KaiZXBT
Verified Creator
High-Frequency Trader
4.6 Years
Full time Trader l Content Creator Web3 l Binance Loyalty User
36 Following
7.8K+ Followers
13.1K+ Liked
341 Shared
All
Quotes
PINNED
BITCOIN’S 4-YEAR CYCLE ISN’T DEAD — IT’S PLAYING OUT EXACTLY ON TIME.
Zoom out, ignore the noise, and look at the roadmap Bitcoin has followed for over a decade.
The long-term chart gives one of the cleanest signals in crypto:
Cycle Peak Timing:
→ 2012
→ 2017
→ 2021
→ 2025 loading…
Every top has landed roughly 1,420–1,450 days apart — almost like clockwork.
And after every peak, one brutal truth repeats:
2012 top → -79% crash
2017 top → -81% crash
2021 top → -75% crash
Same structure. Same timing. Same macro psychology.
So when people say “This time is different,” the chart says:
No — this time is the same. And the next major peak is lining up for 2025.
If history repeats, we’re entering the final acceleration phase.
Stay focused. Stay strategic.
The real move hasn’t even started yet.
#CYCLE
Zoom out, ignore the noise, and look at the roadmap Bitcoin has followed for over a decade.
The long-term chart gives one of the cleanest signals in crypto:
Cycle Peak Timing:
→ 2012
→ 2017
→ 2021
→ 2025 loading…
Every top has landed roughly 1,420–1,450 days apart — almost like clockwork.
And after every peak, one brutal truth repeats:
2012 top → -79% crash
2017 top → -81% crash
2021 top → -75% crash
Same structure. Same timing. Same macro psychology.
So when people say “This time is different,” the chart says:
No — this time is the same. And the next major peak is lining up for 2025.
If history repeats, we’re entering the final acceleration phase.
Stay focused. Stay strategic.
The real move hasn’t even started yet.
#CYCLE
$BTC 2026? Analysts’ Bitcoin price predictions for Q1 2026: ‘Isn’t cool anymore’
In a discussion dating back to the 14th of November, a crypto analyst pointed out how Bitcoin was defending the 50-week moving average, but might fall lower.
This slump would take it to the 100-week MA, and the depths of the bear market could even take it to the 200-week MA.
Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView
The 50 and 100-week moving average prediction has come true. In recent weeks, the 100-week moving average has been defended as support.
At the time of writing, it was at $85.5k, lining up well with the past month’s $84k-$85k demand zone.
Beimnet Abebe of Galaxy Trading was the analyst who had made this prediction. He also said that he “would be happy to buy” Bitcoin [BTC] at prices below the $80k mark.
Is crypto and Bitcoin set to suffer more- and not just in terms of price?
In a post on X, user InvestingLuc shared a (possibly apocryphal) story that explained why “crypto isn’t cool anymore.” The real question is, he wrote,
“Does real-world crypto utility generate enough demand to offset a sustained decline in retail participation?”
Social media engagement for crypto was down. Institutional interest in Bitcoin is a positive for adoption, but we might be straying from the decentralized, permissionless ethos of early BTC adopters.
It might be losing a part of its identity that captured our interest years ago.
The reduced volatility of Bitcoin
Speaking on the CNBC Squawk Box, Professional Capital Management founder Anthony Pompliano observed that Bitcoin volatility has likely halved compared to previous years.
The spot BTC ETF flows have been negative for the most part since the 10/10 crash.
Even so, the 70%-80% drawdown that has come to define bear markets of previous cycles might not occur this time, due to institutional investors. From $126k to $84k, BTC’s drawdown was a more modest 33.3%.
This retracement came at a time when the equity markets, such as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, as well as precious metals, are near or at all-time highs.
An argument can be made that the volatility drop that prevents massive drawdowns also limits the potential of bubble-like rallies.
Source: CryptoQuant
Analyst Axel Adler Jr’s True MVRV metric on CryptoQuant rose to just 2.17 in 2024. It was unable to scale 2 even after making all-time highs this year.
This could be explained partly by how ETF flows don’t affect on-chain metrics.
At the same time, more participation from smart money, as well as Bitcoin being a maturing market, meant that volatility is less than in previous cycles, and holders are more ready to realize profits and exit.
$BTC
This slump would take it to the 100-week MA, and the depths of the bear market could even take it to the 200-week MA.
Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView
The 50 and 100-week moving average prediction has come true. In recent weeks, the 100-week moving average has been defended as support.
At the time of writing, it was at $85.5k, lining up well with the past month’s $84k-$85k demand zone.
Beimnet Abebe of Galaxy Trading was the analyst who had made this prediction. He also said that he “would be happy to buy” Bitcoin [BTC] at prices below the $80k mark.
Is crypto and Bitcoin set to suffer more- and not just in terms of price?
In a post on X, user InvestingLuc shared a (possibly apocryphal) story that explained why “crypto isn’t cool anymore.” The real question is, he wrote,
“Does real-world crypto utility generate enough demand to offset a sustained decline in retail participation?”
Social media engagement for crypto was down. Institutional interest in Bitcoin is a positive for adoption, but we might be straying from the decentralized, permissionless ethos of early BTC adopters.
It might be losing a part of its identity that captured our interest years ago.
The reduced volatility of Bitcoin
Speaking on the CNBC Squawk Box, Professional Capital Management founder Anthony Pompliano observed that Bitcoin volatility has likely halved compared to previous years.
The spot BTC ETF flows have been negative for the most part since the 10/10 crash.
Even so, the 70%-80% drawdown that has come to define bear markets of previous cycles might not occur this time, due to institutional investors. From $126k to $84k, BTC’s drawdown was a more modest 33.3%.
This retracement came at a time when the equity markets, such as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, as well as precious metals, are near or at all-time highs.
An argument can be made that the volatility drop that prevents massive drawdowns also limits the potential of bubble-like rallies.
Source: CryptoQuant
Analyst Axel Adler Jr’s True MVRV metric on CryptoQuant rose to just 2.17 in 2024. It was unable to scale 2 even after making all-time highs this year.
This could be explained partly by how ETF flows don’t affect on-chain metrics.
At the same time, more participation from smart money, as well as Bitcoin being a maturing market, meant that volatility is less than in previous cycles, and holders are more ready to realize profits and exit.
$BTC
Metaplanet defies fears of a “crypto winter,” aiming for 210,000 $BTC by 2027.
Metaplanet continues to move closer to its goal of holding 210,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2027, equivalent to approximately $19 billion at current prices, despite increasing pressure on digital asset treasury models. Chief Strategy Officer Dylan LeClair stated that the company's extraordinary general meeting approved several key proposals related to capital structure, facilitating the mobilization of additional resources to continue accumulating Bitcoin without immediately diluting existing shares.
While many DAT businesses are trading below their net asset value due to fears of a “crypto winter,” Metaplanet remains steadfast in its long-term strategy. The company has approved doubling its Class A and B share issuance capacity, adding a floating interest rate mechanism, and paying quarterly dividends to attract investors seeking stable returns.
Notably, Metaplanet plans to issue Class B shares to foreign institutional investors, expanding its access to international capital and strengthening its position within the global Bitcoin treasury ecosystem.
Metaplanet continues to move closer to its goal of holding 210,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2027, equivalent to approximately $19 billion at current prices, despite increasing pressure on digital asset treasury models. Chief Strategy Officer Dylan LeClair stated that the company's extraordinary general meeting approved several key proposals related to capital structure, facilitating the mobilization of additional resources to continue accumulating Bitcoin without immediately diluting existing shares.
While many DAT businesses are trading below their net asset value due to fears of a “crypto winter,” Metaplanet remains steadfast in its long-term strategy. The company has approved doubling its Class A and B share issuance capacity, adding a floating interest rate mechanism, and paying quarterly dividends to attract investors seeking stable returns.
Notably, Metaplanet plans to issue Class B shares to foreign institutional investors, expanding its access to international capital and strengthening its position within the global Bitcoin treasury ecosystem.
What are the most noteworthy cryptocurrency trends/narratives in 2026?
The next phase of cryptocurrency market growth is unfolding quietly, as the focus gradually shifts from price speculation to practical applications in daily life. Looking ahead to 2026, the level of crypto adoption will increasingly be determined by how users leverage it for payments, savings, and risk management, rather than simply seeking short-term profits.
According to representatives from CakeWallet and SynFutures, cryptocurrencies are gradually taking on the role of everyday currency, especially in countries with unstable financial systems. In many Southern markets, stablecoins have become an important tool for people to preserve asset value, weather inflation, manage capital, and mitigate risks from traditional banking. Stablecoins allow for quick storage, trading, and payments with low costs and significantly greater flexibility compared to fiat currency.
In developed economies, stablecoins are also expanding their role, not only as a bridge to fiat currency but also as a foundation for DeFi activities, derivative markets, and on-chain yield generation. Users are increasingly proactively using stablecoins as a source of working capital, rather than holding them passively.
Simultaneously, crypto user behavior is also changing. Instead of diversifying across many high-risk tokens, they are focusing more on larger assets, utilizing hedging tools and structured investment strategies. In this context, the deciding factor for the next wave of adoption is no longer infrastructure or liquidity, but user experience. Simple, intuitive, and secure platforms will play a key role in making cryptocurrencies a natural part of the global financial system by 2026.
The next phase of cryptocurrency market growth is unfolding quietly, as the focus gradually shifts from price speculation to practical applications in daily life. Looking ahead to 2026, the level of crypto adoption will increasingly be determined by how users leverage it for payments, savings, and risk management, rather than simply seeking short-term profits.
According to representatives from CakeWallet and SynFutures, cryptocurrencies are gradually taking on the role of everyday currency, especially in countries with unstable financial systems. In many Southern markets, stablecoins have become an important tool for people to preserve asset value, weather inflation, manage capital, and mitigate risks from traditional banking. Stablecoins allow for quick storage, trading, and payments with low costs and significantly greater flexibility compared to fiat currency.
In developed economies, stablecoins are also expanding their role, not only as a bridge to fiat currency but also as a foundation for DeFi activities, derivative markets, and on-chain yield generation. Users are increasingly proactively using stablecoins as a source of working capital, rather than holding them passively.
Simultaneously, crypto user behavior is also changing. Instead of diversifying across many high-risk tokens, they are focusing more on larger assets, utilizing hedging tools and structured investment strategies. In this context, the deciding factor for the next wave of adoption is no longer infrastructure or liquidity, but user experience. Simple, intuitive, and secure platforms will play a key role in making cryptocurrencies a natural part of the global financial system by 2026.
$HYPE Technical Analysis
Hyperliquid (HYPE)'s upward momentum failed to even reach the 20-day EMA ($27.09), indicating weak buying demand from bulls at higher price levels.
The bears will attempt to push Hyperliquid's price below the $22.19 support zone. If successful, the HYPE/USDT pair could retest the October 10th low at $20.82. Buyers are expected to enter at $20.82, as a break below this level could send the pair plummeting to $16.90.
The bulls need to push the price above the 20-day EMA to signal strength. This could lead to a rise to $29.37 and then to the previous breakout at $35.50.
Hyperliquid (HYPE)'s upward momentum failed to even reach the 20-day EMA ($27.09), indicating weak buying demand from bulls at higher price levels.
The bears will attempt to push Hyperliquid's price below the $22.19 support zone. If successful, the HYPE/USDT pair could retest the October 10th low at $20.82. Buyers are expected to enter at $20.82, as a break below this level could send the pair plummeting to $16.90.
The bulls need to push the price above the 20-day EMA to signal strength. This could lead to a rise to $29.37 and then to the previous breakout at $35.50.
$LINK Technical Analysis
Chainlink (LINK) price reversed downwards from the 20-day EMA ($12.91) on Monday, indicating that bears continued selling as the price recovered.
There is currently a minor support zone at $11.61, but if this level is broken, the LINK/USDT pair could fall to the strong support zone at $10.94. Buyers are expected to aggressively defend the $10.94 mark, as a breach of this level could send LINK back to the October 10th low of $7.90.
To regain the upper hand, bulls need to push the pair above the moving averages. This could lead to a price increase to $15.01. A breakout and close above the $15.01 resistance level would indicate that the downtrend may have ended.
Chainlink (LINK) price reversed downwards from the 20-day EMA ($12.91) on Monday, indicating that bears continued selling as the price recovered.
There is currently a minor support zone at $11.61, but if this level is broken, the LINK/USDT pair could fall to the strong support zone at $10.94. Buyers are expected to aggressively defend the $10.94 mark, as a breach of this level could send LINK back to the October 10th low of $7.90.
To regain the upper hand, bulls need to push the pair above the moving averages. This could lead to a price increase to $15.01. A breakout and close above the $15.01 resistance level would indicate that the downtrend may have ended.
$ADA Technical Analysis
Cardano (ADA) price has reversed downwards from the $0.37 level, indicating that bears are attempting to turn this area into a resistance zone.
Sellers will attempt to resume the downtrend by pushing the Cardano price below $0.34. If that happens, the ADA/USDT pair could plummet to $0.30 and then to the October 10th low of $0.27.
Time is running out for the bulls. They need to quickly push the price above the moving averages to signal a recovery. Then, the pair could rise to the $0.50 region – the previous breakout level, which will likely act as a major barrier.
Cardano (ADA) price has reversed downwards from the $0.37 level, indicating that bears are attempting to turn this area into a resistance zone.
Sellers will attempt to resume the downtrend by pushing the Cardano price below $0.34. If that happens, the ADA/USDT pair could plummet to $0.30 and then to the October 10th low of $0.27.
Time is running out for the bulls. They need to quickly push the price above the moving averages to signal a recovery. Then, the pair could rise to the $0.50 region – the previous breakout level, which will likely act as a major barrier.
$DOGE Technical Analysis
Dogecoin reversed its upward trend from the 20-day EMA at $0.13 on Tuesday, indicating that bears are still in control of the trend.
Sellers will seek to initiate a new downtrend by pushing the Dogecoin price below $0.12. If successful, the DOGE/USDT pair could slide to the October 10th low of $0.10.
This negative outlook will be invalidated in the short term if the price bounces up from the current level and breaks above the moving averages. This development would indicate that the market has rejected a breakout below the $0.13 support zone. The pair could then recover to $0.16 and continue towards $0.19
Dogecoin reversed its upward trend from the 20-day EMA at $0.13 on Tuesday, indicating that bears are still in control of the trend.
Sellers will seek to initiate a new downtrend by pushing the Dogecoin price below $0.12. If successful, the DOGE/USDT pair could slide to the October 10th low of $0.10.
This negative outlook will be invalidated in the short term if the price bounces up from the current level and breaks above the moving averages. This development would indicate that the market has rejected a breakout below the $0.13 support zone. The pair could then recover to $0.16 and continue towards $0.19
$SOL Technical Analysis
Solana's inability to break above the 20-day EMA at $128 suggests that every recovery is being met with selling pressure.
The SOL/USDT pair faces the risk of breaking below the $116 mark. If that happens, the price of Solana could fall sharply to $108 and then to the key support zone at $95, where bottom-buying is expected to emerge.
On the upside, bulls need to push the price above the moving averages to signal strength. A short-term trend reversal will be confirmed when the pair breaks through the $147 resistance level. At that point, the price could advance to the $172 region.
Solana's inability to break above the 20-day EMA at $128 suggests that every recovery is being met with selling pressure.
The SOL/USDT pair faces the risk of breaking below the $116 mark. If that happens, the price of Solana could fall sharply to $108 and then to the key support zone at $95, where bottom-buying is expected to emerge.
On the upside, bulls need to push the price above the moving averages to signal strength. A short-term trend reversal will be confirmed when the pair breaks through the $147 resistance level. At that point, the price could advance to the $172 region.
$XRP Technical Analysis
XRP continues to decline towards the support line of the descending channel pattern, indicating that bears are in control of the market.
Bulls are expected to defend fiercely at the $1.61 mark; however, if bears gain the upper hand, the XRP/USDT pair could plummet sharply to the October 10th low of $1.25.
Conversely, if the price bounces from the support line and breaks above the moving averages, this suggests the pair may continue to move within the descending channel for some time longer.
Bulls will truly regain the upper hand when the price closes above the descending trend line. At that point, the pair could surge towards the $3.10 mark.
XRP continues to decline towards the support line of the descending channel pattern, indicating that bears are in control of the market.
Bulls are expected to defend fiercely at the $1.61 mark; however, if bears gain the upper hand, the XRP/USDT pair could plummet sharply to the October 10th low of $1.25.
Conversely, if the price bounces from the support line and breaks above the moving averages, this suggests the pair may continue to move within the descending channel for some time longer.
Bulls will truly regain the upper hand when the price closes above the descending trend line. At that point, the pair could surge towards the $3.10 mark.
$BNB Technical Analysis
BNB reversed its upward trend from the 20-day EMA at $865 on Monday, indicating selling pressure even during short rallies.
The BNB/USDT pair faces the risk of breaking below the ascending trend line. If this happens, the price of BNB could plummet to the $790 region. This is a crucial level that bulls need to defend, because if it is breached, the pair could continue to fall sharply to $730.
Conversely, if the price bounces from the ascending trend line or the $790 region and breaks above the 20-day EMA, it suggests the pair could recover to $928. A close above $928 would open up room for further gains to $1,019, signaling that the correction phase may be over.
BNB reversed its upward trend from the 20-day EMA at $865 on Monday, indicating selling pressure even during short rallies.
The BNB/USDT pair faces the risk of breaking below the ascending trend line. If this happens, the price of BNB could plummet to the $790 region. This is a crucial level that bulls need to defend, because if it is breached, the pair could continue to fall sharply to $730.
Conversely, if the price bounces from the ascending trend line or the $790 region and breaks above the 20-day EMA, it suggests the pair could recover to $928. A close above $928 would open up room for further gains to $1,019, signaling that the correction phase may be over.
$ETH Technical Analysis
Ether (ETH) broke above the 20-day EMA at $3,010 on Monday, but the bulls were unable to overcome resistance from the 50-day SMA at $3,088.
The bears are trying to gain control by pushing the price of Ether below the support line of the symmetrical triangle pattern. If successful, the ETH/USDT pair could fall sharply to $2,623 and then to $2,373.
Conversely, if the price bounces strongly from the support line and breaks above the moving averages, this suggests the pair may continue to fluctuate within the triangle pattern for some time longer. Buyers will truly return to the market when the price of ETH closes above the resistance line.
Ether (ETH) broke above the 20-day EMA at $3,010 on Monday, but the bulls were unable to overcome resistance from the 50-day SMA at $3,088.
The bears are trying to gain control by pushing the price of Ether below the support line of the symmetrical triangle pattern. If successful, the ETH/USDT pair could fall sharply to $2,623 and then to $2,373.
Conversely, if the price bounces strongly from the support line and breaks above the moving averages, this suggests the pair may continue to fluctuate within the triangle pattern for some time longer. Buyers will truly return to the market when the price of ETH closes above the resistance line.
$BTC Technical Analysis
Buyers pushed the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $88,850 on Monday, however, the long wicks indicate strong selling pressure at higher price levels.
Bears will seek to push the price back to the key support zone at $84,000 — an area expected to attract buying pressure. If Bitcoin bounces from $84,000 and breaks above the 20-day EMA, this suggests the possibility of a short-term sideways consolidation. The BTC/USDT pair could fluctuate within a range of $84,000 to $94,589 for a period.
Conversely, if the price breaks below $84,000, this signals that the downtrend is continuing. The pair could then slide to $80,600 and even the crucial support zone at $74,508.
Buyers pushed the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $88,850 on Monday, however, the long wicks indicate strong selling pressure at higher price levels.
Bears will seek to push the price back to the key support zone at $84,000 — an area expected to attract buying pressure. If Bitcoin bounces from $84,000 and breaks above the 20-day EMA, this suggests the possibility of a short-term sideways consolidation. The BTC/USDT pair could fluctuate within a range of $84,000 to $94,589 for a period.
Conversely, if the price breaks below $84,000, this signals that the downtrend is continuing. The pair could then slide to $80,600 and even the crucial support zone at $74,508.
The collapse on October 10th, resulting in liquidations worth over 20 billion VND, could be more serious than we all think.
Two months after the historic liquidation shock triggered by President Donald Trump's tariff announcement, the Bitcoin market has yet to return to its familiar state. While the price of BTC hovers around $80,000, the market structure has clearly changed: lower leverage, thinner liquidity, and significantly weaker buying power from ETFs. The "easy to trade" feeling of early October has almost completely disappeared.
The events of October 10th were not simply a correction, but a systemic deleveraging process. Over $19 billion in positions were liquidated amidst thin order books, driving prices down through forced selling rather than proactive investor decisions. Following this shock, market makers became cautious, traders reduced their position sizes, and every rebound lacked confidence.
By the end of the year, signs of recovery were still not convincing. Spot order depth was low, open interest and funding remained cautious. More importantly, ETF flows that had previously acted as a marginal demand driver in the cycle reversed, with billions of dollars withdrawn in November.
After October 10th, Bitcoin was not only affected internally but also pulled closer to the macroeconomic trajectory. In an environment of risk withdrawal from the system, BTC traded as a high-beta asset, clearly reflecting a more cautious and fragile market state than before.
Two months after the historic liquidation shock triggered by President Donald Trump's tariff announcement, the Bitcoin market has yet to return to its familiar state. While the price of BTC hovers around $80,000, the market structure has clearly changed: lower leverage, thinner liquidity, and significantly weaker buying power from ETFs. The "easy to trade" feeling of early October has almost completely disappeared.
The events of October 10th were not simply a correction, but a systemic deleveraging process. Over $19 billion in positions were liquidated amidst thin order books, driving prices down through forced selling rather than proactive investor decisions. Following this shock, market makers became cautious, traders reduced their position sizes, and every rebound lacked confidence.
By the end of the year, signs of recovery were still not convincing. Spot order depth was low, open interest and funding remained cautious. More importantly, ETF flows that had previously acted as a marginal demand driver in the cycle reversed, with billions of dollars withdrawn in November.
After October 10th, Bitcoin was not only affected internally but also pulled closer to the macroeconomic trajectory. In an environment of risk withdrawal from the system, BTC traded as a high-beta asset, clearly reflecting a more cautious and fragile market state than before.
$XRP Analysis : $225M XRP loss hits Evernorth – Here’s what happened
Since falling below the $2 mark, Ripple’s XRP has remained under this key level for over a week, signaling persistent downward pressure.
As the bearish trend drags on, holders, particularly treasury firms, have seen their portfolios suffer significant losses.
Evernorth’s unrealized loss hit $225M
Between the 22nd of October to the 24th of December, Evernorth acquired 388.7 million XRP tokens worth about $947.1 million. These purchases made Evernorth the largest publicly traded company focused exclusively on accumulating XRP.
However, during the broader crypto market downturn, XRP’s price dropped from $2.60 to $1.80.
Source: CryptoQuant
The price decline has pushed these holdings into the red, turning a $71 million unrealized profit into a $225 million unrealized loss, according to analyst Maartunn. Such steep paper losses reflect fragile market conditions and raise the risk of capitulation.
While long‑term investors like Evernorth are expected to hold in anticipation of a rebound, weaker hands may panic and sell.
Spot ETFs continue accumulating
Interestingly, while Evernorth, an XRP Treasury company, has recorded massive losses, XRP Spot ETFs have ignored it and continued accumulating.
In fact, since their launch more than a month ago, XRP ETFs have recorded Net Inflows for all these days. As a result, the Total Net Assets surpassed the billion mark, hitting $1.25 billion, at press time.
Source: Sosovalue
The disconnection between rising losses and ETF inflows reflects strong institutional demand for XRP despite prevailing conditions. Thus, large entities still view XRP’s long-term outlook positively and expect a trend reversal soon.
Why is XRP showing weakness?
Despite institutional demand, XRP has faced intense selling pressure from small-scale and whale investors, thus leaving ETF demand inadequate.
Accordingly, Capital Flow Strength has shown much more substantial outflows than inflows. Both Capital Flow and Capital Flow Strength have remained negative since late November, holding at -42 and -14, respectively, as of writing.
Source: TradingView
With more money leaving the market, bearish pressure has intensified. The Accumulation/Distribution Money Flow (ADMF) also remained negative, underscoring sellers’ dominance.
As a result, most participants continue to sell, while institutional demand has been too weak to offset the pressure, leaving XRP’s structure fragile and vulnerable to further losses.
If selling persists, the altcoin could fall toward $1.50. For a reversal, buyers, particularly institutions, must drive XRP back above $2 and establish it as support.
$XRP
As the bearish trend drags on, holders, particularly treasury firms, have seen their portfolios suffer significant losses.
Evernorth’s unrealized loss hit $225M
Between the 22nd of October to the 24th of December, Evernorth acquired 388.7 million XRP tokens worth about $947.1 million. These purchases made Evernorth the largest publicly traded company focused exclusively on accumulating XRP.
However, during the broader crypto market downturn, XRP’s price dropped from $2.60 to $1.80.
Source: CryptoQuant
The price decline has pushed these holdings into the red, turning a $71 million unrealized profit into a $225 million unrealized loss, according to analyst Maartunn. Such steep paper losses reflect fragile market conditions and raise the risk of capitulation.
While long‑term investors like Evernorth are expected to hold in anticipation of a rebound, weaker hands may panic and sell.
Spot ETFs continue accumulating
Interestingly, while Evernorth, an XRP Treasury company, has recorded massive losses, XRP Spot ETFs have ignored it and continued accumulating.
In fact, since their launch more than a month ago, XRP ETFs have recorded Net Inflows for all these days. As a result, the Total Net Assets surpassed the billion mark, hitting $1.25 billion, at press time.
Source: Sosovalue
The disconnection between rising losses and ETF inflows reflects strong institutional demand for XRP despite prevailing conditions. Thus, large entities still view XRP’s long-term outlook positively and expect a trend reversal soon.
Why is XRP showing weakness?
Despite institutional demand, XRP has faced intense selling pressure from small-scale and whale investors, thus leaving ETF demand inadequate.
Accordingly, Capital Flow Strength has shown much more substantial outflows than inflows. Both Capital Flow and Capital Flow Strength have remained negative since late November, holding at -42 and -14, respectively, as of writing.
Source: TradingView
With more money leaving the market, bearish pressure has intensified. The Accumulation/Distribution Money Flow (ADMF) also remained negative, underscoring sellers’ dominance.
As a result, most participants continue to sell, while institutional demand has been too weak to offset the pressure, leaving XRP’s structure fragile and vulnerable to further losses.
If selling persists, the altcoin could fall toward $1.50. For a reversal, buyers, particularly institutions, must drive XRP back above $2 and establish it as support.
$XRP
Two key indicators suggest selling pressure on Bitcoin is easing – Will this lead to a price increase?
Bitcoin (BTC) prices continued to fall by nearly 1% today, extending the decline that has seen the asset lose approximately 3.6% since the beginning of the month. However, several key on-chain indicators are showing signs of easing selling pressure, raising hopes that the market may be approaching equilibrium. Nevertheless, analysts remain cautious, as current buying pressure is not strong enough to confirm a clear recovery.
According to data from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin's Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) index has fallen significantly following the major shift from Coinbase over a month ago. This development suggests that long-term investors, who hold the majority of the supply, are limiting their selling, thereby weakening potential selling pressure. This is generally considered a positive sign during market bottoming phases.
Simultaneously, net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs are also improving. While the 30-day moving average remains in negative territory, outflows have narrowed significantly in recent weeks, reflecting less pessimistic sentiment from institutional investors. However, the sharp decline in stablecoin reserves on exchanges suggests that immediate buying power remains weak. This implies that Bitcoin may need more time to consolidate before a sustainable uptrend emerges.
Bitcoin (BTC) prices continued to fall by nearly 1% today, extending the decline that has seen the asset lose approximately 3.6% since the beginning of the month. However, several key on-chain indicators are showing signs of easing selling pressure, raising hopes that the market may be approaching equilibrium. Nevertheless, analysts remain cautious, as current buying pressure is not strong enough to confirm a clear recovery.
According to data from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin's Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) index has fallen significantly following the major shift from Coinbase over a month ago. This development suggests that long-term investors, who hold the majority of the supply, are limiting their selling, thereby weakening potential selling pressure. This is generally considered a positive sign during market bottoming phases.
Simultaneously, net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs are also improving. While the 30-day moving average remains in negative territory, outflows have narrowed significantly in recent weeks, reflecting less pessimistic sentiment from institutional investors. However, the sharp decline in stablecoin reserves on exchanges suggests that immediate buying power remains weak. This implies that Bitcoin may need more time to consolidate before a sustainable uptrend emerges.
Binance's USD1 market capitalization surged by $150 million after a promotional offer from Binance.
On Wednesday (December 24, 2025), the market capitalization of the stablecoin World Liberty Financial USD (USD1) – a project associated with the family of US President Donald Trump – increased by $150 million, reaching $2.89 billion (up from $2.74 billion previously).
This surge in growth occurred shortly after Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, announced its “Booster Program.” Under this program, Binance offers an annual yield (APR) of up to 20% for users depositing USD1 with deposits exceeding $50,000.
However, the relationship between Binance and World Liberty Financial remains under scrutiny from regulators. Some reports from Bloomberg suggest Binance may have been involved in developing the source code for USD1, although founder Changpeng Zhao has denied this.
On Wednesday (December 24, 2025), the market capitalization of the stablecoin World Liberty Financial USD (USD1) – a project associated with the family of US President Donald Trump – increased by $150 million, reaching $2.89 billion (up from $2.74 billion previously).
This surge in growth occurred shortly after Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, announced its “Booster Program.” Under this program, Binance offers an annual yield (APR) of up to 20% for users depositing USD1 with deposits exceeding $50,000.
However, the relationship between Binance and World Liberty Financial remains under scrutiny from regulators. Some reports from Bloomberg suggest Binance may have been involved in developing the source code for USD1, although founder Changpeng Zhao has denied this.
Signs of an altcoin season have emerged, but this cycle is not expected to be a strong bull run.
Altcoin seasons are returning to the spotlight of the cryptocurrency market, with many price charts showing significant volatility and social media discussions becoming more lively. However, actual data suggests that the current cycle differs significantly from traditional "altcoin seasons." Instead of simultaneous growth, the market is witnessing a clear divergence among altcoins.
According to performance statistics over the past 60 days, only about 8 out of 55 large-cap altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin. The majority of the rest have recorded poor performance, or even price declines, while Bitcoin has mostly traded sideways. This suggests that capital flows are not widespread, but rather concentrated on a few tokens with their own stories or momentum. BAT and CHZ are rare examples, with relative gains compared to BTC, but these are isolated cases.
The Altcoin Season Index, a measure of the number of altcoins outnumbering Bitcoin, remains in low territory. While the index has stopped falling, it reflects a more stable state rather than a breakout. Simultaneously, Bitcoin's dominance index remains around 60%, indicating that BTC continues to attract the majority of market capital.
In this context, Raoul Pal warns investors against chasing FOMO (fear of missing out). He emphasizes that altcoin divergence seasons are often high-risk periods, with profits concentrated in a small group. The current reality shows that this is not yet a full-blown altcoin season, but rather a selective phase where patience and risk management are crucial.
Altcoin seasons are returning to the spotlight of the cryptocurrency market, with many price charts showing significant volatility and social media discussions becoming more lively. However, actual data suggests that the current cycle differs significantly from traditional "altcoin seasons." Instead of simultaneous growth, the market is witnessing a clear divergence among altcoins.
According to performance statistics over the past 60 days, only about 8 out of 55 large-cap altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin. The majority of the rest have recorded poor performance, or even price declines, while Bitcoin has mostly traded sideways. This suggests that capital flows are not widespread, but rather concentrated on a few tokens with their own stories or momentum. BAT and CHZ are rare examples, with relative gains compared to BTC, but these are isolated cases.
The Altcoin Season Index, a measure of the number of altcoins outnumbering Bitcoin, remains in low territory. While the index has stopped falling, it reflects a more stable state rather than a breakout. Simultaneously, Bitcoin's dominance index remains around 60%, indicating that BTC continues to attract the majority of market capital.
In this context, Raoul Pal warns investors against chasing FOMO (fear of missing out). He emphasizes that altcoin divergence seasons are often high-risk periods, with profits concentrated in a small group. The current reality shows that this is not yet a full-blown altcoin season, but rather a selective phase where patience and risk management are crucial.
$TAO analysis : Bittensor under pressure, risks losing the $200 level
Bittensor (TAO) is approaching the key psychological level of $200 after losing the short-term support zone at $215, which coincided with the low of Friday’s trading session. This move puts TAO at risk of breaking below the $200 mark, potentially opening the door for a test of Pivot Point S1 around $194.
In a more negative scenario, if the price closes below the $194 level, selling pressure could intensify and push TAO further down toward Pivot Point S2 at $167, signaling an extended corrective move.
$TAO
Bittensor (TAO) is approaching the key psychological level of $200 after losing the short-term support zone at $215, which coincided with the low of Friday’s trading session. This move puts TAO at risk of breaking below the $200 mark, potentially opening the door for a test of Pivot Point S1 around $194.
In a more negative scenario, if the price closes below the $194 level, selling pressure could intensify and push TAO further down toward Pivot Point S2 at $167, signaling an extended corrective move.
$TAO
$PUMP analysis : Pump.fun targets a decline toward the $0.001000 level
Pump.fun continues to face strong selling pressure as it maintains a downtrend below the psychological threshold of $0.002000, after losing another 3% in Monday’s session. At the time of writing, PUMP is down around 2% on Wednesday, marking three consecutive sessions of sharp declines and signaling that the weakness shows no signs of easing.
From a technical perspective, the nearest support for the token is located at the low formed on October 10, around the $0.001496 level. If this support is broken, selling pressure could push the price further down toward Pivot Point S2 at $0.001051.
Momentum indicators continue to send negative signals. The RSI remains at 26, deep in oversold territory and moving sideways, reflecting overwhelming selling pressure. At the same time, both the MACD line and the signal line are sloping downward, further reinforcing the short-term bearish outlook.
To open the door for a trend reversal and restore an uptrend, PUMP would need to quickly reclaim and hold above the $0.002000 level, a key psychological threshold that plays a decisive role in market confidence.
$PUMP
Pump.fun continues to face strong selling pressure as it maintains a downtrend below the psychological threshold of $0.002000, after losing another 3% in Monday’s session. At the time of writing, PUMP is down around 2% on Wednesday, marking three consecutive sessions of sharp declines and signaling that the weakness shows no signs of easing.
From a technical perspective, the nearest support for the token is located at the low formed on October 10, around the $0.001496 level. If this support is broken, selling pressure could push the price further down toward Pivot Point S2 at $0.001051.
Momentum indicators continue to send negative signals. The RSI remains at 26, deep in oversold territory and moving sideways, reflecting overwhelming selling pressure. At the same time, both the MACD line and the signal line are sloping downward, further reinforcing the short-term bearish outlook.
To open the door for a trend reversal and restore an uptrend, PUMP would need to quickly reclaim and hold above the $0.002000 level, a key psychological threshold that plays a decisive role in market confidence.
$PUMP
Login to explore more contents