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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
THEEEQHS Ultraالنظام المصري الكمي الهجيني :
#SHORT📉
Some folks wonder why the veterans feel so guilty.
They've been through the trenches, not chasing fame or fortune. From external battles to civil wars, and then onto peaceful borders, they returned home not seeking any accolades. Once back, most ended up with shattered families; parents and wives lost to starvation or illness. The strong cultural ties back home only amplify the pain when they see their village worse off than before. Reflecting on their sacrifices for ideals and slogans, many of these veterans live with a sense of brokenness throughout their lives.
You can check out Chen Baoguo's portrayal of Emperor Wu of Han, visiting his hometown and getting scolded by a veteran leaning on a cane. Reality is harsher than the dramas; those who stayed in the forces fared better than those who returned, as the latter spent most of their lives in agony, far from the narratives in textbooks or TV shows.
A couple of years back, I came across a blogger visiting veterans from that era. When they asked an old soldier about his proud moments with the party, the old man suddenly lit up, spouting various cultural gems. Many from that time can’t forgive themselves. My grandpa's cousin was one of them; after enlisting, his son drowned while trying to catch fish to feed the family, and his wife and parents died from famine. When he returned, he broke down mentally, spending his life cycling around to visit relatives. Many pointed fingers at him, and now I think he must carry a lot of guilt.
The dramas and textbooks we see are just beautified art pieces; reality is brutal. My grandpa came back after the civil war; for him, it was a torment. He would rather be a deserter than participate in the civil war, but even deserting was tough. Standing over 1.8 meters tall, he knew he would be caught the moment he took off his uniform; he was too noticeable and got nabbed within days. A letter from a former trench mate who became a high-ranking officer helped him out, acting as a sort of pass.
Later, that officer's son recalled his father's words on a TV show, and it clicked why my grandpa got a break; the son reminisced about how his father would dream of parents and children seeking him out.
Less time with the stories in books; most folks from that time were in a state of brokenness.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
They've been through the trenches, not chasing fame or fortune. From external battles to civil wars, and then onto peaceful borders, they returned home not seeking any accolades. Once back, most ended up with shattered families; parents and wives lost to starvation or illness. The strong cultural ties back home only amplify the pain when they see their village worse off than before. Reflecting on their sacrifices for ideals and slogans, many of these veterans live with a sense of brokenness throughout their lives.
You can check out Chen Baoguo's portrayal of Emperor Wu of Han, visiting his hometown and getting scolded by a veteran leaning on a cane. Reality is harsher than the dramas; those who stayed in the forces fared better than those who returned, as the latter spent most of their lives in agony, far from the narratives in textbooks or TV shows.
A couple of years back, I came across a blogger visiting veterans from that era. When they asked an old soldier about his proud moments with the party, the old man suddenly lit up, spouting various cultural gems. Many from that time can’t forgive themselves. My grandpa's cousin was one of them; after enlisting, his son drowned while trying to catch fish to feed the family, and his wife and parents died from famine. When he returned, he broke down mentally, spending his life cycling around to visit relatives. Many pointed fingers at him, and now I think he must carry a lot of guilt.
The dramas and textbooks we see are just beautified art pieces; reality is brutal. My grandpa came back after the civil war; for him, it was a torment. He would rather be a deserter than participate in the civil war, but even deserting was tough. Standing over 1.8 meters tall, he knew he would be caught the moment he took off his uniform; he was too noticeable and got nabbed within days. A letter from a former trench mate who became a high-ranking officer helped him out, acting as a sort of pass.
Later, that officer's son recalled his father's words on a TV show, and it clicked why my grandpa got a break; the son reminisced about how his father would dream of parents and children seeking him out.
Less time with the stories in books; most folks from that time were in a state of brokenness.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
顺發顺發:
说的简单，他们牺牲了自己和家庭换来了如今的盛世中国，别拿个别兵来诋毁也国奉献甚至牺牲的战士，因为你没有资格！
另外你说老兵自责，更多不是自责为国家生存之战，而是自责自己辜负了父母子女及整个家庭！并不是你说的那种肮脏之事。
万事都可吐槽调侃，为何选择针对军人呢？
你或许你们是愤青、活在中国却各种在网上骂中国的人，如果你或你们是这样的人，那么可以gun出中国，如果不是那样的人，请善待你的祖国，她的确不是很完美，但是目前她至少保你家庭团圆、阖家欢乐！
2026.4.30 #btc
As we hit Thursday this week, the pullback has become the main theme, and it's unrealistic to expect a bullish close on the weekly candle this Friday. After a series of corrections, we saw a brief rally below the 4-hour level yesterday, but this has accumulated more short positions. This has increased the selling pressure. We're back to the starting point from a week ago. However, there's not much room for a significant drop, especially since the Bitcoin weekly trend remains bullish, indicating a healthy correction. Today's decision from the Fed to keep rates unchanged is a subtle bearish signal. The market already reacted to this during the day yesterday. Last night, the Nasdaq oscillated, and after the market dip, we entered a consolidation phase.
As we hit Thursday this week, the pullback has become the main theme, and it's unrealistic to expect a bullish close on the weekly candle this Friday. After a series of corrections, we saw a brief rally below the 4-hour level yesterday, but this has accumulated more short positions. This has increased the selling pressure. We're back to the starting point from a week ago. However, there's not much room for a significant drop, especially since the Bitcoin weekly trend remains bullish, indicating a healthy correction. Today's decision from the Fed to keep rates unchanged is a subtle bearish signal. The market already reacted to this during the day yesterday. Last night, the Nasdaq oscillated, and after the market dip, we entered a consolidation phase.
Jack Dorsey reminded that Bitcoin is not just money, but a tool against censorship, banking control, and reliance on intermediaries like Visa and Mastercard
🔵 BTC continues the idea of the early internet: value and information should flow freely, without permission from above.
🔵 The WikiLeaks case was one of the first examples—when the project’s payments were blocked, Bitcoin helped it survive.
🔵 The disappearance of Satoshi Nakamoto made the system more resilient—BTC has no CEO, no office, and no single point of pressure.
🔵 BTC is especially important in crisis situations, when people need to transfer money and support projects despite pressure from governments and corporations.
🔵 The next step is the spread of information without intermediaries through open protocols like Nostr.
🔵 In essence, it’s no longer just about finance, but about a new infrastructure of freenews dom: money, content, and project support can move directly from community to community.
Earlier, an analyst presented a theory that Jack Dorsey is actually Satoshi Nakamoto.
#btc
More news — subscribe
🔵 BTC continues the idea of the early internet: value and information should flow freely, without permission from above.
🔵 The WikiLeaks case was one of the first examples—when the project’s payments were blocked, Bitcoin helped it survive.
🔵 The disappearance of Satoshi Nakamoto made the system more resilient—BTC has no CEO, no office, and no single point of pressure.
🔵 BTC is especially important in crisis situations, when people need to transfer money and support projects despite pressure from governments and corporations.
🔵 The next step is the spread of information without intermediaries through open protocols like Nostr.
🔵 In essence, it’s no longer just about finance, but about a new infrastructure of freenews dom: money, content, and project support can move directly from community to community.
Earlier, an analyst presented a theory that Jack Dorsey is actually Satoshi Nakamoto.
#btc
More news — subscribe
DariX F0 Square:
Hope your post gets boosted and trends!
For those of us who are short, hold strong, don’t let your hands shake when closing your position, we’re gonna win!!! A nice drop is coming 💯😎🍀🤞🏻 #btc
pe3czek:
BTC půjde na 72284 a potom na 81962. Další V neděli půjde na 73821 a v polovině příštího týdne na 82496.
Stop throwing around labels and distorting the truth. Distorting historical facts is a real insult to those who've passed; you're the type who clearly lacks a proper perspective.
Please take a look at our party's 11th Central Committee Third Plenary Session in 1978 and the 11th Central Committee Fifth Plenary Session in 1980. Then check out the interview with Farage from 1980. If that's too much, just flip through the news broadcasts and notice how those in power repeatedly acknowledge serious mistakes in our party's history.
Enough with the distortion of facts and personal insults; telling people to leave is just petty, don't you think?
You're a classic example of someone who stirs up ethnic tensions and distorts historical facts…
Should I label you too?
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Please take a look at our party's 11th Central Committee Third Plenary Session in 1978 and the 11th Central Committee Fifth Plenary Session in 1980. Then check out the interview with Farage from 1980. If that's too much, just flip through the news broadcasts and notice how those in power repeatedly acknowledge serious mistakes in our party's history.
Enough with the distortion of facts and personal insults; telling people to leave is just petty, don't you think?
You're a classic example of someone who stirs up ethnic tensions and distorts historical facts…
Should I label you too?
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Let's keep it real, they sacrificed themselves and their families for the thriving China we have today. Don't throw shade at the soldiers who dedicated themselves and even laid down their lives for the country because you simply don't have that right!\n\nAlso, when you mention veterans feeling guilty, it's more about not letting down their parents, kids, and entire families, not the kind of dirty stuff you’re suggesting.\n\nEverything can be joked about, so why target the military?\n\nMaybe you guys are just angry youth, living in China yet trashing it online. If you or your crew are like that, then feel free to bounce from China. But if you’re not, please treat your country with respect. It's not perfect, but at least it keeps your family together and brings happiness!
顺發顺發:
你这稍微多看点书，就以为懂得很多，稍微觉得不和你的意，就会说人家脑袋长屁股……还说给人家扣帽子？你眼睛呢？你看你上片文章说的是你现在回复的意思吗？我已经回复过你了，再改开之前的确有错误，历史课本也说了，一点不可否认，正如我所说的“她不完美，但给了大家圆满家庭……”这些话！ 你眼睛呢？没看到我说如果！如果你是这种人！这样的话吗？你又不是何必恼羞称怒……算了，没必要继续对线了……拜👋
🚨 $BTC Since June 2025, every FOMC decision has led to Bitcoin trading lower within the next 14 days.
June 2025 - BTC dropped -6.3%
July 2025 - BTC dropped -5.0%
Sep 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -6.7%
Oct 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -10.0%
Dec 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -8.2%
Jan 2026 - BTC dropped - 32.8%
Mar 2026 - BTC dropped -8.7%
Now Bitcoin is entering April FOMC while sitting directly under the same rejection zone. Maybe this time is different but the last 7 times, FOMC was not the breakout catalyst, it was where late longs got trapped. #btc #bitcoin #fomc
June 2025 - BTC dropped -6.3%
July 2025 - BTC dropped -5.0%
Sep 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -6.7%
Oct 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -10.0%
Dec 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -8.2%
Jan 2026 - BTC dropped - 32.8%
Mar 2026 - BTC dropped -8.7%
Now Bitcoin is entering April FOMC while sitting directly under the same rejection zone. Maybe this time is different but the last 7 times, FOMC was not the breakout catalyst, it was where late longs got trapped. #btc #bitcoin #fomc
Proper_Trader:
claim $10 here in red packet 🥰🧧
https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/Wfirxrtd?utm_medium=web_share_copy
Bitcoin is showing strength again—short positions getting wiped 💥
Upside momentum is accelerating with strong buying pressure!
$BTC
🟢 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🟢
Short liquidation spotted 🧨
$100K cleared at $75836.50
Upside liquidity swept — react NOW or watch the market shift 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$76000
TP2: ~$76200
TP3: ~$76500
#btc
Upside momentum is accelerating with strong buying pressure!
$BTC
🟢 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🟢
Short liquidation spotted 🧨
$100K cleared at $75836.50
Upside liquidity swept — react NOW or watch the market shift 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$76000
TP2: ~$76200
TP3: ~$76500
#btc
$BTC 4.30 Bitcoin Trend Analysis: Bitcoin has dipped to around 74900, and the downtrend structure isn't complete yet. A bounce back to the 0.5-0.618 zone still presents shorting opportunities. There’s some debate on the minor wave formations, but the overall trend remains unchanged (Bitcoin Futures Trading) Commander
#BTC走势分析 #btc
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#BTC走势分析 #btc
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Now I'll tell you one thing that will turn your idea of the market in your head.
We used to think that falling is as easy as growing up. But no.
Here, we take our favourite bitcoin for $76.9 thousand for analysis and simulate two situations:
📈 To reach $92 thousand (+15.1 thousand) you only need to pour ~$190 million into the market.
📉 But in order to collapse the price to $62 thousand (-14.9 thousand), you need to withdraw as much as $1.319 billion from the market!
Think about it: the price change is almost the same, but the difference is 6.9 times! It's like pushing a trampoline down: it springs backwards, but it's easier than throwing it up.
Why so?
The model takes into account a bunch of factors: open interest, liquidations, margin flows. And now all this shows us that there is a concrete wall from the limit orders at the bottom. Sellers will have to sweat a lot to break through the floor. But at the top there is rarefied air🪁 buyers can disperse the market with little effort if you compare it with sellers.
My opinion: this is a bullish imbalance. When it takes almost one and a half lards for the fall, and the ridiculous 190 lambs for growth, it means that the market does not physically want to go down.
So don't be surprised if we see $92k sooner than $62K. Mathematics is on our side.
This is not financial advice, it's just figures that are publicly available for which we can thank the market maker$BTC $ETH $SOL #BinanceSquareTalks #analysis #btc
We used to think that falling is as easy as growing up. But no.
Here, we take our favourite bitcoin for $76.9 thousand for analysis and simulate two situations:
📈 To reach $92 thousand (+15.1 thousand) you only need to pour ~$190 million into the market.
📉 But in order to collapse the price to $62 thousand (-14.9 thousand), you need to withdraw as much as $1.319 billion from the market!
Think about it: the price change is almost the same, but the difference is 6.9 times! It's like pushing a trampoline down: it springs backwards, but it's easier than throwing it up.
Why so?
The model takes into account a bunch of factors: open interest, liquidations, margin flows. And now all this shows us that there is a concrete wall from the limit orders at the bottom. Sellers will have to sweat a lot to break through the floor. But at the top there is rarefied air🪁 buyers can disperse the market with little effort if you compare it with sellers.
My opinion: this is a bullish imbalance. When it takes almost one and a half lards for the fall, and the ridiculous 190 lambs for growth, it means that the market does not physically want to go down.
So don't be surprised if we see $92k sooner than $62K. Mathematics is on our side.
This is not financial advice, it's just figures that are publicly available for which we can thank the market maker$BTC $ETH $SOL #BinanceSquareTalks #analysis #btc
Bitcoin short interest has surged to 19%, the highest level since the beginning of 2023. This setup also appeared two weeks before the last peak—whether we can see a move depends on the speed of unwinding over the next 72 hours.
This can be interpreted as an extreme funding rate, but more importantly, it's about the spot leverage costs in the lending market, which is more complex than just looking at contract rates. #btc
This can be interpreted as an extreme funding rate, but more importantly, it's about the spot leverage costs in the lending market, which is more complex than just looking at contract rates. #btc
callmesae187:
check my pinned post and claim your free red package and quiz in USTD🎁🎁
🔥 $BTC Monthly Chart Update
Bitcoin is currently sitting at the lower boundary of a long-term ascending channel that has held strong since 2017 — surviving every major bear market, including 2018, 2020, and 2022.
A monthly close above $76K would confirm this support is intact and could open the الطريق toward $85K, $93K, and $101K.
Momentum is also improving. The RSI on the monthly timeframe is turning upward, which has historically signaled strength rather than breakdown.
Another key factor:
Bitcoin appears to be breaking a major descending trendline from its all-time high — a significant macro bullish signal that many are overlooking.
Calls for a drop to $40K don’t align with this structure. A breakdown of this 7-year channel would be historically unprecedented.
📊 Bottom line:
The monthly close is critical right now — watch this candle closely. 👀
#BinanceLaunchesGoldvs.BTCTradingCompetition #StrategyBTCPurchase #FedRatesUnchanged #btc
Bitcoin is currently sitting at the lower boundary of a long-term ascending channel that has held strong since 2017 — surviving every major bear market, including 2018, 2020, and 2022.
A monthly close above $76K would confirm this support is intact and could open the الطريق toward $85K, $93K, and $101K.
Momentum is also improving. The RSI on the monthly timeframe is turning upward, which has historically signaled strength rather than breakdown.
Another key factor:
Bitcoin appears to be breaking a major descending trendline from its all-time high — a significant macro bullish signal that many are overlooking.
Calls for a drop to $40K don’t align with this structure. A breakdown of this 7-year channel would be historically unprecedented.
📊 Bottom line:
The monthly close is critical right now — watch this candle closely. 👀
#BinanceLaunchesGoldvs.BTCTradingCompetition #StrategyBTCPurchase #FedRatesUnchanged #btc
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