补仓资本

Is the #btc rebound a dead cat bounce?
Dropping below 77000 basically confirms the continuation of the 'dead cat bounce' pattern, with initial support looking at 75500, followed by the 74800-73200 range;
A strong breakout above 79600 could trigger a short squeeze, targeting above 80000. This week's FOMC rate decision, along with multiple central banks announcing their decisions simultaneously, will lead to heightened volatility, so be sure to protect your positions before any breakout.

Hey guys, this weekend the main focus should be on the $BTC CME gap!

📌 Here are a few key gaps to keep an eye on:
• Up top around 77.5K: new gap, the market is watching for this price level's battle
• Up top at 81K: once filled, about $7 billion in shorts are set to get liquidated
• Up top at 84K: this is an exhaustion gap, may take hundreds of days to fill
• Down below at 66.8K / 69.5K / 67.2K: the unfilled gaps below are also worth monitoring

⚡️ Note: Filling a gap doesn't mean going long; the process might involve a spike that triggers stop losses before continuing the trend, so manage your positions and stop losses carefully.

📊 This round of rebound: BTC shot up from a low of $60,529, nearing the $80,000 mark, with a quote around 78,000 on the 24th. The driving force behind this market movement includes continued net inflows of hundreds of millions into ETFs.

⚠️ But don't ignore the technical signals:
• Divergence in volume and price: since February 6, the price has risen but volume has shrunk—an exhaustion signal
• Resistance levels above: $78,000—$80,000 is a dense area of trapped positions and resistance, breaking through this in the short term will be tough

💡 Opinion: Institutional buying has given the rebound some strength, but the weakening technical momentum is a heads-up for bulls to stay alert. Gaps have always been an important reference in technical analysis, and the current market is still in a watch-and-see mode.

$ETH First test resistance zone 2416–2446, if it stabilizes with volume, then challenge 2500; if it is blocked and falls back, it may retest the 2300–2250 area for consolidation.

Short-term traders can reduce positions near 2416 or set a trailing stop; mid to long-term investors can wait for a retest near 2245 before considering gradual entry.

#ETH 10.15 Trend is the main focus


🔔 Entry signal:
1. Price rebounds to the 4250 - 4300 area showing stagnation (such as a top divergence, long upper shadow).
2. Price directly breaks below the 4000 integer mark with increased volume, consider shorting.

🎯 Target levels:
- First target: 4000
- Second target: 3910 - 3920 (previous low support area)

⛔ Stop-loss level: above 4350 (last defense line for bears)

The bullish-bearish dividing line is 4200. If it stabilizes, the short-term weakness may reverse; if it is under pressure, it remains in a downward channel.

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The above is merely personal market analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. The market has risks; proceed with caution.
$ETH

【9.7】 $LINK The bullish trend is still in place

The overall trend still favors bulls, but there may be pressure in the short term.
Support levels: Support 1 - 21.96, Support 2 - 21.40
Resistance levels: Resistance 1 - 22.47, Resistance 2 - 23.60

It is recommended to take a light position and try to go long. If it breaks through Resistance 1, it may continue to rise to Resistance 2; otherwise, it will continue to consolidate and pull back to the support level for oscillation.

【9.4】$ETH Brothers, do we have a chance to eat meat tonight?

🎯 Long Strategy:
✅ First Entry Point: 4205~4250 (buy on dip)
✅ Second Entry Point: Confirm break above 4374
🎯 Take Profit Target: 4490 → 4680 → 4950
🚫 Stop Loss Level: 4175 / 4300

⚔ Short Strategy:
🚨 Failed to break 4490 + divergence → go short
🚨 Break below 4205 → target 4050

$SOL Attention to Short-term Pullback Risks

Bullish pattern is obvious, K-line shows consecutive rising candles, and after a rally, there is a slight pullback; the price has broken through the middle track (201.83) and has stabilized above it; the resistance level above is at 209.59 (previous high), once broken, it is expected to test 220+

4h MACD fast and slow lines are running in a golden cross; the red histogram is continuing to expand, showing strong bullish momentum; both daily and 4-hour charts indicate that bullish momentum is accumulating

Strategy Suggestions (not investment advice, for reference only)
✔ Bullish Strategy:
Pullback Layout: Pay attention to support between 202~204 for buying on dips;
Breakout Follow-up: If there is a significant breakout above 209.59, consider chasing for bullish positions, with a target of 220~230;
Set stop loss at the 196~198 level (below 4-hour support)

✖ Bearish Strategy:
If multiple attempts to break through 209 fail, consider light shorting;
Target between 202~198, with stop loss set above 211

【9.2】 Continuing High Altitude Thinking
Good morning, family. The high-altitude strategy of Erbing remains unchanged. MACD death cross and divergence at the top are obvious, showing a short-term weakness. It has lost the MA60 and is currently under pressure between the 4,336 and 4,372 moving averages. If 4,270 is lost, it may accelerate the downward trend; the sol top structure is continuous, MACD momentum weakens and turns to green bars, showing a clear weakening trend, having lost multiple short-term moving averages. 193.7 is the key support

$ETH
📌 Bullish Strategy:
If it stabilizes in the 4,270–4,300 range, the rebound target looks towards 4,370+
If it strongly breaks above 4,400 with volume, then it will return to the upper limit of the fluctuation

📌 Bearish Strategy:
If it breaks below the 4,270 support level, the bearish target looks towards 4,100 / 4,050
The current rebound is weak, and in the short term, one can short at highs in the 4,360–4,400 range

$SOL
📌 Bullish Strategy:
If it stabilizes in the 193–194 range, attempt to bet on a rebound target looking at 200–205
MACD needs to return to a golden cross state to confirm the strengthening

📌 Bearish Strategy:
If it continues to run below 195 and breaks below 193, bearish momentum is likely to continue
High short reference level: 199—201 range, target retracement to 188—185

⚠️ Risk Warning:
This strategy is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile; be sure to control your position, set stop-losses, and participate rationally.

【September 1 Market Analysis】$BTC is consolidating and rebounding, $ETH continues to fluctuate, $SOL is under short-term pressure

Hello, good morning to all traders, a new week, a new beginning, let's prepare and set off again

🟡 Morning Bitcoin, MACD green bars are shrinking, bottom structures are frequently appearing, short-term slight rebound, K-line is still below multiple moving averages, overall bearish pattern remains unbroken

📌 Long and short game area: 107,800—109,000
It is recommended to focus on short positions, watch if 109,000 breaks
Support: 107,000 / 105,800
Resistance: 109,500 / 110,900

🟢 Second Bitcoin is in a consolidation continuation, key support is effective, the lower support area 4,320—4,360 has been tested multiple times without breaking, MACD low-level golden cross, momentum is gently rebounding, structure is still within a mid-term upward channel

📌 Strategy suggestion:
If it pulls back to 4,360 and does not break, consider a short long
If it breaks through the pressure area of 4,460, it is expected to challenge 4,600 again
Support: 4,320 / 4,272
Resistance: 4,460 / 4,600 / 4,800

🟢 Sol's bullish slope is slowing down, pay attention to the key point of 200, during the day it pulled back to 198 and rebounded, but volume is shrinking, short-term is weak, MACD momentum is diverging, need to guard against "top structure" pressing down

📌 Strategy suggestion:
If it breaks below 198, need to be cautious and avoid
If it can stabilize in the 200—202 area, still can consider bottom-fishing
Support: 198 / 192
Resistance: 205 / 210 / 215

Risk Control and Disclaimer:
The content of this article is for market communication reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Trading should consider one's own risk tolerance, strictly set take-profit and stop-loss, and operate rationally. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, please participate with caution.

【8.31 Evening Strategy】$BTC Weak, $ETH Strong, $SOL Building Momentum! One chart to understand the operation suggestions 📉📈

BTC's bearish trend remains unchanged, ETH is showing strong fluctuations, SOL is building momentum for a breakthrough
👇 Key support/resistance zones and comparison table at the end of the text

🟡 BTCUSDT (Bitcoin)｜Trend is weak, fluctuating downward
Trend characteristics: High-frequency "top structure", located below multiple moving averages, trend is bearish
MACD indicator: Death cross downwards, bearish momentum continues to strengthen
📌 Operation Suggestions:
If the 108,800–109,000 area cannot be effectively broken through, consider light short positions;
If it stands above 109,500, pay attention to strengthening signals;
Support level: 107,000 / 105,500
Resistance level: 109,500 / 110,800

🟢 ETHUSDT (Ethereum)｜Strong fluctuations, short-term bullish
Trend characteristics: Fluctuating upward channel maintained, frequent bottom structures, volume follows
MACD indicator: Golden cross formed, momentum strengthens, "B" buy signal appears
📌 Operation Suggestions:
Consider light long positions when it dips to the 4,360–4,390 area;
If it breaks through 4,600, it is expected to challenge 4,800–5,000;
Support level: 4,320 / 4,272
Resistance level: 4,600 / 4,800

🟢 SOLUSDT (Solana)｜Medium-term strong, building momentum for breakthrough
Trend characteristics: Daily strong fluctuations, clear bottom structures, increasing volume upward
MACD indicator: Continuous golden cross, trend remains upward
📌 Operation Suggestions:
Consider incrementally going long when it dips to 200–198;
If it breaks through 207, it will open up upward space to 215–225;
Support level: 198 / 192
Resistance level: 207 / 215 / 230

⚠️ Disclaimer:
The content of this article is for learning and communication purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investments should be made with caution; profits and losses are at your own risk. Please make independent trading decisions based on your own risk tolerance, and if you are unclear about market judgments, it is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach.

$SOL
The mid-line is strong, breaking through with momentum. The daily line shows strong fluctuations, with a clear bottom structure, increased volume in the upward movement, and a continuous golden cross. The trend remains upward.

Operational Suggestions:
Consider buying in batches on a pullback to 200–198;
If it breaks through 207, it will open up upward space to 215–225;
Support levels: 198 / 192
Resistance levels: 207 / 215 / 230