تحديث للمنشور المنشور بتاريخ 2025/12 I still believe that the current Bitcoin cycle will continue until 2026/11/2, which is the date I expect the bottom to form, God willing. I previously warned against buying in the $70K and $80K zones, and the analysis stands unless we break the $126K top, in which case the analysis is void.
I started reading the news that BlackRock is going to trade, even though the transaction is just a deposit notice. $BTC happened earlier, and it is merely a deposit notice. BlackRock deposited an additional 4,984.56 $BTC (worth $295 million) and 30,725 $ETH (worth $48.58 million) into Coinbase Prime.
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Bearish
BlackRock pressures the Bitcoin price strongly, especially as the monthly close approaches. Yesterday around 7,400 Bitcoins were transferred, and today selling pressure continues to weigh on the market. In the coming hours, you will likely hear news claiming that BlackRock has been dumping, but what is actually happening may begin before the news spreads. Sometimes moving coins is just a step that precedes drawing traders’ attention, while the selling pressure is already in place. Don’t believe everything that big companies like BlackRock or Saylor announce; not everything that gets published is necessarily in the best interest of the small investor. News may come after the main move has already happened. In the end, watch price action, volume, and liquidity more than you follow statements. Whales don’t announce their real moves when it’s in their favor, and what gets published in the media is not necessarily the full picture. $BTC
BlackRock pressures the Bitcoin price strongly, especially as the monthly close approaches. Yesterday around 7,400 Bitcoins were transferred, and today selling pressure continues to weigh on the market. In the coming hours, you will likely hear news claiming that BlackRock has been dumping, but what is actually happening may begin before the news spreads. Sometimes moving coins is just a step that precedes drawing traders’ attention, while the selling pressure is already in place. Don’t believe everything that big companies like BlackRock or Saylor announce; not everything that gets published is necessarily in the best interest of the small investor. News may come after the main move has already happened. In the end, watch price action, volume, and liquidity more than you follow statements. Whales don’t announce their real moves when it’s in their favor, and what gets published in the media is not necessarily the full picture. $BTC
Wherever someone was betting on Saylor and that he would not sell unless at a price of one million—here are the negative news that started with the beginning of our entry into the accumulation zones. Don’t worry; let what guides you be the chart. $BTC ⚡️ Saylor agreed to sell up to $1.25 billion worth of BTC to fund a Dollar-denominated Strategy reserve if necessary.
The weekly close is bearish after closing below $60,000 and below the 200-moving average.
Any bounce toward $62,467 that I see is merely a corrective bounce to retest the moving average, not a change in trend.
The positive scenario starts only with a return and holding above the 200-moving average; otherwise, bearishness remains dominant.
The bearishness may increase during the coming week if the moving averages cross on the weekly timeframe is completed, and we will update the analysis at that time. $BTC
The scenario is still the same and has not changed so far. The price interacted with the black lines, which represent a support area for the Wyckoff model. It also reacted to the $78 support, which was the Boll Trap support level in the previous Ber market.
Our official target since October remains at $58. If selling pressure increases and negative momentum continues, the closest support areas afterward are $48 - $40.
And if the price is unable to return and close above the last peak formed during the last uptrend wave—at $98—then it is likely that the bleeding will continue toward the $48 - $40 areas.
However, it should be noted that these are technical targets for the chart and not necessarily accumulation zones, because a drop in Bitcoin could push Solana to levels lower than that.
Therefore, it’s best to monitor Bitcoin’s movement when it reaches the expected bottom, and also follow the time factor I mentioned earlier, which is November 2.
This is just technical analysis and not financial advice. The investment decision is your responsibility. $SOL
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Analysis of SOL Coin — Large Frame (Weekly)
The currency has risen more than 4200% from the bottom of the bear market,
And now you see all the positive news talking about it — From institutional entry, investment funds, and a lot of media hype. But honestly, I was setting targets above 300–500,
However, I said it earlier: > "We need to broaden our perspective and open a larger frame."
Did you know what it means for Binance services to be stopped in the European Union? The issue isn’t in the European Union, but in Binance itself. The EU introduced the MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation) law to regulate the crypto market and protect investors’ funds. Platforms that do not comply with the requirements of this regulation are not allowed to continue offering their services within the EU. If a platform as large as Binance hasn’t met these requirements, that raises serious questions about how well it complies with regulatory standards and protects customers’ funds. For me, this calls for extreme caution before trusting it, and we know what happened in 10/10—especially since the purpose of these laws is to protect investors, not restrict them. @ $BNB
Simply put, since October we have been looking at the market negatively; as we mentioned earlier, we will proceed according to what happened in the previous cycles. And even now, I see that the scenario is moving in a similar direction. In each cycle, usually June begins with entry into the accumulation zones, and I think we have approached them. There are many indicators suggesting that the current phase is a preparation stage.
This analysis matters more to investors than to traders (speculators). The coin is still moving within an uptrend since the 2023 bottom. Throughout this period, it formed higher highs and higher lows, but after the peak it recorded in 2025, the price was unable to break above it or form a new peak, even though that peak was accompanied by very high trading volumes. After that, the coin began moving in a range closer to consolidation (sideways), and we notice that the rise and fall within this range happen with low volume. According to Dow theory, this may be one of the early signals that call for caution regarding a possible change in direction, but it is not confirmation on its own.
Gold update After our previous analysis, when gold was trading near 4700, it achieved all the expected targets with a drop of about 17%, and only the final target at 3881 remained. However, in the latest update I indicated that the box zone is a strong support area, and I expect at least a corrective rebound from it. Currently, a positive divergence is appearing, so I expect an upswing to test the downtrend line near 4300, followed by a continuation of the decline, especially with the “death cross” on the daily timeframe between MA50 and MA200, which supports the continuation of the bearish trend. The outlook for gold turns positive if the price closes above the downtrend line and above the resistance at 4350—then the technical view could change. This scenario is invalidated if support in the box zone is broken and price holds below it. Not financial advice—just a technical reading of price action. $XAU Trading gold is forbidden
Binance will remove ALCX, ARDR, NFP, and POND from listing on 2026-07-10
Based on the latest reviews, Binance has decided to remove and suspend trading on all spot trading pairs for the following cryptocurrencies effective 2026-07-10 at 03:00 (UTC):
It was clear from what was said that we were not bottom feeders 👍
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Have we formed a bottom? In short: I don't see that happening yet. Bottom formations typically don't occur with just one candlestick, and the indicators are still looking bearish. The weekly timeframe isn't giving any clear signals for a bottom formation either. On the daily timeframe, we can't consider the market positive with only 3 candles after a strong drop, especially since the moving averages are still far from the price. The key level to regain some positivity is 73. There's also a positive divergence on the weekly MACD, but that needs time and weeks to confirm. Therefore, I suspect that what's happening right now is just a bounce towards 64-66, while the 53-48 zone remains a valid target, God knows best.
I believe in Bitcoin $BTC @ Everyone seems to start publishing 27 thousand and 38 thousand, and the ones going down—this is how we must go against the herd in our thinking
I think a corrective rebound will happen
Because now, at this bottom, volume is rising the same as the bottom at 80k and the first and second bottoms at 60k. Volume indicates a temporary bottom
This is the move I expect right now on the smaller timeframes
Invalidates it if another bottom breaks
A corrective rise to 62 and withdrawing the incentive
$WLD @ We expected the currency to drop to 0.39, but now positive technical signals are starting to appear that may support a rebound from the current levels. Entry zone: Current price, because it is within a demand zone (Order Flow - OF). Reasons for entry: Price is inside the demand zone A positive golden cross is present between the 50 and 200 moving averages A positive divergence appears on the MACD indicator. Targets: 🎯 0.55 🎯 0.58 When the targets are reached, it is preferable to leave part of the position/quantity, in case the uptrend continues. Stop loss: Closing below 0.4499. Just technical analysis, not an investment or financial recommendation. Your personal responsibility for the decision to enter and exit.
Bitcoin this morning was at $61,780, but we had a different opinion. Let’s see what it’s at now. Crypto lens @
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Bearish
Bitcoin – 4-Hour Chart@ The technical target is still at 57,700 according to the bearish pattern, but as I mentioned earlier, the 59,188 zone is crucial since it represents the monthly MA50. Currently, on the 4-hour chart, we have seen a negative crossover in the moving averages, and typically after such crossovers, we observe a bounce or a slight correction, which is what’s happening now. Additionally, a negative divergence has formed on the MACD indicator, supporting the likelihood of continued bearish pressure. We also notice that the last two bearish candles came with high volume, while the current upward movement is occurring with weak volume, indicating that the current movement might just be a correction before continuing downwards. Moreover, we observe a positive crossover in the moving averages and a positive divergence on the MACD in the USDT.D indicator, which supports the current outlook on Bitcoin. As per Dow Theory, indicators confirm each other, so it's important to monitor both indicators together in the upcoming period. Currently, we are watching the current low and keeping an eye on the main target at 57,700, with weekly and monthly closes in the coming days being very important to determine the next direction. This is just a technical analysis and not financial advice, and the decision to enter and exit along with capital management is your personal responsibility. $BTC
One of the principles of Dow Theory in technical analysis is that volume confirms the trend.
In a downtrend, volume bars are high with bearish candles; in an uptrend, volume bars are high with bullish candles.
At the end of the move—which was confirming the previous trend—we notice that the decline was accompanied by an increase in volume bars, whereas the rise was accompanied by low volume bars.
This is not an entry or exit signal, but rather an additional factor to confirm a pattern or a technical reason only.
Just a technical glance: volume confirms the trend and does not define it.
ID on a 10.42% gain 📈 If you wanna bail, go ahead 😅 As for me, I'm sticking to the same game plan, only exiting for a take profit or stop loss based on the close. Everyone manages their own risk and makes their own call. Just sharing for tracking, not financial advice.$ID
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Bullish
Update ID @ The coin has pumped over 15% since entry, but it hasn't hit the target yet. After that, with Bitcoin's drop, it retraced and hit the stop-loss zone. However, the stop-loss was conditional on a close, not just touching the level, so I didn't close and I'm still holding the position. Currently, the price is about 2% above the entry point. The decision to stay in or exit is up to you based on your capital management, but for me, I'm still in the trade because my strategy is to only exit when I hit the target or trigger the stop-loss on a close. $ID .