A rising JPY can unwind carry trades fast. If this accelerates, expect volatility across equities and crypto.
Block Theory
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🚨 BREAKING — BUFFETT MAKES A MAJOR DEFENSIVE SHIFT
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett has reportedly moved nearly $350 billion into the Japanese yen — a clear signal of rising caution.
Why this matters
The timing is critical. Markets are bracing for a potential 75 basis point rate hike from the Bank of Japan, a move that would be historic and could send shockwaves through global markets.
Positioning heavily in yen suggests risk hedging:
Higher Japanese rates tend to strengthen the yen
Stronger yen pressures global carry trades
When carry trades unwind, volatility spreads quickly across stocks, bonds, and crypto
The bigger signal
This move points to broader concerns:
Tightening global liquidity
Shifting rate differentials
Fragile asset valuations
In environments like this, capital preservation beats return chasing. Large players typically reposition well before headlines turn bearish.
$ETH reclaiming momentum is key. A clean break and hold above $3,600 could unlock strong upside for alts. Watching volume closely
Emilio Crypto Bojan
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Bullish
#Ethereum is breaking out and taking over.
Momentum is flipping, altcoins are watching closely. $3,600 is the barrier. $ETH #USNonFarmPayrollReport #BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs #USJobsData
Inflation cooled and rates were cut, but traders still sold risk assets. $BTC is down about 2% near $88,100 as many lock in profits after the recent run, with added nerves around potential ETF-linked liquidation pressure if the dip deepens.
$ETH also followed the market lower, sliding over 2% to around $2,940 as selling spread across majors. On days like this, “good macro” doesn’t always matter - positioning and risk-off mood can overpower the headlines fast.
#BTC Price Analysis# #ETH #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
According to a CryptoQuant analyst, Bitcoin is going through a valuation reset as price aligns with on-chain fundamentals.
The NVT Golden Cross suggests $BTC is currently trading below the level implied by network activity. Historically, this setup appears during periods of weak sentiment and potential structural undervaluation.
The indicator has rebounded from cycle lows but remains in a conservative range. This phase typically reflects deleveraging and gradual accumulation rather than speculation.
📊 Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC #Brazil
$BTC remains volatile, with recent upward moves facing strong selling pressure near intraday highs. This behavior highlights ongoing resistance and reflects trader caution amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty.
Attention is now turning to potential interest rate cuts by the Bank of Japan, which could increase downside pressure across both Bitcoin and the altcoin market. Such policy shifts may influence risk sentiment and trigger portfolio adjustments.
Market participants should remain attentive as macro developments continue to shape crypto price action.
🇺🇸 Crypto Regulation Update — US Congress Delays Action
The U.S. Congress has postponed crypto market structure legislation until next year. With no immediate regulatory changes, the market continues to operate under existing rules.
The delay eases short-term pressure but leaves long-term regulatory clarity unresolved, keeping traders and investors focused on macro trends and price action.
#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
🇺🇸 US delays crypto regulation — a short-term relief for the market
The U.S. Congress has postponed crypto market structure legislation until next year. With no new rules introduced for now, the market continues to operate freely, allowing price action and institutional flows to lead the next move.
📈 Regulatory pressure pauses — momentum stays in the market.
Bitwise Says 1.3M $BTC Bitcoin by 2035 Is the Conservative Target
Bitwise’s CIO shared a valuation model where BTC hits 1.3M dollars by 2035 assuming its share of gold’s market cap rises from 9 percent to 25 percent. With gold’s own price climbing the old 1M per $BTC target is starting to look almost cheap. So when do we start pretending this is realistic financial planning. #BTC Price Analysis# #BTC #bitcoin