Falcon Crypto Analytics

But, taking profits is difficult

We are not defending them but we have to look at some missed opportunities

$TAO and $ZEC were over $700
$SUI was around $5
$KAS was around $0.20
$SOL touched $250 in Q3 2025

👉 Q1 2024: Narratives were hot, but structure was screaming

The first major expansion came with AI, DePIN, and RWA.

Total3 pushed from $300B → $800B

Momentum picked up, and confidence came back after a long bear market.

This was the phase where people stopped fearing crypto and started believing again.

But structurally, this was also the first real vertical move after accumulation.

Monthly candles expanded fast, wicks grew, and follow-through slowed. That’s usually where partial profit-taking makes sense.

Instead, most people treated this as “just the beginning”, rotated zero capital, and doubled down on bags that had already done 5–10x.

e.g. Alts like TAO, RENDER, SEI, ANYONE, OCTA

The market didn’t crash, but it went sideways long enough to kill momentum and patience.

👉 Q4 2024: The easiest sell nobody took

This was the cleanest one.
Trump wins elections. Crypto pumps aggressively.

Total3 moves into a parabolic expansion with oversized monthly candles and heavy upper wicks.

$500B → $1.1T

That combination almost always signals event-driven liquidity, not sustainable trend continuation.

You don’t need to predict a top here but you just need to recognize that risk-reward flipped.

Instead, most people did the opposite.

They bought breakouts because the narrative felt macro-backed. When the retrace came, it was sharp, emotional, and unforgiving.

👉 Q3 2025: The final distribution phase

By Q3 2025, the market was no longer broad-based.

The move was driven by PerpDEXs, privacy coins, and a narrow set of outperformers.

e.g. HYPE, ASTER, AVNT, ZANO, XMR started moving

Total3 pushed into previous highs again

$650B → $1.2T

Fewer coins moving, sharper wicks, faster reversals. This is where experienced money sells strength quietly while retail waits for “one more leg”.

And once again, most didn’t take profits because selling feels harder than buying.

👉 And here’s the part nobody likes to talk about.

Taking profits isn’t about timing the exact top.
It’s about being honest with yourself and asking a very simple question:

“Have I made enough?”

Generational wealth from large-cap altcoins is rare, not because crypto doesn’t move, but because expectations get unrealistic.

We start chasing 10x–20x dreams on projects already sitting above $1B valuations, convincing ourselves that holding longer automatically means more gains.

But this chart shows the truth clearly.

Total3 gave multiple 2x–3x moves across different phases. Those were real opportunities to rotate, de-risk, and reposition.

Instead, many of us chose to hold through expansions, sit through distributions, and then watch momentum rotate into narratives we weren’t exposed to anymore.

Holding isn’t always conviction.
Sometimes it’s just hesitation disguised as belief.

#WhenWillBTCRebound #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #USPPIJump