币圈罗盘
✅博主公众号：币圈罗盘｜交易即反人性博弈 ，擅长运用各种交易指标拿下过结果的人，顺势而为和风险控制，用自己的经历分享实战经验！
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I used these eight 'foolish rules' to navigate bull and bear markets, achieving an astonishing win rate!
The simplest methods are often the smartest, because they are simple, making them hard to defeat
Five years ago, I was also that retail trader staring at the screen late at night, my emotions swayed by candlesticks. Until I realized: in a place crowded with smart people, being a 'fool' can actually help you survive longer.
Thus, I set eight iron rules for myself. It is these seemingly simple rules that have allowed me to maintain an astonishing win rate over the past three years, not only avoiding multiple black swan events but also achieving steady asset growth.
1. Early Market Wisdom: The most genuine moment of market sentiment
The morning market trends are like the unvarnished truth, often predicting the direction of the entire day. When most people are still in a half-dream state, the market has already given the most honest signals.
Five years ago, I was also that retail trader staring at the screen late at night, my emotions swayed by candlesticks. Until I realized: in a place crowded with smart people, being a 'fool' can actually help you survive longer.
Thus, I set eight iron rules for myself. It is these seemingly simple rules that have allowed me to maintain an astonishing win rate over the past three years, not only avoiding multiple black swan events but also achieving steady asset growth.
1. Early Market Wisdom: The most genuine moment of market sentiment
The morning market trends are like the unvarnished truth, often predicting the direction of the entire day. When most people are still in a half-dream state, the market has already given the most honest signals.
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Remember these eight iron rules and avoid five years of detours!
A true expert in cryptocurrency trading is not a god of technical analysis, but a machine of disciplined execution.
When I first entered the circle, I was like a headless fly chasing after rising and falling prices, staring at the screen during the day and losing sleep at night, with my account balance riding a roller coaster. It wasn't until I engraved these eight iron rules in my mind that I truly evolved from a 'retail investor' to a consistently profitable trader.
Today, I share these long-hidden secrets with you without reservation. This is not a get-rich-quick scheme, but a set of survival rules that can help you thrive in this market for the long term.
1. Position management: Never let yourself be in a passive position.
When I first entered the circle, I was like a headless fly chasing after rising and falling prices, staring at the screen during the day and losing sleep at night, with my account balance riding a roller coaster. It wasn't until I engraved these eight iron rules in my mind that I truly evolved from a 'retail investor' to a consistently profitable trader.
Today, I share these long-hidden secrets with you without reservation. This is not a get-rich-quick scheme, but a set of survival rules that can help you thrive in this market for the long term.
1. Position management: Never let yourself be in a passive position.
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After treating cryptocurrency trading as a job, I haven't stayed up late for three years, and my account has an annual return of 50%
The difference between a professional trader and a gambler is just a 'working system'
Once upon a time, I was like most people in the crypto space: staying up late watching the market, chasing trends, and my account was like a roller coaster. Until I had an epiphany: treat trading cryptocurrencies as a formal job, not as gambling.
This shift in mindset transformed me from a monthly losing retail trader into a professional trader with a stable annual return of over 50%. What I'm sharing today is not a get-rich-quick scheme, but a 'professional operation system' that allows ordinary people to survive in this market.
1. Establish your 'Trading Office': From casual to systematic
Once upon a time, I was like most people in the crypto space: staying up late watching the market, chasing trends, and my account was like a roller coaster. Until I had an epiphany: treat trading cryptocurrencies as a formal job, not as gambling.
This shift in mindset transformed me from a monthly losing retail trader into a professional trader with a stable annual return of over 50%. What I'm sharing today is not a get-rich-quick scheme, but a 'professional operation system' that allows ordinary people to survive in this market.
1. Establish your 'Trading Office': From casual to systematic
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加拿大帝国商业银行：美国就业数据走软或促使美联储提前降息
ChainCatcher 消息，据金十报道，加拿大帝国商业银行指出，非农就业数据反映出美国劳动力市场状况进一步疲软，消费弹性表明需求状况仍然保持有利。这可能促使美联储政策制定者重新评估立场，提高 2026 年提前降息的可能性。尽管古尔斯比和施密德是上周要求保持利率不变的主要反对者，但明年他们将退出票委席位，可能被更鹰派的哈玛克和洛根取代。劳动力市场降温将削弱他们的决心，增加美联储提前放松货币政策的可能性。
关注我@币圈罗盘 ，下次带你拆合约策略的底层逻辑，让你少走弯路，多赚真金白银！#美国非农数据超预期 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH
关注我@币圈罗盘 ，下次带你拆合约策略的底层逻辑，让你少走弯路，多赚真金白银！#美国非农数据超预期 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH
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Peter Schiff predicts Bitcoin could fall to $70,000, as strong gold and silver prices spark market divergence
As the US dollar weakens, gold and silver prices continue to rise. Notable gold bull and Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has once again issued a strong bearish warning, stating that Bitcoin could become one of the first major assets to decline in the next round of market adjustments. This viewpoint has garnered widespread attention in the cryptocurrency market against the backdrop of increasing macroeconomic uncertainty.
Schiff believes that funds are flowing back into traditional safe-haven assets, and the continued strength of gold and silver prices is undermining Bitcoin's narrative as a 'digital safe-haven asset.' He warns that investors who view Bitcoin as a hedge against dollar depreciation may face significant shocks when real systemic risks emerge.
Schiff believes that funds are flowing back into traditional safe-haven assets, and the continued strength of gold and silver prices is undermining Bitcoin's narrative as a 'digital safe-haven asset.' He warns that investors who view Bitcoin as a hedge against dollar depreciation may face significant shocks when real systemic risks emerge.
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As gold soars and Bitcoin stagnates, Peter Schiff sings bearish again! I see the opposite signal.
During market panic, I discovered the greed of whales in the on-chain data.
Famous Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff is out again to sing bearish! This time he holds historical data showing gold breaking through $4,300 and silver skyrocketing to $66, confidently predicting that Bitcoin will test the $70,000 mark.
But what I want to say is: he might be wrong again this time.
1. Behind the seemingly bearish surface is the frenzy of the whales accumulating.
Yes, Bitcoin has indeed underperformed recently, falling from the high of $126,251 at the beginning of October. Amid panic, retail investors are selling off, and the Fear and Greed Index remains in the fear zone at 26.
Famous Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff is out again to sing bearish! This time he holds historical data showing gold breaking through $4,300 and silver skyrocketing to $66, confidently predicting that Bitcoin will test the $70,000 mark.
But what I want to say is: he might be wrong again this time.
1. Behind the seemingly bearish surface is the frenzy of the whales accumulating.
Yes, Bitcoin has indeed underperformed recently, falling from the high of $126,251 at the beginning of October. Amid panic, retail investors are selling off, and the Fear and Greed Index remains in the fear zone at 26.
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The secret from 1200U to 50,000U: Three 'cold-blooded principles' that kept me from liquidation for 90 days.
A true trading master is not a pursuer of high profits, but a tamer of risks.
Last winter, a reader found me, with only 1200U left in his account, almost losing confidence. He didn't ask for complicated indicators, just a method to survive.
Three months later, this account broke through 50,000U, and the key is that there was not a single liquidation throughout the process. Today, I will reveal these three core principles, which are more important than any technical indicators.
1. The three-part capital method: always leave yourself a 'revival coin'.
I divided his 1200U into three parts, each with 400U, each with a mission:
Last winter, a reader found me, with only 1200U left in his account, almost losing confidence. He didn't ask for complicated indicators, just a method to survive.
Three months later, this account broke through 50,000U, and the key is that there was not a single liquidation throughout the process. Today, I will reveal these three core principles, which are more important than any technical indicators.
1. The three-part capital method: always leave yourself a 'revival coin'.
I divided his 1200U into three parts, each with 400U, each with a mission:
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The 'Quick Money' of Contracts is the Most Expensive Trap I've Ever Heard Of
Lightning illuminates the night sky for just a moment, but the night can be very long.
Three years ago, I received a message from a reader: 'With a principal of 2000 yuan and 20 times leverage, it turned into 30000 in three days. I feel like a trading genius!'
A month later, he updated his status: 'I got liquidated, everything is gone.'
This year he told me that he finally paid off all his debts and found a job with a monthly salary of 6000. He said: 'Now I can fall asleep every night, which is better than anything.'
Such stories are common in the circle. Why are high-leverage contracts so tempting yet so dangerous? As a veteran who has experienced two cycles of bull and bear markets, I want to share some real insights.
Three years ago, I received a message from a reader: 'With a principal of 2000 yuan and 20 times leverage, it turned into 30000 in three days. I feel like a trading genius!'
A month later, he updated his status: 'I got liquidated, everything is gone.'
This year he told me that he finally paid off all his debts and found a job with a monthly salary of 6000. He said: 'Now I can fall asleep every night, which is better than anything.'
Such stories are common in the circle. Why are high-leverage contracts so tempting yet so dangerous? As a veteran who has experienced two cycles of bull and bear markets, I want to share some real insights.
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The Dumbest Way to Make Money in Cryptocurrency: Three Don'ts + Six Must-Dos, Market Makers Fear You Learning This!
Surviving in the cryptocurrency world, smart people often fall, while foolish methods guarantee profits.
After ten years of struggling in the cryptocurrency world, I have discovered an interesting phenomenon: the more one pursues high-difficulty operations, the more likely they are to be eliminated by the market; while those 'fools' who stick to simple strategies end up being the winners who laugh last.
The method I'm sharing today seems simple enough to raise doubts, but it is the essence of my years of practical experience. Even the market makers fear you mastering it, because it allows you to break free from emotional control and achieve stable profits.
1. Three major taboos in trading cryptocurrencies: violate one, lose for three years!
After ten years of struggling in the cryptocurrency world, I have discovered an interesting phenomenon: the more one pursues high-difficulty operations, the more likely they are to be eliminated by the market; while those 'fools' who stick to simple strategies end up being the winners who laugh last.
The method I'm sharing today seems simple enough to raise doubts, but it is the essence of my years of practical experience. Even the market makers fear you mastering it, because it allows you to break free from emotional control and achieve stable profits.
1. Three major taboos in trading cryptocurrencies: violate one, lose for three years!
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$80,000 bottom for BTC dropped to $70,000? I saw institutions secretly buying!
Amidst the panic in the market, the wallets of the whales are quietly growing fatter.
I just bottomed out at $80,000, and it dropped to $70,000! Should I cut losses or add to my position? Recently, my private messages have been flooded with such questions. Looking at the blood-red numbers in my account is indeed nerve-wracking. But when I opened the on-chain data, I discovered a completely different story: just when retail investors were panic-selling, institutional investors were accumulating Bitcoin at the fastest pace in nearly six months.
This extreme polarization reminds me of a saying by legendary trader Peter Brandt: 'When market sentiment shifts from one extreme to another, it often signals that a turning point is imminent.'
I just bottomed out at $80,000, and it dropped to $70,000! Should I cut losses or add to my position? Recently, my private messages have been flooded with such questions. Looking at the blood-red numbers in my account is indeed nerve-wracking. But when I opened the on-chain data, I discovered a completely different story: just when retail investors were panic-selling, institutional investors were accumulating Bitcoin at the fastest pace in nearly six months.
This extreme polarization reminds me of a saying by legendary trader Peter Brandt: 'When market sentiment shifts from one extreme to another, it often signals that a turning point is imminent.'
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Total global money supply per resident: How much money does each person have?
What if we could fairly distribute all the cash on Earth? This is an interesting exercise that can help us understand the scale of the global economy and the actual material resources available to humanity. The answer to this question reveals a surprising number, which can be both astonishing and disappointing.
How to determine the global monetary base
In order to conduct such analysis, experts use the concept of money supply M2. This is not just the cash in wallets and cash boxes, but a broader indicator that encompasses global cash circulation as well as highly liquid bank deposits. This includes savings accounts, deposits with a term of no more than two years, and settlement accounts that can be withdrawn with notice within three months.
How to determine the global monetary base
In order to conduct such analysis, experts use the concept of money supply M2. This is not just the cash in wallets and cash boxes, but a broader indicator that encompasses global cash circulation as well as highly liquid bank deposits. This includes savings accounts, deposits with a term of no more than two years, and settlement accounts that can be withdrawn with notice within three months.
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The Life and Death of SHIB: Behind the 530% Surge in Burn Rate, Is It a Last-Ditch Survival or a Momentary Resurgence?
While the market is singing elegies for SHIB, on-chain data tells a completely different story.
As a long-term crypto analyst tracking on-chain data, I find that SHIB is exhibiting the most typical split personality of the cryptocurrency market. On one side is the harsh reality of a 90% drop from historical highs, and on the other side is the astonishing data of a daily burn rate soaring by 530%.
In December 2025, SHIB had just experienced the permanent destruction of 37,530,000 tokens within 24 hours, and such stories have been repeatedly played out over the past few months.
01 Market Appearance: SHIB's Darkest Hour
As a long-term crypto analyst tracking on-chain data, I find that SHIB is exhibiting the most typical split personality of the cryptocurrency market. On one side is the harsh reality of a 90% drop from historical highs, and on the other side is the astonishing data of a daily burn rate soaring by 530%.
In December 2025, SHIB had just experienced the permanent destruction of 37,530,000 tokens within 24 hours, and such stories have been repeatedly played out over the past few months.
01 Market Appearance: SHIB's Darkest Hour
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When retail investors panic sell, the whales are quietly buying! I have seen these buying signals.
The cryptocurrency market is bleeding heavily, while smart money has begun to quietly act.
This morning, I woke up to find the cryptocurrency market in a bleak state again. Bitcoin briefly fell below $86,000, and Ethereum lost the psychological barrier of $3,000, with a total liquidation amount of $603 million in the past 24 hours, affecting 184,600 people.
The market sentiment index has fallen to 16, indicating an 'extreme fear' area, with panic emotions reaching a temporary peak. But just as retail investors are cutting losses and leaving the market, MicroStrategy has again purchased $980 million in Bitcoin, and the whales are greedily collecting bloodied chips.
This morning, I woke up to find the cryptocurrency market in a bleak state again. Bitcoin briefly fell below $86,000, and Ethereum lost the psychological barrier of $3,000, with a total liquidation amount of $603 million in the past 24 hours, affecting 184,600 people.
The market sentiment index has fallen to 16, indicating an 'extreme fear' area, with panic emotions reaching a temporary peak. But just as retail investors are cutting losses and leaving the market, MicroStrategy has again purchased $980 million in Bitcoin, and the whales are greedily collecting bloodied chips.
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Whale incurs a floating loss of 46 million and holds firm! This is the craziest bullish faith I have ever seen.
The whale's margin has plummeted from 100 million to 41.87 million, yet they remain unfazed. This is not stubbornness, but a meticulously calculated high-risk gamble.
The cryptocurrency market has once again staged a thrilling scene. A large holder known as the 'insider whale' has incurred a floating loss of over 46 million USD on their ETH holdings, with a total holding scale of up to 560 million USD, yet there are no signs of a stop-loss.
In the past week, the whale's available margin rapidly decreased from 100 million USD to 41.87 million USD, which is equivalent to a loss of over half of their margin reserves.
This attitude of 'success or death' toward positions is becoming a spiritual beacon for the long position camp.
The cryptocurrency market has once again staged a thrilling scene. A large holder known as the 'insider whale' has incurred a floating loss of over 46 million USD on their ETH holdings, with a total holding scale of up to 560 million USD, yet there are no signs of a stop-loss.
In the past week, the whale's available margin rapidly decreased from 100 million USD to 41.87 million USD, which is equivalent to a loss of over half of their margin reserves.
This attitude of 'success or death' toward positions is becoming a spiritual beacon for the long position camp.
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Funding rates are all green, but whales are secretly accumulating! What was I thinking during the market panic?
Others fear when I am greedy, but when everyone is fearful, even greed requires courage.
Today, when I opened the data panel, the sea of green funding rates made me think I had arrived at the prairie. Retail investors are frantically shorting, and the market sentiment indicator is almost about to break the lower limit of the screen. Even the aunt next door knows to ask: 'Is Bitcoin going to zero?'
But let me tell you, amid all this panic, I discovered something interesting: the whales this week not only did not sell off, but instead are quietly accumulating. The Bitcoin supply on exchanges is decreasing, while the coins in the wallets of large holders are increasing. This market is becoming more and more interesting.
Today, when I opened the data panel, the sea of green funding rates made me think I had arrived at the prairie. Retail investors are frantically shorting, and the market sentiment indicator is almost about to break the lower limit of the screen. Even the aunt next door knows to ask: 'Is Bitcoin going to zero?'
But let me tell you, amid all this panic, I discovered something interesting: the whales this week not only did not sell off, but instead are quietly accumulating. The Bitcoin supply on exchanges is decreasing, while the coins in the wallets of large holders are increasing. This market is becoming more and more interesting.
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Whale's Unrealized Loss of $50 Million! Will Non-Farm Payrolls Ignite ETH's Last Defense Tonight?
The pinning market movement this morning not only pierced the $2900 defense line but also penetrated the psychological defenses of countless bullish investors.
The bell just struck midnight, and ETH once again performed a high dive, crashing from $3023 to penetrate the psychological barrier of $3000 within just a few hours, reaching a low of $2892. This marks the third consecutive trading day that Ethereum has closed in the red, and the liquidation amount across the network has exceeded $600 million, paving the blood-red carpet for this bearish feast with the corpses of long positions.
Whale Dilemma: Time Bomb or Contrarian Indicator?
Market focus instantly shifted to the address known as 'BTC OG Insider Whale.' Data shows that this whale holds a long position of 151,094 ETH, with an average entry price as high as $3185. At the current price, the unrealized loss has already exceeded $50 million!
The bell just struck midnight, and ETH once again performed a high dive, crashing from $3023 to penetrate the psychological barrier of $3000 within just a few hours, reaching a low of $2892. This marks the third consecutive trading day that Ethereum has closed in the red, and the liquidation amount across the network has exceeded $600 million, paving the blood-red carpet for this bearish feast with the corpses of long positions.
Whale Dilemma: Time Bomb or Contrarian Indicator?
Market focus instantly shifted to the address known as 'BTC OG Insider Whale.' Data shows that this whale holds a long position of 151,094 ETH, with an average entry price as high as $3185. At the current price, the unrealized loss has already exceeded $50 million!
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When U.S. institutional investors are frantically bottom-fishing in the cryptocurrency market, retail investors are quietly retreating! Who is the final winner?
The capital game under the fluctuations of Bitcoin prices seems simple, but behind the apparent buying and selling lies two entirely different wealth logics.
In the past week, the cryptocurrency market has once again staged a dramatic scene: BitMine has purchased another 100,000 ETH, bringing their total holdings to 4 million; MicroStrategy has spent 1 billion dollars to increase their Bitcoin holdings, skyrocketing their total to 670,000, with an average cost reaching 75,000 dollars.
However, at the same time, Bitcoin prices have dropped to 85,000 dollars, and in the short term, these institutions seem to be 'trapped'.
On one side, publicly traded companies in the U.S. are frantically 'buying', while on the other side, retail investors and OGs (original players) are desperately 'selling'. In this capital showdown, who is the truly smart money?
In the past week, the cryptocurrency market has once again staged a dramatic scene: BitMine has purchased another 100,000 ETH, bringing their total holdings to 4 million; MicroStrategy has spent 1 billion dollars to increase their Bitcoin holdings, skyrocketing their total to 670,000, with an average cost reaching 75,000 dollars.
However, at the same time, Bitcoin prices have dropped to 85,000 dollars, and in the short term, these institutions seem to be 'trapped'.
On one side, publicly traded companies in the U.S. are frantically 'buying', while on the other side, retail investors and OGs (original players) are desperately 'selling'. In this capital showdown, who is the truly smart money?
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Whale cuts losses of 12,430,000 ASTER in the late night! Bottom card leaked, is it time to run or charge?
The on-chain data late at night once again leaked secrets, and this operation by the ASTER whale may hint at a more complex plot than it seems.
In the dim late night, a blockchain transaction record quietly appeared, revealing the undercurrents of the market unintentionally. The migration of huge chips has never been a simple operation.
Data shows that 9 hours ago, a whale holding 12,430,000 ASTER transferred all holdings to Binance. Based on the current price of $0.806, this asset worth approximately $11.67 million has incurred a loss of nearly $1 million compared to its cost price.
What’s more concerning is that the current price of ASTER has fallen below the entry cost of Binance founder CZ at $0.913. If even the giants are caught, how should ordinary players respond?
In the dim late night, a blockchain transaction record quietly appeared, revealing the undercurrents of the market unintentionally. The migration of huge chips has never been a simple operation.
Data shows that 9 hours ago, a whale holding 12,430,000 ASTER transferred all holdings to Binance. Based on the current price of $0.806, this asset worth approximately $11.67 million has incurred a loss of nearly $1 million compared to its cost price.
What’s more concerning is that the current price of ASTER has fallen below the entry cost of Binance founder CZ at $0.913. If even the giants are caught, how should ordinary players respond?
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The whale's 'slippery' art: A stunning turnaround from short commander to long pioneer
Friends, just as the market was in a wailing frenzy, the on-chain world staged a stunning turnaround! A whale that once borrowed 66,000 ETH to short aggressively recently transformed, borrowing $85 million to storm into the exchange, wildly sweeping up 38,000 ETH. What signals are hidden behind this extreme operation of 'flipping from short to long'? Today, I will unveil the mystery for everyone.
1. The true script of the whale's 'betrayal'
The actions of this whale are not impulsive but filled with strategic 'slippery' art:
Precise time-space jumps: Looking back at early November, when BTC fell below $100,000 and the market was in extreme fear, this same '1011 insider whale' (who accurately profited $200 million by shorting before the crash in October) began to establish long positions, with a holding size of up to $104 million. This whale's action can be seen as a further increase in its long position.
1. The true script of the whale's 'betrayal'
The actions of this whale are not impulsive but filled with strategic 'slippery' art:
Precise time-space jumps: Looking back at early November, when BTC fell below $100,000 and the market was in extreme fear, this same '1011 insider whale' (who accurately profited $200 million by shorting before the crash in October) began to establish long positions, with a holding size of up to $104 million. This whale's action can be seen as a further increase in its long position.
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Whales' 20x short positions press down! SOL's high-altitude dive last night, how long can the $126 support hold?
The cryptocurrency market experienced a shocking 'high-altitude dive' last night, with SOL plummeting from $135 to $123, as the whales' 20x leveraged short positions quietly harvested the market.
Last night's SOL market was truly thrilling. As Bitcoin fell below the $88,000 mark, the entire cryptocurrency market was in despair, and Solana, once a 'high-speed public chain,' couldn't escape unscathed, crashing from $135 to $123, with a daily decline of over 9%.
This morning, although it barely stabilized around $126, the rebound strength was clearly weak, and the trading volume did not effectively expand.
01 Whales clearly shorting, market sentiment shifts
Last night's SOL market was truly thrilling. As Bitcoin fell below the $88,000 mark, the entire cryptocurrency market was in despair, and Solana, once a 'high-speed public chain,' couldn't escape unscathed, crashing from $135 to $123, with a daily decline of over 9%.
This morning, although it barely stabilized around $126, the rebound strength was clearly weak, and the trading volume did not effectively expand.
01 Whales clearly shorting, market sentiment shifts
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