@Krysta1347 A shrinking trading volume falling is precisely a manifestation of a short-seller trap. If the trading volume expands, it’s actually not like that anymore.
Source: @Eth527 on X Publish by using 6551 twitter mirror tool #Crypto #Web3 #区块链
At this time next year, when BTC is at 130,000, many people will again say it will go to 200–1,000,000 (200-100W). By then, the teachers who told people to get in will be trapped in losses as well. https://x.com/eth527/status/2070354034872250679
Source: @Eth527 on X Published using the 6551 Twitter mirror tool #Crypto #Web3 #Blockchain
One interesting piece of data is that on @42space, about 20% of addresses are in profit, while on Polymarket that figure is under 1%.
Behind this is not only a difference in user skill, but also a different market structure. Traditional prediction markets are more like “buy and settle—no turning back.” Price fluctuations along the way don’t affect most people; when they’re wrong, they often just have to hold on until settlement.
42’s DNA is trading. Users aren’t forced to wait for the final outcome. Instead, they can continuously adjust their positions based on price and changes in events. If the direction is wrong, they can promptly reduce exposure, switch sides, and recoup costs. If the direction is right, they can also lock in profits early, rather than putting all potential gains on the final settlement moment.
This is more friendly to retail users, because retail users’ biggest disadvantage isn’t that they lack opinions—it’s low tolerance for error, weak capital management, and slow information updates. 42 is a mechanism that allows mid-course corrections, dynamic rebalancing, and taking profits early, while also reducing the punishment of “being wrong once and going to zero.”
So the difference between 42 and traditional prediction markets isn’t just UX or gameplay—it’s a difference in risk structure.
42.space/leaderboard
Source: @Eth527 on X Publish by using 6551 twitter mirror tool #Crypto #Web3 #区块链