Some things I've learned after hodling bitcoin since early 2017
1. Never believe anyone's price predictions. 2. Don't "diversify" into other cryptos; none of them are actually decentralized, everything except bitcoin is a shitcoin (yes, really), and it's all gambling. The point of bitcoin is not gambling, but to end modern day slavery (fiat currency). 3. When everyone you know is talking about bitcoin, you're at the top of a bull market. You'll likely be too exuberant to realize it though. It will be obvious in hindsight. 4. Don't "trade some altcoins on the side to get more bitcoin". You are not that smart, and the overwhelming probability is that you will get wrecked. 5. DCA into bitcoin. Ignore your emotions. Don't try to time the market. Just stack what you can every paycheck. 6. Don't be too excited about bitcoin; people will feel like you're scamming them even though you're just trying help. 7. Go to meetups & conferences. Don't be isolated. Bitcoiners are generally very awesome people. 8. When people ask you about how to buy bitcoin, send them to a BITCOIN-ONLY company. Example for why: My cousin bought bitcoin (on Coinbase) during the bull market, then sold it for shiba on the same platform and now she pretty much lost everything. Bitcoin-only companies are the safest option to keep newbies from doing newbie things. 9. Be on #bitcoin twitter and nostr. Obviously if you're reading this, you're already here...but I didn't get on twitter until 2020 and can tell you that it's a lot less lonely hodling bitcoin when you see a bunch of other people on this platform experiencing the same things you are. 10. Be skeptical of influencers. Even me (I'm not a huge account, but still). Some are good, some are bad. Even if they have good intentions, their judgement can be clouded by bad incentives. 11. Stop trying to convince everyone you know that bitcoin will make everything better (even though it will). Instead, be a good resource for the people who eventually reach out to you about it. Be known as "the bitcoin guy" and let people come to you when they're ready. Have good content prepared for them to read/watch when they do. That is all. It's been a great ride so far and I'm happy to know you guys. #bitcoin #dyor #crypto2023
This one breakout can end our poverty and start a mega altseason like we saw in 2021.
First, why does this bull market feel like a bear market? Because:
- Alts against Bitcoin are still in a 4-year downtrend that started in January 2022.
- Alts are now the most oversold ever in history. The RSI is literally in negative territory.
- While BTC pumped 8.5x from the bottom of $15,400 to $126,000, alts are at a 4-year low.
Until now, we had 2 failed breakouts in March 2024 and November 2024. That's when we saw some pumps in our altcoins.
The whole of 2025 was a shitshow for alts, especially the October 10th flash crash.
But here is some hopium :
- RSI is on the verge of a bullish crossover. The last time this happened, we saw the 2021 altseason.
- MACD is about to turn green after 43 months (excluding the fakeout we saw in March 2024).
- Historically, alts outperform BTC once QT ends and QE starts.
- On top of this, you add low inflation, more rate cuts, QE, and a bullish Fed chair in 2026.
With all the bullish fundamentals and liquidity, i think once alts breakout of this 4-year downtrend, we will finally see the massive gains we've been waiting for over the last 4 years.
So I'm still all in and hopeful for a bullish Q1-Q2 2026.
Please like and share this to spread some hope with facts.
XRP bleeds $19 billion from its worth since the start of December
XRP has erased a significant portion of its market value in December, as a sharp technical breakdown and worsening risk sentiment pushed the token well below key support levels. XRP’s price has fallen from around $2.20 at the start of the month to $1.88, marking a notable pullback. XRP 1-day price chart. Source: Finbold According to data retrieved by Finbold from CoinMarketCap on December 19, over the same period, XRP’s market capitalization declined from approximately $132.2 billion to $113.2 billion, wiping out roughly $19 billion in value in less than three weeks. XRP market cap price chart since the start of December 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap On a shorter time frame, XRP slipped 1.19% over the past 24 hours, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market, which fell by around 0.8%. The move comes as Bitcoin dominance climbed to 59.2%, reinforcing a risk-off rotation away from altcoins. XRP technical analysis From a technical perspective, XRP’s decline intensified after the token lost its $1.95 support level, a zone that had held for more than a year. The breakdown triggered automated sell orders and pushed prices toward key Fibonacci levels. XRP is now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near $1.91, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 31.64, indicating oversold conditions but not yet signaling extreme capitulation. Analysts warn that a sustained close below $1.85 could open the door to a deeper move toward the $1.70–$1.75 range. XRP sentiment turns defensive despite institutional headlines The technical weakness has been compounded by a broader shift in market sentiment. The crypto fear and greed index has dropped to 21 out of 100, reflecting elevated fear across digital assets as investors reduce exposure amid macro uncertainty. Meanwhile, recent institutional developments, including Ripple’s partnership initiatives, have so far failed to offset near-term market anxiety. Traders appear focused on broken chart structures rather than long-term fundamentals, particularly as liquidity thins and volatility increases. Key XRP levels to watch XRP’s recent decline highlights how technical triggers can be amplified during periods of sector-wide deleveraging. While Ripple’s institutional progress continues to provide longer-term tailwinds, near-term price action remains vulnerable. The critical zone to watch is $1.85–$1.88 into the weekly close. Holding this range could stabilize price action, while a decisive breakdown may validate bearish targets below $1.70. #XRP $XRP
LUNA price prediction – Is recovery in sight now after 20% slide from Monday’s high?
Terra [LUNA] saw a 20.1% price drop that began on Monday and stopped in the early hours of Tuesday, at $0.127. Since then, the price has bounced between $0.127 and $0.135, and was at $0.13 at the time of writing. In a recent report, AMBCrypto had written that LUNA offered a good buying opportunity due to its defense of the $0.15-$0.16 demand zone the previous week. However, the bullish expectations have been proven wrong since after the token’s latest downturn. Which way will LUNA go next?
Source: LUNA/USDT on TradingView The 3-day chart revealed a bullish structure for LUNA. The long-term trend has been bearish since May 2022. In between, there have been extended periods during which LUNA’s price action broke the market structure bullishly. So far, it has been unable to keep any such breakout going for a significant period of time. Maybe, it will never recover to the $80 or $100-levels it was before the Terra crash. However, that doesn’t matter to traders, who can make profits from short-term trends. The move past the $0.168 local high from mid-September meant that LUNA’s market structure was bullish. This could set up a rally towards some of the preceding swing highs. The OBV’s dramatic upward push, and the volume bars in December underlined increased trading volume behind the price surge.
Source: LUNA/USDT on TradingView The 4-hour chart revealed that LUNA bulls were barely holding on to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.13. Additionally, the lower timeframe demand zone at $0.15-$0.18 was also ceded to the bears following Monday’s volatility. Both these developments highlighted a hike in bearish pressure in the short term. The H4 structure was bearish as well. Which path is LUNA less likely to take? Given the structure on the 1-day and 3-day timeframes, holding on to a bullish bias makes sense. LUNA only needs to recover past key support levels, such as $0.155, to recover the gains it made a week ago. At the same time, we should remember that Bitcoin’s [BTC] trend has been bearish too. A breakout past $94k is needed to give it a bullish tinge. Until this happens, the bullish LUNA scenario of a recovery towards $0.2 and $0.24 remains the less likely route. Traders’ call to action- Is it time to turn bearish on LUNA? In short, yes. Many times in recent months, LUNA has made a bullish structure break on the 1-day and 3-day timeframes, but was unable to hold on to them. The most recent bullish shift came on the back of much higher trading volume, which could persuade traders to expect a bullish recovery. Traders looking to go short can wait a few more days to see whether the token can defend $0.13 and reclaim the $0.155 former support or not. Final Thoughts The previous bullish expectations for LUNA were invalidated when the token failed to defend the $0.155 short-term demand zone.Bitcoin’s prevailing weakness and the tendency for Terra token bulls to fail to establish an uptrend meant that more LUNA drawdown was likely. Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion $LUNA #LUNA
Why the First XRP ETF Took Wall Street by Surprise
The launch of the first XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) has turned into one of the fastest-growing ETF stories in recent years, according to Sal Gilbertie, CEO of Teucrium Trading. In an interview with Zach Rector, Gilbertie said bringing the first XRP-linked ETF to market felt especially meaningful because of his long background in commodities and derivatives. While he has followed Bitcoin for years, he said XRP is one of the few digital assets he understands deeply, making it a natural choice for an ETF product. Being first mattered. Gilbertie said in the ETF world, early launches often dominate, especially when paired with a strong ticker name. In this case, “XXRP” clearly signaled double exposure to XRP, helping it stand out immediately. $500 Million in Just 12 Weeks The response exceeded expectations. Gilbertie revealed that the XRP ETF crossed $500 million in assets under management in just 12 weeks. To put that into context, most ETFs aim to reach $25 million in assets, and only about 1% achieve that milestone within a year. Teucrium’s XRP ETF reached twenty times that level in just three months. Gilbertie credited the XRP community for the rapid growth, describing it as one of the most passionate investor bases in crypto. Why XRP ETFs May Be Just Getting Started Despite recent price weakness in XRP, Gilbertie says the broader ETF story is only beginning. He said cumulative XRP ETF assets are currently around $1.2–$1.3 billion, which he sees as a small fraction of what is possible. He expects demand to rise further once clearer U.S. crypto regulations arrive, especially with legislation focused on defining digital asset use cases. In his view, XRP stands apart because it serves a real purpose in payments. While he described Bitcoin as “digital gold,” he said assets with clear utility, including XRP, Ethereum and Solana, are more likely to earn a permanent place in investor portfolios. “This Is Just the Tip of the Iceberg” Gilbertie says XRP ETFs could attract several billion dollars in their first full year, in line with forecasts from major financial institutions. For now, he says the success of the first XRP ETF sends a clear message: when traditional finance meets a strong crypto use case, investor interest can move faster than expected.
Dogecoin and shiba inu test lower levels after key support gives way
Dogecoin and Shiba Inu fell below key technical levels amid increased selling pressure, highlighting weakness in the meme coin segment.The decline in ether contributed to the selling pressure on meme coins, as traders often use ETH as a risk gauge for altcoins.Broader crypto markets remained stable, indicating that the weakness was specific to speculative assets rather than a market-wide trend. Dogecoin and Shiba Inu slipped during U.S. hours as rising sell volume pushed both tokens below key technical levels, extending weakness across the meme coin segment while ether underperformed other majors. News background The move unfolded alongside continued softness in ether ETH$2,856.75, which traders often treat as a proxy for risk appetite across altcoins. As ETH lagged the broader market, higher-beta assets such as meme coins absorbed outsized selling pressure.Broader crypto benchmarks held relatively steady, underscoring that the weakness was concentrated in speculative segments rather than a market-wide capitulation.This divergence suggests capital rotation and de-risking rather than panic selling. Technical analysis Dogecoin broke below the $0.13 psychological level after rejection at $0.1331, confirming a sequence of lower highs and locking price into a descending channel.Former support near $0.1296 has flipped into resistance, reinforcing the bearish structure.Trading volume surged 53% to 479.7 million tokens, consistent with active distribution rather than low-liquidity drift.Failed attempts to reclaim broken levels increase the probability of continuation toward lower demand zones unless buyers step in decisively.Shiba Inu mirrored DOGE’s structure, slipping below short-term support and failing to reclaim overhead supply.The lack of relative strength versus DOGE suggests sector-wide pressure rather than isolated token weakness. Price action summary DOGE slipped from $0.1314 to $0.1312 over the past 24 hours, briefly dipping to $0.1298 before bouncing toward $0.1311 on short-lived volume spikes near 27 million tokens.The rebound lacked follow-through, leaving price capped below resistance.SHIB tracked DOGE lower through the session, stabilizing but failing to reclaim prior support.The synchronized move reinforced the view that meme coins are trading as a single risk bucket rather than on token-specific drivers. What traders should know Support for DOGE sits at $0.1290–$0.1280, with downside risk toward $0.1250 if selling resumes.Reclaiming and holding above $0.1325 would be required to neutralize the current bearish setup.SHIB’s near-term direction likely hinges on whether DOGE stabilizes and whether ether regains relative strength.As long as ETH remains under pressure, meme coins are likely to lag broader crypto performance and remain vulnerable to further downside. #DOGE #SHIB $DOGE