蜡币小鑫
602 Posts
蜡币小鑫
Square Verified+币圈资深老韭菜，涉及币圈多个领域，长期持有 #BTC#ETH#BNB 推特博主：https://twitter.com/zhuanfgghjnb
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The World Cup is just too hard to enjoy—I can’t afford to keep losing anymore.
Today I’m going to try a different way of playing: I’ll place bets based on the predicted scores from a “loser’s” prophecy.
I think I’ve finally figured it out. In football, if you only play win/draw/loss, that’s manageable. But with things like the financial/“investment” style bets, the odds are basically always that you lose big and only win small—so today I’m only betting on the exact score.
When do kids cry every day? When do gambling addicts ever stop losing?
If I keep losing and can’t take it anymore, then I really won’t play—it’s just too damn hard to make money.
Today I’m going to try a different way of playing: I’ll place bets based on the predicted scores from a “loser’s” prophecy.
I think I’ve finally figured it out. In football, if you only play win/draw/loss, that’s manageable. But with things like the financial/“investment” style bets, the odds are basically always that you lose big and only win small—so today I’m only betting on the exact score.
When do kids cry every day? When do gambling addicts ever stop losing?
If I keep losing and can’t take it anymore, then I really won’t play—it’s just too damn hard to make money.
It turns out there’s a reason China’s national football team doesn’t qualify for the World Cup.
Today’s record: 2 wins and 1 loss. I make dozens of units in a day, but when will the 100,000 I lost up front finally break even? 😭
My own level is too weak, but every day I just keep seeing a bunch of World Cup prediction bloggers.
Why do they only predict and not place bets? What’s their actual win rate—let’s find out.
Starting today, I’ll follow one big V per day and use live bets to verify the win rate.
Today I bet following Zi Qing’s direction. If I win, I get to eat meat; if I lose, I’ll seek a refund.
┅┅ Continuing today ┅┅
🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🇨🇻 Cape Verde — 💰 Argentina win $100
🇨🇴 Colombia vs 🇬🇭 Ghana — 💰 Colombia win $100
🇦🇺 Australia vs 🇪🇬 Egypt — 💰 Egypt win $100
Feel free to recommend the prediction blogger you think is the most accurate. I’ll verify them one by one with real money—old rookie, live betting is where the truth is!
My own level is too weak, but every day I just keep seeing a bunch of World Cup prediction bloggers.
Why do they only predict and not place bets? What’s their actual win rate—let’s find out.
Starting today, I’ll follow one big V per day and use live bets to verify the win rate.
Today I bet following Zi Qing’s direction. If I win, I get to eat meat; if I lose, I’ll seek a refund.
┅┅ Continuing today ┅┅
🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🇨🇻 Cape Verde — 💰 Argentina win $100
🇨🇴 Colombia vs 🇬🇭 Ghana — 💰 Colombia win $100
🇦🇺 Australia vs 🇪🇬 Egypt — 💰 Egypt win $100
Feel free to recommend the prediction blogger you think is the most accurate. I’ll verify them one by one with real money—old rookie, live betting is where the truth is!
Thank you to Shenbi for the Argentina collab-themed gift box 🎁
Shenbi is awesome—lately they’ve become an official partner of the Argentina national team
Today we have to bet on Argentina winning. Can’t wait for Messi to keep scoring and complete a brace again
Shenbi is awesome—lately they’ve become an official partner of the Argentina national team
Today we have to bet on Argentina winning. Can’t wait for Messi to keep scoring and complete a brace again
I took 100,000 yuan fast.. and bought a set of clothes
Even though I predicted on predict.fun and lost a car
But I got their World Cup merchandise and PP points
Prediction really is a huge subject—truly like a trade separated by mountains
In the prediction market, I only use predict.fun
#世界杯 #足球预测 #Predict #实盘
Even though I predicted on predict.fun and lost a car
But I got their World Cup merchandise and PP points
Prediction really is a huge subject—truly like a trade separated by mountains
In the prediction market, I only use predict.fun
#世界杯 #足球预测 #Predict #实盘
Partly True
Recently I noticed something quite interesting 👀
On the BTC-USD1 trading pair, during certain periods the order book depth actually outstrips BTCUSDC 🔥
Comparing the same time period side by side:
✅ USD1 — key price levels have big orders sitting there; when trades hit, they get filled cleanly without slipping
✅ USDC — mostly small orders spread out; there isn’t much depth
✅ Extremely low spread + Maker 0 fee; the savings you get are essentially your profit
And it doesn’t stop there 👇
Holding USD1 also earns you money 💰
Several exchanges have been consistently paying interest on USD1 for long-term holders, with annualized returns never interrupted. Save money on trading + earn yield while holding—two legs, walking together
To put it plainly, USD1 is quietly taking market share from other stablecoins. As depth keeps improving, fees become more favorable, and interest keeps propping it up, the ecosystem is being built step by step.
#BTC #binanc #USD1 #币安广场创作者
On the BTC-USD1 trading pair, during certain periods the order book depth actually outstrips BTCUSDC 🔥
Comparing the same time period side by side:
✅ USD1 — key price levels have big orders sitting there; when trades hit, they get filled cleanly without slipping
✅ USDC — mostly small orders spread out; there isn’t much depth
✅ Extremely low spread + Maker 0 fee; the savings you get are essentially your profit
And it doesn’t stop there 👇
Holding USD1 also earns you money 💰
Several exchanges have been consistently paying interest on USD1 for long-term holders, with annualized returns never interrupted. Save money on trading + earn yield while holding—two legs, walking together
To put it plainly, USD1 is quietly taking market share from other stablecoins. As depth keeps improving, fees become more favorable, and interest keeps propping it up, the ecosystem is being built step by step.
#BTC #binanc #USD1 #币安广场创作者
⚽️ I lost 15,000 U on the World Cup the other day—saying I’m not hurt would be a lie 😮💨
But as a predictdotfun ambassador, how could an old greenhorn like me get up from the table?
Back today—no greed. Take it steady; the main thing is to play.
🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇦🇹 Austria
💰 Bet on Spain win $100 — the bullfighters’ dominance is crushing
🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇭🇷 Croatia
💰 Bet on Portugal win $100 — trust in Ronaldo one time
🇨🇭 Switzerland vs 🇩🇿 Algeria
💰 Bet on draw $100 — 50/50 on both sides; a draw is the most reasonable
┅┅┅┅┅┅┅┅┅┅
All three games: $300 real-money bets placed
#世界杯 #足球预测 #Predict #实盘
But as a predictdotfun ambassador, how could an old greenhorn like me get up from the table?
Back today—no greed. Take it steady; the main thing is to play.
🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇦🇹 Austria
💰 Bet on Spain win $100 — the bullfighters’ dominance is crushing
🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇭🇷 Croatia
💰 Bet on Portugal win $100 — trust in Ronaldo one time
🇨🇭 Switzerland vs 🇩🇿 Algeria
💰 Bet on draw $100 — 50/50 on both sides; a draw is the most reasonable
┅┅┅┅┅┅┅┅┅┅
All three games: $300 real-money bets placed
#世界杯 #足球预测 #Predict #实盘
Partly True
Following Sister Bottle, bought $SPCX.US on 153
Last night, I sold $SPCX at the price of 170
Last night she DM’d me saying she’d sold the spcx. I checked and saw that from the time of buying, it was already up by more than ten percentage points.
It was basically just to bet on a rebound, so I decided not to get greedy and sold as well.
The profit from $SPCX just happened to cover the losses from sports betting—sigh, it’s so hard.
Keep searching for the next target to enter!
Last night, I sold $SPCX at the price of 170
Last night she DM’d me saying she’d sold the spcx. I checked and saw that from the time of buying, it was already up by more than ten percentage points.
It was basically just to bet on a rebound, so I decided not to get greedy and sold as well.
The profit from $SPCX just happened to cover the losses from sports betting—sigh, it’s so hard.
Keep searching for the next target to enter!
SPCXUS+2.25%
Micron Technology (MU.O) announces a $250 million investment in the “Trump Account,” reaching one million people. The “Trump Account” plans to provide eligible children with a one-time $250 seed fund. As part of the program, Micron Technology will roll out an employee matching benefit, providing up to $1,000 in matching funds for employee contributions to each child’s account for children under the age of 18.
$SPCX that I bought on the dip last week has started to rally
Estimated ETF funds are expected to step in and buy $SPCX
Hold on for a few more days to see whether it can continue to break higher toward around 180
Three scenario projections:
Bullish sentiment: As long as it holds above 160 and keeps pushing up 170–180, using the positive Nasdaq-related news to hit, it’s also possible to reach 200+
Neutral consolidation: Pull back to 160, then trade within a range with turnover; as the ETF is included around 7/7, it continues to rally
Bearish but weakening (misses expectations / market weakness): Pull back to 155; if it breaks below 150, I’ll exit
Estimated ETF funds are expected to step in and buy $SPCX
Hold on for a few more days to see whether it can continue to break higher toward around 180
Three scenario projections:
Bullish sentiment: As long as it holds above 160 and keeps pushing up 170–180, using the positive Nasdaq-related news to hit, it’s also possible to reach 200+
Neutral consolidation: Pull back to 160, then trade within a range with turnover; as the ETF is included around 7/7, it continues to rally
Bearish but weakening (misses expectations / market weakness): Pull back to 155; if it breaks below 150, I’ll exit
蜡币小鑫
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I just scooped up 1000 shares on Binance, $SPCX , gearing up for a rebound.
Over the next couple of weeks, there's gonna be some steady ETF inflows into $SPCX.
On June 22, CRSP got added (already in effect, first wave of funds entering).
On June 26, Russell 1000/3000 gets included (this Friday, second wave of big buying).
On June 29, MSCI global index will be included (next Monday, third wave).
On July 7, Nasdaq 100 officially gets added (the biggest wave, $7-10 billion in passive funds).
I’m expecting $22-27 billion in passive inflows, and right now the circulating supply is only about $86 billion, which theoretically could soak up nearly 30% of the circulating chips. A tighter float will amplify short-term upside potential.
Historical trend: When indices are set to include a stock, funds tend to start positioning 1-5 days in advance. Good news often gets priced in early, and the actual inclusion date can sometimes lead to a drop.
Over the next couple of weeks, there's gonna be some steady ETF inflows into $SPCX.
On June 22, CRSP got added (already in effect, first wave of funds entering).
On June 26, Russell 1000/3000 gets included (this Friday, second wave of big buying).
On June 29, MSCI global index will be included (next Monday, third wave).
On July 7, Nasdaq 100 officially gets added (the biggest wave, $7-10 billion in passive funds).
I’m expecting $22-27 billion in passive inflows, and right now the circulating supply is only about $86 billion, which theoretically could soak up nearly 30% of the circulating chips. A tighter float will amplify short-term upside potential.
Historical trend: When indices are set to include a stock, funds tend to start positioning 1-5 days in advance. Good news often gets priced in early, and the actual inclusion date can sometimes lead to a drop.
SPCXUS+2.25%
Still quiet again? Storage, why aren’t you storing anymore?
Seriously, every day they keep saying they’ll store, store, store—keep barking like that. Something about抢内存条 [memory]. Something about price doubling. Something about long-term contracts LTA. Every day, it’s either that Hynix or Samsung’s jump skyrockets, or Micron or SanDisk’s jump skyrockets.
Chat logs are 999+ in minutes. So why don’t I see it surge the moment I get on board?
Did I buy it in a way that broke it?
While I’m gone, you guys are always talking about setting up a club and buying little models, then buying cars and houses, then going on trips around the whole country and the whole world, eating all kinds of delicacies and having endless big meals—so how did you trick me onto the train and it drops, like that? Is it really that coincidental? Damn it.
Seriously, every day they keep saying they’ll store, store, store—keep barking like that. Something about抢内存条 [memory]. Something about price doubling. Something about long-term contracts LTA. Every day, it’s either that Hynix or Samsung’s jump skyrockets, or Micron or SanDisk’s jump skyrockets.
Chat logs are 999+ in minutes. So why don’t I see it surge the moment I get on board?
Did I buy it in a way that broke it?
While I’m gone, you guys are always talking about setting up a club and buying little models, then buying cars and houses, then going on trips around the whole country and the whole world, eating all kinds of delicacies and having endless big meals—so how did you trick me onto the train and it drops, like that? Is it really that coincidental? Damn it.
I bought Bitcoin for 130,000 now it’s down to 60,000.
I bought gold for over 1,200 now it’s over 800.
I bought silver for 32 now it’s 14.
I bought a house for 1.3 million now it’s more than 50.
I bought a BBA for 500,000 now it’s more than 20.
Only the wife I married for 20+ now is over 40.
I bought gold for over 1,200 now it’s over 800.
I bought silver for 32 now it’s 14.
I bought a house for 1.3 million now it’s more than 50.
I bought a BBA for 500,000 now it’s more than 20.
Only the wife I married for 20+ now is over 40.
55 mind-blowing milestones from Musk’s age 12 to 54—he somehow became the world’s first trillionaire at 54, pushed #SpaceX to the public market, and then turned around to acquire xAI
This is so hard, damn it. I lost more than thirty thousand on the first day.
As soon as I came in, I had to enter a break-even mode—I’m just a sucker.
Yesterday I had an order placed that didn’t get filled, so I ended up winning one less.
Today Germany had another surprise loss again—I'm down. Japan drew, but I’m still down.
In the U.S. vs. Turkey match, it ended up being a stalemate. Everyone thought it would finish as a draw.
But in the last minute, Turkey scored a stoppage-time winner, and I lost a big amount again.
Honestly, betting is really tough. Overall, the probability of losing is higher than the probability of winning.
If you really want to be steady going forward, don’t make impulsive bets. The best strategy is to win by staying calm and steady.
As soon as I came in, I had to enter a break-even mode—I’m just a sucker.
Yesterday I had an order placed that didn’t get filled, so I ended up winning one less.
Today Germany had another surprise loss again—I'm down. Japan drew, but I’m still down.
In the U.S. vs. Turkey match, it ended up being a stalemate. Everyone thought it would finish as a draw.
But in the last minute, Turkey scored a stoppage-time winner, and I lost a big amount again.
Honestly, betting is really tough. Overall, the probability of losing is higher than the probability of winning.
If you really want to be steady going forward, don’t make impulsive bets. The best strategy is to win by staying calm and steady.
1️⃣ If you're scared of losing, just go home and have your mom whip up some egg rice. Us young folks are out here either making bank or learning the ropes.
2️⃣ Personal hustle is treating your life like a game; going all in is taking every precious opportunity seriously.
3️⃣ Not betting is just betting on yourself to lose.
4️⃣ Playing it safe means you'll never make it big; being scared of losing means you'll never rise to power. Go heavy and grind with a pure heart, and when you're in profit, double down without looking back.
5️⃣ If you miss this AI wave, chances are you won’t see another one for the next twenty years.
6️⃣ This AI wave is on the level of an industrial revolution; missing out on the internet or mobile internet is one thing, but missing AI means you can only comfort the next generation.
2️⃣ Personal hustle is treating your life like a game; going all in is taking every precious opportunity seriously.
3️⃣ Not betting is just betting on yourself to lose.
4️⃣ Playing it safe means you'll never make it big; being scared of losing means you'll never rise to power. Go heavy and grind with a pure heart, and when you're in profit, double down without looking back.
5️⃣ If you miss this AI wave, chances are you won’t see another one for the next twenty years.
6️⃣ This AI wave is on the level of an industrial revolution; missing out on the internet or mobile internet is one thing, but missing AI means you can only comfort the next generation.
Recently got into World Cup betting and suddenly feeling the vibe.
I deposited 100k into @Predictdotfun , ready to make a move.
Let’s see how much of that 100k is left by the end of the World Cup.
For prediction markets, I’m only using @Predictdotfun tfun.
predict registration link → https://predict.fun/?ref=4B695
#世界杯 #足球预测 #Predict
I deposited 100k into @Predictdotfun , ready to make a move.
Let’s see how much of that 100k is left by the end of the World Cup.
For prediction markets, I’m only using @Predictdotfun tfun.
predict registration link → https://predict.fun/?ref=4B695
#世界杯 #足球预测 #Predict
Investing requires common sense: contracts can be broken, debts can be negotiated, and companies can go bankrupt. What you consider a cornerstone is often just a probability.
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