تحديث للمنشور المنشور بتاريخ 2025/12 I still believe that the current Bitcoin cycle will continue until 2026/11/2, which is the date I expect the bottom to form, God willing. I previously warned against buying in the $70K and $80K zones, and the analysis stands unless we break the $126K top, in which case the analysis is void.
The current move from 57,700 to 63,000 is very similar to the previous uptrend from 60,000 to 83,000, and I rate this similarity as a fractal of about 8/10. Based on this similarity, I expect the next move to be similar to the move that followed that previous rally. Of course, this is only a fractal and an assumption based on price-action similarity, not a guaranteed prediction with 100% certainty. We have already compared two similar movements before, and the scenario succeeded twice; we hope it succeeds again this time. Just be cautious and don’t rely on the fractal alone to make your decision. Wait for confirmation from the price action. And God knows best. $BTC
I don’t know what the people think who insist on denying Bitcoin cycles, and say that Bitcoin is no longer a small asset to move in cycles, and that it now moves only with liquidity! If this had been said in November, when the price was between 90 and 100 thousand, and you were saying that what’s happening is just a simple correction, then there would have been room for discussion. But now, after the price has reached 57 thousand, and some people are still denying the idea of cycles, honestly it’s hard for me to understand this view.
Ethereum proved its strength against Bitcoin as we expected. ETH rose by about 22% from the low, while BTC rose by only around 10%. The reason is simply that the ETH/BTC pair reached the previously set target and then rebounded from it, indicating the return of Ethereum’s strength relative to Bitcoin; therefore, it was natural for Ethereum’s performance to outperform Bitcoin in this rebound. And this is exactly what happened as expected. Now, if Bitcoin reverses and continues the expected scenario with a drop toward $53k–$48k, I believe Ethereum’s decline may be less severe than Bitcoin’s decline, thanks to the improvement in its relative strength. Also, the $1507–$1271 area remains, in my view, an important accumulation and monitoring zone—an area that has been identified since April 19. And Allah knows best. $ETH
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Bullish
This is the ETHBTC chart It basically shows the strength of Ethereum against Bitcoin. 🪙🔷
I posted the analysis on April 19, and it was clear to me that the pair was headed for a short, and indeed we saw the drop afterward. This clearly reflected in the market, as Ethereum still hasn't managed to hold above the descending channel like Bitcoin did.
Currently, Ethereum's position is still weak, while Bitcoin shows clearer strength in the market, and the ETHBTC indicator is getting close to hitting its target.
If ETHBTC reaches the expected target, and sure after a drop for both Bitcoin and Ethereum together, I expect altcoins to start moving better than Bitcoin after this drop, unlike the current situation where Bitcoin's performance is stronger than most coins.
We'll evaluate the movement of the coins when ETHBTC hits its target, and we'll keep an eye on it, God willing.
Just a personal analysis and not a financial recommendation. $BTC
Bitcoin The price reached the $62,000 area, which is an Inducement zone. Directly above it is an Order Block, and there is also the 200-week moving average at $62,600, making this area strong resistance that may result in—at least—a price correction. Therefore, I advise traders to raise their level of caution, secure profits, and protect trades by using a Stop Loss and managing risk well. And God knows best.
Usually when a bearish crossover occurs (death cross), the price does not necessarily react immediately, but in most cases the chart’s reaction is delayed by one to three candles. Therefore, you should monitor any rise occurring right now or any upcoming pullback, and even if the price returns to 62,700, there should be no reassurance (ma200); instead, remain cautious, because the chart naturally begins to show a reaction—even if slight—toward this bearish crossover. That’s why I don’t rush to judge the move. I prefer to wait for two weekly candles until the signal is confirmed and the market gives its reaction, even though the move may be clear technically within seconds, the chart lags in its reaction. And God knows best.$BTC
Bitcoin has lost the 200-week average and also the 50-month average; in my opinion, this keeps the bearish scenario in place.
So far, I still see the path open for reaching our target that we set from the 83,000-dollar areas: the range from 53,000 to 48,000 dollars.
And any upcoming upside, I believe, will be difficult, because it will immediately face strong resistances, namely:
- The 200-week average at $62,600. - The 50-month average at $59,500.
Therefore, I expect the price to remain below the downtrend channel, with continued fluctuations within it until November 2, unless it can regain these averages and close and stabilize above them.
This is my personal technical analysis and not an investment recommendation.
I started reading the news that BlackRock is going to trade, even though the transaction is just a deposit notice. $BTC happened earlier, and it is merely a deposit notice. BlackRock deposited an additional 4,984.56 $BTC (worth $295 million) and 30,725 $ETH (worth $48.58 million) into Coinbase Prime.
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Bearish
BlackRock pressures the Bitcoin price strongly, especially as the monthly close approaches. Yesterday around 7,400 Bitcoins were transferred, and today selling pressure continues to weigh on the market. In the coming hours, you will likely hear news claiming that BlackRock has been dumping, but what is actually happening may begin before the news spreads. Sometimes moving coins is just a step that precedes drawing traders’ attention, while the selling pressure is already in place. Don’t believe everything that big companies like BlackRock or Saylor announce; not everything that gets published is necessarily in the best interest of the small investor. News may come after the main move has already happened. In the end, watch price action, volume, and liquidity more than you follow statements. Whales don’t announce their real moves when it’s in their favor, and what gets published in the media is not necessarily the full picture. $BTC
BlackRock pressures the Bitcoin price strongly, especially as the monthly close approaches. Yesterday around 7,400 Bitcoins were transferred, and today selling pressure continues to weigh on the market. In the coming hours, you will likely hear news claiming that BlackRock has been dumping, but what is actually happening may begin before the news spreads. Sometimes moving coins is just a step that precedes drawing traders’ attention, while the selling pressure is already in place. Don’t believe everything that big companies like BlackRock or Saylor announce; not everything that gets published is necessarily in the best interest of the small investor. News may come after the main move has already happened. In the end, watch price action, volume, and liquidity more than you follow statements. Whales don’t announce their real moves when it’s in their favor, and what gets published in the media is not necessarily the full picture. $BTC
Wherever someone was betting on Saylor and that he would not sell unless at a price of one million—here are the negative news that started with the beginning of our entry into the accumulation zones. Don’t worry; let what guides you be the chart. $BTC ⚡️ Saylor agreed to sell up to $1.25 billion worth of BTC to fund a Dollar-denominated Strategy reserve if necessary.
The scenario is still the same and has not changed so far. The price interacted with the black lines, which represent a support area for the Wyckoff model. It also reacted to the $78 support, which was the Boll Trap support level in the previous Ber market.
Our official target since October remains at $58. If selling pressure increases and negative momentum continues, the closest support areas afterward are $48 - $40.
And if the price is unable to return and close above the last peak formed during the last uptrend wave—at $98—then it is likely that the bleeding will continue toward the $48 - $40 areas.
However, it should be noted that these are technical targets for the chart and not necessarily accumulation zones, because a drop in Bitcoin could push Solana to levels lower than that.
Therefore, it’s best to monitor Bitcoin’s movement when it reaches the expected bottom, and also follow the time factor I mentioned earlier, which is November 2.
This is just technical analysis and not financial advice. The investment decision is your responsibility. $SOL
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Analysis of SOL Coin — Large Frame (Weekly)
The currency has risen more than 4200% from the bottom of the bear market,
And now you see all the positive news talking about it — From institutional entry, investment funds, and a lot of media hype. But honestly, I was setting targets above 300–500,
However, I said it earlier: > "We need to broaden our perspective and open a larger frame."
Did you know what it means for Binance services to be stopped in the European Union? The issue isn’t in the European Union, but in Binance itself. The EU introduced the MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation) law to regulate the crypto market and protect investors’ funds. Platforms that do not comply with the requirements of this regulation are not allowed to continue offering their services within the EU. If a platform as large as Binance hasn’t met these requirements, that raises serious questions about how well it complies with regulatory standards and protects customers’ funds. For me, this calls for extreme caution before trusting it, and we know what happened in 10/10—especially since the purpose of these laws is to protect investors, not restrict them. @ $BNB
Simply put, since October we have been looking at the market negatively; as we mentioned earlier, we will proceed according to what happened in the previous cycles. And even now, I see that the scenario is moving in a similar direction. In each cycle, usually June begins with entry into the accumulation zones, and I think we have approached them. There are many indicators suggesting that the current phase is a preparation stage.
Gold update After our previous analysis, when gold was trading near 4700, it achieved all the expected targets with a drop of about 17%, and only the final target at 3881 remained. However, in the latest update I indicated that the box zone is a strong support area, and I expect at least a corrective rebound from it. Currently, a positive divergence is appearing, so I expect an upswing to test the downtrend line near 4300, followed by a continuation of the decline, especially with the “death cross” on the daily timeframe between MA50 and MA200, which supports the continuation of the bearish trend. The outlook for gold turns positive if the price closes above the downtrend line and above the resistance at 4350—then the technical view could change. This scenario is invalidated if support in the box zone is broken and price holds below it. Not financial advice—just a technical reading of price action. $XAU Trading gold is forbidden
Binance will remove ALCX, ARDR, NFP, and POND from listing on 2026-07-10
Based on the latest reviews, Binance has decided to remove and suspend trading on all spot trading pairs for the following cryptocurrencies effective 2026-07-10 at 03:00 (UTC):
It was clear from what was said that we were not bottom feeders 👍
عدسة الكريبتو - Crypto Lens
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Have we formed a bottom? In short: I don't see that happening yet. Bottom formations typically don't occur with just one candlestick, and the indicators are still looking bearish. The weekly timeframe isn't giving any clear signals for a bottom formation either. On the daily timeframe, we can't consider the market positive with only 3 candles after a strong drop, especially since the moving averages are still far from the price. The key level to regain some positivity is 73. There's also a positive divergence on the weekly MACD, but that needs time and weeks to confirm. Therefore, I suspect that what's happening right now is just a bounce towards 64-66, while the 53-48 zone remains a valid target, God knows best.
$BTC #BTC
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