Crypto_Paykash
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Crypto_Paykash
Crypto enthusiast | Exploring blockchain and digital assets | Content creator | Writer | CMC KOL.
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$BTC has never recorded three straight green monthly closes during a bear market year (2014, 2018, 2022).
With March and April already closing in the green, history suggests May could break the streak and turn red if the pattern holds.
#TrumpSaysIranConflictHasEnded
With March and April already closing in the green, history suggests May could break the streak and turn red if the pattern holds.
#TrumpSaysIranConflictHasEnded
$ARKM is trying to stabilize around a key support zone.
I'm watching the $0.096–$0.113 range closely, as it lines up with the potential support area for Wave (B) of the current Wave 4 structure.
If buyers continue to defend this zone, it could provide a solid foundation for the next move. For now, it's a level worth keeping on the watchlist.
#ZcashIronwoodUpgradeNearsTestnet
I'm watching the $0.096–$0.113 range closely, as it lines up with the potential support area for Wave (B) of the current Wave 4 structure.
If buyers continue to defend this zone, it could provide a solid foundation for the next move. For now, it's a level worth keeping on the watchlist.
#ZcashIronwoodUpgradeNearsTestnet
Looking at previous Bitcoin cycles, it feels like we could be entering the later stages of this bear market.
Historically, $BTC has spent around a year in correction before finding its cycle low. If this cycle follows a similar timeline, we're already about nine months into the process roughly three-quarters of the way through.
Of course, history doesn't repeat perfectly, so that doesn't mean the bottom has to arrive in exactly three months.
But if the broader pattern continues to hold, the market may be moving into the final phase of this bear cycle, making the months ahead especially important to watch.
#JunePayrolls57KHikeOddsFallTo50%
Historically, $BTC has spent around a year in correction before finding its cycle low. If this cycle follows a similar timeline, we're already about nine months into the process roughly three-quarters of the way through.
Of course, history doesn't repeat perfectly, so that doesn't mean the bottom has to arrive in exactly three months.
But if the broader pattern continues to hold, the market may be moving into the final phase of this bear cycle, making the months ahead especially important to watch.
#JunePayrolls57KHikeOddsFallTo50%
I'm staying patient with $ETH for now.
For me, the level to watch is $1,800. If ETH can break and hold above it, that would be a much stronger confirmation than trying to anticipate the move early.
That area lines up with key range resistance and the double-top neckline, so I'd rather wait for confirmation than rush into a position.
I'd rather pay a bit more for a confirmed breakout than buy too early and get caught in another rejection.
#GillibrandCallsForDigitalAssetEthicsBan
For me, the level to watch is $1,800. If ETH can break and hold above it, that would be a much stronger confirmation than trying to anticipate the move early.
That area lines up with key range resistance and the double-top neckline, so I'd rather wait for confirmation than rush into a position.
I'd rather pay a bit more for a confirmed breakout than buy too early and get caught in another rejection.
#GillibrandCallsForDigitalAssetEthicsBan
$ZEC is starting to look interesting. 🤟
The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern played out well, with price pushing roughly 10% higher toward the $460 area.
Now I'm watching the $480 level closely. If bulls can reclaim and hold that zone, it could be an early sign that the broader downtrend is beginning to lose momentum.
The next move from here should be worth watching.
#PhiladelphiaSemiconductorIndexFalls4%
The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern played out well, with price pushing roughly 10% higher toward the $460 area.
Now I'm watching the $480 level closely. If bulls can reclaim and hold that zone, it could be an early sign that the broader downtrend is beginning to lose momentum.
The next move from here should be worth watching.
#PhiladelphiaSemiconductorIndexFalls4%
Looking back at previous bear market cycles, $BTC staged notable relief rallies after July. In 2018, it gained around 43%, while in 2022, the move was closer to 33% over the following months.
If this cycle follows a similar pattern with a smaller percentage move, a relief rally of around 24% could be reasonable. Using $57K as the potential mid-cycle low, that would point to a move toward the $72K area.
Of course, history doesn't repeat perfectly. In both previous cycles, BTC eventually revisited lower levels before forming the final bear market bottom later in the year.
It's an interesting roadmap to watch, but price action and macro conditions will ultimately determine whether this cycle follows a similar path.
#KOSPIOpensUp1.41%
If this cycle follows a similar pattern with a smaller percentage move, a relief rally of around 24% could be reasonable. Using $57K as the potential mid-cycle low, that would point to a move toward the $72K area.
Of course, history doesn't repeat perfectly. In both previous cycles, BTC eventually revisited lower levels before forming the final bear market bottom later in the year.
It's an interesting roadmap to watch, but price action and macro conditions will ultimately determine whether this cycle follows a similar path.
#KOSPIOpensUp1.41%
It feels like $SOL may have already found its cycle low against its BTC pair.
There could still be some room for downside on the USD chart, but when it comes to rotating from SOL into BTC as a hedge, that trade doesn't look as compelling to me anymore if you're already holding Solana.
I'm watching how this plays out, but the SOL/BTC chart is starting to look a lot more interesting.
#DowHitsRecordHigh
would Sol hits above its ATH or still below $100 ?
There could still be some room for downside on the USD chart, but when it comes to rotating from SOL into BTC as a hedge, that trade doesn't look as compelling to me anymore if you're already holding Solana.
I'm watching how this plays out, but the SOL/BTC chart is starting to look a lot more interesting.
#DowHitsRecordHigh
would Sol hits above its ATH or still below $100 ?
ATH
42%
$100
58%
12 votes • Voting closed
Verified
🔥 Metaplanet just added another 2,823 $BTC to its treasury, pushing its total Bitcoin holdings to 43,000 BTC.
The company continues to double down on its long-term Bitcoin strategy.
#USADP98KMiss
The company continues to double down on its long-term Bitcoin strategy.
#USADP98KMiss
If $ZEC completes this inverse head-and-shoulders structure, I think there's a solid chance that $365 ends up being the local bottom.
From there, $480 becomes the key level to watch.
A clean breakout above $480 could signal the start of the next leg higher and confirm $365 as the macro higher low.
If ZEC struggles to reclaim $480, there's still a chance this move is just a relief rally before forming the next lower high.
#AmericanBitcoinSets1For15ReverseSplit
From there, $480 becomes the key level to watch.
A clean breakout above $480 could signal the start of the next leg higher and confirm $365 as the macro higher low.
If ZEC struggles to reclaim $480, there's still a chance this move is just a relief rally before forming the next lower high.
#AmericanBitcoinSets1For15ReverseSplit
One interesting pattern I've found from backtesting 8.5 years of $BTC data is that the monthly high or low often forms within the first 10 days of the month.
Out of 102 monthly candles:
• 42% set their monthly high early.
• 45% set their monthly low early.
That's well above the 33% you'd expect if it were completely random.
Even more interesting, the last five months have all followed this pattern.
That makes the first 10 days of July worth watching. If BTC is going to see another shakeout, history suggests it could happen early. But if support holds and the monthly low is set during this period, the odds of a stronger second half of July start to improve.
#BitcoinWorstFirstHalfSince2022
Out of 102 monthly candles:
• 42% set their monthly high early.
• 45% set their monthly low early.
That's well above the 33% you'd expect if it were completely random.
Even more interesting, the last five months have all followed this pattern.
That makes the first 10 days of July worth watching. If BTC is going to see another shakeout, history suggests it could happen early. But if support holds and the monthly low is set during this period, the odds of a stronger second half of July start to improve.
#BitcoinWorstFirstHalfSince2022
🇺🇸 Spot crypto ETFs saw net outflows across the board on June 30, reflecting a more cautious tone from investors.
• BTC: -222.64M
• ETH: -27.6M
• $SOL: -2.5M
• $XRP: -2.83M
While one day of outflows doesn't define the broader trend, ETF flows remain an important indicator of institutional sentiment and are worth keeping an eye on.
#USLiftsExportControlsOnAnthropicModels
• BTC: -222.64M
• ETH: -27.6M
• $SOL: -2.5M
• $XRP: -2.83M
While one day of outflows doesn't define the broader trend, ETF flows remain an important indicator of institutional sentiment and are worth keeping an eye on.
#USLiftsExportControlsOnAnthropicModels
$XLM is trading just below a descending trendline, and the price structure is becoming more interesting.
Sellers appear to be losing momentum, while buyers continue stepping in at higher lows. That combination often signals that pressure is building ahead of a larger move.
A clean breakout above the trendline could shift momentum back toward the bulls and open the door for another leg higher.
XLM is approaching a key decision point, so the next few candles could be worth watching as volatility begins to pick up.
#CircleRemovedFromRussellGrowthIndexes
Sellers appear to be losing momentum, while buyers continue stepping in at higher lows. That combination often signals that pressure is building ahead of a larger move.
A clean breakout above the trendline could shift momentum back toward the bulls and open the door for another leg higher.
XLM is approaching a key decision point, so the next few candles could be worth watching as volatility begins to pick up.
#CircleRemovedFromRussellGrowthIndexes
Bitcoin is approaching one of its most important higher-timeframe tests this cycle.
For the first time, $BTC is testing the highest monthly close from the previous cycle top something we didn't see during the 2018 or 2022 bear markets. This level also served as a major base throughout 2024 before the rally toward 126K, making it a key area of historical support.
That's why I think July could be a decisive month.
If history repeats, BTC could briefly dip into the mid-$50Ks, reclaim this monthly level, and close July strong, similar to the relief rallies seen in previous bear markets.
But if Bitcoin loses this support and closes the month below it, the market structure would look much weaker and could open the door to a move toward the $50K region or lower.
For now, all eyes are on how BTC reacts around this monthly support.
#JDVanceDisclosesBTCHoldings
For the first time, $BTC is testing the highest monthly close from the previous cycle top something we didn't see during the 2018 or 2022 bear markets. This level also served as a major base throughout 2024 before the rally toward 126K, making it a key area of historical support.
That's why I think July could be a decisive month.
If history repeats, BTC could briefly dip into the mid-$50Ks, reclaim this monthly level, and close July strong, similar to the relief rallies seen in previous bear markets.
But if Bitcoin loses this support and closes the month below it, the market structure would look much weaker and could open the door to a move toward the $50K region or lower.
For now, all eyes are on how BTC reacts around this monthly support.
#JDVanceDisclosesBTCHoldings
$ZEC may take time, and I'm in no rush.
But if it closes a weekly candle above $700, that'll be a major signal for me.
That level has capped every major rally for nearly eight years, making it one of the most important resistance zones on the chart.
The longer a resistance level holds, the more meaningful the breakout tends to be when it finally gives way.
I can't say when it'll happen, but if ZEC decisively breaks above $700, I think it could mark the beginning of a completely new phase of price discovery.
#SupremeCourtBlocksTrumpFromRemovingFedCook
But if it closes a weekly candle above $700, that'll be a major signal for me.
That level has capped every major rally for nearly eight years, making it one of the most important resistance zones on the chart.
The longer a resistance level holds, the more meaningful the breakout tends to be when it finally gives way.
I can't say when it'll happen, but if ZEC decisively breaks above $700, I think it could mark the beginning of a completely new phase of price discovery.
#SupremeCourtBlocksTrumpFromRemovingFedCook
The next few days could be a key turning point for $BTC
Price is approaching two major levels that are only about 3% apart, and I think whichever one breaks first will likely set the tone for the next significant move.
On the downside, 59K continues to be the level bulls have defended. Every dip into that area has attracted buyers, and the pattern of higher lows is still holding.
On the upside, 60.7K has flipped from support into resistance. So far, every relief rally has struggled to break above it.
What stands out is that both of these levels line up with the boundaries of a symmetrical triangle. When key horizontal levels and trendlines converge like this, it often signals that a bigger move is getting close.
If Bitcoin breaks convincingly below 59K or pushes above 60.7K–61K, I expect momentum to pick up quickly in the direction of the breakout.
#DowHitsRecordClose
Price is approaching two major levels that are only about 3% apart, and I think whichever one breaks first will likely set the tone for the next significant move.
On the downside, 59K continues to be the level bulls have defended. Every dip into that area has attracted buyers, and the pattern of higher lows is still holding.
On the upside, 60.7K has flipped from support into resistance. So far, every relief rally has struggled to break above it.
What stands out is that both of these levels line up with the boundaries of a symmetrical triangle. When key horizontal levels and trendlines converge like this, it often signals that a bigger move is getting close.
If Bitcoin breaks convincingly below 59K or pushes above 60.7K–61K, I expect momentum to pick up quickly in the direction of the breakout.
#DowHitsRecordClose
What if $SOL follows a path similar to ETH in 2022 and bottoms out months before Bitcoin?
It's a scenario I'm starting to take more seriously.
The key level I'm watching is the 21-week EMA, currently around $85. The last time SOL reclaimed this level during a bear market, the cycle low was already behind us.
Of course, one historical example isn't enough to draw a firm conclusion. But if SOL reclaims that level again, it could strengthen the case that the worst of this cycle is already over.
It would also help explain why SOL/BTC has continued to show relative strength, even while the broader crypto market has remained under pressure.
#SuperMicroTaiwanRaidedInChipSmugglingProbe
It's a scenario I'm starting to take more seriously.
The key level I'm watching is the 21-week EMA, currently around $85. The last time SOL reclaimed this level during a bear market, the cycle low was already behind us.
Of course, one historical example isn't enough to draw a firm conclusion. But if SOL reclaims that level again, it could strengthen the case that the worst of this cycle is already over.
It would also help explain why SOL/BTC has continued to show relative strength, even while the broader crypto market has remained under pressure.
#SuperMicroTaiwanRaidedInChipSmugglingProbe
🇺🇸 ETF FLOWS: Last week, XRP spot ETFs stood out with net inflows, while Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana spot ETFs all recorded net outflows.
• BTC: -1.79B
• ETH: -273.34M
• $SOL: -3.8M
• XRP: +22.99M
$XRP was the only one among the four to attract fresh capital, bucking the broader trend. 📊
#KoreaKOSDAQRulesRiskCryptoTreasuryFirmDelisting
• BTC: -1.79B
• ETH: -273.34M
• $SOL: -3.8M
• XRP: +22.99M
$XRP was the only one among the four to attract fresh capital, bucking the broader trend. 📊
#KoreaKOSDAQRulesRiskCryptoTreasuryFirmDelisting
Verified
🔥 BULLISH: SharpLink added another $62.4M worth of $ETH last week, acquiring nearly 40,000 ETH after an eight-month break.
The move suggests the company has resumed its accumulation strategy, a sign of renewed confidence in Ethereum's long-term outlook.
#ChinaBlacklists40MoreJapanEntities
The move suggests the company has resumed its accumulation strategy, a sign of renewed confidence in Ethereum's long-term outlook.
#ChinaBlacklists40MoreJapanEntities
Bitcoin is approaching a key weekly close.
Although $BTC briefly dipped below the previous weekly wick low around $59K, the candle body is still holding above that level as the week comes to an end.
That suggests the higher-timeframe structure is under pressure, but it hasn't fully broken down yet.
If BTC can reclaim the $65K area as support next week, it would strengthen the case that $58K marked the local bottom going into Q3.
However, if the weekly candle closes below the $59K wick level, it would be a sign that Bitcoin may still be headed for lower support on the higher timeframes.
#SaylorHintsStrategyBitcoinBuy
Although $BTC briefly dipped below the previous weekly wick low around $59K, the candle body is still holding above that level as the week comes to an end.
That suggests the higher-timeframe structure is under pressure, but it hasn't fully broken down yet.
If BTC can reclaim the $65K area as support next week, it would strengthen the case that $58K marked the local bottom going into Q3.
However, if the weekly candle closes below the $59K wick level, it would be a sign that Bitcoin may still be headed for lower support on the higher timeframes.
#SaylorHintsStrategyBitcoinBuy
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