If any of you vibe with my analysis, then join the community so we can track BTC/XAU prices in real-time together.
I'm just dropping the old plan from before below for you all to check out; every morning I’ll post a detailed scenario like this.
👉👉 Check it out and join here fam: t.me/taichinhcungu.
In the group, if you have any issues, feel free to ask and let’s exchange ideas openly. If any topic stands out, I’ll compile it for our Live session on the weekend to dissect it together.
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Since I post about 1-2 times a day, sometimes by the time you read it, the price might have already moved. If you want timely updates on entry and exit points, just jump into the group and chat directly with me!
🔥 [CHILL ZONE] CZ SAID NO MISTAKE: ELON MUSK REALLY IS "OUT OF THIS WORLD"👽
Fellow traders are holding their breath waiting for news from the US and China to see how XAU or BTC will perform tonight. And what about Elon?
The guy just landed in Beijing and is happily filming and snapping pics, checking out the scenery with a big grin, clearly enjoying himself. The big players can discuss macro trends worth trillions, but our man has to make a video to keep as "material" first!
🔥 MACRO INSIGHT: 4 "MONEY-MAKING" POINTS FROM THE US-CHINA SUMMIT & ITS IMPACT ON BTC PRICE!
The US-China summit on May 1 (14/5) delivered more "Dovish" signals than expected. From a cash flow and crypto perspective, you guys need to pay special attention to the following pivot points:
1. Inflation Tightening (Crude Oil) Eased: The biggest highlight is that both sides agreed to keep the Strait of Hormuz (the oil lifeline) open. China also wants to buy more oil from the US. 👉 Stable oil prices -> US inflation decreases -> FED has room to cut interest rates. This is the number one launchpad for Bitcoin heading towards new ATHs!
2. AI & Tech Wave: The presence of Nvidia's CEO (Jensen Huang) and Tesla's (Elon Musk) in the delegation indicates that the chip and AI race is seeking a common direction. If the US doesn’t completely tighten chip exports to China, AI-related tokens (FET, RNDR...) will greatly benefit from this positive sentiment.
3. Money Pump via Trade: The hot deal of 200 Boeing planes and China's commitment to buy more US agricultural products shows that a massive amount of money is being circulated. Market sentiment is shifting strongly to a "Risk-on" state (willing to accept risk).
💡 Summary: A meeting filled with the scent of Money rather than gunpowder. Those trading Spot during this phase can confidently ride the wave. With such a good macro sentiment, do you think BTC will break its peak this month? Share your thoughts below! 👇 #BinanceSquareVN #MacroEconomics #Bitcoin #AITokens #CryptoMarket
The BITCOIN trade during last night's US session hit full TP, guys! Now let's catch the dip on XAU. Entry for XAU below 4568 (+3 for USDT) SL at 4555 (+3 for USDT) Resistance 1: 4589 (4592 USDT) Resistance 2: 4629 (4631 USDT) Resistance 3: 4665 (4668 USDT)
📌 XAUUSD (GOLD) - VIEW 14/05 BEFORE THE NEWS RELEASE
The Gold range is widening, waiting for macro news tonight. Hold your horses and wait for the price to hit the solid liquidity zone before pulling the trigger, absolutely no half-hearted entries to avoid getting stopped out.
📈 CURRENT STRATEGY (SWING TRADING): 🔴 Looking to SHORT: Zone 4743 - 4746 | SL: 4749 🟢 Looking to LONG: Zone 4620 - 4623 | SL: 4617
(⚠️ EXTREMELY IMPORTANT NOTICE: The above scenario is for XAUUSD. For those trading the XAUUSDT (Crypto) pair, remember to add 3 bucks (+3$) to both Entry and SL to avoid missed orders. Also, the price may fluctuate +- 5 Pips, so keep an eye on the candlesticks).
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT & TRADE DISCIPLINE: - Risk: Max 1-2% of account per trade. Set SL immediately upon entering. No averaging down (DCA) to hold losses. If you're wrong, cut it! - Take profit: If the price moves in profit by 5-7 bucks ($) ➡️ Must take 1/2 off the table, move SL for the remaining position to Entry (Break-even). - Leverage: News can be very erratic, lower your leverage and scale down volume to protect your capital. Wishing everyone a disciplined and profitable trading day! 💰🔥!
(This afternoon I'll be live at 15:30 and for the actual news release at 20:00, if you haven't joined my group chat yet, check the pinned post at the top for real-time updates!)
🔥 MACRO INSIGHT: UNPACKING THE NEW FED CHAIR - BIG WAVES FOR CRYPTO IN LATE 2026?
Starting tomorrow (15/5), Kevin Warsh officially takes over from Jerome Powell at the FED. Instead of dropping a long link for you to read, I’ve broken down the 3 key insights about this guy that will directly affect the BTC chart:
1. The "Paradox" monetary formula: Lower interest rates + Liquidity withdrawal Warsh resigned in 2011 due to his opposition to the FED's money printing. Currently, he promises to lower interest rates while simultaneously wanting to withdraw liquidity from the system (contracting the balance sheet) to eradicate inflation at its root. 👉 Impact: Lower interest rates are GOOD news for risk assets. However, liquidity being pulled back is BAD news. These two forces will cancel each other out, causing extreme volatility in the market. Don’t rush to go All-in just because of the rate cut news!
2. View on BTC: Digital Gold, not Money Warsh understands Crypto. He has previously invested in the Bitwise fund and a stablecoin startup. He acknowledges BTC as "digital gold" for value storage. However, he doused cold water on the hype when he stated: "Cryptocurrency is software, not a means of payment."
3. Huge risks for the Stablecoin ecosystem The scariest part: Kevin Warsh supports the FED issuing a CBDC (Digital Dollar). This view is completely contrary to Trump’s stance. If the FED is determined to push CBDC, the decentralized Stablecoin ecosystem and Web3 payment platforms will face massive legal hurdles.
💡 Action: Keep an eye on the timeline in late 2026 when the new policies start to roll out. Are you leaning towards the New Chair injecting or withdrawing liquidity in the Crypto market? 👇 #BinanceSquareVN #MacroEconomics #Fed #bitcoin
🔥 AFTERMATH OF BARRON TRUMP RUMORS AND $3 BILLION PROFITS: THE SCARY TRUTH OF "INSIDER TRADING"
In recent days, the financial world has been shaken by news that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and CFTC are investigating short positions in crude oil that raked in nearly $3 billion. Notably, the online community is speculating that this "shark" has close ties to the family of the U.S. President (specifically Barron Trump). Although the White House has denied this, the fallout serves as a valuable lesson for us traders.
Let's break down the behavior of "Smart Money" in this incident: Looking at the investigation records, this trader entered a massive short position just MINUTES before: - An announcement was made to de-escalate tensions in the Middle East. - A statement was issued to cool things down and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
💡 Real-world lesson for the Crypto market: - News is for dumping: When you read glowing headlines and are about to hit the Long/Buy button, the truth is that those with insider info have already positioned themselves beforehand, and they are waiting for your (Retail) money to enter for liquidity to cash out. - Price always moves ahead of the news: Why does the price drop before bad news is released? Because Smart Money has sniffed it out.
🔥 MACRO INSIGHT: THE US-CHINA MEETING ON 14/05 WILL DETERMINE THE FATE OF INFLATION AND CRYPTO FLOWS!
Tonight, the US delegation along with a lineup of billion-dollar CEOs will land in Beijing. Don't think this event is distant; it directly impacts BTC price action and the upcoming FED interest rate decisions. The market will scrutinize these 4 lenses closely:
1. "The Valve" Oil Prices (Middle East Issue): The US wants Beijing to intervene to cool down the hotspot in the Middle East (Iran). Why? Because if oil prices drop -> Inflation decreases -> FED cuts rates sooner -> Crypto and risk assets go to the moon. But if oil prices remain high? There's a strong chance the FED will keep its hawkish stance!
2. AI & Chip Battlefield vs Rare Earths: The US is blocking the strongest AI chip supplies, while China threatens to tighten rare earth exports. If both sides find common ground, AI ecosystem tokens (Render, FET...) will benefit greatly.
3. Trade Compromise: Will there be mega contracts for agricultural/tech goods in exchange for tariff removals? An economic agreement at this moment would be a "Risk-on" boost for the entire market.
4. Geopolitical Risks (Taiwan Strait): Breakthroughs are tough, but just some "peaceful" rhetoric could stabilize investor sentiment, preventing capital from fleeing to Gold or USD.
💡 Conclusion: This week, Gold, Oil, and BTC will be highly news-driven. Make sure to manage your risk. Are you leaning towards a Green or Red market scenario after this meeting? Let's discuss! 👇 #BinanceSquareVN #MacroEconomics #CryptoMarket #Aİ #Fed
🔥 MACRO BREAKDOWN: FED LOSES CONTROL OF BONDS - THE NUMBER ONE ENEMY OF BITCOIN IS BACK!
Folks, while we've been chasing AI trends and keeping an eye on geopolitical news, we’ve overlooked a macro variable that’s tightening liquidity across the entire risk market: US bond yields.
1. Data Snapshot (Updated 11/05/2026): The 30-year yield (US30Y) hit 4.98%, nearing the record high of 5%. The 10-year yield (US10Y) stands at 4.42% and continues to climb. 👉 This shows the Fed is powerless in controlling the long end of the yield curve.
2. Why should Crypto be worried about this number? As government bond yields (considered the safest assets in the world) approach 5%, big funds will start asking: "Why would I risk buying Bitcoin or Altcoins when I can just sit back and buy bonds for a super safe 5% annual yield?". Liquidity will flow back from Crypto to TradFi.
3. Domino Effect: The rise in the 10Y yield pushes the 30-year mortgage rates in the US straight up to 7%. A $420K loan now incurs an additional $2,500 in interest annually. Americans are tightening their belts -> Recession looming.
⚠️ Conclusion: If yields don’t cool off, the selling pressure on risk assets like BTC will only increase. Sooner or later, the Bulls will have to "liquidate their positions".
Uncle Bê BTC with Uncle Gold broke the diagonal resistance and is starting to short, alright fam. Mukbang as per demand, remember to manage your risk, folks.
Trading outlook for 12/05/2026 - Looking to short 4888-4890 SL 4895 - Looking to short 4800-4802 SL 4806 - Looking to long 4715-4717 SL 4711 - Looking to long 4620-4623 SL
💰 Profit-taking strategy: Make sure to set your price alerts! If your entry order moves smoothly by 5-7 pips, confidently take some profits and move your SL to the entry point to ride without risk.
🛡 3 SURVIVAL TIPS TO PROTECT YOUR ACCOUNT: 1️⃣ Trade with the main trend, absolutely do not stand in the way of the train! 2️⃣ Discipline your SL, even when you're stacking orders. Profits above 5$ (with lot 0.01) automatically move your SL to entry. Know how to raise your SL with the price (Trailing Stop) to lock in profits. 3️⃣ Use proper volume, risk for each trade under 5% of capital (maximum Stoploss 5% of capital), set leverage at 1:100, folks! Wishing everyone a bright green day! 🍀
Orders for this morning: XAUUSD for you guys (+3 pips for XAUUSDT) 4722 -4717 SL 4702 TP 10 pips or more