BNB $SOL
Coinbase and Glassnode's Forecast for Q1 2026: What Does the Market Look Like Now?
Coinbase and Glassnode have published an assessment of the cryptocurrency market's state for the first quarter of 2026. In short, the market enters the new year in a more resilient form, but without clear euphoria.
Market Condition
In the fourth quarter of 2025, excess leverage exited the system. This reduced the risk of overheating and made the current structure healthier.
Market Condition
In the fourth quarter of 2025, excess leverage exited the system. This reduced the risk of overheating and made the current structure healthier.
Coinbase and Glassnode's forecast for Q1 2026: what is important now?
Coinbase and Glassnode assess the cryptocurrency market as more resilient entering 2026, but without signs of overheating and euphoria.
In Q4 2025, excessive leverage exited the system, reducing the risks of sharp declines. The macroeconomic backdrop remains supportive: inflation has stabilized, the U.S. economy is strong, and the market expects two rate cuts from the Fed in 2026.
Investors' focus has shifted towards large assets. Bitcoin appears more preferable, while small altcoins remain under pressure. There has been no capitulation: 62% of institutions and 70% of retail investors maintained or increased positions after the autumn drop.
At the same time, BTC is in a distribution phase: on-chain activity is rising, hedging through options is actively used, and retail sentiment remains cautious. Ethereum appears closer to the mature phase of the cycle, despite a strengthening foundation due to upgrades and L2.
Conclusion
The market enters 2026 in a stable but cautious phase. The priority is asset quality and risk management, rather than a pursuit of quick growth.
Read more in the article in the profile✅
#trends2026 #crypto2026
Coinbase and Glassnode assess the cryptocurrency market as more resilient entering 2026, but without signs of overheating and euphoria.
In Q4 2025, excessive leverage exited the system, reducing the risks of sharp declines. The macroeconomic backdrop remains supportive: inflation has stabilized, the U.S. economy is strong, and the market expects two rate cuts from the Fed in 2026.
Investors' focus has shifted towards large assets. Bitcoin appears more preferable, while small altcoins remain under pressure. There has been no capitulation: 62% of institutions and 70% of retail investors maintained or increased positions after the autumn drop.
At the same time, BTC is in a distribution phase: on-chain activity is rising, hedging through options is actively used, and retail sentiment remains cautious. Ethereum appears closer to the mature phase of the cycle, despite a strengthening foundation due to upgrades and L2.
Conclusion
The market enters 2026 in a stable but cautious phase. The priority is asset quality and risk management, rather than a pursuit of quick growth.
Read more in the article in the profile✅
#trends2026 #crypto2026
World Liberty Financial Forum and the risks surrounding WLFI?
Trump is scamming and will soon create another token!!!!
On February 18, the World Liberty Financial team of the Trump family will hold a closed forum at Mar-a-Lago about the "future of finance." Announcements regarding the USD1 stablecoin are expected. Participants include the CEO of Goldman Sachs, Franklin Templeton, representatives from the CFTC, and FIFA.
Such events increase attention to the project and create a sense of institutional support, but they do not guarantee stability or growth on their own.
Problematic points of WLFI
— In the voting for USD1, the top 9 wallets controlled 59% of the votes.
— Most holders did not participate: tokens are locked.
— Revenues are distributed within a narrow circle.
— After the vote, $83 million went to Jump Trading, the issuance of WLFI was increased, which puts pressure on the price.
Big names and announcements do not equal decentralization. Concentration of votes and expansion of issuance increase risks for retail.
The forum may enhance interest in the project, but the current governance model increases the asymmetry of risks. It is important to assess not the statements, but the actual structure of control.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical breakdown
#wlfi $WLFI #TRUMP
Trump is scamming and will soon create another token!!!!
On February 18, the World Liberty Financial team of the Trump family will hold a closed forum at Mar-a-Lago about the "future of finance." Announcements regarding the USD1 stablecoin are expected. Participants include the CEO of Goldman Sachs, Franklin Templeton, representatives from the CFTC, and FIFA.
Such events increase attention to the project and create a sense of institutional support, but they do not guarantee stability or growth on their own.
Problematic points of WLFI
— In the voting for USD1, the top 9 wallets controlled 59% of the votes.
— Most holders did not participate: tokens are locked.
— Revenues are distributed within a narrow circle.
— After the vote, $83 million went to Jump Trading, the issuance of WLFI was increased, which puts pressure on the price.
Big names and announcements do not equal decentralization. Concentration of votes and expansion of issuance increase risks for retail.
The forum may enhance interest in the project, but the current governance model increases the asymmetry of risks. It is important to assess not the statements, but the actual structure of control.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical breakdown
#wlfi $WLFI #TRUMP
Activation of old DASH coins: what to pay attention to?
According to Alphractal, in November, active reactivation of coins that had been dormant for a long time was observed on #DASH . After this, on-chain activity significantly decreased.
What this might mean
Historically, large movements of long-inactive coins tend to appear closer to the peaks of cycles. This is not a signal "right now," but rather an indication that some long-term holders are beginning to distribute the asset.
For newcomers
It is important to understand that such processes rarely happen in a single day. Distribution can stretch over weeks and months, creating a sense of stability before an increase in risk.
Context on risks
A decrease in activity after a surge may indicate a pause in distribution, but it does not negate the fact that old coins are entering the market. This increases the asymmetry of risks towards a decline.
Conclusion
The on-chain signal for DASH looks more like a warning than a trading signal. In the current phase, it is important to be particularly cautious with risks and not to perceive growth as guaranteed.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical examination of the situation.
#AltcoinTrends $DASH
According to Alphractal, in November, active reactivation of coins that had been dormant for a long time was observed on #DASH . After this, on-chain activity significantly decreased.
What this might mean
Historically, large movements of long-inactive coins tend to appear closer to the peaks of cycles. This is not a signal "right now," but rather an indication that some long-term holders are beginning to distribute the asset.
For newcomers
It is important to understand that such processes rarely happen in a single day. Distribution can stretch over weeks and months, creating a sense of stability before an increase in risk.
Context on risks
A decrease in activity after a surge may indicate a pause in distribution, but it does not negate the fact that old coins are entering the market. This increases the asymmetry of risks towards a decline.
Conclusion
The on-chain signal for DASH looks more like a warning than a trading signal. In the current phase, it is important to be particularly cautious with risks and not to perceive growth as guaranteed.
This is not financial advice, but an analytical examination of the situation.
#AltcoinTrends $DASH
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